Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion

Highly dubious given that its Kadyrov himself saying it. On the other hand, on the off chance Putin is telling him to retire, it could mean that he is seeking to reduce Ramzan's power should the shit hit the fan throughout Russia where various actors like Kadyrov may be incentivized to seize power.
 
the hea said:
First rat to flee the sinking ship?
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This one will stay on board until the end. He probably wants something new, rumors are that he may be eyeing a ruling position at Rosgvardia. Still, even if he goes through with it (this isn’t the first time when he “threatens” to leave), he’s still going to be a de-facto ruler of Chechnya.


Raoul said:
Highly dubious given that its Kadyrov himself saying it. On the other hand, on the off chance Putin is telling him to retire, it could mean that he is seeking to reduce Ramzan's power should the shit hit the fan throughout Russia where various actors like Kadyrov may be incentivized to seize power.
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No way is Putin going to try and replace Kadyrov in the middle of a failing military campaign. Chechnya gives him tons of fighting personnel and he can always be sure in Kadyrov as far as he gives Kadyrov what he wants (autonomy and money). Trying to replace Kadyrov, who is an even more ruthless autocratic dictator integrated in every sphere of life in Chechnya than Putin is in Russia, is a suicide — he’ll get a Third Chechen War as a bonus to the Ukrainian front.
 
harms said:
This one will stay on board until the end. He probably wants something new, rumors are that he may be eyeing a ruling position at Rosgvardia. Still, even if he goes through with it (this isn’t the first time when he “threatens” to leave), he’s still going to be a de-facto ruler of Chechnya.



No way is Putin going to try and replace Kadyrov in the middle of a failing military campaign. Chechnya gives him tons of fighting personnel and he can always be sure in Kadyrov as far as he gives Kadyrov what he wants (autonomy and money). Trying to replace Kadyrov, who is an even more ruthless autocratic dictator integrated in every sphere of life in Chechnya than Putin is in Russia, is a suicide — he’ll get a Third Chechen War as a bonus to the Ukrainian front.
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Oddly enough that would be a convenient excuse to pull from Ukraine.
 
Kadyrov just recognized the pipeline of talent at his disposal, saw a young Stalin among his ranks, and he wants to do what's worst for the world. It's like selling RVN to allow Ronaldo to shine.
 
A good Sunday update thread from Phillips. Also be sure to check out Illia’s thread from Friday. Summary: we shouldn’t have been expecting a grand counteroffensive, so lack of immediate gains aren’t a sign of failure. It was a trap to whittle down Russian forces on Ukraine’s own terms made possible by being better equipped. More advanced weaponry like HARMS has also further reduced Russia’s ability to compete in the skies.

 
Rajma said:

Yeah that’s one way to devide the EU by calling the states that have been right about Russia all along as war-mongering. It’s must be nice living in France knowing you have a buffer of many Mariupols you arrogant tool.
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Is that what he actually says there? Doesn't seem accurate.

Edit: I see quite a few people questioning the aims of that Visegrad account in the responses.
 
unchanged_lineup said:
Is that what he actually says there? Doesn't seem accurate.

Edit: I see quite a few people questioning the aims of that Visegrad account in the responses.
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I’ve read the translation it’s slightly misleading not by much though, what he says is basically we don’t want the ones that have been correct about Russia to steer the policy on Russia. Also, on not prolonging the war unnecessarily? What does he mean by that? If he doesn’t want to prolong it then he should be lobbying the most advanced weapons in good quantities to be sent to Ukraine ASAP that would end it quickly alright. He seems rather thick too me.
 
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Rajma said:
I’ve read the translation it’s slightly misleading not by much though, what he says is basically we don’t want the ones that have been correct about Russia to steer the policy on Russia. Also, on not prolonging the war unnecessarily? What does he mean by that? If he doesn’t want to prolong it then he should be lobbying the most advanced weapons in good quantities to be sent to Ukraine ASAP that would end it quickly alright. He seems rather thick too me.
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Not what he said either.
 
NotThatSoph said:
Not what he said either.
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My bad if it’s indeed poor translation, can you translate it? I’ll remove the tweet in case it’s translated widely off the mark. Thanks.

I found a decent reply (a thread) when it comes to what he said:

 
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Rajma said:
My bad if it’s indeed poor translation, can you translate it? I’ll remove the tweet in case it’s translated widely off the mark. Thanks.

I found a decent reply (a thread) when it comes to what he said:

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Feels like quite a lot of heavy lifting there "reading between the lines" in the Visegrad tweet, to be honest.
 
Simbo said:
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This is incredible, i'm not sure I've ever seen combat as close as this outside of an SAS raid.

Are the Russians coming from the left in this video? And the Ukranians under the bridge?
 
WHy do they do that only now, not earlier? Is it desperation or is something else behind that?
 
Zehner said:
WHy do they do that only now, not earlier? Is it desperation or is something else behind that?
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I guess because Europe's only option now is to make itself completely independent from Russian gas. If and when that has been done (and clearly it will be a long and painful road), then the influence that Russia has over the West will be significantly diminished. Seems like the kind of move you can only make once. I'd also guess (and it's obviously a guess) that Putin was so certain of a quick victory that he thought he could ride out the initial storm of condemnation and sanctions and then return to something like normality within a year or so. It's probably taken him longer than most to realise and accept that he's stuck in this conflict for the long run, and that the West won't be backing down, so he now feels it's time to play his trump card.
 
NicolaSacco said:
I guess because Europe's only option now is to make itself completely independent from Russian gas. If and when that has been done (and clearly it will be a long and painful road), then the influence that Russia has over the West will be significantly diminished. Seems like the kind of move you can only make once. I'd also guess (and it's obviously a guess) that Putin was so certain of a quick victory that he thought he could ride out the initial storm of condemnation and sanctions and then return to something like normality within a year or so. It's probably taken him longer than most to realise and accept that he's stuck in this conflict for the long run, and that the West won't be backing down, so he now feels it's time to play his trump card.
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But wouldn't it have made sense to do this earlier? I mean, the question is which side will lose more by it and if Russia is convinced it is Europe, then why not do it immediately?

I feel the impact would have been much harder than it is now a few weeks or even months ago.
 
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