Brexited | the worst threads live the longest

Do you think there will be a Deal or No Deal?


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And his own MPs kept trying to replace him with someone who would reach out to all sides of the party. To be fair to them most of his biggest rebels are on his side regarding this there's only a minority who want Labour to only represent remainers.

I'm not sure how that applies to the point he's making though. When Corbyn came in polling numbers and projections were ignored because members believed he was ultimately doing the right thing, and that the results would come once his policies and ideology were explained properly. Now Remainers make the same arguments about Brexit but are dismissed by polling numbers, previous results and projections. Almost as if those previous arguments concocted by some of Corbyn's fans were just excuses to justify his failings.
 
And his own MPs kept trying to replace him with someone who would reach out to all sides of the party. To be fair to them most of his biggest rebels are on his side regarding this there's only a minority who want Labour to only represent remainers.

Unfortunately you can’t triangulate remain and leave and at some point Labour will have to come out with a concrete policy (not the waffle Starmer came out with yesterday).

IMO, that means offering a Second Referendum if Labour is elected, campaigning for Remain in that campaign and making it clear that, under Labour, there will be no return to June 2016 and they will start addressing the social and regional inequalities that fuelled Leave and were cynically exploited by Cummings and Farage and wrongly blamed on the EU. Unfortunately, however, I think Corbyn genuinely wants to Leave and I am not even sure he is that interested in governing.
 
Which is the most annoying thing for almost two years nothing has been done regarding Brexit absolutely nothing of note and people such as myself, yourself and others are being used as pawns.
Yes I could go for German Nationality I have lived here long enough, I am married to a German but in the time period left it wouldn't be through before Brexit and normally according to German Law I cannot have two if the UK is no longer in the EU, there are some exceptions possible but whether I would qualify for both I do not know and being honest I am loathe to give up my British Nationality if it came to choosing.

I took the decision in April 2017 after A50 was triggered to apply for French nationality and it came through after 16/17 months so now I have both. I had no intention of becoming a pawn in anyone's game.
I was more concerned about travelling within the EU than anything.
If I had to choose now I would rescind my UK citizenship without any concern.
 

No mention at all that Corbyn and McDonnell are lifelong Brexiters who are too cowardly to admit it to their own party, and their supporters just can't face up to this so have to pretend they're for Brexit out of some cunning electoral masterplan, however much they don't believe in it, and however much damage it will cause. How's that for 'a bit of perspective'?

The sooner the Labour left admit they've a problem, ditch their current leaders, and replace them with someone to the left but honest and at least vaguely competent the better it will be for all of us.
 
David Lammy talking sense again:
Brexit is a con, a trick, a swindle, a fraud, a deception that will hurt most of those people it promised to help, a dangerous fantasy which will make every problem it claims to solve worse ...

Friends on this side of the House tell me to appease Labour voters in industrial towns - the former miners, the factory workers, those who feel they’ve been left behind. I say we must not patronise them with cowardice, let’s tell them the truth - you were told a lie.

Immigrants have not taken your jobs, our schools and colleges failed to give you the skills. Hospitals are not crumbling because of health tourists but decades of austerity that ground them down to the bone, you cannot afford a house because both parties failed to build, not because of Mohammed down the road who moved in, and wealth was hoarded in London when it should have been shared across the country.

Blame us, blame Westminster, do not blame Brussels for our own country’s mistakes and do not be angry at us for telling you the truth, be angry at the chancers who sold you a lie ...

Just as I speak plainly to the government this time around, let me also speak to the pposition about some home truths. There is no leftwing justification for Brexit.

Ditching workers’ rights, social protections and ending environmental cooperation is not progressive.

This is a project about neo-liberal deregulation, it’s Thatcherism on steroids pushed by her modern-day disciples.

Leaving the EU will not free us from the injustices of global capitalism, it will make us subordinate to Trump’s US.

Socialism confined to one country will not work, whether you like it or not, the world we live in is global, we can only fix the rigged system if we cooperate across border lines.

The party of Keir Hardie has always been international. We must not let down our young supporters by failing to stand with them at the biggest issue of our lives.
 
