Exactly, if anything he convinced the West that Ukraine was worth backing. And in doing so, he made us realise where our interests lay.The notion that he was convinced by the West that he could win doesn't really fly for me. Because it's precisely in those early days where the situation looked extremely vulnerable (and the West pessimistic) that he didn't back down
If the US doesn't help Europe with Ukraine, then there won't be any European Patriot systems - or anything else - being sent to help the US protect Taiwan. You can be certain of that.Because the long term opposition is not Russia. Russia is a dying state that is giving it one last attempted hurrah before it crumbles into the abyss of mid tier resource state irrelevancy. Nukes are all that keeps it in geopolitical relevance.
One more active Patriot/THAAD wasted on Russia is one less patriot in the Pacific Theatre when China inevitably falls into thucydides trap.
I think the point seems to be (at least decoding what Macron is saying) is that we can't box ourselves in with red lines, when Putin does not. By creating uncertainty about what the West might/might not do, we make it harder for Putin.You don't need to be OK with Ukrainians dying not to want to commit NATO forces to directly engage in a war with Russia.
That would be an incredibly dangerous escalation especially as it would effectively then be a US Russia war.
iirc there was a depot that was bombed in Czech in 2014 as well.Germany arrests two for alleged military sabotage plot on behalf of Russia
https://www.reuters.com/world/europ...itary-sabotage-plot-behalf-russia-2024-04-18/
At least it looks as though Ukraine is going to get the weapons it needs again, which is a relief, although hopefully it's not too late. Finally people in the US seem to be waking up.
The prospects are that whilst Ukraine is willing to 'bleed' and to continue the struggle, taking the hits etc. it becomes (if unofficially) NATO's front line and for the rest of Europe (if not a Trump led USA) a cause that it has to defend absolutely.
Reports suggest Russia is already on a war footing, economically as well as militarily and eventually the rest of Europe will become the same. Whether the UK is officially part of the EU or not won't matter, we will all be in the same boat, paddling like mad to keep our heads above water, in a war of attrition.
Everything else likely to shrink in the minds of our leaders, national debt, net zero, etc. all will retreat into the distance even further, as a war driven economy emerges and reality sets in.
Get your tin-hats now, stock up with carrots (see in the dark etc.) a dose of reality is coming Europe's way. Once any would be asylum seekers (real or imagined) realise they will get called up to the armed forces (once domiciled here) the answer to the small boats problem may be found... at last!
Rishi take note, ditch the Rwanda deal... now!
Really? Then the only thing to look forward to is I will forget everything in due course and wonder what the feck is going on around me.You might have dementia.
Really? Then the only thing to look forward to is I will forget everything in due course and wonder what the feck is going on around me.![]()
If the US doesn't help Europe with Ukraine, then there won't be any European Patriot systems - or anything else - being sent to help the US protect Taiwan. You can be certain of that.
You won't find more competent person on what's going on in Ukraine than professor Snyder:
I guess the whole hearing would be useful to watch:
Correct. I am sure he wouldn't spend a second of his time on people like her if he had that choice. Unfortunately he didn't.Not exactly a high bar to prove Marge doesn't know what she's talking about.
Not exactly a high bar to prove Marge doesn't know what she's talking about.
The problem is not Patriot Batteries themselves. The problem is PAC-3's. Seven, as was the forementioned number of batteries proposed to be sent to Ukraine, requires 448 Pac-3's for just 2 full volleys. PAC-3's are the bottleneck, not batteries. USA can churn the batteries out like plastic toys.
Second of all, I'm not exactly sure what Europe could contribute to a Pacific War outside of the two UK CSG's and some Naval escorts.
That said, I'm not suggesting at all that the USA should not give weapons to Ukraine, just that it must not compromise the Pacific presence.
NATO, money, sanctions, AKUS, intelligence. Not a game changer, Europe mostly doesn''t have the assets in the region, but I don't see how the US takes on China (god forbid) with all the diplomatic and economic wreckage that would cause, without all its allies on side.
It could go in more than one thread. This is the result of the vote on the aid package.
316 for, 94 against.
It’s going to be an interesting weekend
He was told the discharge petition was going through, nothing else.
This is all performative.
Actually, he got briefings that changed his mind. Ukraine will finally get its massive stockpile of weapons which should alter the course of the current Russian momentum.
Wild story.
The prospects are that whilst Ukraine is willing to 'bleed' and to continue the struggle, taking the hits etc. it becomes (if unofficially) NATO's front line and for the rest of Europe (if not a Trump led USA) a cause that it has to defend absolutely.
