Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion

Yeah, I am choosing to believe that no pilot is gonna drop 40 airplanes, especially considering that the airplanes Russia and Ukraine uses are similar.

Btw, this is not the first time that the Ghost of Kyiv got an identity. Last time around it turned out to be some actor photoshopped, right?

Let’s not pretend that Ukrainian government is above propaganda. Zelenski gave medals of martyrs to the ‘Russian ship, go feck yourself’ sailors whom days later turned out to have surrendered and captured alive.

I don’t think your view is correct and am in the process of concocting my own view to draw further attention to myself as an anti groupthink provocateur.
 
I don’t think your view is correct and am in the process of concocting my own view to draw further attention to myself as an anti groupthink provocateur.
Yeah, an Ukrainian pilot flying a Sukhoi-29 dropped 40 same/similar planes.

Santa Claus is real too.
 
As much as I enjoy bullying Revan for that, I don't think he's out of line here to suggest that the Ukrainians are operating their own propaganda, just like every other side in every other war in human history. Democracies included.

No doubt the numbers are inflated, but to go from "the numbers are too high" to "the whole thing is made up" is a bit of a leap. I mean, guys might say they are lugging 12 inches around but just because it's actually 6 doesn't mean it doesn't exist.
 
No doubt the numbers are inflated, but to go from "the numbers are too high" to "the whole thing is made up" is a bit of a leap. I mean, guys might say they are lugging 12 inches around but just because it's actually 6 doesn't mean it doesn't exist.
Ukraine dropped entirely around 100-120 Russian airplanes. That includes rockets and their Air Force. This guy was apparently killed in mid March, not sure Russia has lost that many planes at that stage.

This guy must have been a Jedi to drop 1/3 or so of them.
 
Doesn't have to be confirmed by the Russians. The Ukrainians are certainly recording the planes they shoot down. They have no reason to keep those records secrets, and every reason to publicize them. Currently the total number of Russian planes shot down is in the 20s, and probably as many helicopters.

Edit: Apparently Ukraine's military claims they've shot down 189 planes, which seems like a very high number, and orders of magnitude above the independently confirmed numbers. They also claim to have destroyed 986 tanks. Or at least, that's what the sources I can find claim the military claims.

The poster I was replying to was doubting the Ukrainian ‘confirmed’ kills of generals I think. I was just making the point that if you’re only waiting for Russian confirmation you’ll be waiting a long time.
 


The notion of potentially parading with horses instead of vehicles is not a far cry after all, but that also means they lack 16% of the usual participating crew to even carry the bayonets.

I really had to make a referrence to that legendary Barack Obama rebuttal to Mitt Romney (horses and bayonets).:lol:
 
The poster I was replying to was doubting the Ukrainian ‘confirmed’ kills of generals I think. I was just making the point that if you’re only waiting for Russian confirmation you’ll be waiting a long time.

There's been some misunderstandings going on here, I think he was talking about losses in general, but it sounded like he was talking about.. well, losses in generals.

Definitely agree that the Russians aren't to be trusted about their own losses.

No doubt the numbers are inflated, but to go from "the numbers are too high" to "the whole thing is made up" is a bit of a leap. I mean, guys might say they are lugging 12 inches around but just because it's actually 6 doesn't mean it doesn't exist.

Thank you for making the comparison relatable to me.
 
There's been some misunderstandings going on here, I think he was talking about losses in general, but it sounded like he was talking about.. well, losses in generals.

Definitely agree that the Russians aren't to be trusted about their own losses.



Thank you for making the comparison relatable to me.

Ha! Well that’s an amusing confusion in an otherwise not very amusing thread!
 
There's been some misunderstandings going on here, I think he was talking about losses in general, but it sounded like he was talking about.. well, losses in generals.

Definitely agree that the Russians aren't to be trusted about their own losses.



Thank you for making the comparison relatable to me.

It's a gift.
 
Ukraine dropped entirely around 100-120 Russian airplanes. That includes rockets and their Air Force. This guy was apparently killed in mid March, not sure Russia has lost that many planes at that stage.

This guy must have been a Jedi to drop 1/3 or so of them.

Or maybe he dropped 10 or so and the numbers were inflated to boost moral. That is not the same as your supposition that the whole thing was made up and the pictured guy was a random pilot.
 
But by waiting for ‘confirmed losses’ you are waiting for the Russians to confirm their own heavy casualties and disbelieving any other source.
I would see published images of destroyed planes as confirmation. But we have seen far less wrecks than claimed Russian losses. That's why I believe the numbers are inflated, Ukraine do only prove some of their claims.
 
I would see published images of destroyed planes as confirmation. But we have seen far less wrecks than claimed Russian losses. That's why I believe the numbers are inflated, Ukraine do only prove some of their claims.

But how does that work with Russian generals? They’d likely be incinerated, buried or repatriated.
 
I would see published images of destroyed planes as confirmation. But we have seen far less wrecks than claimed Russian losses. That's why I believe the numbers are inflated, Ukraine do only prove some of their claims.

This is the trouble with wars being fought on social media. If its not a in Twitter video clip, it didn't happen.
 
