Keir Starmer Labour Leader

We have amassed a massive amount of debt during covid and all the grants that have been given out. Our GDP is one of the slowest growing, we've shot ourselves with Brexit. You are simply not going to make it 'go away' just like that

If only education was a proven factor in GDP growth.

I feel for you it's tough to default to defending Starmer especially when the reasoning doesn't really make sense. That's coming from someone against absolishing the fees as well.
 
Starmer claims 'vast majority' of his Labour leadership pledges still stand
In his Today interview Keir Starmer said he was no longer committed to the promise to abolish tuition fees that he made when standing for the Labour leadership because “we are in a different economic situation”.

But he claimed the “vast majority” of the promises he made in that contest, most famously set out in a list of 10 pledges, still applied. He told Today’s Justin Webb:


1. Economic justice
Increase income tax for the top 5% of earners, reverse the Tories’ cuts in corporation tax and clamp down on tax avoidance, particularly of large corporations. No stepping back from our core principles.

2. Social justice
Abolish Universal Credit and end the Tories’ cruel sanctions regime. Set a national goal for wellbeing to make health as important as GDP; Invest in services that help shift to a preventative approach. Stand up for universal services and defend our NHS. Support the abolition of tuition fees and invest in lifelong learning.

3. Climate justice
Put the Green New Deal at the heart of everything we do. There is no issue more important to our future than the climate emergency. A Clean Air Act to tackle pollution locally. Demand international action on climate rights.

4. Promote peace and human rights
No more illegal wars. Introduce a Prevention of Military Intervention Act and put human rights at the heart of foreign policy. Review all UK arms sales and make us a force for international peace and justice.

5. Common ownership
Public services should be in public hands, not making profits for shareholders. Support common ownership of rail, mail, energy and water; end outsourcing in our NHS, local government and justice system.

6. Defend migrants’ rights
Full voting rights for EU nationals. Defend free movement as we leave the EU. An immigration system based on compassion and dignity. End indefinite detention and call for the closure of centres such as Yarl’s Wood.

7. Strengthen workers’ rights and trade unions
Work shoulder to shoulder with trade unions to stand up for working people, tackle insecure work and low pay. Repeal the Trade Union Act. Oppose Tory attacks on the right to take industrial action and the weakening of workplace rights.

8. Radical devolution of power, wealth and opportunity
Push power, wealth and opportunity away from Whitehall. A federal system to devolve powers – including through regional investment banks and control over regional industrial strategy. Abolish the House of Lords – replace it with an elected chamber of regions and nations.

9. Equality
Pull down obstacles that limit opportunities and talent. We are the party of the Equal Pay Act, Sure Start, BAME representation and the abolition of Section 28 – we must build on that for a new decade.

10. Effective opposition to the Tories
Forensic, effective opposition to the Tories in Parliament – linked up to our mass membership and a professional election operation. Never lose sight of the votes ‘lent’ to the Tories in 2019. Unite our party, promote pluralism and improve our culture. Robust action to eradicate the scourge of antisemitism. Maintain our collective links with the unions.


Vast majority of 10 is probably 8/10?
 
And what are your plans for investment? Shifting the debt is going to take a very long time, the Tories have screwed the economy, if Labour get in, the first task will be the cost of living crisis, NHS etc. You going to need a huge level of investment just to make the slightest difference.

Education for one
 
If only education was a proven factor in GDP growth.

I feel for you it's tough to default to defending Starmer especially when the reasoning doesn't really make sense. That's coming from someone against absolishing the fees as well.

Errrm where am I defending Starmer?0 My point was originally about tuition fees and the fact I don't think politicians should be making uncosted promises to abolish them.
 
See, this is precisely the problem. We have politicians who continually talk about our economics and Government spending like it's a household budget. It's nonsense and all it does is lay the groundwork for more austerity whilst the population largely remains compliant to it all. We have a smaller debt to GDP ratio than the United States and Japan's is like three times higher. The Government has been in debt for all of our life times. Historically speaking, our debt isn't even worryingly high.

Where do you think the money comes from? Do you think we can just print more and spend it willy nilly? Of course out and out austerity is a political choice but it doesn't mean the debt doesnt have to be controlled.
 
Starmer's supporters know he's abandoned his promised platform but believe lying to the Labour membership is the correct thing to do.

I get it, if I was running for leadership of the Labour Party I'd probably pledge not to ban cars or introduce queer theory to Key Stage 1 or whatever, so as to not frighten the horses.
 
Which will be great but would have the smallest impact in reducing the debt.