Reports suggest Russia is already on a war footing, economically as well as militarily and eventually the rest of Europe will become the same. Whether the UK is officially part of the EU or not won't matter, we will all be in the same boat, paddling like mad to keep our heads above water, in a war of attrition.
Everything else likely to shrink in the minds of our leaders, national debt, net zero, etc. all will retreat into the distance even further, as a war driven economy emerges and reality sets in.
Get your tin-hats now, stock up with carrots (see in the dark etc.) a dose of reality is coming Europe's way. Once any would be asylum seekers (real or imagined) realise they will get called up to the armed forces (once domiciled here) the answer to the small boats problem may be found... at last!
Rishi take note, ditch the Rwanda deal... now!
The actual text of the "Ukraine aid" portion of the bill (anyone here actually read it?) is farcical. Among other open admissions that it's nothing more than one final act of wealth transfer from taxpayers to the military industrial complex, there's a "stipulation" (with zero conseqences for ignoring it, as the Biden Admin will) that Biden has to produce an actual strategy for their Ukrainian project within 45 days of the bill being passed.
Here are some observations and questions that nobody in the media class will ever put to Jake Sullivan, Lloyd Austin or Joe Biden about this "stipulation" (for which, again, there are no consequences for ignoring - once they get the money, that's it, they have it):
1) Implicit in this '45 day' rule is that so far you haven't actually presented any strategy. Isn't it kind of insane that you're being given the money before you've presented a plan, rather than after it? Given that you're now 26 months into a war that you claim is existential for you?
2) Why 45 days and not 45 minutes? Is this again an admission that, despite what you say, you so far don't actually have a strategy? Why a month and a half to cobble something together? Is it because you know that 45 days from now everyone will have forgotten about this stipulation in the bill?
3) For 6 months now you've been chastising the "MAGA Republicans" for "sitting on this bill". But they told you from the outset that presenting a coherent strategy for your Ukrainian policy was a condition for getting the money. Why haven't you been working on this for the last half a year? You've been guilt-tripping "the MAGA Republicans" into passing the bill with fairytales of Putin marching through Europe if the 61 billion isn't handed over, but why haven't you been doing your job in the meantime by crafting the strategy they told you they needed? April 19th 2024 and you still don't have a clue what your strategy is, beyond funnelling more and more billions to your donors at Raytheon and Lockheed Martin.
It's always worth remembering that in Eisenhower's original prophetic warning about the military-industrial complex ("In the councils of government, we must guard against the acquisition of unwarranted influence, whether sought or unsought, by the military–industrial complex. The potential for the disastrous rise of misplaced power exists, and will persist. - Farewell Address to the Nation on January 17, 1961), he used the term "military–industrial–congressional complex", indicating the role that the US Congress plays in the propagation of the military industry. His warning has come to pass. Nobody with even a modicum of understanding about this war believes that this "61 billion for Ukraine" (it's nowhere close to that if you read the actual bill) is going to change the outcome for Ukraine. It's one last payday for the uniparty's sponsors. Here's Lloyd Austin just this last week stuttering through a basic question about what Ukrainian victory looks like before all but admitting Ukraine's entry into NATO is a pipe dream they've been stringing the Ukrainians along with:
The guy above asked why "NATO" (it's not NATO, it's the US and the UK) are "torturing Ukraine" like this. Money. That's why. Money. The transfer of poor people's taxes to rich people's bank accounts under the guise of "protecting their freedom". It's a tedious game they've played many times before. A few US shareholders are about to get a whole lot richer in the coming days and a lot of Ukrainians will continue to get a whole lot deader. Chuck Schumer said unequivocally in February, and I'm quoting, "If Ukraine gets this supplemental funding, they will win the war". Today, visibly delighted with his latest payday, he said, and I'm quoting, "Come the end of this fiscal year Ukraine is going to need more of our support". Numbers quoted are already another hundred billion locked in before the election. At this point, they're not even bothering to hide their bullshit.
The actual text of the "Ukraine aid" portion of the bill (anyone here actually read it?) is farcical. Among other open admissions that it's nothing more than one final act of wealth transfer from taxpayers to the military industrial complex, there's a "stipulation" (with zero conseqences for ignoring it, as the Biden Admin will) that Biden has to produce an actual strategy for their Ukrainian project within 45 days of the bill being passed.
