Dans
Correctly predicted Portugal to win Euro 2016
Not sure how, but apparently Navalny has tweeted. I wonder how many he reaches who need to be reached though?
Ukraine had 1 / 3 of them when they voted for independence. It was not a mistake otherwise a war might inflicted a lot sooner and no west country (including US) would recognize them without destroying those warheads. It would have faced severe sanctions and isolated as a country.Ukraine had 4000 of them.
Another interesting twitter thread:
Rigggggght.Probably because, sadly, it’s less important than bombing of Kyiv & Kharkiv at this moment.
Also they absolutely did not have the resources to maintain them. It is very expensive.Ukraine had 1 / 3 of them when they voted for independence. It was not a mistake otherwise a war might inflicted a lot sooner and no west country (including US) would recognize them without destroying those warheads. It would have faced severe sanctions and isolated as a country.
His A game is probably divide Ukraine into two, take control over the East (the axis from Kyiv through Uman to Odessa) and sit on the negotiation table. He can't viably hold the whole of Ukraine for too long as it would be very costly both in terms of military and economical resources as you mentioned.So instead of capitulating to Vladimir Putin by rewarding his invasion with concessions he wanted before he invaded, a likelier scenario is he will eventually gain control of larger cities, attempt to emplace a puppet leader, fight a violent insurgency, with sanctions that will annihilate him from within, to where he will quickly realize that whatever gains he made in Ukraine will be meaningless if he can’t hold onto power in Russia.
But losing it in income.Russian companies are saving a fortune in marketing expenses.
Unfortunately I think this is a viable and realistic outcome. Kyiv being almost like Berlin in the 80s.His A game is probably divide Ukraine into two, take control over the East (the axis from Kyiv through Uman to Odessa) and sit on the negotiation table. He can't viably hold the whole of Ukraine for too long as it would be very costly both in terms of military and economical resources as you mentioned.
Not sure if posted already, as this thread moves fast, but an article on the mystery of why russia hasnt used its air power in this conflict. Going against doctrine of war since 1938.
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022...-mobilised-its-vast-air-power-against-ukraine
As far as I know, no, with the current weapons, there will likely be a billion or two dying from radiation but people in shelters will survive. As will those in the Southern Hemisphere. Most of the radiation will be gone in 2 weeks (to non lethal degree).
Why isn't the blatant racism by Ukrainian forces at the border discussed more?
Doesn't fit the narrative that they're the good guys so we ignore it?
Russia has said for years that it wont allow Ukraine to become a Nato country. Thats the whole reason for the war. If it remained a neutral state then this war would not have happened. On one hand its a democracy and they should damn well be able to choose if they want to be Nato or not. On the other hand if they just let it be and remained a neutral state they wouldn't have been flattened by Russia. They are damned if they do and damned if they dont. They cant and will not back down now. The endgame is Russia neutralizes Ukraine. They make it impossible for it to become Nato and at the same time sets up president that any of the other countries cant as well - Latvia, Estonia, Finland and yes even Belarus (they could elect a West leaning politician in the future). They have already achieved this objective no matter what happens in Ukraine. I cannot see any of those countries joining Nato. If they do they risk the same treatment as Ukraine. Maybe Finland would get away with it.
The Wests endgame is to demonize Russia. This will make it so all these countries dont lean towards Russia like Belarus has. Russia could even be influencing countries like Czech, Poland etc and trying to elect pro Russian governments. Its the game that has been played since the second world war. Also they have legitimate reasons to fk up the Russian economy and turn the world against them.
His A game is probably divide Ukraine into two, take control over the East (the axis from Kyiv through Uman to Odessa) and sit on the negotiation table. He can't viably hold the whole of Ukraine for too long as it would be very costly both in terms of military and economical resources as you mentioned.
I don't think some random cities in South America will get targeted, would seem very spiteful as there's nothing of great military value to any of the NATO powers there.Who says the southern hemisphere will be spared from attacks, though? Australia, the American bases in the pacific ocean, are all obvious targets. That's before we even consider if other countries in South America, Africa and/or Asia will get involved some way or some how.
Also, radiation in the air is one thing, but the ensuing ice age as well as crops and drinking water severly polluted all over the world, is a different aspect that will have lethal consequences for years, if not decades.
I don't think some random cities in South America will get targeted, would seem very spiteful as there's nothing of great military value to any of the NATO powers there.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2...ues-list-demands-tensions-europe-ukraine-natoCan we please stop peddling this Russian propaganda?
Putin made it very clear just before the invasion (and after) what it was about, he doesn't believe Ukraine should be a separate, democratic country.
I don't think some random cities in South America will get targeted, would seem very spiteful as there's nothing of great military value to any of the NATO powers there.
That’s some blue sky thinking. What do you think will happen to the foreign national men women and children if they’re not allowed to leave the country?Probably because whilst it is important, and unacceptable, it’s not as important as what’s going on in the war zone? That’s not ignoring it.