I'm not sure how that applies to the point he's making though. When Corbyn came in polling numbers and projections were ignored because members believed he was ultimately doing the right thing, and that the results would come once his policies and ideology were explained properly. Now Remainers make the same arguments about Brexit but are dismissed by polling numbers, previous results and projections. Almost as if those previous arguments concocted by some of Corbyn's fans were just excuses to justify his failings.

All I'm saying is that it's not surprising that a leader who faced constant attack to be more electable has now chosen to go with the option that doesn't alienate a considerable number of Labour voters.

I don't like him turning his back on the membership but it's what the majority of his MPs wanted and they got what they wished.
 
All I'm saying is that it's not surprising that a leader who faced constant attack to be more electable has now chosen to go with the option that doesn't alienate a considerable number of Labour voters.

I don't like him turning his back on the membership but it's what the majority of his MPs wanted and they got what they wished.

Well yes but he isn't choosing the root that makes him more electable because there's little evidence to suggest their current approach is working, either through current polling or in what will happen afterwards. And the argument he's doing this to make him more 'electable' again becomes more suspicious when you remember he's spent most of his life as a bit of a Brexiteer anyway.
 
All I'm saying is that it's not surprising that a leader who faced constant attack to be more electable has now chosen to go with the option that doesn't alienate a considerable number of Labour voters.

I don't like him turning his back on the membership but it's what the majority of his MPs wanted and they got what they wished.
The great majority of Labour MPs are anti-Brexit aren't they?
 
Well yes but he isn't choosing the root that makes him more electable because there's little evidence to suggest their current approach is working, either through current polling or in what will happen afterwards. And the argument he's doing this to make him more 'electable' again becomes more suspicious when you remember he's spent most of his life as a bit of a Brexiteer anyway.

Possibly, motive matters little its still the outcome most of his MPs want.
The polling would be way worse if they'd been stronger on a referendum or cancelling brexit. Of course they could come out with some master brexit plan that solves all the issues but there isn't one so moving towards even a permanent customs union is a win over Mays plan.
 
The great majority of Labour MPs are anti-Brexit aren't they?

Party, individual and constituency politics are all very seperate things. If they're all for cancelling brexit they're doing a bad job of showing it.
 
The great majority of Labour MPs are anti-Brexit aren't they?

Yes but many are MPs of Leave areas.

On a wider point, an issue with politics from 2015 onwards has been the too simplistic view from many “Liberal” types that:
Remain = Left Wing and Good
Brexit = Right Wing and Bad

There should have been more nuance in the discussion.

Tory MPs (and some Labour) who allowed the disenfranchisement and helped put in the foundations for an idea like Brexit are screaming about the dangers of it and trying to get the disenfranchised back on side. Perhaps if they had engaged more before...
 
Yes but many are MPs of Leave areas.

On a wider point, an issue with politics from 2015 onwards has been the too simplistic view from many “Liberal” types that:
Remain = Left Wing and Good
Brexit = Right Wing and Bad

There should have been more nuance in the discussion.

Tory MPs (and some Labour) who allowed the disenfranchisement and helped put in the foundations for an idea like Brexit are screaming about the dangers of it and trying to get the disenfranchised back on side. Perhaps if they had engaged more before...

This is fair but also doesn't really help when Brexit is a matter of literal weeks away, and is a process that will feck over the disenfranchised far more than anything that's come before if it isn't dealt with properly.
 
Yes but many are MPs of Leave areas.

On a wider point, an issue with politics from 2015 onwards has been the too simplistic view from many “Liberal” types that:
Remain = Left Wing and Good
Brexit = Right Wing and Bad


There should have been more nuance in the discussion.

Tory MPs (and some Labour) who allowed the disenfranchisement and helped put in the foundations for an idea like Brexit are screaming about the dangers of it and trying to get the disenfranchised back on side. Perhaps if they had engaged more before...
I think for younger folk you have a point with this, the older ones amongst us remember that it used to be very much the left wing of Labour that were very anti-Europe, and the centrists were pro. Corbyn and McDonnell are of course the remnants of that.
 
This is fair but also doesn't really help when Brexit is a matter of literal weeks away, and is a process that will feck over the disenfranchised far more than anything that's come before if it isn't dealt with properly.