In the short term maybe. In the long term it would have a huge (positive) impact on GDP.

Do you have or know anyone that has a mortgage? What is their plan to tackle that vast amount of debt?
 
Only 28% of students in England want Labour to abolish tuition fees, poll suggests


A new poll shows that just one in four students support Labour’s Corbyn-era policy to abolish university tuition fees in England, as Keir Starmer is widely expected to ditch Labour’s previous commitment.

The survey for the Higher Education Policy Institute found that just 28% of students in England want Labour to abolish tuition fees, while 20% want Labour to keep the current system of fees capped at £9,250 a year. Of the rest, 23% want Labour to cut undergraduate tuition fees to £6,000, and 15% want fees cut to £3,000, with 4% backing a graduate tax instead.

The poll of 1,000 undergraduates conducted by Savanta found that 46% of students said they would vote Labour while just 7% said they backed the Conservatives. Some 10% supported the Greens and 5% the Lib Dems.

Nick Hillman, director of HEPI, said:

The results won’t make happy reading for the Conservative party, who now have minimal support among undergraduates. While they will make happier reading for Labour, it is clear there is no single student funding model that would be overwhelmingly popular with students. This will make the opposition’s job harder as they firm up their policies in the run-up to the next [general] election.
There was stronger support among students for a maintenance grant aimed at poorer students, and more generous maintenance loans for all students.

Most students also said they supported the staff strikes over pay and pensions that have hit British universities this year, with 67% in support and only 16% opposed to industrial action.
 
Where do you think the money comes from? Do you think we can just print more and spend it willy nilly? Of course out and out austerity is a political choice but it doesn't mean the debt doesnt have to be controlled.

Ok, so what is the level of debt that the U.K can manage without imploding? I assume from your ramblings that we are at the precipice? Alternately, you have no idea and are just crying 'what about the debt?' to justify a Government's political choices.

We can print what we like, yes. We can spend it too. The limiting factors will be the need to control inflation but debt is really not the end of the world. We printed £450 billion during Covid. We also have this ability to get money back through taxes. Given that we have had years of stagnant growth, maybe we should think a little bit more about investing and less about the austerity which has contributed heavily to the mess we are in now.
 
In the short term maybe. In the long term it would have a huge (positive) impact on GDP.

Do you have or know anyone that has a mortgage? What is their plan to tackle that vast amount of debt?

Only by a very small amount when comparing the national debt. Listen I agree, investment is needed and it will make a difference.

I have a mortgage but the figure of that compared to what would be required for national investment is quite different.
 
Ok, so what is the level of debt that the U.K can manage without imploding? I assume from your ramblings that we are at the precipice? Alternately, you have no idea and are just crying 'what about the debt?' to justify a Government's political choices.

We can print what we like, yes. We can spend it too. The limiting factors will be the need to control inflation but debt is really not the end of the world. We printed £450 billion during Covid. We also have this ability to get money back through taxes. Given that we have had years of stagnant growth, maybe we should think a little bit more about investing and less about the austerity which has contributed heavily to the mess we are in now.

I'm not sure about what figure is imploding but I'm damn sure you can't just print more money, spend it and ignore it. No one is doubting that we need investment and I'm against the choices of this Government over the last 13 years more than most but a clear balance needs to be had.
 
If only education was a proven factor in GDP growth.
It obviously is, but would paying university fees for people actually increase the numbers attending university, especially the courses that provide graduates that would significantly increase growth?

Or would the large sums involved be better spent on primary education, secondary education, and apprenticeships? With anything left over going to the desperate need for social and heath care?
 
Only by a very small amount when comparing the national debt.

I have a mortgage but the figure of that compared to what would be required for national investment is quite different.

In relative terms though, is it? UK Debt to GDP is about 1/1 roughly. Is your mortgage 1/1. I.e when you took out your mortgage, was the amount borrowed the same as your annual income? If not then you are more indebted in relative terms than the UK is. That doesn't even take into account that the UK has far more flex than any individual when it comes to financial arrangements.
 
In relative terms though, is it? UK Debt to GDP is about 1/1 roughly. Is your mortgage 1/1. I.e when you took out your mortgage, was the amount borrowed the same as your annual income? If not then you are more indebted in relative terms than the UK is. That doesn't even take into account that the UK has far more flex than any individual when it comes to financial arrangements.

My point is that it would require a balance between investment and managing the debt. With priority given to getting investment in the basic areas first eg pay for nurses, NHS etc Something this Government has failed at.
 