Women and children being murdered with missiles and other war crimes being reported. Putin threatening a world war.
It’s not hard to understand why.
If there's ever a time to not get involved in international affairs, it's when nukes are being lobbedI don't think random cities will be targeted either, hence the "getting involved"-part of my post.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2...ues-list-demands-tensions-europe-ukraine-nato
I think its you who is spreading propaganda
No doubt they will and the west would probably send arms and munitions to those regions to fuel guerilla wars. Putin however will try to stamp on it. It's pure conjuncture on my part, but it's obvious that he wants to control the whole sea and Ukraine's biggest cities on the west - including Kharkiv and Odessa.If his position is Novorossiya (Kharkiv to Odessa) but not the rest of the country then he will still run into the same problem. Kharkiv and Odessa are the #2 and 3 size cities and would spawn massive insurgencies.
Thats from before Christmashttps://www.theguardian.com/world/2...ues-list-demands-tensions-europe-ukraine-nato
I think its you who is spreading propaganda
That’s some blue sky thinking. What do you think will happen to the foreign national men women and children if they’re not allowed to leave the country?
It really wouldn't have mattered. The guy just wants the old empire back, most likely feels aggrieved. The amount of excuses for this war he/his ambassadors have come out with is just ridiculous. None of them are the 'reason' for it. We all know the real reason because it's staring at us in the face. Problem is because of our liberal ways we tend to question what we could have done better, why it may have been our fault, what we did wrong?Personally, I think the real question is this: if the West knew that NATO membership talks would make Russia invade Ukraine, should we have advocated for Ukraine neutrality for Ukraine's own good will? We can talk about sovereignty all we want but the fact is Ukraine is now in a war with Russia and people are dying.
In other words, should we have disappointed Ukraine by saying "we're sorry but we won't be discussing NATO membership, not now and not in the future, period.".
Good lord. Maybe get them badges too? It's so easy to see how the world just makes the same mistakes over and over.Surely if the war spreads to UK/US, it would be fair, from a security perspective, to put all Russian nationals within that country into a camp. Do you really want a load of nationals from a country you're at war with wandering around freely?
Who says the southern hemisphere will be spared from attacks, though? Australia, the American bases in the pacific ocean, are all obvious targets. That's before we even consider if other countries in South America, Africa and/or Asia will get involved some way or some how.
Also, radiation in the air is one thing, but the ensuing ice age as well as crops and drinking water severly polluted all over the world, is a different aspect that will have lethal consequences for years, if not decades.
yes ... being pragmatic as well the river does form a somewhat clear line north to south... that said keeping control of a population as large as ukraines is going to be difficult.... i would suspect that as part of any settlement there would be an allowance that people had a period of time to move either west / east of the riverNo doubt they will and the west would probably send arms and munitions to those regions to fuel guerilla wars. Putin however will try to stamp on it. It's pure conjuncture on my part, but it's obvious that he wants to control the whole sea and Ukraine's biggest cities on the west - including Kharkiv and Odessa.
I doubt he will try to capture the whole of Ukraine, as that would leave no room for negotiations with the west and NATO.
If there's ever a time to not get involved in international affairs, it's when nukes are being lobbed![]()
Nuclear weapons programs and civilian nuclear energy are kind of 2 different beasts. Modern gen 3-4 civilian nuclear energy plants are incredibly safe.
Surely if the war spreads to UK/US, it would be fair, from a security perspective, to put all Russian nationals within that country into a camp. Do you really want a load of nationals from a country you're at war with wandering around freely?
He claimed his goal was to protect people subjected to bullying and genocide and aim for the "demilitarisation and de-Nazification" of Ukraine. Thats just his crazy way of saying he wants Nato out if Ukraine. There is a lot of talk and a lot of reasons. But what I said still stands. Dont make out Im spreading Russian propaganda when its a fact.Listen to Putin when he announced the invasion. That is not the reasoning he gave.
Exactly. And that is what I said yesterday. He threatened to use nukes if he does not take over a country the sovereignity of which he does not recognize. And it worked. Now he is playing the nukes card again to lift sanction, because his own position in Russia will get really shaky.Probably threatening to start world war if sanctions are not lifted.
Please say would, not will![]()
Not sure how, but apparently Navalny has tweeted. I wonder how many he reaches who need to be reached though?
It’s comedy, we have only said that yesterday that this would happen. It has taken only one day to prove us correct.Exactly. And that is what I said yesterday. He threatened to use nukes if he does not take over a country the sovereignity of which he does not recognize. And it worked. Now he is playing the nukes card again to lift sanction, because his own position in Russia will get really shaky.
Surely if the war spreads to UK/US, it would be fair, from a security perspective, to put all Russian nationals within that country into a camp. Do you really want a load of nationals from a country you're at war with wandering around freely?