VorZakone
What would Kenny G do?
- Joined
- May 9, 2013
- Messages
- 33,990
Not sure if that is a smart move by Zelensky. He needs all the help he can get.
I think its a smart move as it actually puts more preassure on Steinmeier to help to ”distance” himself from Russia, beeing his former ties with them are now put in the spotlight.Not sure if that is a smart move by Zelensky. He needs all the help he can get.
Tbf I remember saying near the start of the war that Mariupol and more of Ukraine would fall, there was a lot of posts against that opinion due to the resistance being shown by Ukraine at the time.
In general my view on the war not changed, Ukraine can resist as much as they want (and it's very noble how they've done so), but in terms of manpower, military power and general resources they're badly outmatched and it's only a matter of time before they lose. The east will fall next, and then it just depends on Putin's whims as to how far he wants to go. The only thing up for debate is the timeline, it could take months, even years, but if he wants Ukraine he can have it. We have to remember we're only a month and a half into this, it could go on for years if Russia wants Ukraine bad enough.
The only thing that could stop it is aerial capability to actual fight the Russian air force, because giving them aerial superiority lets them dictate what whatever they want. But the west doesn't want to supply planes. Or if the sanctions actually made a noticeable difference to Russia, which they don't. A complete embargo on Russian gas and oil could do it (though even then it'd probably just be sold outside of Europe), but there's no political will in Germany etc to impose another 1000 euro cost per citizen (according to estimates).
I’m sure Zelenskyy has more opportunities for his time than he could ever hope to fulfil. Lots are willing to visit Kyiv now, and he’s still digitally touring the Western parliaments. It’s actually quite incredible how many different countries’ elected members he has spoken to at this point.Not sure if that is a smart move by Zelensky. He needs all the help he can get.
Good article there. I like how it highlights the Ukrainian use of deep, mobile defense. I read about this recently in a paper published by some officers at Fort Benning as being the way the US Army is trained (and how they’ve no doubt trained Ukraine) to defeat the Russian BTGs. They don’t have enough combat power in a BTG to take many losses in an offensive and then hold ground, and you need a 3:1 ratio to begin with to assault a position… and even higher ratio to assault a fixed position. I know the Russians are stacking up their BTGs for this push, but if they’ve actually already lost about 1/3 of their operable frontline tanks & tank crews, a defense in depth by the Ukrainians might bleed the BTGs dry just as the Polish, Czech, and German armor are put into the field by the Ukrainians.Donbas: Battle in east Ukraine expected to be bloody and decisive - the BBC reports from the front lines.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-61080476
I think the first thing to understand is that this is a war between Russia and Ukraine and because of the nature of this war, peace will only ever be decided on Ukrainian terms.
Do you believe there is something the US could do to enforce peace without declaring war on Russia?
Better just put ghana says goodbye tune to every video at this pointThe music is getting worse by the day.
Steinmeier is of the SPD party that historically always had close ties to Russia and has struggled to act convincingly. It is no surprise that Ukraine/Zelensky is quite unhappy about the German contribution, as our military has essentially failed to deliver weapons in the way Ukraine needed and wanted.Not sure if that is a smart move by Zelensky. He needs all the help he can get.
You're omitting a lot of factors that if included, would completely undercut everything you've just said. The Russians have been generally incompetent, have terrible logistics, are losing far more troops and equipment than previously imagined, have poor morale, and will run out of resources at some not too distant point in the future. The Ukrainians on the other hand, have demonstrated they are much more adept at going after the Russians and are now armed with an endless amount of high tech western weapons and technology to go after the Russians, and have much higher morale given that they are defending their country against foreign invaders. When you factor in these variables, nothing you wrote above appears to make much sense.
What you say may or may not be true, the hard facts are numbers wise in both personnel and military equipment, long term financing, Russia are way, way, way ahead. Another fact is that most of the coastal cities have fallen, Mariupol will be next. Given it another month, more inland cities next to those will fall.
We hear a lot of things in the western media about Russia's poor morale, which of course they want to push to readers in the west. But the hard fact is that Russia a month and a half in has made gains. It'll move all its forces to the east and another month in, they'll make more gains. Logically there's no way they cannot, when you're the only side with planes in the sky, and with more man power and equipment, what are each of those cities going to do? Eventually they will fall.
