William Hill Offer - £50m for Predicting the Entire Premier League Table

ThierryHenry

wishes he could watch Arsenal games with KM
Joined
Feb 8, 2009
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Surely one of us can manage this? They're taking bets of £2 at odds of 25,000,000-1, with a maximum of 250 bets per customer. The offer also doesn't run out until the 22nd August, two weeks after the season starts.

Also a £100k consolation prize to the person with the most accurate selection at Christmas.

http://bettingoffers.co/william-hill-50m-prem-predictor/

William Hill £50m Premier League Prediction Offer and Bet £10 Get £20 Free Bets

William Hill have come up with an amazing promotion that puts every other betting offer in the shade, with their new £50m Prem Predictor offering a staggering £50m first prize!

If you hit the big one with William Hill you could buy Raheem Sterling and still have a cool £1m change from your amazing Prem Predictor £50m prize! We think there might be better ways to spend your £50m though – perhaps sail round the Caribbean on a yacht with Scarlett Johansson and Rihanna as barmaids? What’s more, William Hill will not only give you the chance to win £50m, they’ll also give you £20 in free bets when you place a £10 bet.


William Hill Prem Predictor Offer: Win £50m!


£50m Prem Predictor
  • Join William Hill and get £20 infree bets
  • Prem Predictor costs £2 to enter, you can have 250 entries and it closes on the 22nd August or when 1m entries are made
  • £50m will be won if anyone predicts the exact finishing order of this season’s Premier League
  • £100k is the guaranteed prize for the closest prediction if nobody wins the £50m
  • £100k Spot Prize – a further £100k prize will be given out during the season to the player whose predictions are correct at the random time of the spot prize

This is the biggest prize a UK betting site has ever offered, with a life-changing £50m on offer in William Hill’s £50m Prem Predictor. In order to claim the staggering £50m bounty you need to predict the exact finishing order of the 20 Premier League sides. Of course, that’s far from easy, but then, with £50m going to the winner, what did you expect, spot the ball?!

It costs £2 to play William Hill’s Prem Predictor and you can have up to 250 entries, giving you the chance to perm a few different options and really increase your odds of landing the £50m Predictor jackpot.

Prem Predictor doesn’t close until the 22nd August – two weeks after the Premier League season starts. That said, William Hill are restricting the Predictor to one million entries, so you might be best to get at least one or two entries in as soon as possible, and perhaps try a few more as the deadline approaches if the competition remains open. With a £50m prize on offer we suspect William Hill will very soon reach their one million maximum entry limit and so we would definitely advise you get involved well before the deadline if you want to have a chance of taking Hills for a cool £50m!
 
RedSky said:
Couldn't you just go through all of the realistic combinations if you had like 50 people? Then split the prize money 50 ways? :lol:
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Wouldnt there be millions of combinations though? Im pretty sure you multiply 20x20 the x20 another 18 times or something to work it out
 
RedSky said:
You can rule loads out though as Chelsea/United/City/Spurs/Liverpool/Arsenal will finish top 6/7 positions and no lower.
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Only takes one team to lose you millions though, like southampton finishing 6th or whatever it was
 
A Red Café syndicate wouldn't be the worst idea in the world. I don't even know who'll bloody win the league yet.
 
Isn't there like 20^20 different possible outcomes?

Obviously you can pretty much guarantee that Stoke won't finish above City, Chelsea, United or Arsenal, for example, so you can eliminate a few by doing that, but the sheer amount of possibilities makes this almost impossible.
 
I did this.

If I win £50m I'm buying redcafe.
 
20solskjaer said:
Only takes one team to lose you millions though, like southampton finishing 6th or whatever it was
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True, but in those circumstances you just hold your hands up and go "unlucky". Southampton despite having loads of their players leave last summer did make some good signings and had a decent manager. So the signs were there that they'd be ok. They finished 7th though.
 
RedSky said:
Couldn't you just go through all of the realistic combinations if you had like 50 people? Then split the prize money 50 ways? :lol:
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Assume the following:

Arsenal, United, City, Chelsea: Top 4 in any order.

Liverpool, Spurs: 5-8th.

Southamption: 5-12th

Everton, Swansea: 6-12th

West Ham, Stoke, Crystal Palace: 7-15th

Newcastle: 8-17th

Villa, West Brom: 10-19th

Sunderland, Leicester: 12-20th

Bournemouth, Norwich, Watford: 13-20th

Then how many possible combinations are there? Any maths whizzes want to work it out? @x42bn6 and friends

*I genuinely forgot Sunderland were still in the Premiership. Thought they'd finally been relegated.
 
There are exactly 2432902008176640000 possible combinations.
 
Red Stone said:
Isn't there like 20^20 different possible outcomes?

Obviously you can pretty much guarantee that Stoke won't finish above City, Chelsea, United or Arsenal, for example, so you can eliminate a few by doing that, but the sheer amount of possibilities makes this almost impossible.
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20*19*18...3*2*1 => 2 432 902 008 176 640 000 outcomes
 
20solskjaer said:
Wouldnt there be millions of combinations though? Im pretty sure you multiply 20x20 the x20 another 18 times or something to work it out
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There are 2.43 * 10^18 permutation. Basically 2.5 billion billion permutation.

