Nope, no one did.
General Election 2017 | Cabinet reshuffle: Hunt re-appointed Health Secretary for record third time
- Thread starter altodevil
- Start date
-
In the latest episode of the United Hour Podcast, Nik (@Rood) is joined by CEO Duncan Drasdo and Financial Director Andy Green from the Manchester United Supporters Trust for a special episode on all things behind the scenes at Old Trafford including a brief history of MUST and their aims today, views on INEOS and Sir Jim Ratcliffe so far, and the Old Trafford regeneration.
Ahh okay fair enough.
Prediction based on a sample of around 500 internet respondents.
Prediction based on a sample of around 500 internet respondents.
I think the youth turnout this year is going to be hugely underestimated. i think the youngsters have found a candidate that they really believe in and i think they will be out in force to vote. Whether it will make enough of a difference is yet to be seen of course.
The PA guy has some more great numbers here
Had lol'ed at the idea of Canterbury being competitive but that's a big old jump.
Had lol'ed at the idea of Canterbury being competitive but that's a big old jump.
Another example of good campaign engagement is via live video platforms.
Looking on Periscope and one person broadcasting live the Gateshead rally has had 37k viewers watching the video, including 7k who were watching it live at the time.
That's a large viewing figure for Periscope. The really popular broadcasters on there get around 15-20k viewers in total for their videos.
Looking on Periscope and one person broadcasting live the Gateshead rally has had 37k viewers watching the video, including 7k who were watching it live at the time.
That's a large viewing figure for Periscope. The really popular broadcasters on there get around 15-20k viewers in total for their videos.
Last edited:
We've killed Caroline, though
As much as I live and love London, us registering more Labour voters means little to nothing. We've been red for half a century. As have most of our cosmopolitan cities. It's the Midsommer Murders Chedder-upon-the-wolge and Little Britain Styx parts of Britain we need to turn to have any kind of impact.
There's bound to be a miscalculation or two mate.We've killed Caroline, though
Yeah you're not wrong, i am in the south Dorset constituency and Richard Drax is a dreadful human being, but it's a true blue area so he will definitely win on Thursday.
Any knowledge of why they aren't fielding candidates this time?
Yeah, that is probably likely to happen.
Labour candidate for that constituency is active on twitter and a remainer too. Increased registration numbers is promising but Canterbury has been blue forever. Thornberry did run Brazier close in 2001 though (2,000 majority) so good decision to have her campaigning there a few days ago.
I think too much would be needed for it to be competitive: most of Lib Dems + Green voters voting for Labour as well as most of the new registrations and the UKIP vote (no UKIP candidate there this time but most will probably go Conservative) but will be interesting to see the impact Duffield has had to see if the margin of victory for Brazier isn't as big as he'd have liked.
Almost every poll is reporting an overwhelming Labour swing in wales though which is great news.Haha you're mostly right, although I think there's more to it than that.
London is largely Labour it's true, but you are surrounded by the Tory heartlands - Hertfordshire, Kent and the like.
But you're right that much of the blue vote comes from the South-west including here in second home and retirement villa central: Cornwall (I'm pretty sure most of the working types down here vote Lib Dem and Mebyon Kernow mind) - then there's a few constituencies in'tut North that are blue, not to mention the Welsh borders, even parts of Wales these days.
The young people are mobilising.
problem is a large chunk of the conservative vote is of a generation that doesn't have much online presencePrediction based on a sample of around 500 internet respondents.
...and those of us who don't like admitting to having certain Conservative values because of the inevitable flaming in places like this
- I can freely say I voted Tory in 2015 because I joined the Lib Dems since then. At the time though, it was something I was pretty reluctant to tell people. Shy Tories if you will.would the shy tory vote be an issue online? thought that would mainly be a phone and in person polling?...and those of us who don't like admitting to having certain Conservative values because of the inevitable flaming in places like this
...sorry, I thought DOTA made that projection using the data from the RedCafe poll above. In which case people might be shy as votes in these polls are sometimes publically visible?
EDIT: not this time mind.
When I was living there it felt very Tory and the students very lazy, but that was ~2010 which was the height of Labour fatigue. No Cleggmania that I really recall though. By the looks of it those figures suggest there's 8k more registered, 10k majority... The YouGov model has it a tossup so you never know.
ow he may of??...sorry, I thought DOTA made that projection using the data from the RedCafe poll above. In which case people might be shy as votes in these polls are sometimes publically visible?
EDIT: not this time mind.
but most internet polls are anonymous..... i just think the main issue witht them is those kind of polls arn't really filled in by a large part of the core conservative vote
I can neither confirm nor deny whether this is an accurate description of my methodology....sorry, I thought DOTA made that projection using the data from the RedCafe poll above. In which case people might be shy as votes in these polls are sometimes publically visible?
EDIT: not this time mind.
You've actually undersold Caroline by .2% there. Shame.
Yes, that's a very good point.
It's the main reason why our feeds on Facebook seem to be full of Labour supporters, because most people on FB are a little younger.
How many events does Corbyn do in a day? Is he campaigning in Wales and in the marginal seats in the English southwest?
Need to do well in the marginal seats unlike in 2015. Problem is that the UKIP vote that has collapsed will likely go to the Tories.
Need to get some seats from the SNP as well. Never mind any post poll deals.
Need to do well in the marginal seats unlike in 2015. Problem is that the UKIP vote that has collapsed will likely go to the Tories.
Need to get some seats from the SNP as well. Never mind any post poll deals.
yeah exactly, so i doubt the polls are as close as is been made out.
What is worrying is if you think during the last election the polls had labour and conservatives neck and neck, and most polls now have conservative in the lead..... just makes you worry just how big their lead really is!
Green surges, was sceptical in 2015 and I'm sceptical now. Surge-sceptical in general.
I actually think it might be a bit closer this time than people are thinking.
Did you know, the ICM Poll which has Labour so far behind doesn't take some younger voters into account because they don't believe they'll even turn out and vote?
If those youngsters actually go for it, it'll be quite a ride on Thursday night.
Last edited:
You'll look very silly when Lucas and Bartley are tossing a coin to see who gets to be PM.
My friend stole my (slightly shit) R2-D2 drawing from my DeviantArt and used it to troll me by setting it to his profile picture on Facebook.
I'm still not voting for Jezza.
I'm still not voting for Jezza.
i hope your right, but think your in for a bit of disappointment, i think its going to be a landslide to the tories, the polls still have the issues of shy tory voters and large chunk of them been done online.
but w'll see.
how u expecting the lib dems to do?
Ahh I won't be disappointed, I'm going for the Lib Dems.
To answer your question, better than last time surely! Maybe 15-20 seats?
i thought about 10...... but their polling pretty simlar to 2015Ahh I won't be disappointed, I'm going for the Lib Dems.
To answer your question, better than last time surely! Maybe 15-20 seats?
We're a wonderfully childish nation.
I feel like we need a range of gif options for after the exit poll is released. Big Tory majority is obviously this one
I feel like we need a range of gif options for after the exit poll is released. Big Tory majority is obviously this one
Thank God you spoilered that shit