Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion

The real question is can Microsoft really prevent Russian entreprises form using their already bought Power BI services? And if they want to bypass future sales via VPN, can Microsoft restrict that, do they want to restrict that ?

Can Microsoft really prevent them from pirating? You can't pirate Azure, because it's cloud (but you migrate to another one), but if it's pc software it's free pickings. Now if Google and Amazon decided to block, to restrict available cloud computing and then we ban Yandex from anything in the west (I actually don't know if Yandex has cloud services?!) with the Intel and AMD ban, I can't see Russia's IT operating in any capacity.
 
We have 1,000+ applications, 70%+ the permissions are managed by AD/LDAP. A lot of SSO is via ADFS. It would take a project years to find ways to get them all to work without AD. Quite a few don't have any option other than to use AD. And that's just me thinking about identity & access management, never mind anything else!

Just echoing this, I work for one of the largest stock brocking platforms and we recently went through a full review of our bcp process and despite having multiple failovers and disaster recovery in place, AD still came out as massive risk for the above reasons. Almost every fabric of the company (and a lot of companies) is intertwined with AD from finance systems, laptop logins to inter system accounts, file transfers you name it. Certainly would be far from a quick and easy fix. I would imagine for a company like mine it would be close to game to over.
 
For years I thought Moldova was a state made up by Hollywood.
 
Met Police War Crimes department asking for people involved in war crimes in Ukraine to come forward. :wenger:

Just on BBC now.
 
We have 1,000+ applications, 70%+ the permissions are managed by AD/LDAP. A lot of SSO is via ADFS. It would take a project years to find ways to get them all to work without AD. Quite a few don't have any option other than to use AD. And that's just me thinking about identity & access management, never mind anything else!

But that's probably on an internal server? Or maybe on a cloud, but could be migrated to an internal server or at least no Azure managed one. It's been years since I did work with AD, so maybe I'm missing something.
 

Does that mean the state department only endorses the Kyiv embassy's use of such language, but doesn't want it to be seen as the official US government's stance? Or that the embassy in Kyiv went off script so to speak. I think the latter is more likely, but then it's surprising they still haven't taken down that tweet
 
Just came home to find the UK fund to help the Ukrainian people has hit £55m in one single day. Absolutely phenomenal when the population itself is just over 60m.
 
What's the context of this? I mean it doesn't exactly sound like a statement Putin would want to be known?!
Sounds like she is speaking out against Putin. Nexta is Belarusian media by the way, and has apparently been classified as an extremist organisation in their country since their coverage of the anti-government protests in 2020.
 
Does that mean the state department only endorses the Kyiv embassy's use of such language, but doesn't want it to be seen as the official US government's stance? Or that the embassy in Kyiv went off script so to speak. I think the latter is more likely, but then it's surprising they still haven't taken down that tweet

I think USA doesn't want to accuse Putin on war crimes just yet, because then there would be no off ramp until he's out of power. You just can't do business with a war criminal (well obviously you can, but you must not admit it). To me it seems like the US still believes they can get Putin to back off and normalize relations later.
 
Ukrainian MP just said on BBC all the planes promised from various countries have been postponed and that countries are buying more oil and gas from Russia now than before the attack.

Also he said that only 7 of Russias smallest banks have been banned on Swift, the rest are still functioning.

This is the problem with Nato and the other countries in general, 80% all hype and only 20% of actual action.

Money is everything, lives are worthless.

Obviously a Ukrainian will consider the reaction as inadequate - how could they not when their country is being destroyed? - but objectively the sanctions have definitely been powerful. It's not fair to talk about 80% hype and 20% action, unless the action involves Nato engaging Russia in direct combat. And then on top of the sanctions you have a much strengthened EU, and huge shifts in policy such as Germany's decision to send weapons (and Norway). This is never going to be enough for a Ukrainian, but it's still a lot.
 
