Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion

I hope this is just rumours.

What exactly can you gain from withholding relevant information from your allies, especially in time of war?

I don't know what you're referring to.
 
I don't know what you're referring to.
The tweet you’re sharing. Not exactly “withholding”. But “delaying” it can be just as bad in a battle field.


Stopping Russia knowing exactly what your intelligence gathering is capable of.
Ok. This makes sense. Probably protects assets in Russia as well.
 
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NATO began with onlooker status (since Ukraine is not part of NATO) - it hasn't been reduced to this. Moreover, in funnelling weapons into Ukraine and providing real-time intelligence to Ukrainian forces, NATO has moved beyond simply looking on. As for the West, sanctions have been applied that will reduce the Russian economy to ruins over the next few weeks and months - again, this is far from merely looking on.

How will it end? Most likely with the Russian military suffering daily losses for months to come, tied up in fruitlessly attempting to pacify a country that is bigger than France (and so not available for deployment elsewhere), a collapsed Russian economy, rising unrest inside Russia, rising repression inside Russia, Ukraine semi-occupied but not defeated, the West slowly weaning itself off from reliance on Russian energy supplies, NATO stronger than ever (with additional countries joining and defence spending beefed up considerably), Russia weaker than ever, with little that is sustainable that Putin will be able to point to as a "victory".

If all of this comes to fruition, that will be a good outcome.
But Putin will see it as a victory providing he achieves his objective of taking control of Ukraine.
Yes it would be a hollow victory. But a victory nonetheless.

The biggest downside for him and Russia will be the strengthening of NATO.
But what use is that unless NATO is capable of preventing further expansion of Russia...
 
It seems Abramovich overreacted. He wasn’t risking anything. If this figure is true, the UK is barely doing more than the UAE.

Neutral Switzerland seems to have adopted most of the E.U. sanctions.

 
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People use it but you don't need it, you don't depend on it at all.

Many people literally depend on it, and cannot use anything else(both functionally and don't have the skill to). It is a long standing issue in many areas of software development for new products(very hard to oust Excel from people's workflows).

But Excel is mostly hard drive based. You can’t restrict it being sold to a certain territory.

Even Cloud services like GitHub can be accessed via VPN if it becomes necessary. Is Microsoft going to restrict that?
I was merely pointing out a Microsoft product that people really rely on, I never said anything about what the restrictions will actually entail.
 
It seems Abramovich overreacted. He wasn’t risking anything. If this figure is true, the UK is barely doing more than the UAE.

Neutral Switzerland seems to have adopt most of the E.U. sanctions.


Interesting. Hollow threats only, then.
 
any legit donation link for Ukraine lads?
Ukraine’s government has direct funds for the war effort. If you want them to survive the war, that’s the best place to donate. https://war.ukraine.ua/donate/

Ukraine’s embassy to the UK is coordinating a big fund with leading charities: https://www.withukraine.org/en

I imagine there will be no shortage of funds for refugees and humanitarian aid, but getting it where it needs to be in Ukraine right now is difficult.
 
It seems Abramovich overreacted. He wasn’t risking anything. If this figure is true, the UK is barely doing more than the UAE.

Neutral Switzerland seems to have adopt most of the E.U. sanctions.


Posted before that the 2018 Sanctions Act made the process much more cumbersome and having to go through various legal hoops before they can enforce. Also wary of making incorrect sanctions and being sued (which seems stupid to me).

**NOT** saying that’s a good excuse, just what I’ve read is a reason why UK is so slow. Hopefully this makes the Govt revisit the law.
 
It seems Abramovich overreacted. He wasn’t risking anything. If this figure is true, the UK is barely doing more than the UAE.

Neutral Switzerland seems to have adopt most of the E.U. sanctions.


Obviously quantity doesn't equal quality, but that's a shockingly low number
 
Interesting. Hollow threats only, then.

It's what I was saying earlier, the UK basically is doing nothing in reality, they are actually protecting their own interests and it's all hype for the media, but in private it's the opposite.
 
It seems Abramovich overreacted. He wasn’t risking anything. If this figure is true, the UK is barely doing more than the UAE.

Neutral Switzerland seems to have adopted most of the E.U. sanctions.


It’s our libel and finance laws. They are all set up to allow the rich and powerful to tie people up in litigation or hold the threat of the cost of losing an expensive case against them. People can launder money, knowing there’s little financial transparency and even if people start to unpick things, there’s only too law firms happy to bully people into submission. It feels as if we are so dependent on parliamentary privilege to expose stuff nowadays.
 
Just when you think it can't get worse, it seems to, with the nuclear plant attack, followed by immediately blaming Ukrainian saboteurs, ignoring the fact that videos will have been taken of the incident, showing exactly what happened. The media seem to be suggesting that Putin is worried about the sanctions. I hope it is true, but I personally fear this is only going to get worse.




The other bit of news I've seen certainly pales in comparison to much of the war reporting but I thought it was an interesting side note regarding China's stance on the invasion:
China to cancel Premier League coverage due to support for Ukraine amid Russia attacks - Mirror Online

Sure they are in a difficult position realising they could A) face similar sanctions, and B) can't afford their own indoctrinated population to see what is happening elsewhere, while C) Trying to appease Russia to get their oil and gas. But they certainly seem to be laying their cards on the table.

My question though is does this even hurt the Premier League? When you read it the previous deal, the largest overseas deal was cancelled due to no payments received. The current deal apparently also has yet to make any payments, so maybe the Premier League will be less bothered than expected.
 


The EU should end Serbia's hopes of joining the EU. If they were currently a member, they would be blocking sanctions or any response from the rest of the EU on Russia. There's no reason to admit a country that will actively work against the EU's interests.
 
Extremely optimistic opinion, but let us dream for a minute.

The incompetance, defeats and lack of progress could be signs of deeper rooted problems within the Russian military that we aren't aware of just yet... maybe.

 
I presume because Russia went to war in 1914 in defence of Serbia?
They have excellent relations. Russia also vetoed UN resolution for NATO sending troops to Serbia, and blocked Kosovo’s independence in UN despite that the original plan was to go with Ahtisari’s recommendation (they backtracked when Ahtisari recommended independence).

So traditional ally, in addition to the help Russia have given to Serbia recently.

Vucic is in a very difficult position. His policy was always try to enter the EU while having great relations with Russia (and China). That might be problematic after this.