Manchester United Vs Sunderland Preview
After the euphoria of a injury time win at the home of the team from Abu Dhabi comes a relatively easy game against a relegation battling Sunderland team. Martin O'Neil and Sunderland have had a tough start to the campaign with a dearth of goals and wins. Sunderland also to play have a postponed game against fellow strugglers Reading at the Stadium of light on late Tuesday night. This game gives them a chance to get out of the relegation zone with a win before their visit to Old Trafford (OT).
United's home form has been excellent this season with six wins out of a possible seven with the only loss coming against an inspired Spurs team. They been scoring pretty freely at home, 19 goals @ 2.71/game, but have also shipped in 9 goals @ 1.28/game. It is interesting to not that United have only kept two clean sheets so far and have gone behind in four of the seven games. They came back to win three of those four games though it suggests that they start games slowly and the opposition has a chance to pounce on them early in the game. Giving away 1.28 goals/game also suggests that they have struggled defensively and present teams with an opportunity if they can keep it tight at the back.
Sunderland on the other hand have been horrific both home and away. They have only secured 7 points in their eight away fixtures out of a possible 24 with one win, 4 draws and 3 losses. They scored 8 goals and let in 11 goals in the process. There only away win was a 3-1 victory again Fulham in November. They have managed to draw some tough away fixtures against Swansea, West ham and Stoke city though it is hard to imagine getting them anything on their visit to OT.
History (Last 5 seasons):
These teams have met 10 times in the last 5 season with eight United wins and two draws. United scored 15 goals in those 5 games with Sunderland only managing 4. In the 5 games at OT, United have four wins and one draw.
Both last season's fixtures finished with a 1-0 score line. The victory at OT coming courtesy of a former United graduate - Wes Brown's own goal. Wayne Rooney scored in the corresponding fixture in the last game of the season. The sounds of Sunderland fans celebrating despite their own teams loss as the team from Abu Dhabi won the title at the Etihad stadium would still be reverberating in the United players ears. They would be looking to extract revenge in this fixture.
Injury doubts:
United: Johnny Evans, Nani and Anderson are out of the game whereas Vidic and Shinji Kagawa are supposed to make a come back. The come backs should be a boost to United with a busy holiday fixture list coming up. The return of their talismanic captain should help them secure a leaky defense.
Sunderland: Steven Fletcher, Lee Catermole and Wes Brown are listed as out for this fixture. Fletcher has scored 6 of their 14 goals this seasons and his absence is a big blow to Sunderland. They would also miss Catermole, there defensive force in the midfield.
Likely XI's:
United:
It's literally impossible to predict the line-up Sir Alex is going pick for any game. For instance the surprise inclusion of “injured” Valencia and Cleverley against the team from Abu Dhabi.
United most likely would go with a 4-2-3-1/4-4-1-1:
---------------------DeGea-------------------
Rafael------Smalling----------Vidic--------Evra
---------------Carrick------Scholes-----------
Valencia------ -----Rooney--------Welbeck---
-------------------Van Persie----------------
Sunderland:
Should also line-up as 4-2-3-1 with young Connor Wickham to start as the lone striker in Steven Fletcher's absence. O'Neil mentioned in a recent interview that he would persist with Adam Johnson despite him being off form.
---------------------Mignolet-----------------
Gardner-------O'Shea--------Cuellar-------Rose
-------------Larsson---------Gardner----------
--Johnson---------Sessegnon-------McLean----
---------------------Wickham------------------
Tactics:
Like most teams that visit Old Trafford, Sunderland's plan would be to sit back, soak up the pressure and try to get United on the counter. They would try to defend in banks of four and would be positioning themselves for the barrage of crosses that will inevitably come from both sides of the field. United attack mostly from the right and they would double team Valencia to negate him in the game.
On attack, they hit you equally from both sides of the field. Adam Johnson's form would be crucial for them to exploit a slight weakness on the left side with Evra. Gardner and Johnson can combine and cause problems to United's defense. They would look to attack United on the counter and try exploit United's slow central midfield and central defense. Though without a good target man this could be a long night for the black cats.
United would look to retain possession and would depend on the wingers to provide the attacking impetus. In the games so far this season United have kept 59% possession with an average pass success of 88%. 60% of their goals have come from open play with 39% of the attack through the side ride. There is little to suggest that this is going to change in this game. Sunderland is not a team that would disrupt United's style or rhythm and it would tough for them to stop the attacking trio of Rooney, Valencia and Van Persie. United would look to get a goal early and open the game in order to find better attacking spaces.
Conclusion and Prediction:
The real danger to United in the game would come from within themselves. This is a classic let down game after the build up and craziness of the Manchester derby. Though with team changes and the events of last season I am sure Sir Alex would keep them focused. This is usually the time when previous United teams have come to life and put on a run of victories together to separate themselves at the top the league. I do not envisage anything beyond a comfortable United victory.
United 4 – Sunderland 0