I think USA doesn't want to accuse Putin on war crimes just yet, because then there would be no off ramp until he's out of power. You just can't do business with a war criminal (well obviously you can, but you must not admit it). To me it seems like the US still believes they can get Putin to back off and normalize relations later.
Yeah that's what I think too, but I wonder if that means that whoever tweeted that from the US embassy in Kyiv did so without permission, or if the US allowed it and their message to other embassies just gives them plausible deniability.

Surely the tweet would have been taken down by now. Or would that look worse?
 
Does that mean the state department only endorses the Kyiv embassy's use of such language, but doesn't want it to be seen as the official US government's stance? Or that the embassy in Kyiv went off script so to speak. I think the latter is more likely, but then it's surprising they still haven't taken down that tweet

Its the latter. Someone running the Embassy social media got ahead of their skiis and posted something they weren't authorized to, which has resulted in the State Department scrambling to squash it.
 
Just echoing this, I work for one of the largest stock brocking platforms and we recently went through a full review of our bcp process and despite having multiple failovers and disaster recovery in place, AD still came out as massive risk for the above reasons. Almost every fabric of the company (and a lot of companies) is intertwined with AD from finance systems, laptop logins to inter system accounts, file transfers you name it. Certainly would be far from a quick and easy fix. I would imagine for a company like mine it would be close to game to over.

Yeah, for us I also think it would probably be quicker to burn it all down and start again than it would be to attempt to get rid of AD while trying to maintain everything else the way it is. Nice to see another techie!

But that's probably on an internal server? Or maybe on a cloud, but could be migrated to an internal server or at least no Azure managed one. It's been years since I did work with AD, so maybe I'm missing something.

We're at the moment a weird mix of on-prem AD and Azure AD. Windows licensing ain't my strong point, but if they can't buy further users CALs and they want to add more machines etc I can see that being a problem, if you've got no upgrade path from whatever version of Windows Server they're running, again a bit a problem - Domain Controllers are one thing you really don't want to be not up to date and patched.

I guess thinking you could try doing something with Samba and go that route, but with complex environments, I think pretty quickly it would be found it can't do a lot of stuff they'd want.

I am getting a bit away from Ukraine aha so I will reign it in now.
 
Ukrainian MP just said on BBC all the planes promised from various countries have been postponed and that countries are buying more oil and gas from Russia now than before the attack.

Also he said that only 7 of Russias smallest banks have been banned on Swift, the rest are still functioning.

This is the problem with Nato and the other countries in general, 80% all hype and only 20% of actual action.

Money is everything, lives are worthless.
There are some loopholes, but the impact on the Russian banks has been colossal. The damage to the Russian economy more broadly has been unprecedented.
None of that was Nato though.
 
Obviously a Ukrainian will consider the reaction as inadequate - how could they not when their country is being destroyed? - but objectively the sanctions have definitely been powerful. It's not fair to talk about 80% hype and 20% action, unless the action involves Nato engaging Russia in direct combat. And then on top of the sanctions you have a much strengthened EU, and huge shifts in policy such as Germany's decision to send weapons (and Norway). This is never going to be enough for a Ukrainian, but it's still a lot.

I understand that, but if you are in that situation and the west are holding out a carrot one minute publicly but in reality are pulling it away privately, you are going to call them out on it when your life is on the line.
 
Its the latter. Someone running the Embassy social media got ahead of their skiis and posted something they weren't authorized to, which has resulted in the State Department scrambling to squash it.
This probably means that there are still some diplomatic channels going on. Pentagon already mentioned that they already have set up a backchannel with Russian ministry of defense.
 
That doesn't line up with what I'm able to see on Bloomberg. Largest shareholder of Sberbank is Russia's Sovereign Wealth fund.

Maybe second largest foreign shareholder. Unless I'm looking at the wrong listing (SBER:RU) Vanguard is number 2. Kentucky could have the exposure via outsourced management.
 
This probably means that there are still some diplomatic channels going on. Pentagon already mentioned that they already have set up a backchannel with Russian ministry of defense.