Here are some observations and questions that nobody in the media class will ever put to Jake Sullivan, Lloyd Austin or Joe Biden about this "stipulation" (for which, again, there are no consequences for ignoring - once they get the money, that's it, they have it):
1) Implicit in this '45 day' rule is that so far you haven't actually presented any strategy. Isn't it kind of insane that you're being given the money before you've presented a plan, rather than after it? Given that you're now 26 months into a war that you claim is existential for you?
2) Why 45 days and not 45 minutes? Is this again an admission that, despite what you say, you so far don't actually have a strategy? Why a month and a half to cobble something together? Is it because you know that 45 days from now everyone will have forgotten about this stipulation in the bill?
3) For 6 months now you've been chastising the "MAGA Republicans" for "sitting on this bill". But they told you from the outset that presenting a coherent strategy for your Ukrainian policy was a condition for getting the money. Why haven't you been working on this for the last half a year? You've been guilt-tripping "the MAGA Republicans" into passing the bill with fairytales of Putin marching through Europe if the 61 billion isn't handed over, but why haven't you been doing your job in the meantime by crafting the strategy they told you they needed? April 19th 2024 and you still don't have a clue what your strategy is, beyond funnelling more and more billions to your donors at Raytheon and Lockheed Martin.
It's always worth remembering that in Eisenhower's original prophetic warning about the military-industrial complex ("In the councils of government, we must guard against the acquisition of unwarranted influence, whether sought or unsought, by the military–industrial complex. The potential for the disastrous rise of misplaced power exists, and will persist. - Farewell Address to the Nation on January 17, 1961), he used the term "military–industrial–congressional complex", indicating the role that the US Congress plays in the propagation of the military industry. His warning has come to pass. Nobody with even a modicum of understanding about this war believes that this "61 billion for Ukraine" (it's nowhere close to that if you read the actual bill) is going to change the outcome for Ukraine. It's one last payday for the uniparty's sponsors. Here's Lloyd Austin just this last week stuttering through a basic question about what Ukrainian victory looks like before all but admitting Ukraine's entry into NATO is a pipe dream they've been stringing the Ukrainians along with:
The guy above asked why "NATO" (it's not NATO, it's the US and the UK) are "torturing Ukraine" like this. Money. That's why. Money. The transfer of poor people's taxes to rich people's bank accounts under the guise of "protecting their freedom". It's a tedious game they've played many times before. A few US shareholders are about to get a whole lot richer in the coming days and a lot of Ukrainians will continue to get a whole lot deader. Chuck Schumer said unequivocally in February, and I'm quoting, "If Ukraine gets this supplemental funding, they will win the war". Today, visibly delighted with his latest payday, he said, and I'm quoting, "Come the end of this fiscal year Ukraine is going to need more of our support". Numbers quoted are already another hundred billion locked in before the election. At this point, they're not even bothering to hide their bullshit.
It feels too late to make much of a real difference anyway, Russia has gained the upper hand, the aid sent now is 6 months too late.
Why does NATO insists on torturing Ukraine? Either commit, or tell Ukraine that it is over.
But then, keeping Russia to the east of Dnipro seems to be the goal, not much more than that, so everything is going to plan, in that regard.
Can this guy be thread-banned?
He always post the same nonsense and when he gets thoroughly debunked he does absolutely nothing to respond to them. He is not interested in debate, just interested in pushing forward a blatantly false rhetoric.
Don't be to hard on the guy, he's just doing his job.Can this guy be thread-banned?
He always post the same nonsense and when he gets thoroughly debunked he does absolutely nothing to respond to them. He is not interested in debate, just interested in pushing forward a blatantly false rhetoric.
May as well be a perma-ban since he only post in this thread
Everyone knows war is about winning the information battle in the 21st century. If you can convince Manchester United supports that Russia is the good guy, it’s plain sailing from there.Two posts in threads other than this.
A Navalny thread and... an Everton thread?
127/129 in this thread.
I think it was more that US wants to maintain strategic stability. They don't want a collapsed Russia to deal with, they didn't want the risk of NATO getting pulled in hence the caution. Unfortunately that approach has prolonged the war, which played to Russian strengths and has given a chance for Russia to influence its friends in the US government.I said it a few times. I dont think the US had been honest with Ukraine. I think that the goal was not saving Ukraine but bleeding out russia as much as possible without spilling US soldiers blood
At the same time FIFO the military stock and enrich themselves. It worked out. Now is a meh situation and too much of a comitment to revert the situation
Amazing to think you'd have grand parents and grand children connected by a common fight for survival
Also, I imagine people who are desperate enough to sacrifice everything they have and risk death just to make it to the UK would probably jump at the chance to fight for the UK if we guaranteed them citizenship afterwards.