Dante
Average bang
But he's got a massive table. That apparently proves he wouldn't.
While he may have had Belarus in mind, Bulgaria is one of the most affected countries by Russian influence in the EU, it has KGB across the state institutions and propaganda is being spread almost unchecked.Bulgaria? Do you mean Belarus?
More Russian state-media “perspective”:
But he's got a massive table. That apparently proves he wouldn't.
More Russian state-media “perspective”:
I'm a bit sceptical in terms of the sanctions hurting Russia tbh.
From what I'm hearing it looks like Russian Gas is still being pumped to the EU and is still being paid for ?
Is that not possible if being removed from swift ?
The Twitter account is a good follow. Russian media seem to be all over the place in recent days.That last tweet - so they are now talking about military action taking place outside of the separatist areas in the media?
Yep yep, seeing the news on TV while posting here and made the typoBulgaria? Do you mean Belarus?
I think it's more likely that Russia take Kyiv and then insurgency continues for years with US and NATO turning a blind eye than them intervening and risk nukes being used.Yeah I honestly don't see how this doesn't end tragically unless he's overthrown in Russia and sadly I do not think chances of that happening are much above zero.
More Russian state-media “perspective”:
Either way it's a very grim reality. Sadly I think your scenario is pretty realistic currently. We may get to a point where splitting Ukraine into East and West may be the least terrible outcome, though still absolutely awful.I think it's more likely that Russia take Kyiv and then insurgency continues for years with US and NATO turning a blind eye than them intervening and risk nukes being used.
Looks like a matter of time before Ukraine might succumb, and while they may not be in EU, they're fighting for Europe here. It remains to be seen how long after war, EU governments start saying, it's done and dusted, let's start returning back to usual life.
In other reports, apparantely, Hungary is refusing to send in any lethal help to Ukraine through their territory, not just theirs, any.
Yeah, it's tragic that one cnut can destroy so many lives like this.Either way it's a very grim reality. Sadly I think your scenario is pretty realistic currently. We may get to a point where splitting Ukraine into East and West may be the least terrible outcome, though still absolutely awful.
Going by what's happening so far Russians seem to have very little interest in Lviv etc.
"Superpower" that sends their soldiers to fight in a major war with food packs expired 7 years ago
Sure. "Super" power. They powers are at display by anyone. Can't even defeat a much smaller Ukrainian army and is now resorting to aimless shelling of civilians. Their only "power" is being bloody murderers and war criminals.
There needs to be international agreement that if Russia succeeds in their military mission of overwhelming Ukraine and holding it by force, as long as they occupy it and stake a claim over it they will be ostracised by the rest of the world, subject to the same crippling sanctions and no longer partaking in any of the benefits of the modern world. No access to flight zones, no access to international sport, no access to international finance, no western media, no western technology. Just a complete blackout and into the dark ages.
That's what Putin will be banking on. Establish the facts and, after a cooling off period, get back to business. The West has been way to complacent for a long time. We watched, when the Russians took Crimea and established proxies in Luhansk and Donetsk. We did not do much, when these proxies murdered hundreds of people on an aircraft. We protested a little, when Russian operatives committed murders in the hearts of London and Berlin. We let them influence our elections and referenda, establish state funded propaganda media outlets as well as armies of internet trolls. We let them buy off and corrupt our politicians. This has been going on for a long time, but we were asleep. Hopefully, Putin made too much noise this time. Everyone is awake now and, hopefully, we stay awake.
This is a realistic scenario indeed.I think it's more likely that Russia take Kyiv and then insurgency continues for years with US and NATO turning a blind eye than them intervening and risk nukes being used.
The problem with that is two things:
1. The Russian people will think it's directly aimed at them -- and not Putin. It will only harden their resolve.
2. Russian people are tough cnuts. They have no problem going through hardships -- even take pride in it like some macho dare and will draw on their historical past of suffering and then coming out ahead later.
Looks like a matter of time before Ukraine might succumb, and while they may not be in EU, they're fighting for Europe here. It remains to be seen how long after war, EU governments start saying, it's done and dusted, let's start returning back to usual life.
In other reports, apparantely, Hungary is refusing to send in any lethal help to Ukraine through their territory, not just theirs, any.
More Russian state-media “perspective”:
While I think that nukes now are an option, still think that they are by far the least likely (realistic) option.
How I think this goes, from most likely to least likely:
1) Kyiv is surrendered during this month, probably during this week, and then a process of demilitarization happens, with Ukraine slowly becoming a puppet Russian-controlled country. 50%
2) Total destruction of Ukraine, in a very lengthy war, not much unlike Lybia. 30%
3) Putin is ousted from his inner circle after something crazy goes on. 18%
4) Thermonuclear war. 2%
5) Russia loses and Putin orders withdrawal. 0%
Probabilities are not real probabilities, just me posting nonsense.
Thing is, I always thought that chances of a nuclear war are infinitesimally small. Now, I just think that they are small.I'd probably agree with that.
I do not fully understand why European Union is being so open about this. Just give them the planes without saying that we are giving them the planes.I don't feel comfortable at all with the rumors of Polish airports being used by Ukrainian air force to fly our planes into warzone. This is basically very close to us joining the war. I reckon it will be dismissed by our Defense forces...
I think the EU won't accept a solution (or shouldn't) where at least part of Ukraine is not independent, so people can stay.
Otherwise, you could easily see 20m people heading to Europe.
I do not fully understand why European Union is being so open about this. Just give them the planes without saying that we are giving them the planes.
I think EU needs to quickly squash these rumours. It's not helpful.I don't feel comfortable at all with the rumors of Polish airports being used by Ukrainian air force to fly our planes into warzone. This is basically very close to us joining the war. I reckon it will be dismissed by our Defense forces...
I thought this was what he was going for at the beginning but now....I reckon that would be fine by Russia, Putin himself does not consider Western Ukraine to be Russian.
Our forces giving up half of our combat planes and openly letting them operate out of Poland is just recipe for disaster. We are going to be left with almost no combat planes. Maybe I am overreacting but this sounds just dumb.I think EU needs to quickly squash these rumours. It's not helpful.
Mentioned this before. By all means send an army but don't broadcast it on TV.I do not fully understand why European Union is being so open about this. Just give them the planes without saying that we are giving them the planes.
I think closed til the 5th nowIs the stock market opening today?