General Election 2017 | Cabinet reshuffle: Hunt re-appointed Health Secretary for record third time

How do you intend to vote in the 2017 General Election if eligible?

  • Conservatives

    Votes: 80 14.5%
  • Labour

    Votes: 322 58.4%
  • Lib Dems

    Votes: 57 10.3%
  • Green

    Votes: 20 3.6%
  • SNP

    Votes: 13 2.4%
  • UKIP

    Votes: 29 5.3%
  • Independent

    Votes: 3 0.5%
  • Plaid Cymru

    Votes: 2 0.4%
  • Sinn Fein

    Votes: 11 2.0%
  • Other (UUP, DUP, BNP, and anyone else I have forgotten)

    Votes: 14 2.5%

  • Total voters
    551
  • Poll closed .
I must have missed you clamouring for a question about climate change.

...

I'm a Labour member and wet liberal lefty, but this dismissal of the nuclear question is crazy to me. It's one of the biggest issues facing humanity, along with climate change, it could literally be the end of the world. It should be one of the first discussions in any election.
 
https://twitter.com/i/moments/870763371771121664

Tomorrow's front pages:
The National (Scotland): Never mind the coalition of chaos, it's... the social justice league
The Sun: Tory-BBC war on leftie mob (yeah, apparently they were treated unfairly tonight too)
The Guardian: Labour accuses Tories of using fake news ads to attack Corbyn
The Daily Telegraph: Tory tax pledge to high earners
i: Tory shock at criminal charges
Daily Mirror: Tory MP charged over election expenses
Daily Express: Sturgeon: I'll help Corbyn
FT: May reaches out to business as Brexit tensions escalate

Pretty boring. Guess they'll save the juicy stuff for Sunday.
 
https://twitter.com/i/moments/870763371771121664

Tomorrow's front pages:
The National (Scotland): Never mind the coalition of chaos, it's... the social justice league
The Sun: Tory-BBC war on leftie mob (yeah, apparently they were treated unfairly tonight too)
The Guardian: Labour accuses Tories of using fake news ads to attack Corbyn
The Daily Telegraph: Tory tax pledge to high earners
i: Tory shock at criminal charges
Daily Mirror: Tory MP charged over election expenses
Daily Express: Sturgeon: I'll help Corbyn
FT: May reaches out to business as Brexit tensions escalate

Pretty boring. Guess they'll save the juicy stuff for Sunday.
:lol:

Interesting to see if there are any second editions later.
 
Not from an eastern european perspective, with people entering simply because they can, are concerned.


Well let's be honest, "no deal" is not acceptable for us or the EU. No EU bureaucrat has stated that "no deal" is a possibility. It would be catastrophic for us and the EU, hence the reason why it won't happen. But if we aren't willing to walk away, it means we have a price where we will fold.

If the EU is aware of massive opposition in parliament, they can use it to their advantage, and of course we know they would.

But the eastern Europeans are part of the EU, there were still 170000 immigrants from outside the EU, additionally the emigration of Brits will reduce if the freedom of movement is lost so even if EU immigration stopped altogether, which it won't, the Uk was still well outside the "below 100000 " which has been promised for 7 years already.

No deal is not good for either, no, but the only way a deal will be agreed is if she accepts the terms, which will not be a no contribution access to the free market or stoppage of the 4 freedoms.

But it's not the electorate who is deciding what deal will be accepted, May doesn't want anyone to know what's being discussed, including the British people.
However, it will be known from the EU side.
 
I'm guessing the cut off part was her saying that in the interest of electoral fairness, that was said to him before he went on.

Kind of rubbish though - his song is anti-tory, if you're worried about being seen as biased then don't have him on or also have a person who wrote a pro-Tory song that's been downloaded by thousands of people on as well. Oh right, there isn't one :D

Or the BBC has been bullyboyed by the goverment and it's power over it's funding.
 
Apparently, complaining that your wages haven't risen in eight years equals this: "there isn't a magic money tree that we can shake that suddenly provides for everything that people want." A real insight into May's thinking there: patronising, exasperated, and dismissive of healthcare professionals; to her, they're spoilt children, obviously.
 
Apparently Alistair Campbell's endorsed Corbyn.
 
Apparently, complaining that your wages haven't risen in eight years equals this: "there isn't a magic money tree that we can shake that suddenly provides for everything that people want." A real insight into May's thinking there: patronising, exasperated, and dismissive of healthcare professionals; to her, they're spoilt children, obviously.

Rudd was using the whole "magic money tree" tactic the other hand and it was especially condescending. Especially from a Tory party who, while in government, have failed to get rid of the deficit despite claiming they would do so, saw the pound fall dramatically after an EU referendum recklessly enacted by Cameron for the good of his party, and who haven't even bothered to cost their own manifesto. For all Corbyn's possible over-ambition, at least he seems to have an economic vision. I'm not sure what the Tory economic philosophy is right now.
 
As long as McTernan doesn't, he stands a chance.

:lol:

In all seriousness though, think this highlights that people always end up responding to power in politics. When he was trailing in the polls and new to the job, most of the party never took him seriously and wanted him gone. Now he's closing in, we're seeing more and more people back him, even in spite of certain differences. Would be a big positive if he can get in and pull different wings of the party together in order to govern effectively.
 
Would any of you change your vote if Corbyn said he'd be prepared to use Trident?
The questions about Trident are a joke.

1) We don't have tactical nuke capability. Our subs aren't designed for it. If we needed to, we'd phone the Yanks, and ask them to do it.

2) The biggest threats to our country aren't from countries with Nuclear capability, it is from terrorist states and rogue agencies that can get their hands of WMDs. How do you nuke someone who delivers a weapon into the centre of your city on the back of a truck?

