Brexited | the worst threads live the longest

Do you think there will be a Deal or No Deal?


  • Total voters
    194
  • Poll closed .
So there are still some people who thought that we would be getting a better deal from the collective member states than those member states themselves?

This is why I have absolutely no time for the "don't call them stupid" narrative. People need to stop trying to be virtuously reasonable in matters like this and call it as it is. "It's not their fault they were ignorant or mislead or xenophobic or insert excuse here".

The "best deal" is a bad deal and a worse deal than we already have/had and then levels of even worse deals on that spectrum. There is no argument aside from those who will say "not all leavers are x,y,z". Which is entirely irrelevant in the end because all leavers are leavers and they chose to be leavers for any number of reasons ranging from the incorrect to the foolish.

But no let us focus on making sure we have a "nice discussion" because that is what matters most here.
There's a certain irony in thinking you can change minds by saying 'you're stupid'.
 
Well there's legalities and then the convention, i can't see how they can avoid the convention of passing to a no confidence vote over such a critical matter by using the PR spin of a free vote.

This whole thing is going to cause such public anger if they worm their way out of it.

Agreed. This is the government's principal piece of legislation, essentially its entire raison d'être; if she fails to get it through the commons (which is obviously now inevitable), she can't possibly survive.

May will go, then it will be a no deal Brexit, with one of the wankers who got us into this mess, at the helm.
 
And on immigration fears:

“I was canvassing in Carlisle for the Labour party – you couldn’t believe it really – they were worried about immigration. Nearly ninety per cent of the people in Carlisle had been born in and around Carlisle… but ‘oh, this terrible threat of immigration!’”

“Why didn’t the Labour party tell people that. Why isn’t the Labour party behind the truth?”

How disappointed are you in the Labour party
Very… They’re fudgers, fudgers and fudgers
This this...this. The only way to counter this problem is educate educate...educate .
It's depressing hearing Labour MPs talking about ending FoM like it's the best all and end all. Why admit to a problem when there isn't one just because you want to lander to ignorant people.
Half the people who bleat on about immigration come from places where there are no migrants. We need to contact front this ignorance. It's getting us nowhere.
 
Shock horror! The no deal talk was a bluff. The problem is the only people who believed it are the ERG.

No deal and we're fecked.
What would happen if there is no deal? Should I say what is the worst that could happen, or is even the best that could happen the worst?
 
So there are still some people who thought that we would be getting a better deal from the collective member states than those member states themselves?

This is why I have absolutely no time for the "don't call them stupid" narrative. People need to stop trying to be virtuously reasonable in matters like this and call it as it is. "It's not their fault they were ignorant or mislead or xenophobic or insert excuse here".

The "best deal" is a bad deal and a worse deal than we already have/had and then levels of even worse deals on that spectrum. There is no argument aside from those who will say "not all leavers are x,y,z". Which is entirely irrelevant in the end because all leavers are leavers and they chose to be leavers for any number of reasons ranging from the incorrect to the foolish.

But no let us focus on making sure we have a "nice discussion" because that is what matters most here.

Good luck changing people's minds like that. I'm sure some just don't care what happens to the country but 17m people, some will have believed what they were told. An get should be directed at those who misled people, not those who fell for a con.
 
Good luck changing people's minds like that. I'm sure some just don't care what happens to the country but 17m people, some will have believed what they were told. An get should be directed at those who misled people, not those who fell for a con.
I saw one of the top comments earlier on the Mail - saying that they'd rather be free even if it means we're poor.

Really??
 
I saw one of the top comments earlier on the Mail - saying that they'd rather be free even if it means we're poor.

Really??
Bloody hell! Things weren't that bad for goodness sake. It bit irritating at times, but that was it. What is wrong with these people?
 
As I said before, I'm all ears. It's not just Ireland and NI, by the way - we're on the EU team and NI is on the UK team.

I think if we negotiate in good faith rather than trying fling shit at each other, things can get worked out. My ideal scenario would be an FTA that ports alot of EFTA trade and travel provisions, but removes regulatory alignment and final removes European courts as the final appellate courts. We can have a customs agreement with EU without them stipulating who we set tariffs for and who we don't.
 
