A damn fec-D game, with almost no rules
Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion
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In the latest episode of the United Hour Podcast, Nik (@Rood) is joined by CEO Duncan Drasdo and Financial Director Andy Green from the Manchester United Supporters Trust for a special episode on all things behind the scenes at Old Trafford including a brief history of MUST and their aims today, views on INEOS and Sir Jim Ratcliffe so far, and the Old Trafford regeneration.
More poker than chess.
Apparently someone posted the photo of the tanks at the mall on social media like 3 weeks ago, at the start of the war. The tanks weren't there anymore when the mall was bombed.
This according to a Ukrainian MP on France24.
Yeah, they should get Russian Poker champion, Alex Kravchenko, to comment on what Putin is thinking.
To be fair…
Poker, Bayesian game theory, and geopolitical decision making are linked.
One of the bizarre outcomes in all of this will be the decimation of the Russian military (WMDs excepted of course).
I dont think Putya has yet realised how fecked they are even if they pull out right now. With the defence industry crippled due to sanctions since they rely on foreign components, it would take them decade to rebuild to the state they were pre war. And that is if China are willing to source the inferior analogues of said components.
Yes. I think he's still trying to get his head around the reality that irrespective of what happens in Ukraine, the sanctions will remain in place until he's gone. There is no plausible scenario anywhere in this where he could come out a winner.
Unfortunately the tweet is missing a negative, but the picture on humanitarian aid getting into large parts of Ukraine is grim at this point. Starting to wonder how I and others can really help. Aid donations being made in the UK feel somewhat pointless, and even money isn’t necessarily unlocking the obstacles in the way.
I don't think they can actually sufficiently service their nukes over the long stretch without money/external components. Their maintenance is very expensive and has to be very consistent or they become useless.
My friends family had been pulled out of Kyiv area recently, it was a complete nightmare logistically and took them 4 days with basically no supplies to get through Ukraine.
Russia has been moving natives from Ukraine and replacing them with Russians for hundreds of years, in order to get political control. They seem to become Ukranian and end up hating Russia anyway, because of Russian expansionist policy.
F%ck yeah! Go sanctions!!!
That is scandalous! We will just lock up anyone that speaks against Putin. That is called a dictatorship
It has been for two decades now, I’m not sure why people find that surprising.
That's what I find the only surprising part, makes you wonder what idea most people had about Russia before this kicked off.
It has, but it appears to be in transition from authoritarian to totalitarian at the moment. Its less Russia and more North Korea these days.
Good video... Humanises the war.
Bereaved relatives in Russia 'ordered to stay silent'
Ever since the start of the Russian invasion, information on Russian casualties has been scarce.
While the Ukrainian government now claims over 15,000 Russian servicemen have been killed, the Russian authorities admitted to just under 500 deaths on 2 March.
BBC Russian has conducted a detailed investigation, confirming the names and ranks of 557 Russian soldiers and officers killed in Ukraine by sifting through social media and local announcements as well as speaking to the relatives.
The investigation found that 15 of Russia’s 85 regions had not published any information about local servicemen killed in Ukraine.
But in one such area - the Kemerovo region in Siberia – BBC Russian (with the help of local residents who asked not to be identified) established identities and burial places of seven soldiers and officers.
A few hours after the BBC investigation was published, the Kemerovo authorities announced that 13 servicemen had been buried in the region since the start of the war.
But there is evidence of growing pressure on local journalists - some earlier reports about soldiers killed in action have been deleted.
One Siberian journalist told the BBC: "At the level of the regional government, all local media outlets were instructed not to publish any data on losses in Ukraine. There are cases when local officials put pressure on the relatives of the victims, ordering them to stay silent.
"They say: 'There is no need to make a fuss now, we will find a way to commemorate your boys later.'"
Going full on North Korea! Such a shame. All the work of the last 30 years to globalise, completely undone in a couple of months.
Ever since the start of the Russian invasion, information on Russian casualties has been scarce.
While the Ukrainian government now claims over 15,000 Russian servicemen have been killed, the Russian authorities admitted to just under 500 deaths on 2 March.
BBC Russian has conducted a detailed investigation, confirming the names and ranks of 557 Russian soldiers and officers killed in Ukraine by sifting through social media and local announcements as well as speaking to the relatives.
The investigation found that 15 of Russia’s 85 regions had not published any information about local servicemen killed in Ukraine.
But in one such area - the Kemerovo region in Siberia – BBC Russian (with the help of local residents who asked not to be identified) established identities and burial places of seven soldiers and officers.
