Jeremy Corbyn - Not Not Labour Party(?), not a Communist (BBC)

Was brilliant, hell of a lot of pressure on him and it was flawless in delivery and tone.

By-election result later, I think it'll probably end up being a fairly comfortable win, just have to see how much UKIP has eaten away at support.
 
Interesting that the best speech in favour of bombing seems to have come from a Labour man (Hilary Benn) while the best against came from a Tory (David Davis).

Actually I havent seen all the speeches so I cant say that with any certainty at all. But they were both very good speeches.
 
Interesting that the best speech in favour of bombing seems to have come from a Labour man (Hilary Benn) while the best against came from a Tory (David Davis).

Actually I havent seen all the speeches so I cant say that with any certainty at all. But they were both very good speeches.

That honour goes to Margaret Beckett for me. Her speech was much more considered and sounded less like a daily mail article "FASCISTS".

Benn had been lined up as the opposition to Corbyn so it's no suprise the media and anti-corbyn crowd think it was the greatest political speech of our time. I'm sure they couldn't tell you why though.
 
Hmmmm I think hilary Benn just secured the challenger spot yesterday
Very good speech

Infact I just checked the odds gone from 20/1 a week ago (when I put some money on him) to 5/2 ...
I think Im a bad by election and bad Scottish election away from making a couple of grand... just hope the Government start the trident stuff soon - that should just about seal the deal
 
That honour goes to Margaret Beckett for me. Her speech was much more considered and sounded less like a daily mail article "FASCISTS".

Benn had been lined up as the opposition to Corbyn so it's no suprise the media and anti-corbyn crowd think it was the greatest political speech of our time. I'm sure they couldn't tell you why though.
It was a coherent, fluid and oratorically powerfully summation of the best arguments in favour whilst acknowledging the doubts that exist. Beckett had a more forensic counter argument, Farron was more pure of emotion (those warmongering Lib Dems! Oh wait...), Jarvis was more tightly focused on the fascism and internationalism argument, but Benn's combined them all really well into a single piece. So no, it wasn't people just deciding to like it for the anti-Corbyn lol. Just like I'm sure the people not liking it today aren't doing so purely out of bitterness it showed up Corbyn's earlier mess.
 
It was a coherent, fluid and oratorically powerfully summation of the best arguments in favour whilst acknowledging the doubts that exist. Beckett had a more forensic counter argument, Farron was more pure of emotion (those warmongering Lib Dems! Oh wait...), Jarvis was more tightly focused on the fascism and internationalism argument, but Benn's combined them all really well into a single piece. So no, it wasn't people just deciding to like it for the anti-Corbyn lol. Just like I'm sure the people not liking it today aren't doing so purely out of bitterness it showed up Corbyn's earlier mess.
I think as well it was obvious there was going to be increased focus on him... so credit to him for delivering under the extra pressure
 
It was a coherent, fluid and oratorically powerfully summation of the best arguments in favour whilst acknowledging the doubts that exist. Beckett had a more forensic counter argument, Farron was more pure of emotion (those warmongering Lib Dems! Oh wait...), Jarvis was more tightly focused on the fascism and internationalism argument, but Benn's combined them all really well into a single piece. So no, it wasn't people just deciding to like it for the anti-Corbyn lol. Just like I'm sure the people not liking it today aren't doing so purely out of bitterness it showed up Corbyn's earlier mess.

If you don't think the media angle of highlighting that speech is because it draws a parallel to Corbyn (who was poor) then I believe that a bit naive.

I think you've used a lot of words there to state a simple truth, he used throw away phrases to summarise the argument. I'm not debating that it was a fine performance but it's not a great speech imo because it was very shallow.

Stella Creasey for instance claimed his speech convinced her to vote for the strikes. I genuinely find that disgraceful considering all the information available that she was convinced by a political performance.
 
