That poll basically has the tories and Labour neck and neck going in to the polls? Are they less reliable than yougov or more or about the same?
General Election 2017 | Cabinet reshuffle: Hunt re-appointed Health Secretary for record third time
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In the latest episode of the United Hour Podcast, Nik (@Rood) is joined by CEO Duncan Drasdo and Financial Director Andy Green from the Manchester United Supporters Trust for a special episode on all things behind the scenes at Old Trafford including a brief history of MUST and their aims today, views on INEOS and Sir Jim Ratcliffe so far, and the Old Trafford regeneration.
No one knows who's reliable anymore. From what I know Survation got it close in 2015 but the likes of ICM who have double figure leads etc are generally thought of as alright too. Guess we'll find out tomorrow.
If Corb did manage to form a government on Friday (or at least have enough seats to make it feasible), he'd have done it without leading in a single poll for a year.
Express up to their old tricks again
'WE WILL RIOT' Corbyn supporters threaten violence if Labour don't win election
'WE WILL RIOT' Corbyn supporters threaten violence if Labour don't win election
Labour's pollster
Possibly explains the "sources from Labour HQ expect defeat" stories.
Possibly explains the "sources from Labour HQ expect defeat" stories.
in a stoned haze about 3 weeks ago i must have got swept up in corbynmania and somehow managed to put £62.50 on corbyn to be prime minister after the election. feck knows what came over me, but as i top up my wages with gambling that money is basically business money to me (that's how i look at it) and there is abviously a good chance that i have pissed it away, of course it was on paddy power so i don't even have a cash out option. So, that explains why i am more nervous than most about the results.
Has to be done!
Gets me every time!Ouch.
Last public one.
Ok
Average looks to be about +7/8 then.
Come on survation...
I'm optimistic.
What are these numbers that YouGov etc produce? I'm sorry I'm shite, I've seen them before just forgotten.
It's been out for a while now. No change, Cons 1 ahead.
I reckon 10 point Tory win. Corbyn to resign.
Heard this morning that the reason for the spread is due to pollsters using different turnout values for the young. Sound accurate?
So I guess that'd mean like, circa 370-390 Conservative seats.
Yes, somebody from ICM was explaining this on the TV yesterday.
YouGov tend to include youth turnout in their predictions, whereas ICM tend to believe that younger people won't turn out as much. Youth turnout has been low in UK general elections for the last 40 years. If the other elections are anything to go by, the Tories should be home and dry. If however, the youngsters really do turn and vote for Corbyn as they've said they will, it could be a bit closer.
Some research company called Qriously has Labour winning by 3 points
I really think that they will. more than that, i believe they will turn out in greater number than the overestimates.
I see this has been brought to our attention because Nate Silver's making the mistake of talking about UK elections again...Some research company called Qriously has Labour winning by 3 points
Some research company called Qriously has Labour winning by 3 points
Some silly United forum has a Labour majority with the Tory's getting less than 15% of the vote.
Could happen.
We'll see man. After the 2015 election, Brexit and Trump, we know that anything can happen in politics.
I will probably get laughed at for this but:
http://www.wired.co.uk/article/election-polls-labour-conservative-winner
I doubt that they are as reliable as other polls, worth posting though i guess.
http://www.wired.co.uk/article/election-polls-labour-conservative-winner
I doubt that they are as reliable as other polls, worth posting though i guess.
Just doing some research in their previous polling and i have to admit it looks encouraging.
I checked their EU referendum numbers, they had Leave winning by 12. So the best you can say for that is that they were the same wrongness as most others but in the opposite direction.
It's the hope that kills you.
ANNOWNNCE CORBUN
Will be interesting to see if the anti-monarchy Corbyn changes the national anthem once he's in. I think this tune stands a good chance:
I was more interested in this.
"In 2014, Qriously won Advertising Age's award for the "worst name in ad-tech", after voting in a poll, where it beat Vungle, Nanigans, AdsWizz, and Burt."
"In 2014, Qriously won Advertising Age's award for the "worst name in ad-tech", after voting in a poll, where it beat Vungle, Nanigans, AdsWizz, and Burt."
That's an impressively bad list of names.
I honestly don't know where i stand on the monarchy, i don't see the royal family as a particularly bad thing, but i don't see them as particularly useful either.
I'm anti-monarchy in principle but it's not something I particularly care about right now. For the most part the current lot are okay, and they're basically glorified celebrities who do lots of public engagements.