I think if we negotiate in good faith rather than trying fling shit at each other, things can get worked out. My ideal scenario would be an FTA that ports alot of EFTA trade and travel provisions, but removes regulatory alignment and final removes European courts as the final appellate courts. We can have a customs agreement with EU without them stipulating who we set tariffs for and who we don't.

It doesn't really benefit the EU to give us a particularly good, generous deal though because it sets a precedent for other countries being able to leave. Might be shite for us, but then we were fully aware of that when we opted to leave.
 
I think if we negotiate in good faith rather than trying fling shit at each other, things can get worked out. My ideal scenario would be an FTA that ports alot of EFTA trade and travel provisions, but removes regulatory alignment and final removes European courts as the final appellate courts. We can have a customs agreement with EU without them stipulating who we set tariffs for and who we don't.

Sorry but I only see shit and lack of actual options from one side in the negotiations. Hint: it's the ones floundering around about to throw their leader under the bus.

I'll defer to others more knowledgable on this, but your ideal scenario sounds like a paradox fantasy to me. How exactly would that satisfy the "take back control" people? And why would the EU put up with a removal of regulatory alignment and tariff alignment while still giving the benefits of free trade?
 
I saw one of the top comments earlier on the Mail - saying that they'd rather be free even if it means we're poor.

Really??

For some, it's just about 'winning' now, no matter the consequences but you can't just label all leave voters in the same way. Some may have had valid reasons to want to vote that way, some may have been tricked by all the bullshit that flew around at the time.
 
It’s seen as the next step in the creation of a European political superstate and the continued erosion of independent member state’s sovereignty and identity.

And that it would be logistical nightmare and general farce.

https://www.spectator.co.uk/2018/03/united-we-fall-a-european-army-is-a-really-bad-idea/

Any European army would fall under the unelected career politicians of the EU whose ability to make a decision has to be seriously questioned.

Not sure I can take people like that serious any more in 2018. Respect his military career but he has shown his feathers.
 
I think if we negotiate in good faith rather than trying fling shit at each other, things can get worked out. My ideal scenario would be an FTA that ports alot of EFTA trade and travel provisions, but removes regulatory alignment and final removes European courts as the final appellate courts. We can have a customs agreement with EU without them stipulating who we set tariffs for and who we don't.

That’s the ideal scenario for the UK alright. You won’t get your ideal scenario, though. That’s not how negotiating works. You’ll have to compromise and settle for a scenario that isn’t ideal. And - almost certainly- is worse than your current scenario. The madness of Brexit in a nutshell.
 
That’s the ideal scenario for the UK alright. You won’t get your ideal scenario, though. That’s not how negotiating works. You’ll have to compromise and settle for a scenario that isn’t ideal. And - almost certainly- is worse than your current scenario. The madness of Brexit in a nutshell.
Indeed.

Also, isn't it funny that whenever someone pro-Brexit is asked to provide a solution to the border issue their response is usually to keep a customs agreement + <all the extra stuff we want that we don't have now>.

I mean, surely, surely they knew when they voted to leave that voting to leave means leaving the customs union? Yet... they want to stay in it in some form.

Almost as if when they voted to leave they didn't really know what it was or the implications? No?
 
This is true. I can't speak for every Brexiteer, but personally I'm rather big fan of the four freedoms so wouldn't mind if they got worked into an FTA. I think difference in opinion we have is whether a frictionless border can be negotiated or not. I believe an agreement can be reached without defaulting to the CU/SM, you don't.

A frictionless border is impossible without CU/SM. The UK are either in or out. If the UK has a border with friction they are in deep trouble. It is not a small country with many border points, it is a relatively large country with few border points which Raab only seemed to realise last week. We're back to the cherry picking trying to take the bits that suit them and not the rest.

The agreement the UK have on the table is the best they're going to get. Then they'll start discussing a FTA agreement after March. If the deal is accepted the UK stay in the SM/CU until it's agreed that they can leave, ie when the NI issue is sorted. So until further notice the four freedoms would still apply and the ECJ. I don't see the UK accepting the withdrawal agreement and don't see the EU wanting to renegotiating it either. Basically two and half years wasted if this offer is not accepted. If the Uk leave with no deal in March there's no transition which should have been used to make progress on the new FTA.
 
