It is natural that she will try and hang on if she can. I doubt she can, however.
General Election 2017 | Cabinet reshuffle: Hunt re-appointed Health Secretary for record third time
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In the latest episode of the United Hour Podcast, Nik (@Rood) is joined by CEO Duncan Drasdo and Financial Director Andy Green from the Manchester United Supporters Trust for a special episode on all things behind the scenes at Old Trafford including a brief history of MUST and their aims today, views on INEOS and Sir Jim Ratcliffe so far, and the Old Trafford regeneration.
It is natural that she will try and hang on if she can. I doubt she can, however.
So is the actual majority needed 322? Something related to Sinn Fein?
321 when you take out SF & the speaker.
It will be interesting to see the Tories make a deal with the single country DUP, considering their "SNP would prop up Labour" narrative.
That's incredibly basic. I'm sure the same was said when there was only one university of the second, then of the third when there were only two.
You should know it anecdotally anyway unless you live in a cave.
Smashed it
Let me be clear, she's gone by the end of the week
Not so sure, a leadership challenge will take time and on what basis can they negotiate on Brexit.
Think she'll refuse to stand down
650 seats in parliament. But Sinn Fein have 7 seats (up 3 from last time) that they do not take up, which leaves 643. Minus the Speaker and you are at 642 which requires 322 seats for a functional majority.
What I know anecdotally is that people with higher education tend to be better learners - having self teaching skills, and are better equipped for a contemporary jobs economy where people don't have 40-50 year careers, but rather have a new job every few years. But then, anecdotal evidence never counts for much.
The odd thing about the DUP's role as kingmaker is that a Conservative government is their best case scenario anyway. They have nothing to gain from another election. They don't really need to be wooed.
I find it impossible to predict what Theresa May will do. But she'll be gone soon, whether she is pushed or jumps.
You Corbyn in or out now?
I'm still not confident he's secure, there may be moves to challenge thinking a Labour sans-Corbyn may do even better. Hard to say
He outperformed Milliband in terms of vote share.
The disagree on a fair amount and they would be foolish not to cash in on it.
I love the idea of a pissed off May this morning and Boris scheming
That explains it.
So is Ashcroft right then just to get a majority, its 320 seats needed when you remove the speakers?
But the Tories' 319 includes the Speaker and 1 Deputy Speaker
We have come this far we might as well hope the DUP say no and watch the panic
May did that by calling the election when there was no real need to, serving a manifesto that could crudely - but accurately - be described as a shit sandwich with nothing to really tempt voters to go blue to increase that majority and made the election about the one issue (Brexit). The smear campaign seems to have worked against them as well - as @Jippy alludes to.
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Ultimately, nobody wanted another election and they paid the price by losing their majority.
The idea of Boris scheming makes me feel nauseous. Such a devious prick of a man. May is incompetent, sure, but there's a whiff of pure evil coming off Boris.
How the feck is she not resigning!
Looks like the Conservative civil war over Europe is set to rumble on. A hard brexit deal could be scuppered by just a handful of remain Tories, while soft Brexit (meaning concessions made to the EU) will have the right wing howling about betrayal. All in all, I don't see how they can form a functional government, irrespective of the DUP. It looks like a second general election is unavoidable, and again it's hard to see a viable unity candidate - Johnson was a key figure in the whole Brexit mess, Davies is too hardline (and also totally out of his depth I suspect), Davidson was perhaps too pro-Remain to be credible.
Strong and stable Brexit. Her resigning would throw it into chaos... not that her calling the snap election and losing the majority hasn't done that already. Whoops.
Yeah I forgot about the 3 deputy speakers so that brings it down to 639 which is the Ashcroft 320 for a majority. But as @Scrumpet said you also need to subtract the Speaker and 1 deputy speaker from the Conservative total. So Cons still need to win/reach 322 to govern.
I only say that as he'd be a disaster for them
This is such a lazy and inaccurate narrative.
Theresa May comes out in 20 minutes - "Nothing has changed. Nothing has changed!"
In this case it should go to percentage. Lab Lib coaltion clearly has the biggest vote share.
The country voted for progressive parties
The country voted for progressive parties
He scares me more than anybody, would rather have May than him.
Why the feck is this interviewer asking if Labour will form a government? It's obviously not going to happen, ask him something that matters.
Corbyn with a good point about EU nationals, people largely agree on that and it's a solid thing to push the Tories on.
Corbyn and McDonnell have been saying it themselves, can't blame the interviewer.
For fecks sake.
No way can the Tories step aside now, even if they wanted to.
Best scenario for Labour must surely be another election called with May as head of the Tories? Think them calling for her to step down so voraciously is to force the likes of Boris to defend her.