I broadly agree with Max Hastings' opinion on it:

"I personally don't think this has been a great day for democracy ... Hillary Benn substituted intense emotion and passion for rational discussion. I'm not a pacifist, I'm not a Corbynista, I'm strongly in favour of military action if one's convinced it's going to work"

"I'm amazed that David Cameron can come to the HoC, make many of the arguments he used for that disastrous intervention in Libya, and by gosh most of the HoC is willing to go with him on it. And I think they're bonkers."
 
If you don't think the media angle of highlighting that speech is because it draws a parallel to Corbyn (who was poor) then I believe that a bit naive.

I think you've used a lot of words there to state a simple truth, he used throw away phrases to summarise the argument. I'm not debating that it was a fine performance but it's not a great speech imo because it was very shallow.

Stella Creasey for instance claimed his speech convinced her to vote for the strikes. I genuinely find that disgraceful considering all the information available that she was convinced by a political performance.

perhaps she is telling the truth... she thought yup that speech is going to get him the top job and if I start to say nice things about him it helps my career in the long term.

Lets not forget afterall that these are professionals and I dont know if you have ever worked in a place where you thought - yup that chap / chapette will go far (I'm going to make sure they drag me most of the way with them)

Though of course one would expect it to be the security briefings and consultation with experts and constituents that made peoples minds up - but as she went into the day saying she was undecided she sort of backed herself into either abstaining or having to say it was something in the debate that made her pro or anti whilst most people had pre stated positions.

Id have prefered it if she had said refused to be bullied by the anti war morons who were phoning her office to abuse her staff http://www.independent.co.uk/news/u...ebate-abusive-phone-calls-staff-a6757226.html
and she voted for the strikes just to show them they couldn't bully her - but that probably wouldn't have played as well as well in the media, in political circles and career wise as saying Benn convinced her
 
If you don't think the media angle of highlighting that speech is because it draws a parallel to Corbyn (who was poor) then I believe that a bit naive.

I think you've used a lot of words there to state a simple truth, he used throw away phrases to summarise the argument. I'm not debating that it was a fine performance but it's not a great speech imo because it was very shallow.

Stella Creasey for instance claimed his speech convinced her to vote for the strikes. I genuinely find that disgraceful considering all the information available that she was convinced by a political performance.

I find it quite amazing how over a dozen Labour MPs were swayed by that one speech, hard to imagine they can be so fickle considering they've had their constituents to consult as well as perhaps doing their own research. It wasn't even a great speech substance wise.
 
Not sure that saying they're voting for military action in a foreign country to spite a few trolls is what we should be hoping for in our politicians.
 
I find it quite amazing how over a dozen Labour MPs were swayed by that one speech

It was the Coup that Dare not Speak its Name.
 
Not sure that saying they're voting for military action in a foreign country to spite a few trolls is what we should be hoping for in our politicians.
as I say far more prudent of her to commend Benn... but personally Id like it if she just came out and said she did it to stop people trying to bully her as all of this de-selection business is pretty un-democratic and paints the Labour movement as inward facing and out of touch with reality - but far more prudent to praise benn
 
Was brilliant, hell of a lot of pressure on him and it was flawless in delivery and tone.

By-election result later, I think it'll probably end up being a fairly comfortable win, just have to see how much UKIP has eaten away at support.

I don't see UKIP getting in Oldham and Royton West. There are large Bangladeshi and Pakistani communities in the area, those communities all vote and they all vote Labour.

It would be a stunning defeat if UKIP got in and a really grim moment for the town from my perspective. My home town becoming the second UKIP seat in Britain!

I can't see it happening but in the current climate, and in that ward, Corbyn's Labour should be increasing majority. McMahon is a good candidate too, previously very popular in the town.
 
If you don't think the media angle of highlighting that speech is because it draws a parallel to Corbyn (who was poor) then I believe that a bit naive.

I think you've used a lot of words there to state a simple truth, he used throw away phrases to summarise the argument. I'm not debating that it was a fine performance but it's not a great speech imo because it was very shallow.

Stella Creasey for instance claimed his speech convinced her to vote for the strikes. I genuinely find that disgraceful considering all the information available that she was convinced by a political performance.
And I could call you bitter, it's easy to throw insults around.
 
