This is kind of a strawman though, simply "winning" so I can say "hey look, there's a Labour PM, job done" isn't my main concern, it's just instrumental in delivering what I see to be progressive change that has little chance of occurring under Tory rule. If you read what those people in Nuneaton actually want, pitching an agenda that's inclusive to them isn't a betrayal of Labour values by any stretch. One of them actually made an interesting point, that the working class these days in the main aren't necessarily down a pit or making steel, they're the salaried service workers in a call centre or a warehouse. Yeah, they might be a bit thick and liberal lefty types might like to roll their eyes at them, but they're the people Labour depends on, they're the ones that you're supposed to be helping get on in life, helping them afford childcare, topping up their income with tax credits, getting them seen quickly at A&E by a junior doctor that's on shift rather than on strike, etc. If I've been coming across as only wanting change because I support Labour like a football team rather than because of actual policy outcomes, then my posts are worse than I suspected.
On Corbyn - agreed that whilst he retains the support of the membership he won't go anywhere. But if he loses it, he has to go. If someone has neither the popular support to win an election or the majority of members backing them, I can't see any legitimate arguing for keeping them, potential for Green defections or no. I think there'll need to be a more pro-active, focused and co-ordinated campaign for an alternative though rather than the piecemeal, scrappy criticism we get at the moment.
Scotland is obviously a huge barrier but Labour basically has to have the dual approach of listening to ex-voters in Scotland, much in the way they'll listen to ex-voters in Nuneaton, and crafting a programme that will appeal, but at the same time targeting the win through England and Wales on their own. This includes completely ruling out any deal with the SNP post-election (and for this to work, the leader saying it needs to be believed, which is where Ed fell down).
Nah, I don't think that's the case at all: I can see you genuinely want the country to succeed under a Labour government that can appeal to a wide base of people and secure a majority in doing so, and I think that's an admirable goal. I'll also agree that a lot of liberal, left type voters are probably quite out of touch with working class elements in certain respects.
Where I kind of disagree though is that I feel like for Labour to succeed under such a branch, they're going to need that sort of unified, principled ideology that they can stand to. Something that they can take to voters and win
them over with, as opposed to the other way around. My issue with elements of the more centrist approach is that it appears to be based around doing exactly what voters want and altering the parties view to suit that, instead of creating ideas which can then appeal to voters.
There's obviously got to be a blended approach, and the two come hand in hand to a certain extent, but it felt like the case in the immediate aftermath of last year - I think it was one case of not voting against a more questionable Tory policy on the basis that it would be unpopular, because people hadn't voted for Labour's ideas instead of the Tories, when in reality it was probably more the case that Miliband's Labour hadn't been convincing enough in their own arguments.
As for Scotland, I genuinely think it's going to be difficult for Labour to win it back for a long, long time. They are full of utterly hopeless politicians in Scotland, because the more well-known names went to Westminster and were then booted out, while younger people who don't like the Tories typically opt for the SNP or, in some cases, Greens/Socialists/Tommy Sheridan's latest vanity project. There's a generation of Scots who almost view Labour on the same level as people did Thatcher's Tories. Only, it's less a derision or disgust, but more kind of bewilderment and bemusement now after the last two elections. A few might come back, but it seems unlikely.
Their problem up here is that they're essentially screwed no matter what they do. A more left-wing, inclusive approach, being less hostile to independence? That'll win over a few SNP voters, but it sends more over to the Tories, as we saw. A more centrist, right-wing, and strong unionist approach? Those SNP voters remain right where they are, and Labour struggle to win back their working-class vote because working-classes are more receptive to independence (which was typically a more left-wing movement, especially at grassroots level). Ruling out deals with the SNP comes under that - it patronises SNP voters, and essentially says that Labour have no interest in working with a party that (for now) represents the interests of Scots by more than double that of any other individual party. That alone doesn't rule the party out of getting a majority, but basically having lost Scotland is a massive point of concern if Labour want another party because it's essentially 40 seats they've lost that they used to have.