What you say may or may not be true, the hard facts are numbers wise in both personnel and military equipment, long term financing, Russia are way, way, way ahead. Another fact is that most of the coastal cities have fallen, Mariupol will be next. Given it another month, more inland cities next to those will fall.
We hear a lot of things in the western media about Russia's poor morale, which of course they want to push to readers in the west. But the hard fact is that Russia a month and a half in has made gains. It'll move all its forces to the east and another month in, they'll make more gains. Logically there's no way they cannot, when you're the only side with planes in the sky, and with more man power and equipment, what are each of those cities going to do? Eventually they will fall.
What you say may or may not be true, the hard facts are numbers wise in both personnel and military equipment, long term financing, Russia are way, way, way ahead. Another fact is that most of the coastal cities have fallen, Mariupol will be next. Given it another month, more inland cities next to those will fall.
We hear a lot of things in the western media about Russia's poor morale, which of course they want to push to readers in the west. But the hard fact is that Russia a month and a half in has made gains. It'll move all its forces to the east and another month in, they'll make more gains. Logically there's no way they cannot, when you're the only side with planes in the sky, and with more man power and equipment, what are each of those cities going to do? Eventually they will fall.
What help? Thoughts and prayers? In the meantime we’ll block all the important weapon deliveries and sanctions. There’s nothing to be gained from this obvious PR stunt.Not sure if that is a smart move by Zelensky. He needs all the help he can get.
Not sure if that is a smart move by Zelensky. He needs all the help he can get.
I think you are misreading most of what has happened so far.What you say may or may not be true, the hard facts are numbers wise in both personnel and military equipment, long term financing, Russia are way, way, way ahead. Another fact is that most of the coastal cities have fallen, Mariupol will be next. Given it another month, more inland cities next to those will fall.
We hear a lot of things in the western media about Russia's poor morale, which of course they want to push to readers in the west. But the hard fact is that Russia a month and a half in has made gains. It'll move all its forces to the east and another month in, they'll make more gains. Logically there's no way they cannot, when you're the only side with planes in the sky, and with more man power and equipment, what are each of those cities going to do? Eventually they will fall.
Remember how many people died the last time Germany tried to assume leadership over Europe and you might understand why Germans tend to like a careful and understated approach.Why do the Germans make so many bad decisions? I am not talking about the past 110 years, but the past 12 years, and the past 2 months too! Including bad decisions today. They are the leaders of the EU and the Euro currency... but where is their leadership? They seem to dither with everything.
I admire your patienceRemember how many people died the last time Germany tried to assume leadership over Europe and you might understand why Germans tend to like a careful and understated approach.
I also think this is bad, but I am under the impression that this might also be a generation question - who saw the end of the cold war and lived through German reunification might remember fondly how a careful approach and a good German/Russian relationship did lots of good for us (meaning: becoming a free, democratic, unified state again).
Do you think I should have mentioned that we Germans also tend to be thankful for how the Soviets/Russians handled the reunification, but still hold a grudge against UK for their behaviour?I admire your patience
Lukashenko has taken time out of his busy schedule begging Putin for military rank to blame Bucha on the British.
Lukashenko has taken time out of his busy schedule begging Putin for military rank to blame Bucha on the British.
Lukashenko has taken time out of his busy schedule begging Putin for military rank to blame Bucha on the British.
Remember how many people died the last time Germany tried to assume leadership over Europe and you might understand why Germans tend to like a careful and understated approach.
I also think this is bad, but I am under the impression that this might also be a generation question - who saw the end of the cold war and lived through German reunification might remember fondly how a careful approach and a good German/Russian relationship did lots of good for us (meaning: becoming a free, democratic, unified state again).
But exactly this situation reminds me the Hitler - Stalin attack on Poland! Yes I know that the Germans did not attack Ukraine directly, but they have been helping Putin for 20 years now! And the Germans basically refuse to help the Ukrainians. And for a long time they ignored USA that has been warning about Putin and Russian gas.
Why did the Germans like Putin so much?
(It wasn't the good German/Russian relations that achieved the reunification. It was the constant help of the USA all these years. Financial, political and military help. )