FrankDrebin
Don't call me Shirley
Honestly surprised that there's a few Pot Noodles left.
I know, this is what seems to be missing in any explanation of how just sitting at home for as long as it takes is viable, I'd lose my house and not be able to feed my kids pretty quickly.
Even though I agree with lockdown measures, it's very difficult to remain isolated, people develop cabin fever and are itching to return to normal. If there were 10 foot of snow outside it might work.For people saying that the quarantine and curfew wouldn't work for a prolonged period of time, I'm not so sure about that. There is a lot of calls on twitter to close the pubs from a younger demographic. There is a lot of responsible people out there. Couple that with tough measures for breaking lockdown rules, we'll get through it. I'd rather save as many people as possible then worry about what impact it will have on economy. Economy is fecked either way.
Seen it said earlier that if schools close that 1 in 4 NHS staff are going to be struggling to go to work due to childcare issues. This is surely the real reason for the lack of action taken. We simply can't afford to lose 1/4 of the workforce which is already not big enough due to vacancies. When the other 3/4's start getting the virus it doesn't leave us with a lot does it?
You’re assuming that there isn’t going to be relief funds/deferred payments etc. That’s going to have to happen.Which is why it won't happen, and some just don't have the same responsibilities so they can't see that.
But it's not just your average uneducated person disagreeing with what the UK is doing tbf.For once maybe it would be worth just doing as we’re advised and not having an uneducated opinion that leads to division in every aspect of life.
But it's not just your average uneducated person disagreeing with what the UK is doing tbf.
Which is why it won't happen, and some just don't have the same responsibilities so they can't see that.
They took all the chicken & mushroom, things really need to go down hill before people take the lesser flavours.![]()
Honestly surprised that there's a few Pot Noodles left.
We'll also have stadiums in each town and city which are currently unused.I think the UK government will likely reopen old unused buildings for additional space to cope with the demand.
That's what Peru are doing. The athletes village from last year's pan American games which holds 2000 will be utilised.
I was someone who thought it was all media-inflated hype a month or so ago but it's crazy to see what's happening now. It's like something from a movie.
They took all the chicken & mushroom, things really need to go down hill before people take the lesser flavours.
I really don't understand the rationale of having 60% of the population infected over a year. If we look at best case scenarios here in that the total time you're infected for before being cured is 2 weeks and these infections are evenly distributed over time then you are looking at:The computer modelling and the science suggests otherwise.
Like I said, it seems counter-intuitive. But there is rationale behind it.
The Etihad has been unused all season. They could have started using that in January.We'll also have stadiums in each town and city which are currently unused.
They've not accounted for the behaviour science specifically in play in the UK.The UK's computer modelling and science says otherwise. What about the computer modelling and science other countries seem to be following? Presumably theirs is telling them something else?
On the international numbers, over 90% of cases will recover. But 9% will be seriously ill, and about 5% will require intensive care (ICU) and at least 2.5% will need ventilators.
The Government has said between 25% and 75% of the population will get the virus. If 25% of the Irish population get it, which based on the numbers above is a very low estimate, that's 1.2 million people.
5% needing intensive care means 60,000 people will need intensive care beds to stay alive.
We currently have 277 intensive care beds in Ireland.
I'm going to say that again:
At least 60,000 Irish people will need an ICU bed to stay alive.
We only have 277 ICU beds in Ireland.
If too many people get sick in a short space of time, many, many Irish men and women are going to die when they could have been saved. Ireland is a small country. This is going to be someone in your family or someone you know. Or their mother. Or their father.
You’re assuming that there isn’t going to be relief funds/deferred payments etc. That’s going to have to happen.
I’ve yet to see anyone who is a leading world scientist criticise the approach. Former health ministers, some university science lecturers and the usual moaning British public who are lapping up the media driven hysteria.
I know, this is what seems to be missing in any explanation of how just 'sitting at home for as long as it takes' is viable, I'd lose my house and not be able to feed my kids pretty quickly.
Right, we're royally fecked.
No it won't, just as long as there's work to go to still.
