he'll probably change the leadership election rules straight after if he wins
Westminster Politics
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Jeremy Hunt is the bookies favourite at this stage to take the leadership.
How do people (non-doctors please) feel about this?
How do people (non-doctors please) feel about this?
Yeah I think he is going to get something around 2/3 vote... Possibly even more as there isn't really any people pushing themselves ... If he gets 75%+ then the 15% who sent letters had better get ready for the inevitable character assassination by a drip drip of leaked stories till they have to stand down and be replaced by one more loyal
Hoping he wins by one vote and stays on.
I think he’ll win narrowly and call an election. He’s always been a gambler.
He’s been working on his image since he stepped down as Health Secretary. I don’t trust him one bit.
Probably the best scenario is he very narrowly survives.
He's utterly toxic and loathed, The Tories will lose the next election if he is still their leader.
He's utterly toxic and loathed, The Tories will lose the next election if he is still their leader.
He never seems to have much internal backing so it confuses me why he always tops these lists. Name recognition perhaps, he's the Yvette Cooper of the Tory party.
The feckers should have waited for the by-elections.
remember he is still at 5-1 and thats assuming boris looses
https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/next-conservative-leader
He is favourite because the wing of the party he represents would almost certainly put somebody forwards and it would almost certainly be him
Javid, Sunak, Truss, Tugenhart, Wallace, Patel, Gove, Mordaunt would probably coalesce around one or two people and they would then have better odds
There are rumours Boris persuaded a bunch of people loyal to him to submit a letter (eve though they will vote to support Boris) now to ensure the vote is before then
Some polling came out over the weekend that predicted Labour would win Wakefield in a landslide, 20 points ahead of the Tories.
Maybe that scared them into doing this.
Lib Dems fancied in Tiverton as well.
Don't see him surviving this month
Not a chance.
Win it? Quite possibly, win an majority? Wouldn't of thought so. Labour would need some sort of co-allition or alliance to control a majority goverment.
The progressive alliance is a nice idea, but I can't see the SNP standing on a PR promise, they would lose out in a PR vote I would imagine and certain sections of the Labour party are far to idealist and militant to stand with other parties so it would be a hard sell. Unfortunately I can't see it ever realisticly happening.
I don't see how that helps him. Even if he wins now, loosing those elections will put incredible pressure on the Tories to get rid of him. They will simply change the rules.
BBC are saying it’s one of his options and I agree. He’ll gamble on people not liking starmer/being willing to vote Labour and the Durham investigation.
If he wins today it'll take more than 2 grim by election results to get them to go again.
Probably happening now.
Paddy Power have 1/3 for him to win.
Rarely wrong
The cnut is basically a dictator and the public don't or won't see it
Alastair Campbell on Sky News has just ripped Johnson and the Tories apart in a brutal fashion that none of current politicians seem able to do. Sorry I'm not good at getting videos but if anyone has the chance to watch it on catch up or whatever I recommend doing so. Came 10 minutes into the 09.00 news.
That's definitely not worth staying up til gone 3am for then.
Big day today?
Nah. Just a bunch of Tories deciding whether their odds of winning the next general election - and getting lots of private channel contracts for their pals in the meantime - are better if they ditch him now or later.
once you win a vote of confidence from your own party then you become de facto prime minister for life.
They are.
He will survive this unfortunately, not enough of the MPs have seen the direct consequences of supporting him
Disappointing.
The man is untouchable 
.
.The script has gone out
17 offspring says otherwiseThe man is untouchable
The script has gone out
Does anyone know what time this may take place?
6-8pm I think.
Thanks
He'll win it easily. Sadly.