Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion

Part of me wishes this would end in Ukraine defeat so the world can have a good look at itself to see what happens next
 
Ok,

Ill try again.

From 1 to 10 being 1 the expectations of Ukraine to beat the russians on the field substantially diminished since January 2023 when an Ukranian offensive was expected and 10 the expectations of Ukraine to beat the russians on the field substantially increased since January 2023 when an Ukranian offensive was expected

At what point during our discussion have we agreed on a comparison point of January 2023? It seems as though you’ve deliberately picked the high water mark of the war (from Ukraine’s perspective), with the intention of then comparing today’s situation negatively to that. Where has January 2023 come from? Why not compare to March/April 2022 when Russia was at the edge of Kiev?

Can you see the point I’m making? You’ve picked an arbitrary point in the war, which, likely due to the significant Ukrainian gains of the previous 6-8 months, was probably when expectation was at its highest and naturally at its most unrealistic.

And I think you’ve done it purposely, with the intention of representing your negativity as realism.
 
At what point during our discussion have we agreed on a comparison point of January 2023? It seems as though you’ve deliberately picked the high water mark of the war (from Ukraine’s perspective), with the intention of then comparing today’s situation negatively to that. Where has January 2023 come from? Why not compare to March/April 2022 when Russia was at the edge of Kiev?

Can you see the point I’m making? You’ve picked an arbitrary point in the war, which, likely due to the significant Ukrainian gains of the previous 6-8 months, was probably when expectation was at its highest and naturally at its most unrealistic.

And I think you’ve done it purposely, with the intention of representing your negativity as realism.

Because is exactly it.

you are labelling me as relentlessly negative. That afirmation is of someone that somehow is aware of what i am saying in a decent span of time. Or you would just say "you are negative".

if you would be aware of my comments, At the beggining i was hopeless and i didnt take well the comments that russia would fold in 3 months. After the counter offensive j was hopeful.and after the "non offensive" last year, bavk to hoplesness.

As per your last post, you label negative feelings as realism. And i agree. So i dont understand why you label me as relentlessly negative when in other stages i was on the wave at which stage ukraine was. I even posted last month that hopefully the ukraine arms approval from biden vould help them to hold grounds and turn the tides of war

I cant predict what will happen with the war. But so far, at best for ukraine, they are in a stall situation and to circle back, without a big official offensive wave from russia, i cant belive that is their worse month after the meat grind of bahamut and others
 
That's already happening but no-one is saying 'what could we have done to help more?'

Only feeling the pain together will help
I will have the same pain than the ukrainians from my confy bed, yeah

Is like someone would say. I wish they would kill all the palestinians so we could finally call it a genocide and judge israel for who they are.

Easy ask for the sacrifice of others, death or a bleak future just to advance your own morality officially

Only ukraine has the right to decide their defeat for their cause, not to make feel bad the west
 
More than 900 schools, hospitals, churches and other institutions have been damaged or destroyed, the analysis shows, even though these sites are explicitly protected under the Geneva Conventions.

 
Part of me wishes this would end in Ukraine defeat so the world can have a good look at itself to see what happens next

Talk about cutting your nose off to spite your face..... this is taking it to the extreme. Cutting your body off to spite your nose.

However. I do understand the point you are trying to make.
 
Talk about cutting your nose off to spite your face..... this is taking it to the extreme. Cutting your body off to spite your nose.

However. I do understand the point you are trying to make.
Yeah its about the point which the snowflakes don't get.

A bit like I want to see the shit company I work for go down the pan even though it will cost my job.

All this unity for Ukraine is just sound bites from the west, if they get hammered all we will hear is how they all condemn the actions of Russia, same in Israel to be honest
 
If you hit the same target four times doesn't that imply some degree of specialness?

I don't think so. It just implies the Ukrainians can keep hitting military affiliated targets in Russian territory, even more so now after obtaining HIMARS and ATACMS.
 
If you hit the same target four times doesn't that imply some degree of specialness?
Yes and no. It's a refinery close to the front. That carries some value because it makes it easier to supply your front. But in itself, as far as I know, it is just a normal refinery. And obviously it is within reach for Ukraine.
 
I don't think so. It just implies the Ukrainians can keep hitting military affiliated targets in Russian territory, even more so now after obtaining HIMARS and ATACMS.


Yes and no. It's a refinery close to the front. That carries some value because it makes it easier to supply your front. But in itself, as far as I know, it is just a normal refinery. And obviously it is within reach for Ukraine.

Fair enough, cheers.
 
Yes and no. It's a refinery close to the front. That carries some value because it makes it easier to supply your front. But in itself, as far as I know, it is just a normal refinery. And obviously it is within reach for Ukraine.
Russia has trouble distributing refined oil products for months now, especially into regions close to the front as a lot of trains moving in that direction are needed for military supplies and block the rails for civilian transports. Hitting that refinery just makes these problems worse.

In fact Russia has even banned exporting gasoline for these reasons.
 
Apparently Ukraine hit a Russian SU57 jet, the most advanced fighter jet Russia has. Russian milblogger channels also confirmed it.

 
Apparently Ukraine hit a Russian SU57 jet, the most advanced fighter jet Russia has. Russian milblogger channels also confirmed it.


Came here to post this. That airfield is almost 600 miles from the front lines. Great to see.
 
Using tactics first deployed by the Wagner mercenary group, Russian officials have with increasing frequency been threatening not to extend the visas of African students and young workers unless they agree to join the military, according to officials familiar with the matter.

 

I wonder if this means that they simply used a Storm Shadow which they were not allowed to use before, or if they really were able to fly closer to Russian airspace than before. The latter would be the better scenario as it would indicate a massive depletion of Russian air defense assets in the region, but the former probably is more likely.
 
I wonder if this means that they simply used a Storm Shadow which they were not allowed to use before, or if they really were able to fly closer to Russian airspace than before. The latter would be the better scenario as it would indicate a massive depletion of Russian air defense assets in the region, but the former probably is more likely.

Not sure if Britain has ever put restrictions on use of Storm Shadow?

Other possibilities below, though would still have to get fairly close to Russian border, at altitude, to use a glide bomb.
 
I wonder if this means that they simply used a Storm Shadow which they were not allowed to use before, or if they really were able to fly closer to Russian airspace than before. The latter would be the better scenario as it would indicate a massive depletion of Russian air defense assets in the region, but the former probably is more likely.

I'm inclined to agree since its highly improbable Russian air defenses are not functioning given that they have historically had some of the best air defense technology in the world; especially their SAMs.
 
“It’s hard for me to be in Kyiv, to see people relaxing and leading a normal life, when I know my friends are still there at the front,” Pikhota said. “They call me, they ask me: ‘How can people just be getting on with life as usual?’ And I don’t have any answer for them.”