That is around the square number of the total numbers of web sites, and far more than the total number of atoms in Milky Way.


Red Stone said:
Isn't there like 20^20 different possible outcomes?
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Nope. It is 20! combination.

Even removing impossible scenarios, the number would be astronomically large.
 
Break the league down into thirds 6-7-7 and it should be a cake walk. So...who's going to win the league? Let's nip that one in the bud.
 
It's actually a 50 million total prize fund. This will be split between anybody who gets it right. It's unlikely anybody will so it probably won't be claimed. Especially as they are restricting it to 1 million entries.
 
Truedevil said:
20*19*18...3*2*1 => 2 432 902 008 176 640 000 outcomes
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But we can comfortably rule out all the outcomes where anyone besides Arsenal, Chelsea, City, Spurs, Liverpool and United finish in the top four, as well as any outcomes where the mentioned teams finish in the bottom four, which brings the amount of outcomes down significantly.

I don't think you'd need that large a group of people to get favourable odds if each person gets 250 bets each. You'd need a lot of time to create different tables on every bet, though. Requires a lot of planning and time.
 
Red Stone said:
But we can comfortably rule out all the outcomes where anyone besides Arsenal, Chelsea, City, Spurs, Liverpool and United finish in the top four, as well as any outcomes where the mentioned teams finish in the bottom four, which brings the amount of outcomes down significantly.

I don't think you'd need that large a group of people to get favourable odds if each person gets 250 bets each. You'd need a lot of time to create different tables on every bet, though. Requires a lot of planning and time.
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Assuming Arsenal, Chelsea, City, Spurs, Liverpool, United are guaranteed a top 6 place, number of permutations = 6! * 14!
 
My guess:

Chelsea
Arsenal
United
City
Liverpool
Spurs
Everton
Southampton
Crystal Palace
Swansea
Bournmouth
Stoke
West Brom
Newcastle
Sunderland
Villa
West Ham
Norwich
Leicester
Watford
 
  1. Arsenal
  2. Chelsea
  3. City
  4. United
  5. Liverpool
  6. Spurs
  7. Everton
  8. Southampton
  9. Stoke
  10. Newcastle
  11. Aston Villa
  12. Swansea
  13. West Ham
  14. Crystal Palace
  15. West Brom
  16. Norwich
  17. Watford
  18. Sunderland
  19. Leicester
  20. Bournemouth
Probably wrong as its pretty rare that all 3 promoted sides are in the bottom 4.
 
Red Stone said:
But we can comfortably rule out all the outcomes where anyone besides Arsenal, Chelsea, City, Spurs, Liverpool and United finish in the top four, as well as any outcomes where the mentioned teams finish in the bottom four, which brings the amount of outcomes down significantly.

I don't think you'd need that large a group of people to get favourable odds if each person gets 250 bets each. You'd need a lot of time to create different tables on every bet, though. Requires a lot of planning and time.
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Assuming that we are sure that United, City, LFC, Spurs, Chelsea, Arsenal will finish in top 6 (and somehow we know the order they are going to finish there). Assuming that we know the 3 teams that will finish in bottom 3 (and somehow we know the order).

Chances of correctly predicting the teams which will finish 7th to 17th are 1/39916800

Obviously, it becomes far worse considering that we don't know the order of teams from first to sixth position and the order of relegated teams. So, assuming that we know only the six teams which will finish in top 6 and only which three teams will get relegated (very likely we know the first group but not the second group), chances of winning this are 1/172440576000. Assuming that we know only top 6 - but not bottom 3 - then chances of winning this are 1/62768369664000.

For comparison chances of winning a lotto 6 from 99 (which is the standard one in many countries) are 1/806781064320. In other words you have around 100 times more chances of winning that lotto compared to winning the William Hill Offer even if we are sure which six teams will finish in top 6.

Still, think that it is possible to win it (even having a lot of time and planning)?
 
Sir A1ex said:
Fixed.

Would be hilarious if you're right and don't enter though.
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So, you are saying that the odds of him being right are 243290200817664000000%?

Hmm, I was always sure that probability is limited from 0 to 1 (0% to 100%). ;)
 
Revan said:
So, you are saying that the odds of him being right are 2432902008176640000%?

Hmm, I was always sure that probability is limited from 0 to 1 (0% to 100%). ;)
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No, I was using the standard betting notation of a forwards slash for "to" - ie 2432902008176640000-to-1.

Though I got it wrong, should have been 243290200817663999 / 1.:D
 
Things this thread has taught me...

1) William Hill are stingy.
2) Never lend money to RedSky.
3) Never go for a drink with Revan.
 
20solskjaer said:
Only takes one team to lose you millions though, like southampton finishing 6th or whatever it was
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You don't lose millions, just 2 quid.

Looks very winnable given you get two weeks to gage the promoted sides and any key signings.
 
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