Yes but screaming “racist” or “bigot” at anyone (hello James O’Brien) who is anti EU didn’t work in 2016 and it won’t work now.

If you stopped Brexit now, you’d see support for Far Right groups/parties increase because people will feel even more like they’re not being listened to. They’ll jump into supporting Tommy Robinson and co

It’s been interesting seeing the obvious backlash from that Tory MP being called a Nazi. That and “Fascist” are often overused by many Centrists, Liberals etc to describe anyone whos even slightly critical of certain elements of the EU or Globalisation.
 
Yes but screaming “racist” or “bigot” at anyone (hello James O’Brien) who is anti EU didn’t work in 2016 and it won’t work now.

If you stopped Brexit now, you’d see support for Far Right groups/parties increase because people will feel even more like they’re not being listened to. They’ll jump into supporting Tommy Robinson and co

It’s been interesting seeing the obvious backlash from that Tory MP being called a Nazi. That and “Fascist” are often overused by many Centrists, Liberals etc to describe anyone whos even slightly critical of certain elements of the EU or Globalisation.

Of course not, but that doesn't mean we shouldn't call out racist or bigotry when it's actually displayed. And plenty has been on show. Similarly the stupid of certain politicians trying to implement Brexit should be called out as well.
 
Yes but screaming “racist” or “bigot” at anyone (hello James O’Brien) who is anti EU didn’t work in 2016 and it won’t work now.

If you stopped Brexit now, you’d see support for Far Right groups/parties increase because people will feel even more like they’re not being listened to. They’ll jump into supporting Tommy Robinson and co

It’s been interesting seeing the obvious backlash from that Tory MP being called a Nazi. That and “Fascist” are often overused by many Centrists, Liberals etc to describe anyone whos even slightly critical of certain elements of the EU or Globalisation.

So Brexiters who supposedly are not rascists or bigots would support a rascist and a bigot. OK then.
 
Of course not, but that doesn't mean we shouldn't call out racist or bigotry when it's actually displayed. And plenty has been on show. Similarly the stupid of certain politicians trying to implement Brexit should be called out as well.

We should always call out Racism and Bigotry.

The issue is many (some potentially reasonable) issues that people have with the EU are all seen as the same as the "let's get rid of all the foreigners".
 
Should be interesting next week. A bit of movement I suspect.

Corbyn is a hopeless case.
What time is the vote expected to happen?

I work for a foreign exchange company and they're warning us that we might have to work longer on Tuesday/Wednesday if the pound plummets.
 
That tells us nothing useful. It’s not as though Leave won by a landslide and for all we know the non-Labour voters that they need to win over in those constituencies (e.g. young people) could be most tempted to jump ship by a Labour party that is pro-EU.

There will be a lot of data behind their approach. I tried explaining this possibility to Oscie. It’s only my assumption of course but I think that if you had a Venn Diagram of voters, the number of Leave Labour voters who would stay at home or switch to vote UKIP/Tory if Labour tried to run on a pro-Remain/2nd Referendum platform far outweighs the number of Remainer-Tories who would actually vote for Corbyn.
 
There will be a lot of data behind their approach. I tried explaining this possibility to Oscie. It’s only my assumption of course but I think that if you had a Venn Diagram of voters, the number of Leave Labour voters who would stay at home or switch to vote UKIP/Tory if Labour tried to run on a pro-Remain/2nd Referendum platform far outweighs the number of Remainer-Tories who would actually vote for Corbyn.

I dunno, I think this would depend on many technicalities of any individual campaign and what happens. It might be the case that it'd happen now, but then that's largely because Labour have spent so much time veering between committing to Brexit and not really saying anything about it at all to the point where a switch would be hypocritical.

Even if some Labour leavers did abandon the party there's a solid argument it wouldn't necessarily lose the party too many seats. In the north of England there are a lot of pro-Brexit areas where Labour could lose, say, 5-10% of their current voting tally and still win the seat comfortably. Meanwhile, there were some fairly liberal Tory-type seats like Kensington they managed to pick up in 2016 by virtue of being less pro-Brexit than the Tories.

