Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion

Fighting in Ukraine is currently at a deadlock as neither Ukraine nor Russia can make significant advances, the head of the Ukrainian military intelligence agency has said, while Kyiv waits for more advanced weapons from Western allies.

"The situation is just stuck," Kyrylo Budanov told the BBC in an interview. "It doesn't move
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VorZakone said:
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I thought we were being told that they were running out of such missiles.
Unless they are firing them all before the Patriot Anti Missiles arrive.

Anyway. Such despicable actions by a despicable country ruled by a despicable cowardly leader.
 
Russia's proposed "peace" deals are laughable, as if there is any chance Ukraine let Russia keep the stolen lands, surely even Kremlin knows this, so whats even the point?

Not to mention, they are not in a position to make demands, they likely wont hold the annexed areas.
 
Rajma said:
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These things are never true since when stuff like this happens in Russia, it never leaks through “official” department communication documents. It’s simply not how it works (and this guy’s arguments in the comments are laughable).

If this will happen (I don’t think it will since they can simply print more money, it’s not like they care about inflation or other economical consequences), it won’t be leaked in this way.
 
Buster15 said:
I thought we were being told that they were running out of such missiles.
Unless they are firing them all before the Patriot Anti Missiles arrive.

Anyway. Such despicable actions by a despicable country ruled by a despicable cowardly leader.
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I think running out strategically doesn’t mean that Russia only has 100 rockets left — it’s that they have significant shortage (without much income) and they won’t be able to keep it up for many months.

They were always going to increase the volume of missile strikes close to the New Year’s Eve — it’s the most important holiday in post-Soviet states and since the goal is to terrorize the civilian population as much is possible, having them freeze without power during it seems like the cruelest (= the best in their eyes) thing to do.
 
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harms said:
These things are never true since when stuff like this happens in Russia, it never leaks through “official” department communication documents. It’s simply not how it works (and this guy’s arguments in the comments are laughable).

If this will happen (I don’t think it will since they can simply print more money, it’s not like they care about inflation or other economical consequences), it won’t be leaked in this way.
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Anders Aslund loves sensationalism.
 
harms said:
I think running out strategically doesn’t mean that Russia only has 100 rockets left — it’s that they have significant shortage (without much income) and they won’t be able to keep it up for many months.

They were always going to increase the volume of missile strikes close to the New Year’s Eve — it’s the most important holiday in post-Soviet states and since the goal is to terrorize the civilian population as much is possible, so having them freeze without power during it seems like the cruelest (= the best in their eyes) thing to do.
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Also it makes sense to fire as many as possible before even more air defense systems arrive and before winter becomes worst if you want to maximise the terror effect.
 
harms said:
I think running out strategically doesn’t mean that Russia only has 100 rockets left — it’s that they have significant shortage (without much income) and they won’t be able to keep it up for many months.

They were always going to increase the volume of missile strikes close to the New Year’s Eve — it’s the most important holiday in post-Soviet states and since the goal is to terrorize the civilian population as much is possible, so having them freeze without power during it seems like the cruelest (= the best in their eyes) thing to do.
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Understood.
 
Morty_ said:
Russia's proposed "peace" deals are laughable, as if there is any chance Ukraine let Russia keep the stolen lands, surely even Kremlin knows this, so whats even the point?

Not to mention, they are not in a position to make demands, they likely wont hold the annexed areas.
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This much is obvious. Not only can Putin not be trusted to comply with any negotiations, he also won’t be able to hold on to any gains he’s made.
 
the hea said:
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Great news if true. If the Ukrainians can get through the recent barrage in all cities without any major losses, it will be a win for them going into the new year when the new round of anti-missile weapons arrive.
 
Raoul said:
Thats pretty ominous
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Obviously there is a very ominous subtext there but it would be ironic if it caused a bank run and crippled their domestic banking
 
Pexbo said:
Obviously there is a very ominous subtext there but it would be ironic if it caused a bank run and crippled their domestic banking
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It’s not big news (if any) in Russia and there’s no panic. So far it seems like an event that is localized entirely within your kitchen this guy’s Twitter.
 
VorZakone said:
US weighs sending Bradley Fighting Vehicles to bolster Ukraine.


https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-12-29/us-weighs-sending-bradley-fighting-vehicles-to-bolster-ukraine?leadSource=uverify wall
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Bradleys would be a pretty significant improvement on any IFV currently used by Ukraine and the US have thousands of them in storage.
Armored personal carriers might not be the fanciest of equipment but it's something the Ukrainians are in desperate need of, they are taking a lot of unnecessary cassualties because troops around the front lines only have civilian SUVs for transportation.
 
Every once in a while Norway attracts the ire of Russia over something to do with our restrictions on their vessels in the North Sea and Bering Sea, as well as Svalbard. Most recently the Russian Foreign Ministry is going at us for unfair restrictions to their vessels and scientists on Svalbard.

It’s so ridiculous that they can engage in an aggressive war, more or less universally condemned, and simultaneously get worked up about minor things like these and expect us to take their outrage seriously.
 
Ben Solomon in Bakhmut. Interestingly spent some time with a Belarusian unit defending the town.

 
German Iris-T AD is really impressive by the sound of it. Ukraine has only received 1 out of 4 promised systems while the rest is due to be delivered early next year apparently.
 
Rajma said:
German Iris-T AD is really impressive by the sound of it. Ukraine has only received 1 out of 4 promised systems while the rest is due to be delivered early next year apparently.
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To be delivered as soon as they are produced. Sad situation that it doesn't exist in stock as the German air defence is a tale of disaster and stupidity...

Luckily the industry developed the system on its own without having a state contract for it...
 
stefan92 said:
To be delivered as soon as they are produced. Sad situation that it doesn't exist in stock as the German air defence is a tale of disaster and stupidity...

Luckily the industry developed the system on its own without having a state contract for it...
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Do you mean there is only one such system in the world today, and Germany gave it to Ukraine? And Germany is using zero Iris-T systems in their own military forces?
 
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