Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion

That large backlog of Russian hardware is still getting coverage.

It would suggest that they have superiority in the air and are very confident in their current position.

Id say it’s pretty telling it hasn’t been attacked sadly
 
That large backlog of Russian hardware is still getting coverage.

It would suggest that they have superiority in the air and are very confident in their current position.

Id say it’s pretty telling it hasn’t been attacked sadly

isnt there issues with the Ukrainian forces getting ammunition and supplies through?
 
True, very much a best case scenario, based on the assumption that the international economic response is utterly crippling Russia to the point where they can’t just carry on as is.
I watched a feature on BBC today from their BBC Russia office in Moscow (I think). Interviewed one deranged lunatic meant to be an MP and another babushka who just watches TV and believes that there's no way they're bombing Kharkiv. Asked for evidence, she just said there's no way and that was that. A true Trump supporter level of reasoning (for lack of a better description).

Now, you may think this is exaggerating things for sensationalism from the BBC but I can really believe it. And if this is in Moscow where they have internet, etc., what do people in the villages think?

I have always thought that Putin stands a good chance at getting elected in a normal democratic process (obviously not now). The thinking in those parts of the world is just so focussed on a victim complex and constantly blaming others for your failures.

This may not be so with young people but in that sense, I think Russia's similar to the US. Millennials and younger just don't yield the power.
 
Russia have just stopped the broadcast of our only relatively opposition-leaning radio station (Echo Moscow) & also restricted access to its website.
Dozhd', the only independent news TV channel that hadn't been allowed to broadcast TV for years now, & switched to their website and YouTube also had their website blocked.

Roskomnadzor had issued a warning to Wikipedia, threatening to block it, because of the article about this war.

With everything being shutdown and blocked, isn't it just going to encourage people to make extra efforts to find out why?
 
isnt there issues with the Ukrainian forces getting ammunition and supplies through?

Is there?

I just thought Russia has no issue in leaving a huge target out in the open now. It suggests they control the air and don’t fear any missile attacks
 
How can embassies make arrangements if Ukraine isn’t letting people leave the country?
Via telephones and the Internet generally. I’m not being facetious.

If you don’t have visa-free access to a country, citizens will or should be engaging their embassy to ensure they can enter a neighbouring one. Most embassies will do this automatically in such a situation, so Nigeria would agree with Hungary/EU to give their citizens visa-free access. I imagine in such cases that such citizens would still have a fair bit of paperwork that needs to be done.

 
With everything being shutdown and blocked, isn't it just going to encourage people to make extra efforts to find out why?
Those who have watched/listened to those already know why. But it's going to be harder for them to gather necessary information.

And the Streisand effect actually struggles in authoritarian police states from time to time.
 
I have no deeper understanding of the current state of the energy market and I assume that the EU don't intend to cut off Russian gas entirely, even after this. But I find it hard to imagine that the West will have to capitulate to Russian gas.
It would be pragmatism rather than capitulation.

Europe might be able to tolerate a summer of record high energy prices. But would they able to do the same over a freezing winter where families and pensioners can no longer afford to heat their homes?

The current public outrage is being fuelled by seeing bombs exploding on TV. Assuming that Ukraine can eventually be quelled and civilians are no longer being killed in their dozens, I think we'll see eventually see a lot of western governments backing down from sanctions. If they don't, they'd be at serious risk of losing their next elections.

It's a distasteful thought, but that's the way the world works. It's also why Germany waited so long to make the decision on NS2. If they could have avoided it they would have, since it was never in their own best interest. The same principle applies to everyone else's sanctions (including the UK).

For precedent, just look at all the oil the world gets from Saudi Arabia. What they're doing in Yemen is arguably worse than Russia in Ukraine. And yet the world tolerates it.
 
You keep on trying to defend what is clearly a racist policy of only allowing white / Ukrainians through. The non-white people are probably there on student or work visas. Why shouldn’t they be let through?
Isn't it generally a policy to look after your own people before those of another nation?

Also, what have/are the countries of the others doing to help?
 
He's not going to attack the UK and invade us. We aren't of interest to him.

He's also not going to nuke us or he'd get the same back ten fold.

So no he's not much of a threat to us specifically. He's more of a threat to Europe as a whole than just us.
Faced with his own mortality I don’t think we can say for definite how far he would go. Doesn’t seem to care about anyone but himself.
 