It obviously is, but would paying university fees for people actually increase the numbers attending university, especially the courses that provide graduates that would significantly increase growth?

Or would the large sums involved be better spent on primary education, secondary education, and apprenticeships? With anything left over going to the desperate need for social and heath care?

I think that probably depends on how much money families have to "loan" to their kids.

The current system certainly stops poorer students from considering university and although scholarships and grants are available, universities only have a limited amount of money to offer for them. Targeting that area would make the most sense and the rest can then go into the remainder of the education system.
 
It's certainly true that Starmer has the saving grace of not having lied to as many people as Clegg. They should stick that on a banner to motivate the foot soldiers.
 
Where do you think the money comes from? Do you think we can just print more and spend it willy nilly? Of course out and out austerity is a political choice but it doesn't mean the debt doesnt have to be controlled.
Err that's literally where it comes from. Where do you think it comes from?
 
I think that probably depends on how much money families have to "loan" to their kids.

The current system certainly stops poorer students from considering university and although scholarships and grants are available, universities only have a limited amount of money to offer for them. Targeting that area would make the most sense and the rest can then go into the remainder of the education system.
I would deal with that by increasing the loans so they are enough to cover living and accommodation expenses. They don't now, which means more expensive private loans have to be taken out by students without parents that can or will help out. Student loans wouldn't need to be repaid at all by those that remain low-paid, and as already said increasing the threshold and lowering the interest rate would help those that might have to pay back. With those changes there would be no barrier whatsoever to those from poorer families attending.
 
You’ve just demonstrated a complete lack of understanding of national finances. Let’s just print more money and everything will be ok. Good god.
That's not what I said. I'll ask again.

Where do you think money comes from?
 
It obviously is, but would paying university fees for people actually increase the numbers attending university, especially the courses that provide graduates that would significantly increase growth?

Or would the large sums involved be better spent on primary education, secondary education, and apprenticeships? With anything left over going to the desperate need for social and heath care?

From memory of this discussion in the past. It's largely secondary and higher level that have the most return but they all have a positive correlation to growth.

Covering the costs for middle class kids isn't going to boost much compared to the lower class. Question then is whether its cheaper to target it at those most in need with the greatest benefit or if the administrative burden actually means its cheaper just to keep it universal. Often it can be the latter even without considering that the spend doesn't evaporate it's money into the economy later reclaimed by taxation.
 
You’ve just demonstrated a complete lack of understanding of national finances. Let’s just print more money and everything will be ok. Good god.

Yeah, with inflation targeting in place after Black Wednesday destroyed the £ it really wouldn't be a good idea for us to print money at will.
 
My point is that it would require a balance between investment and managing the debt. With priority given to getting investment in the basic areas first eg pay for nurses, NHS etc Something this Government has failed at.

That balance is a fallacy. Managing debt doesn't mean reduction. For the individual, yes, managing debt is generally a path to get rid of it as soon as possible. For a large organisation or a nation state, it isn't. It's a necessary and perfectly expectable facility to boost investment.

There is no reason why we as a nation can't pay nurses what they deserve and also invest in other things like education.

The debt/deficit etc. is an excuse to avoid investing in what will make this country and its people more prosperous and re-direct that capital to those who are already wealthy.
 
Read my sentence again! I was saying do you think we can print money and just spend it? I’m fully aware of where it comes from, the point I was making is that you can’t just print at will and then spend it.
Is that not what the government did during the pandemic though? That shows the mechanism is there, just that for some reason we've decided that it's not good to print money to spend on the public
 
Yeah, with inflation targeting in place after Black Wednesday destroyed the £ it really wouldn't be a good idea for us to print money at will.

It's difficult to see how this policy would cause any dramatic difference in inflation?

In principle I agree, talk of managing debt is irrelevant when spend has a return but inflation now more than ever is a concern.
 
It's difficult to see how this policy would cause any dramatic difference in inflation?

In principle I agree, talk of managing debt is irrelevant when spend has a return but inflation now more than ever is a concern.

Yeah, this policy in isolation probably wouldn't be significant. Bringing a lot more cash via loans / printing money into the economy when severely in debt isn't a good idea though as that would cause inflation. Investment in growth is the policy I would go for as well normally, but now isn't the time until we've got inflation back under control.

It's worth saying that the BoE have an obligation to keep inflation within target with theoretically no political input into that decision. That could be really damaging for a lot of people if inflation stays out of control.
 