I’ve yet to see anyone who is a leading world scientist criticise the approach. Former health ministers, some university science lecturers and the usual moaning British public who are lapping up the media driven hysteria.
The point is that 60% will get the disease no matter what you do. There's no positive outcome to this.I really don't understand the rationale of having 60% of the population infected over a year. If we look at best case scenarios here in that the total time you're infected for before being cured is 2 weeks and these infections are evenly distributed over time then you are looking at:
36,000,000 (total infected) ÷ 26 (every 2 weeks) = 1,384,615 (infected every 2 weeks).
If you then work on the basis that 10% of these will have a severe infection and need to be hospitalised then you are looking at 138,462 people taking up hospital beds with coronavirus complications. If you are working on the basis that the figures in China and Italy are flawed because they don't take into account the non-symptomatic and mild cases then if 2% of all infected need hospital beds you still will have an extra 27,692 people every 2 weeks being hospitalised. Even in the best case scenario using this model will cause the NHS to collapse. This idea is fecking crazy and it needs to be changed immediately.
https://www.lbc.co.uk/radio/presenters/matt-frei/coronavirus-ex-who-boss-questions-uks-herd-immunit/I’ve yet to see anyone who is a leading world scientist criticise the approach. Former health ministers, some university science lecturers and the usual moaning British public who are lapping up the media driven hysteria.
Intensive care almost finished in Lombardy, only 14 place remained
Yeah but theyll be prepared right? Ready to stamp any clusters out from the get go and with a nation that is now educated in what to do so it shouldnt be as devestating.The bad news i heard from an interview with an infectious disease expert is that he expects it to return to China once the Lockdown is lifted.
This thing is fecking scary.
60% seems extremely high, source?The point is that 60% will get the disease no matter what you do. There's no positive outcome to this.
The scientific modelling is more about the correct timing for school closures and lockdown in order to get the most public compliance and minimise the unwitting spread between people in close quarters.
Is it now.
Because at this moment it's not and there's absolutely no word from the government.
So I'll be heading to work next week. If I could stay at home I would, but I can't so I'm not. That's the reality and people who act like it's going to be that easy are delusional to just how different life is for others.
This is insane. UK is signing a Holocaust on its own people. To make things even worse, no one is able to answer any of these questions:
Theres a theory that the virus still lingers in the body -- It's basically dormant. Then it flares up again suddenly.
calm the feck down. Fatality rate is likely to be below 0.5 % overall.
You can't see something if you avoid it on purpose.
Here is one.
I'll get you more if you want, I can pile them in here faster than you can watch them. Can also you paste their resumée if it bothers you too much to google for it.
Tim Gowers is one of the most decorated mathematicians alive, and he yesterday, essentially said (politely) that government’s plan is nuts.
Government’s plan might work at the cost of 500k-2million people dying. Maybe they should say so.
This is absolutely terrifying. fecking hell, I feel sick.
But 3 hours ago, he supported the UK idea of not banning mass gatherings.Tim Gowers is one of the most decorated mathematicians alive, and he yesterday, essentially said (politely) that government’s plan is nuts.
Government’s plan might work at the cost of 500k-2million people dying. Maybe they should say so.
Yes it will. This will be become apparent as it worsens. Right now, we obviously have to continue as normal as we can but this won’t go on for long.Is it now.
Because at this moment it's not and there's absolutely no word from the government.
So I'll be heading to work next week. If I could stay at home I would, but I can't so I'm not. That's the reality and people who act like it's going to be that easy are delusional to just how different life is for others.
Sad as it is, the alternative is to lose your house, not be able to feed your kids properly, and probably lose you lot father or grandfather. You get the point.
It is not saving lives of saving the economy. If we have 70% of people getting it, the economy is fecked either way. Dead people don’t buy things. The moderate projections put the number of dead people in par with those of WW2. Worst case projections put it significantly higher. It is not a matter of if we are going to have a deep recession or not, that is a guarantee right now.
Which is why the governments should do all it takes to do a full scale containment. Stop the mortgage payments until this is finished, at worst case even start rationing food. Yes, people will economically suffer and it is not gonna be pretty, but that was a certainty since end of January.