A few hours after the BBC investigation was published, the Kemerovo authorities announced that 13 servicemen had been buried in the region since the start of the war.
But there is evidence of growing pressure on local journalists - some earlier reports about soldiers killed in action have been deleted.
One Siberian journalist told the BBC: "At the level of the regional government, all local media outlets were instructed not to publish any data on losses in Ukraine. There are cases when local officials put pressure on the relatives of the victims, ordering them to stay silent.
"They say: 'There is no need to make a fuss now, we will find a way to commemorate your boys later.'"
Going full on North Korea! Such a shame. All the work of the last 30 years to globalise, completely undone in a couple of months.
The BBC reports:
"The UK has provided Ukrainian forces with more than 4,000 anti-tank missile systems to help with "their resistance against Russian aggression", the Ministry of Defence says.
In a series of tweets, the ministry says the devices sent were NLAWs (Next Generation Light Anti-tank Weapons)."
"The UK has provided Ukrainian forces with more than 4,000 anti-tank missile systems to help with "their resistance against Russian aggression", the Ministry of Defence says.
In a series of tweets, the ministry says the devices sent were NLAWs (Next Generation Light Anti-tank Weapons)."
My wife was talking to a Ukrainian girl who came from Chernihiv to Manchester, and she said the same. She’s surprised how underreported the bleak situation is in the south and east of the country for people trying to flee still.
Can’t verify the translation:
They'll talk a lot of shit but I don't consider those threats credible.
These propaganda shows generally turn into swinging dick contests of who can say the most ridiculous things during times of crisis. Happens on Fox News as well.
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Hyperbolic red meat to to keep Russian nationalists satisfied. A military that is bogged down and controls less than 10% of Ukraine's remaining territory after more than 3 weeks, is hardly going to be able to invade and conquer even a single NATO country, let alone several of them.
Nukes nukes nukes. Is that the buzz word in Russia these days?
Do children also get a school lesson on how amazing nuclear weapons are now?
Disgraceful.
He isn't perfect but I'd love to see him as the president of Russia one day.
How on earth do Russian propagandists square a limited "special military operation" in Ukraine with now talking about invading NATO countries and firing of nukes?
If anything, I would think that such TV shows do more to spark unrest and unease amongst the Russian public.
Same, nothing that comes out of Russian media is credible. Unfortunately some western media will still pick this up and help spread their fearmongering to the less informed.
There is going to be a lot more of this to come too before the end, a hell of a lot.
The fat guy in the black Mao Suit in that video recently had his Lake Como villa impounded.
The BBC reports:
"The figure of 10,000 Russian soldiers killed during the war in Ukraine is a "reasonable estimate", a Western official has said.
The number briefly appeared on a pro-Kremlin website, possibly after being hacked, before being quickly deleted.
The official said this number of losses could mean a further 30-40,000 Russian troops have been wounded or incapacitated in some way.
“This is a very significant drain on Russia’s forces,” they said. But they added that Russia still had "a lot of combat power" and could continue "to sustain a grinding attritional [drawn out] conflict for some time".
“This is a level of casualties that has not been experienced really since the second World War,” they added.
“The morale of Russian forces and their will to keep fighting in a situation where they are fighting in civilian areas, in a fellow Slavic country is something that we're watching really carefully. It is a conflict on a different scale.”
So, in total as many as 50,000 Russian troops could now be out of action. If that's the case, then I'd give it around 3 more weeks before the invading forces collapse.
"The figure of 10,000 Russian soldiers killed during the war in Ukraine is a "reasonable estimate", a Western official has said.
The number briefly appeared on a pro-Kremlin website, possibly after being hacked, before being quickly deleted.
The official said this number of losses could mean a further 30-40,000 Russian troops have been wounded or incapacitated in some way.
“This is a very significant drain on Russia’s forces,” they said. But they added that Russia still had "a lot of combat power" and could continue "to sustain a grinding attritional [drawn out] conflict for some time".
“This is a level of casualties that has not been experienced really since the second World War,” they added.
“The morale of Russian forces and their will to keep fighting in a situation where they are fighting in civilian areas, in a fellow Slavic country is something that we're watching really carefully. It is a conflict on a different scale.”
So, in total as many as 50,000 Russian troops could now be out of action. If that's the case, then I'd give it around 3 more weeks before the invading forces collapse.
Where did they all go?
Truly becoming the North Korea of superpowers at this point. What a shame.
And this could well be a direct follow-up to the re-taking of Makariv. It remains to be confirmed, but this would be huge if it's true.