Is that not what the government did during the pandemic though? That shows the mechanism is there, just that for some reason we've decided that it's not good to print money to spend on the public

Yes and the debt has sky rocketed and so has inflation. You can keep printing it and the same will continue to happen, things will rocket up in price and rinse and repeat. Eventually your currency becomes worthless and you default. People withdraw from banks, there is a crash. You reduce your credit rating as a country. There's plenty of reasons why there has to be a balance.
 
I would deal with that by increasing the loans so they are enough to cover living and accommodation expenses. They don't now, which means more expensive private loans have to be taken out by students without parents that can or will help out. Student loans wouldn't need to be repaid at all by those that remain low-paid, and as already said increasing the threshold and lowering the interest rate would help those that might have to pay back. With those changes there would be no barrier whatsoever to those from poorer families attending.

If you think education has positive externalities, which is pretty uncontroversial, then removing barriers isn't enough. You need to subsidize.
 
That balance is a fallacy. Managing debt doesn't mean reduction. For the individual, yes, managing debt is generally a path to get rid of it as soon as possible. For a large organisation or a nation state, it isn't. It's a necessary and perfectly expectable facility to boost investment.

There is no reason why we as a nation can't pay nurses what they deserve and also invest in other things like education.

The debt/deficit etc. is an excuse to avoid investing in what will make this country and its people more prosperous and re-direct that capital to those who are already wealthy.
#
I agree with you on this point in bold. I never said managing debt meant an austerity policy. Clearly this Government hasn't invested properly and we are all paying the price but my main point is that you cannot ignore the national debt but it also shouldnt mean a blanket austerity policy either.
 
Yeah, this policy in isolation probably wouldn't be significant. Bringing a lot more cash via loans / printing money into the economy when severely in debt isn't a good idea though as that would cause inflation. Investment in growth is the policy I would go for as well normally, but now isn't the time until we've got inflation back under control.

It's worth saying that the BoE have an obligation to keep inflation within target with theoretically no political input into that decision. That could be really damaging for a lot of people if inflation stays out of control.

There's not many policies of a size that can move the inflation needle too much, it takes dramatic taxation swings or huge supply and demand shifts.

I think whenever these type of things are discussed they can't be generalised under such concerns and you have to map the money. I mean when you think about what free university tuition would mean we're talking about a gradual shift that would take many years to feel an effect. There's no sudden influx of cash into the economy, it's closer to a future taxation promise.

So Labour/Starmers reasons for it being about the current economic situation are just a plain lie. At most its optics, which is where we're at, a party run on focus group optics rather than what's best for the country.
 
If you think education has positive externalities, which is pretty uncontroversial, then removing barriers isn't enough. You need to subsidize.
I've no idea what a positive externality is, but free loans for the half of students that never have to pay them back is subsidy. The loans are inadequate and need to be higher, increasing subsidy. They shouldn't have to be paid back unless someone is earning significantly above average wage, increasing subsidy. The interest rates are disgusting, they should be lowered, increasing subsidy.
 
Enjoy 7 more years of the Tories then
I don't know what your own take is about what's best for the country but I'd suggest if it's that Keir Starmer become Prime Minister then responding to people like this would be unlikely to be a constructive route.
 
I've no idea what a positive externality is, but free loans for the half of students that never have to pay them back is subsidy. The loans are inadequate and need to be higher, increasing subsidy. They shouldn't have to be paid back unless someone is earning significantly above average wage, increasing subsidy. The interest rates are disgusting, they should be lowered, increasing subsidy.

A positive externality is a benefit to someone outside of the transaction, so in this case the university and the student. Education increases economic growth, which benefits everyone. If positive externalities exist, then the market solution won't maximize economic surplus. You have to pay people, and a loan isn't it.

It's the opposite of a negative externality, which is something that harms people outside of the transaction, e.g. pollution.
 
A positive externality is a benefit to someone outside of the transaction, so in this case the university and the student. Education increases economic growth, which benefits everyone. If positive externalities exist, then the market solution won't maximize economic surplus. You have to pay people, and a loan isn't it.

It's the opposite of a negative externality, which is something that harms people outside of the transaction, e.g. pollution.
Thank you for the definition, maybe I'm the only one that needed it, I don't know.

A loan is payment if it isn't paid back, and remember I am proposing adequate loans that cover the full need. And where it is paid back that is revenue that can be spent on so many other things, earlier education, apprenticeships, social care, disabled care, the NHS. Maybe those things have positive externalities too, I wouldn't claim to have the hang of that one.

But put this against the background of the politics, I don't think enough people would vote for the abolition of student loans in any case, and the economics that go with it, but I think they might vote for an improvement of the system. Hopefully.