Some people spit their dummy because some of us were using names of Putin combined with his German counterpart from WW2.

So much for freedom of speech when others on here love going on about how both sides are at fault and that's fine
Not everyone is equal, apparently.
 
Looks like Kherson may have fallen

The Russians have control of it (or at a minimum a vast majority of it). That's not to say they can hold it once an insurgency begin to take shape.
 
A lot of talk today about war crimes from within the Ukraine.

I think the repeat pleas for a no fly zone highlights they have lost the air to Russia too (along with the huge unchallenged Russia force)

I think we are in the final days before seeing the capital in Russia hands and mass destruction.
 
That large backlog of Russian hardware is still getting coverage.

It would suggest that they have superiority in the air and are very confident in their current position.

Id say it’s pretty telling it hasn’t been attacked sadly

If the BBC report is correct that it's mostly just logistics packages then it wouldn't make sense to target it with their limited firepower. None of that stuff can shoot at you. Focus on destroying the things that can.
 
If the BBC report is correct that it's mostly just logistics packages then it wouldn't make sense to target it with their limited firepower. None of that stuff can shoot at you. Focus on destroying the things that can.
At the same time… things that shoot at you can’t without logistics
 
If the BBC report is correct that it's mostly just logistics packages then it wouldn't make sense to target it with their limited firepower. None of that stuff can shoot at you. Focus on destroying the things that can.

You’d cut off the supply line for sure
I think the combination of what we are seeing and hearing from Ukraine today is ominous
 
Do we really think China are going to sit by and watch putin press the nuclear button and send the world back to the Stone Age? They got a big stake in this getting sorted.
 
Do we really think China are going to sit by and watch putin press the nuclear button and send the world back to the Stone Age? They got a big stake in this getting sorted.

Hard to say, but one thing for certain is that Xi Xinping thinks himself as the next incarnation of Mao and is exerting a level of power unseen since Mao. That is dangerous.
 
How can the average Russian go about their daily business at this point.


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At least buying gas from them now will be super cheap :lol:
 
You’d cut off the supply line for sure
I think the combination of what we are seeing and hearing from Ukraine today is ominous

In every past war supply lines come later on, when the enemy is deeper into your territory and running out if supplies. 5 days in and a few km from the border doesn't yet meet that. Better for them to go for the forces who are actually in the fight right now.

But you are right, Ukraine won't hold out forever and it looks like Russia has changed tactics.
 
I'd like to know as well, some mod must have changed something because all I can see are posts that say you can't call him Putin and must instead call him Putin..
Some people spit their dummy because some of us were using names of Putin combined with his German counterpart from WW2.

So much for freedom of speech when others on here love going on about how both sides are at fault and that's fine

Move on. Childish name calling doesn't advance the discussion and are just a distraction. If anything we are saving you from failing at the first hurdle due to Godwin's Law.
 
Sadly I feel Ukraine will get fecked in the coming days / weeks. Russia have too much in house
It’s inevitable Kharkiv and Mariupol fall soon - they’ve already held out way longer than expected and you’d expect Kyiv will follow. I think the hope is it’s clear Ukraine hasn’t really committed the bulk of its army anywhere yet either and they could be in the West preparing a more defensible front line which will have access to NATO supplies and be much harder to break through given a Russia can’t come in behind them this time.
 
At least buying gas from them now will be super cheap :lol:

I think the days of any country trading with Russia, particularly for gas and oil are over. Unless they agree to a complete regime change and a more pro European stance, I see most of the world turning it's back on Russia for at least 20 years.
 
It’s inevitable Kharkiv and Mariupol fall soon - they’ve already held out way longer than expected and you’d expect Kyiv will follow. I think the hope is it’s clear Ukraine hasn’t really committed the bulk of its army anywhere yet either and they could be in the West preparing a more defensible front line which will have access to NATO supplies and be much harder to break through given a Russia can’t come in behind them this time.
Which would make a West-East split of Ukraine more likely.
 
It’s inevitable Kharkiv and Mariupol fall soon - they’ve already held out way longer than expected and you’d expect Kyiv will follow. I think the hope is it’s clear Ukraine hasn’t really committed the bulk of its army anywhere yet either and they could be in the West preparing a more defensible front line which will have access to NATO supplies and be much harder to break through given a Russia can’t come in behind them this time.
Someone has to bomb that convoy