Dobba
Full Member
I imagine he'd have done something mad like invade Ukraine if it wasn't for Trident.^^^^^^^
In a world absent of nuclear weapons leader like Putin would start empire building again.
I imagine he'd have done something mad like invade Ukraine if it wasn't for Trident.^^^^^^^
In a world absent of nuclear weapons leader like Putin would start empire building again.
I don't buy that they are the only reason.
They've also brought us extremely close to war on at least 3 occasions that I'm aware of. It could only take an accident. If there is a non-zero chance for each day that they exist, and if this chance is proportional to the amount that exist... well, the less the better in my view.
I imagine he'd have done something mad like invade Ukraine if it wasn't for Trident.
Or they have prevented major wars on those ocassions more like. Tensions couldn't escalte into major warefare because of MAD.
I don't buy that they are the only reason.
They've also brought us extremely close to war on at least 3 occasions that I'm aware of. It could only take an accident. If there is a non-zero chance for each day that they exist, and if this chance is proportional to the amount that exist... well, the less the better in my view.
that is one of various competing explanations. Nuclear weapons might have had utility in the past but nowadays they are essentially useless at best and extremely dangerous at worst.Or they have prevented major wars on those ocassions more like. Tensions couldn't escalte because of MAD.
Unionist voters in Scotland and Wales voted Brexit by a wider margin than any of the home nations so why the surprise?
Europe spent the best part of 50 years basically partitioned between two superpowers. If Russia had invaded conventionally, they'd almost certainly have won. All those times when thee world came extremely close to war over nukes, imagine those without nukes. Imagine those belligerent generals like Curtis LaMay straining at the leash to kick some commie ass, and his Russian counterparts who I'm sure were just as bad given their love of crushing dissent in Eastern Europe with tanks. Imagine those feckers free to whisper in their political masters ears without the easy defence of 'the nukes would destroy the world'. Hell these are the same types of assholes who at various points were pushing both sides to consider surprise first strike attacks WITH nukes.
And if you think those kinds of people are only in the past, go listen to some modern day Republicans.
I don't buy that they are the only reason.
They've also brought us extremely close to war on at least 3 occasions that I'm aware of. It could only take an accident. If there is a non-zero chance for each day that they exist, and if this chance is proportional to the amount that exist... well, the less the better in my view.
But there's a prioritisation. Unionist voters in these areas (the majority of which are traditional Labour voters in working class areas) are going to be poorer for the Conservative rule.
We're already leaving the EU and the SNP are going to push for another referendum regardless of this election's outcome.
and a lot of first world nations have seen improved social conditions to the point where figures such as Hitler tend not to get elected anymore. Meaning we end up with fairly mundane leaders, instead of tyrannical mad men.
Have you been in a cave for the last 12 months?
This will rightfully follow Farron for the whole campaign
This will rightfully follow Farron for the whole campaign
They're the ones voting for their decimation.Where the bloody hell are all of these Welsh and Scottish Tory voters springing out from? The working class of this kingdom is going to be decimated and people seem to be fecking gagging for it.
MmmFocusing on the wrong stuff here, but...
Their signs always look so cheap and shitty. I think they've been using the same one since the birth of the party. Looks like a load of people tore up road signs and had a get-together.
They're the ones voting for their decimation.
The one ironic thing about the older generations keeping the tories in, is it'
For some reason, NHS cuts just aren't resonating with people.
I think people do care, but it doesn't feel real for most people. This is what my tory friend said to me regarding the NHS:
My NHS Doctor friend though just says he wants to feck of to New Zealand because this is impossible
Where the bloody hell are all of these Welsh and Scottish Tory voters springing out from? The working class of this kingdom is going to be decimated and people seem to be fecking gagging for it.
The lunatics have taken over the assylum in this country
Hope Scotland gain their independence and prosper. I'm scheduled to relocate there next year. Always liked Edinburgh
Come on Dobba, if you want to convince anyone with half a brain of a fake news conspiracy perpetrated by the Tories against Corbyn, you are going to have to come up with something better than that.
It says to me that Corbyn's supporters are reaching for the tin foil hats in order to comfort them in the face of a devastating defeat as much as it does about any grand conspiracy.
TearsBrilliant city...but if things stay the way they are, you might have a Tory MP. Which is quite remarkable.
For peers? After they abolish the House of Lords?Tears
The political situation in this country is depressing.
A lot of people liberals on the left won't bother turning up.
I'm talking about normal voters.For peers? After they abolish the House of Lords?
If those swings the other day were accurate, I think it resulted in all but one of the MPs in the Edinburgh area becoming ToryBrilliant city...but if things stay the way they are, you might have a Tory MP. Which is quite remarkable.