I'm sure there are, otherwise Biden's rhetoric and NATO's behavior would be far more aggressive. All of them are taking the position that Putin can be talked down from his ledge with enticements of sanctions relief.
 
United Security Council LIVE

Russia denying the attack on the nuclear power plant


They've gone full alternative-world where facts are stupid things. I know that the Western leaders do this all the time, but at least they try to be a bit believable and make movies (like the war in Iraq). Russians are just making plain lies knowing that everybody in the room knows that they are lying.
 


That 2nd woman reaction. Unconditional support for Putin.

@harms I know you to be a sensible guy. But some of these reactions make my blood boil. I've visited Moscow about 10 years ago. Fell in love with it. I've had great respect for Russia, but now all that is gone. I'm .... No, I'm not goint to say how I feel about Russia right now. And I know not everyone is like some of these people. I also admire the courage some folks had to say what they believe.

But I'm just left with a sour taste in my mouth.
 
Flying over occupied areas will be difficult, risks confrontation. If NATO is establishing no fly zones for Russian aircraft, outside Ukraine then you can guarantee any areas in Ukraine captured by the Russians, will also become no fly zones for NATO/West aircraft.
If the 'safe corridors' are established to let refugees out, this will be along the main roads West/S/West and such roads will be heavily trafficked and will delay imports, especially if the Russians control the full length of such corridors.

It is very grim indeed. Putin has had a long time to plan this and although the 'blitzkrieg' everyone was expecting hasn't materialized (as yet), the Russians seemed to be taking the 'strategic ground' in the South.

The West, NATO in particular is being gradually reduced to 'onlooker status'. If Putin gets away with this then we can expect the 'domino-theory' to take effect and there will be little if anything the West can do then to help anyone, even themselves, we will be 'baying at the moon'.

Where are the leaders of the West/NATO who can match Putin? Macron seems to be making a try, but its not inspiring confidence, more confusion.

Actually it isn't so difficult to see how it will end, Putin will stay well away from contact with NATO and subsequently get everything he wants, in terms of his 'land grab' into Ukraine and also including (over time) Nordstream 2.

Its back to the drawing board for the West and NATO in particular.

I’m not sure, you’re seeing potential countries at risk of the domino effect hastily try to insulate themselves from Russian aggression, e.g. Moldova applying for EU membership/Finland and Sweden looking for immediate NATO membership.

“Putin will get everything he wants” is also highly unlikely, as demilitarising Ukraine will now mean a long term commitment similar to the US in Afghanistan (and the Soviets before them). Coupled with being blocked off the international financial system, it’s going to get very expensive very quickly. China might help out in the background, but that comes with its own difficulties and concessions that’ll undermine Putin’s ultimate goal of dragging Russia to superpower status (impossible without an economy).

Ukraine’s border with the west is vast. Yes there are a lot refugees now, but it’ll decrease over time and the west will not stop supplying until there’s a diplomatic breakthrough with Putin. They’ll be looking for an off ramp, but Russia (or anyone) will never get a veto over NATO membership no matter how much they cry. So it’ll require compromise of some description and that’s where it’s difficult to see where it’ll come from.

What definitely won’t happen is Putin getting everything he wants. He’s committed one of the biggest and most dangerous strategic blunders ever, in my opinion.
 


That 2nd woman reaction. Unconditional support for Putin.

@harms I know you to be a sensible guy. But some of these reactions make my blood boil. I've visited Moscow about 10 years ago. Fell in love with it. I've had great respect for Russia, but now all that is gone. I'm .... No, I'm not goint to say how I feel about Russia right now. And I know not everyone is like some of these people. I also admire the courage some folks had to say what they believe.

But I'm just left with a sour taste in my mouth.


You are incredibly naive if you think they are all speaking their minds. The second woman could easily be thinking feck this is a trap.

Hell, I would act the same way if a journalist asked me to talk bad about my president. And I cant stand him.