Or maybe he dropped 10 or so and the numbers were inflated to boost moral. That is not the same as your supposition that the whole thing was made up and the pictured guy was a random pilot.
I don’t think there was ever a pilot who dropped 10 airplanes of similar quality. Not even Israeli pilots in the wars with the Arabs, despite having significant advantage in numbers.

Ghost of Kyiv legend was created in the first day or two, when apparently he dropped all 7 Russian airplanes that were lost back then. Of course it is a bullshit story, most Russian airplanes have been dropped from land to air missiles, not from other airplanes, and definitely not from the same guy.

Then no one talked about him till now.
 
The 40 kills in general (or even 7 kills in the first two days) seems more like a legend to motivate the Ukrainians soldiers. Don’t believe it for the moment. More like the ‘Ghost of Kyiv’ is a made-up story and this is some random pilot who was chosen to be it.
Exactly, there just aren't enough confirmed Russian loses in total to believe this.

Not that I believe it but the claim was 40 'aircraft'. There are 100+ confirmed downed Russian aircraft of various sorts, with documented photo evidence, so you could maybe double that.
 
Not that I believe it but the claim was 40 'aircraft'. There are 100+ confirmed downed Russian aircraft of various sorts, with documented photo evidence, so you could maybe double that.
Not doubting that 100+ Russian aircrafts been dropped. Just that I find it hard to believe that 40 of them were dropped from Ukrainian Anakin Skywalker.
 
Not doubting that 100+ Russian aircrafts been dropped. Just that I find it hard to believe that 40 of them were dropped from Ukrainian Anakin Skywalker.

Maybe it was more :O Fog of war and all that.
 
Doesn't have to be confirmed by the Russians. The Ukrainians are certainly recording the planes they shoot down. They have no reason to keep those records secrets, and every reason to publicize them. Currently the (edit: independently confirmed) total number of Russian planes shot down is in the 20s, and probably as many helicopters.

Edit: Apparently Ukraine's military claims they've shot down 189 planes, which seems like a very high number, and orders of magnitude above the independently confirmed numbers. They also claim to have destroyed 986 tanks. Or at least, that's what the sources I can find claim the military claims.

If you are referring to Oryx, who confirm only the basis of unambiguous photos or videos, the current number (including those damaged, abandoned or captured) is 26 aircraft, 39 helicopters and 49 UAVs ... but they have a backlog of material to work through, so those numbers would rise even if the fighting ended today.
 
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It's definetly artillery, could either be rocket artillery or a barrage from many artillery pieces. My guess is its from a Grad mlrs system.

Thanks! My perception of artillery is that it’s nowhere near that accurate but possibly I’ve watched too many WW2 documentaries.
 
Thanks! My perception of artillery is that it’s nowhere near that accurate but possibly I’ve watched too many WW2 documentaries.

I had the same perception before this war, Ukranian artillary seems to have been extraordinarily accurate since the beginning. No idea how they do it.
 
I had the same perception before this war, Ukranian artillary seems to have been extraordinarily accurate since the beginning. No idea how they do it.
I think they're using drones to help adjusting artillery aiming.
 
I don't think that is a very accurate barrage, the spread looks to be several hundreds of meters.

I guess it depends on the shrapnel blast from each explosion, which I think is way bigger than the cloud you see. I’d also say it’s 1-200 metres not several hundred but it’s difficult to judge
 
No doubt the numbers are inflated, but to go from "the numbers are too high" to "the whole thing is made up" is a bit of a leap. I mean, guys might say they are lugging 12 inches around but just because it's actually 6 doesn't mean it doesn't exist.

I can't believe that people are defending the Ghost of Kiev stuff. Even Ukranians have come out and said this is a myth, this is old news now.
 
I mean...of course there's no Ukrainian pilot who downed 40 Russian jets on his own. Who really believed that?
 
Will Putin formally declare war on Ukraine (perhaps on May 9th, the day of their annual Victory Parade) and thus call for a general mobilisation? The British Defence Sec. (for instance) thinks he will.

However, doing so would bring big problems for Putin:

* It'd be an admission that the "special military operation" has failed - or why else would a general mobilisation even be needed?
* It will make even harder to deny the reality of Russian personnel losses, both immediately and in the future (more conscripts equals more news leaks back to families)
* It won't be politically popular, because it effects almost everyone - the large bulk of Russians - who has a relative liable for conscription.
* It will be massively disrupting for business and companies, who suddenly stand to lose large numbers of their employees.
*It could be a political disaster if large number of potential conscripts seek to evade the draft.
* Where do they find (do they even have?) the equipment for all such a massive number of new conscripts?
* How will find Russia the resources needed to train hundreds of thousands of new conscripts?
 
@Raoul believed that.

The 40 number isn't the issue. He could've shot down 5 and still gotten streets named after him. The point is that you were prepared to fabricate your own alternate reality and then proceed to live in it as if it had any more legitimacy than what you previously didn't believe.
 
The 40 number isn't the issue. He could've shot down 5 and still gotten streets named after him. The point is that you were prepared to fabricate your own alternate reality and then proceed to live in it as if it had any more legitimacy than what you previously didn't believe.
And I was shown to be right that the Ghost of Kyiv was propaganda, and it never existed.