I reckon it'd also depend on how the Lib Dems perform. They're fecking awful when it comes to marketing themselves and have no idea how to muster any sort of voter enthusiasm, but if they did manage to improve their polling by, say, even 5% across the country, which isn't exactly inconceivable, then that could feck over Labour.
 
Are you telling me to get my holiday Euro's in now? How much worse can it get?

It's been hovering around the 1.10/1.15 range for quite some time waiting to see if the Uk commits suicide or not. If the Uk does commit suicide , a lot worse , on the other hand if something sensible ensues the pound will improve.
 
Are you telling me to get my holiday Euro's in now? How much worse can it get?
Well the market's at about 1.11 right now for GBP/EUR so assuming May's deal gets voted down on Tuesday, I'd expect it to drop a fair way from there. You also have to consider that whoever you get your Euro's from will take some sort of a margin off of that as well, so if it drops to 1.09 for example you might only get given a rate of 1.07.

It'll probably go back up again but the uncertainty will hurt the GBP a lot.
 
We should always call out Racism and Bigotry.

The issue is many (some potentially reasonable) issues that people have with the EU are all seen as the same as the "let's get rid of all the foreigners".

I don't think all Brexiters are Racist but I do think if you're still an ardent Brexitier now you're either looking to profit off the chaos, Racist, thick as pigshite or not paying attention.
The EU has it's issues but this country has significantly larger issues the majority of which have virtually nothing to do with the EU.
For me their is no reasonable reason to leave the EU if you weighed up the positives/negatives the risk/reward is like gambling everything you have for the chance of winning 1pence.


Part of me just wants it to happen, just to see the chaos but the brexiters will never take responsibility for their stupidity they'll blame and bully.
 
Well the market's at about 1.11 right now for GBP/EUR so assuming May's deal gets voted down on Tuesday, I'd expect it to drop a fair way from there. You also have to consider that whoever you get your Euro's from will take some sort of a margin off of that as well, so if it drops to 1.09 for example you might only get given a rate of 1.07.

It'll probably go back up again but the uncertainty will hurt the GBP a lot.

I see. Cheers
 
Thread title reminds me of that Metallica song 'No leaf clover'...



Anybody a type 1 diabetic or know anyone that is? Are you taking any precautions i.e stocking up on medication in the event of a complete catastrofeck come end of March? If they can't manage petrol deliveries, how can I trust them to manage insulin for my partner?
I'm thankfully not from the UK, but insulin normally has an expiry date of 18months approx from the manufacturing date. Presumably your partner can order it as needed by prescription so I don't think there would be any harm in having supplies for 3 to 6 months. It looks like everything could be a fiasco by March, but I can't imagine there not being life dependent medication available after a few weeks or months at worst.

The move of jobs (and mainly assets) from Axa UK to Axa Ireland has been pretty significant news here. Considering they're transferring the Reinsurance arm to Dublin - that's another massive chunk of assets being kept on the books in Ireland. The amount of Reinsurers in Dublin is also making the place comparable to Bermuda "Risk efficient" model....
 
I'm thankfully not from the UK, but insulin normally has an expiry date of 18months approx from the manufacturing date. Presumably your partner can order it as needed by prescription so I don't think there would be any harm in having supplies for 3 to 6 months. It looks like everything could be a fiasco by March, but I can't imagine there not being life dependent medication available after a few weeks or months at worst.

The move of jobs (and mainly assets) from Axa UK to Axa Ireland has been pretty significant news here. Considering they're transferring the Reinsurance arm to Dublin - that's another massive chunk of assets being kept on the books in Ireland. The amount of Reinsurers in Dublin is also making the place comparable to Bermuda "Risk efficient" model....
More than a trillion dollars worth of assets moved out of UK based financial institutions already apparently.
 
Junker still staying they don't know what clarifications are required. The votes on Tuesday and the previous vote was nearly a month ago yet there's still nothing achieved. Incredible that its getting very little coverage.

There seems to be talk of the Lib Dems pulling their referendum amendment due to uncertainty on numbers. It won't take many Labour rebel MPs from leave constituencies (supposing it is Labour backed) to defeat it. The general election angle is probably partially to cater for these MPs concerns.