If those swings the other day were accurate, I think it resulted in all but one of the MPs in the Edinburgh area becoming Tory![]()
This chart gives a fairly good insight into how votes have shifted in Wales - longstanding steady decline of the Labour vote initially to UKIP, and now that UKIP has outlived its use they're going Tory rather than back to Labour.
I think a couple of them needed really absurdly big swings which only one of the polls out provided, but even so.Considering there's five, I'm not sure if there might be two that don't go Tory under those predictions. Not sure exactly though. Edinburgh East is the safest one, and Edinburgh South is predicted to swing from Labour to Tory.
I do find it a bit strange, though. My knowledge of Edinburgh's partly limited even though I know the centre alright, but it does feel like a very liberal, metropolitan kind of place. I can certainly see why it's more Tory than Glasgow, which remains staunchly anti-Tory along with nearly all of the West of Scotland.
Will be interested to see if the Tories supplant Labour and get into second place in my own constituency. They don't have a hope in hell of winning it, but second is now a very realistic possibility which is incredible.
It's possibly age related, according to the poll breakdowns - https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.n...hBarometerResults_April17_WestminsterVI_W.pdf - under 50s are still breaking to Labour fairly comfortably, but over 50s are just as comfortably Tory whilst also being far more numerous. On a related note:I just can't see traditional Labour voters voting Tory. I know Labour voters who voted for Brexit and they're not going to start voting Tory now or even UKIP.
I want you to get out with a "Are you a Tory?" placard in your constituency and see if you can find some.
To be fair, the main town of my constituency (well over half of it) probably isn't where most of em' are...it's the affluent wee towns and villages on the outskirts. But yeah, I'm fascinated to find out who these Tories are because I genuinely think I only know one or two at a push. Whereas I know a ton of Labour/SNP/Greens. Even a fair few who have voted Lib Dem at some point. There must be some Labour voters I know going Tory though. Has to be.
I guess it makes sense in Scotland more than anywhere else though. The SNP have always done well off the two big Unionist parties taking votes off each other, I guess it was inevitable that one would win out and combined with Yes/Leave voters defecting it's ripe for the Tories to sweep in.
So how does that work with something like the Norwegian rocket incident?
But there's a prioritisation. Unionist voters in these areas (the majority of which are traditional Labour voters in working class areas) are going to be poorer for the Conservative rule.
We're already leaving the EU and the SNP are going to push for another referendum regardless of this election's outcome.
uteThis is so fecking frustrating. We already do work weekends. In fact, I have literally just come off a series of weekend nights. Pretty much all doctors (unless you have chosen carefully ie Dermatology) work weekends.
The NHS has been screwed over for a while but I have not seen such a drop in quality of care, number of staff, safety and morale of the workforce in my time within the NHS. I simply can't stomach it any more and am looking for an out for myself and my family. Many of my colleagues are doing the same. For the 5th or 6th biggest biggest economy in the world to have such a problem with staff retention is an absolute disgrace.
So many things are putting me off this country currently. Its such a shame.
I think it is the working class, who for a whole variety of reasons, are choosing to go for the Tories in a perfect storm of an election. I do not think they will end up any better off with them in power.
You could argue that the magnitude of Russia launching a nuclear bomb made them hold out and prevented conflict. Let's say we lived in a world where massive non nuclear bombs like the one the US dropped on Syria were the biggest. I'm sure that Russia would have made a decision to fire one of those back a lot quicker in the same situation, which could have in turn escalated war.[/]
But it was a situation that would never have arisen were it not for the existence of Nuclear weapons.
I think you're overreacting somewhat. The FT's piece is an irreverent fashion column, not a news story or leader. It also points out that he is sensibly wearing safety gear, while noting it looks stupid.I am not a Corbyn supporter. I think he is an ineffectual opposition leader and would likely be an ineffectual PM too, even though I do like many of his policies. He does not help himself in the slightest.
However, do you really think the media treat him 'fairly'? Or that they approach him in an objective way?
Look at this article which I read yesterday for example.
https://www.ft.com/content/92fe3510-240d-11e7-a34a-538b4cb30025
Corbyn visits a factory where trains are assembled. Wears (I believe) a modern reinforced safety hat, as well as goggles. And the Financial times (not the DM/ Sun/ Express) publish an article about him wearing a 'baseball cap' and emerging from a 'commuter train'?
Really?
I think you're overreacting somewhat. The FT's piece is an irreverent fashion column, not a news story or leader. It also points out that he is sensibly wearing safety gear, while noting it looks stupid.
People regularly laughed at Osborne in high-vis and hard hat on factory visits.
The piece also slates Warren Buffett too.