And I could call you bitter, it's easy to throw insults around.

I think you've imagined an insult to be honest. You're right though I'm incredibly bitter about the situation we're in and that we're going to a war based on emotional justifications without any coherent plan.

I'm of the viewpoint that after repeated mistakes in the middle east that the least we can expect of them is to show due consideration. Rushing the vote in such a way was disgraceful and for that I'm very bitter.
 
I don't see UKIP getting in Oldham and Royton West. There are large Bangladeshi and Pakistani communities in the area, those communities all vote and they all vote Labour.

It would be a stunning defeat if UKIP got in and a really grim moment for the town from my perspective. My home town becoming the second UKIP seat in Britain!

I can't see it happening but in the current climate, and in that ward, Corbyn's Labour should be increasing majority. McMahon is a good candidate too, previously very popular in the town.
If labour get a big reduction in their majority then alarm bells must start going off
Their is a large ethnic population unlikely to vote UKIP but if they are loosing votes amongst that so called traditional white working class vote as well as some of the more centrist Lib / lab floating voters being put off by the more socialist policies then quite frankly they are in trouble in less ethnically diverse constituencies
 
There is some talk on Twitter that the turnout in Oldham could be below 30%, it was just shy of 60% in May.
 
Last edited:
There is some talk on Twitter that the turnout in Oldham could be below 30%, it was just shy of 60% in May.
The uncertainty over the result is pretty huge, some suggesting a comfortable hold, some suggesting less than a thousand votes in it. Not sure who's helped by the low turnout either.
 
The uncertainty over the result is pretty huge, some suggesting a comfortable hold, some suggesting less than a thousand votes in it. Not sure who's helped by the low turnout either.

If the turnout is low then Labour should smash it. The ethnic communities always turn out and they always vote Labour.
 
The uncertainty over the result is pretty huge, some suggesting a comfortable hold, some suggesting less than a thousand votes in it. Not sure who's helped by the low turnout either.
Labour I think... They were pushing the postal vote a lot and we're expected to have quite a lead from that so a low turnout should help
1000 votes would be terrible though from the majority they had before
 
Hopefully, though I have heard the postal vote returns were pretty dire.
 
Labour I think... They were pushing the postal vote a lot and we're expected to have quite a lead from that so a low turnout should help
1000 votes would be terrible though from the majority they had before

I have a friend who was a Tory councilor in a ward near Oldham and Royton West some time ago, he is still an activist canvases all wards in the borough. He is adamant that Labour benefit from massive postal vote fraud from the Bangladeshi community. He claims that they canvassed houses that were empty but had seven voters registered to them. Claims that they reported the incidents to the police but they were not interested.

I don't know if it is true or exaggerated but that was what he told me.
 
If the turnout is very low it will be hard to read anything into the result
 
http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk/2015/12/why-oldham-west-could-be-just-start-labour-s-worries

I think this article sums up what I think is a real blind spot for the hard left. Growing up in this ward I attended comprehensive school with a demography that would be classed as working class - middle class. The only seriously left wing kids that I knew at school were middle class alternative types that went on to university. I have never really come across very many people at all that I would class as hard left in this area. I only speak from my own experience but it always seemed to me that a lot of the working class people voted for Labour, in this area at least, out of economic pragmatism. The hard left seem to make the assumption that because the working class voted Labour historically that they subscribe to wider left wing ideology, specifically talking about social ideology. That has never seemed to be the case from my own personal experience. I would say that many of the people in that area are patriotic and are not necessarily all that socially liberal.
 
I'm just discovering that his brother is a lunatic climate change denier. How did I not know this.
 
Quite a few MP's are saying it was Benn's speech that changed their mind. I'd love to know exactly what changed their mind "hes right these guys are fascist bad like Hitler, we should bomb them. Sod all the issues we've heard today. Fascists!"
As if the cnuts were all teetering on the edge, "ooh, not sure whose speech I like the best".
fecking parasites the lot of them.
 