It doesn't really benefit the EU to give us a particularly good, generous deal though because it sets a precedent for other countries being able to leave. Might be shite for us, but then we were fully aware of that when we opted to leave.

I don't think it sets any precedent at all. If the EU is as great a project as you all seem to think it is, there is no need to create some kind of forceful deterrent against leaving.

Sorry but I only see shit and lack of actual options from one side in the negotiations. Hint: it's the ones floundering around about to throw their leader under the bus.

I'll defer to others more knowledgable on this, but your ideal scenario sounds like a paradox fantasy to me. How exactly would that satisfy the "take back control" people? And why would the EU put up with a removal of regulatory alignment and tariff alignment while still giving the benefits of free trade?

Because they do it all the time with other nations?

That’s the ideal scenario for the UK alright. You won’t get your ideal scenario, though. That’s not how negotiating works. You’ll have to compromise and settle for a scenario that isn’t ideal. And - almost certainly- is worse than your current scenario. The madness of Brexit in a nutshell.

Why not? What exactly are the EU losing by that scenario? The UK can't stay in the EU, and a deal which keeps us in the EU in all but name is not going to get any support. So what exactly are the EU aiming to acheive with this that doesn't effectively prove the criticisms tabled about them by Eurosceptics?
 
The average joe bloggs in the street wouldn’t have known the phrases “customs union” or “single market” never mind hard or soft brexit before they voted. People were led to this outcome. For such a decision with massive repercussions, its really disgusting how it went down
 
A frictionless border is impossible without CU/SM. The UK are either in or out. If the UK has a border with friction they are in deep trouble. It is not a small country with many border points, it is a relatively large country with few border points which Raab only seemed to realise last week. We're back to the cherry picking trying to take the bits that suit them and not the rest.

The agreement the UK have on the table is the best they're going to get. Then they'll start discussing a FTA agreement after March. If the deal is accepted the UK stay in the SM/CU until it's agreed that they can leave, ie when the NI issue is sorted. So until further notice the four freedoms would still apply and the ECJ. I don't see the UK accepting the withdrawal agreement and don't see the EU wanting to renegotiating it either. Basically two and half years wasted if this offer is not accepted. If the Uk leave with no deal in March there's no transition which should have been used to make progress on the new FTA.

Well, this is Theresa May's (and partly the EU's too) fault IMO. A frictionless border is only impossible if there is no customs arrangement, and for some reason, you seem to think the European Customs Union is the only such arrangement possible. I disagree. If the EU are so eager to set an example of the UK, then I think a no deal scenario might play out in the short term. There are things we can do unilateraly to prevent major changes to the Ireland/NI situation until a comprehensive FTA is agreed.
 
Has Britain got its Empire back yet?
Not yet - but on the 29th of march we are going to start rounding up Africans to sell to trump and send our gunboats to start shelling china till they agree to sell our opium again.
Mogg is printing the overpriced Make Britian and Empire Again, union jack (MBEA) caps right now
 
Because they do it all the time with other nations?
There are still border controls on goods in the Canada FTA I’m afraid. There is an element of regulatory alignment in the Canada deal, but it’s not full alignment, hence border controls remain.

Also, financial services are not included.
 
I don't think it sets any precedent at all. If the EU is as great a project as you all seem to think it is, there is no need to create some kind of forceful deterrent against leaving.

It's not about a deterrent against leaving, it's about being consequent and not wanting EU members to think that if they leave the EU you can keep all the benefits of being in the EU. Having your cake and eating it...

The EU is far from perfect and as far as I can tell nobody is debating that. However, the whole Brexit debate should have been about whether Britain are better off outside or inside the EU. Clearly Britain will be worse off outside the EU no matter what deal might or might not be struck. The whole Leave referendum campaign was a farce. That fantastic deal the Brexiteers were selling during the referendum campaign was a total fantasy. The British public has been fooled right from the start of the referendum campaign. People like Boris Johnston shouldn’t be allowed anywhere near Westminster.