3) We have a Nuclear DETERRENT. It's a second use weapon. Wipe us out, and we will wipe you out. That's what the letters are about.

Bunch of thickos.
 
:lol:

In all seriousness though, think this highlights that people always end up responding to power in politics. When he was trailing in the polls and new to the job, most of the party never took him seriously and wanted him gone. Now he's closing in, we're seeing more and more people back him, even in spite of certain differences. Would be a big positive if he can get in and pull different wings of the party together in order to govern effectively.
And when Labour invariably loses this election they'll throw their hands in the air and say "see, we told you you should have picked Owen Smith instead" and drive a bigger bridge between themselves and the party members.
 
Apparently Alistair Campbell's endorsed Corbyn.
His son did and he tweeted about the article saying he agrees with less enthusiasm. Basically, he's said he's voting Labour.
 
And when Labour invariably loses this election they'll throw their hands in the air and say "see, we told you you should have picked Owen Smith instead" and drive a bigger bridge between themselves and the party members.

Owen Smith would've been awful (his leadership campaign was dreadful) but I do think there's got to be some responsibility on his shoulders if Labour lose - their current positioning only looks good because of how shockingly they were doing before. Considering how bad May's campaign has been her party would've ideally been there for the taking in most elections.
 
His son did and he tweeted about the article saying he agrees with less enthusiasm. Basically, he's said he's voting Labour.

All they need now is Blair's endorsement!:nervous:
 
Owen Smith would've been awful (his leadership campaign was dreadful) but I do think there's got to be some responsibility on his shoulders if Labour lose - their current positioning only looks good because of how shockingly they were doing before. Considering how bad May's campaign has been her party would've ideally been there for the taking in most elections.
On the other hand, she wouldn't have called this election if it wasn't for the Labour infighting.
 
Would any of you change your vote if Corbyn said he'd be prepared to use Trident?
Nah. Not a massive deal to me. I'm largely against it, but certainly not big on my agenda.
 
He's already said he's voting Labour :lol:

Not sure I've seen what Mandelson's plans are...

Presumably he'd be in the same boat as Campbell and Blair. Probably.

Out of interest, will be interesting to see how Corbyn's Cabinet is adjusted if he is elected. Can see him giving Miliband a fairly prominent position, for one, although I suspect he'll continue to stand by McDonnell and Abbott.
 
What I'm trying to convey is the possibility of a nuclear weapon being used is real. I am of the belief that if anyone fires a nuke, there's a high probability that the whole world goes up in flames in the chain reaction. But wait, I hear you ask, doesn't that just reinforce the point that we should swear to never fire a nuke? I would say no, the sensible tactic is to keep up the pretence that any nuclear attack will be met with an overwhelming response. For the MAD doctrine to work, you have to at least say you'd nuke them back.

With Trump wavering on the whole principle of collective defence (clause 5) within Nato, it's now more important than ever that the UK is clear that it is willing to provide our side of the nuclear equation to keep the MAD balance in tact.

By saying we would potentially nuke people, we actually lower the possibility of nukes being used. Counterintuitive, but I genuinely think that's the case.

I'd say the terrorist attack on US or Korean implosion are the most likely to happen in the next five years. Not massively likely, but at least 5% chance if I had to put a number on it.

They rely on Nato membership and the principle of collective defence. Our nukes are their nukes effectively.



Ok. We'll have to agree to disagree then I guess. I think the world is more dangerous than it was 5 years ago but I also think we are nowhere near nuclear war. If anyone is desperate/ crazy enough to be using nukes already, they're unlikely to be dissuaded by our 200 or so nukes. Imo anyway.

I don't think either of those would drag us in to the point where we're firing off nukes tbh but again, I guess we'll have to agree to disagree.

They do. And let's be completely honest with ourselves here, we depend on the USA overall in NATO.
 
Presumably he'd be in the same boat as Campbell and Blair. Probably.

Out of interest, will be interesting to see how Corbyn's Cabinet is adjusted if he is elected. Can see him giving Miliband a fairly prominent position, for one, although I suspect he'll continue to stand by McDonnell and Abbott.
Of course, he's much closer both personally and politically to McDonnell and Abbott and has been for decades.
 
Of course, he's much closer both personally and politically to McDonnell and Abbott and has been for decades.

True, even if the rest of the party become more receptive to him I imagine he'll want to keep his closest allies nearby.
 
So, what's everyone's predictions as things stand? I think Labour will get a bigger share of the vote than 2 years ago, but the Tories will still increase their MP share slightly.
 
Nah. Not a massive deal to me. I'm largely against it, but certainly not big on my agenda.
Be surprised if most people weren't in the same boat. Just concede and move on. But it doesn't appear to have hurt him yet either.
Presumably he'd be in the same boat as Campbell and Blair. Probably.

Out of interest, will be interesting to see how Corbyn's Cabinet is adjusted if he is elected. Can see him giving Miliband a fairly prominent position, for one, although I suspect he'll continue to stand by McDonnell and Abbott.
Miliband has been good value of late.
 
So, what's everyone's predictions as things stand? I think Labour will get a bigger share of the vote than 2 years ago, but the Tories will still increase their MP share slightly.

Agreed. Annoyingly think the Tories will increase their majority, but only by about 15-20 as opposed to the earlier predicted massacre. Think it'll end up about 45-40 barring any big last minute shifts.
 
If anyone's very confident in a Tory win, you can now get 1/4 from a few places on May being PM after the election. Corbyn's 7/2.
 
So, what's everyone's predictions as things stand? I think Labour will get a bigger share of the vote than 2 years ago, but the Tories will still increase their MP share slightly.
I'm still gonna guess at a Tory majority of 50+ seats based on shy Tories and old people coming out to vote like the living dead as usual.