I'm just discovering that his brother is a lunatic climate change denier. How did I not know this.
He also attends Momentum meetings!

It's kind of like a shabbily dressed and poorly spoken version of the Hitchens brothers.
 
Not sure we can draw much from it apart from strengthening my opinion that the media seem to blind themselves with hysteria where Corbyn's Labour is concerned.

Spotted this in the news:


Jeremy Corbyn has made his MPs targets for home-grown jihadists in the wake of the vote to back Syrian air strikes, a shadow cabinet minister has warned.
 
Good excuse to have a laugh at Dan Hodges if nothing else





(Not endorsing the view that Oldham proves Corbyn is popular or anything, just laughing at Hodges and his dedication to mental gymnastics.)
 
Good excuse to have a laugh at Dan Hodges if nothing else





(Not endorsing the view that Oldham proves Corbyn is popular or anything, just laughing at Hodges and his dedication to mental gymnastics.)

erm he is actually right
the majority traditionally refers to the amount of seats you win by (not proportion of the vote) - and even though labour increased their proportion of the vote it was overall a lower turnout and as such the majority reduced by about 4,000 (around 10,700 from 14,700 - figures from memory so probably some error - but it depends how you want to spin it but the majority is down with vote share up - I think most would call that a good result for Labour)

But this is whats possible when labour field moderate candidates (I believe the chap in question voted for Liz Kendal - so Im sure he is on some corbynista de-selection / final solution to the balirite scum list)
 
Last edited:
erm he is actually right
the majority traditionally refers to the amount of seats you win by (not proportion of the vote) - and even though labour increased their proportion of the vote it was overall a lower turnout and as such the majority reduced by about 4,000 (around 10,700 from 14,700 - figures from memory so probably some error - but it depends how you want to spin it but the majority is down with vote share up - I think most would call that a good result for Labour)

I know he's 'technically' correct but he's arguing semantics in my opinion.
 
erm he is actually right
the majority traditionally refers to the amount of seats you win by (not proportion of the vote) - and even though labour increased their proportion of the vote it was overall a lower turnout and as such the majority reduced by about 4,000 (around 10,700 from 14,700 - figures from memory so probably some error - but it depends how you want to spin it but the majority is down with vote share up - I think most would call that a good result for Labour)

But this is whats possible when labour field moderate candidates (I believe the chap in question voted for Liz Kendal - so Im sure he is on some corbynista de-selection / final solution to the balirite scum list)

Lets be honest though. The media and people in this thread were predicting it would be an absolute blood bath and now that hasn't happened they're back tracking with stuff about turnout (which isn't even that bad in the general scheme of by-elections).
 
I know he's 'technically' correct but he's arguing semantics in my opinion.

If you know the area though you would know that Labour have the Asian communities locked down and that they always turn out to vote. There have been more Labour signs put up in the area than there were for the general election. Labour worked really hard to get their voters out this time.

It would have been truly incredible if UKIP had got in considering how weak and opportunistic their campaign was and against the backdrop of the regeneration the
existing Labour council have been overseeing.
 
If you know the area though you would know that Labour have the Asian communities locked down and that they always turn out to vote. There have been more Labour signs put up in the area than there were for the general election. Labour worked really hard to get their voters out this time.

It would have been truly incredible if UKIP had got in considering how weak and opportunistic their campaign was and against the backdrop of the regeneration the
existing Labour council have been overseeing.

I'm not too familiar with Oldham, only been there a few times mainly to go to the auction place so I wouldn't presume to understand the situation. As I said I don't think anyone should be drawing too much from this in terms of reflecting on Corbyn's leadership. Just a good excuse to laugh at Dan Hodges.

What I do hope is that it gives something that Labour MPs can rally around and hopefully put the infighting to one side for a moment as that infighting is hurting the party more than anything.
 
What I do hope is that it gives something that Labour MPs can rally around and hopefully put the infighting to one side for a moment as that infighting is hurting the party more than anything.

Whilst I am no fan of Corbyn I am very pleased Labour retained that seat. It would have been grim if UKIP got in.