Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion

Imagine being in some car park not knowing what's going on and suddenly you have AA shooting at your own heli's. I'm not sure I would have done better :lol:
Hey, I'm not saying I'd have filmed it at all - I'd have been nowhere near a flimsy shelter, and wondering how to get the feck out of there as quickly as possible!
 
What will be amazing, is seeing all the western Russian apologists, the anti-Biden, anti-Ukraine, alt-tight cabal quickly pivot from defending Russian aggression and the Wagner Group, to condemning the Wagner group and implying they're funded by the CIA etc.

What I'm truly hoping for is Russian support for these groups fade away, if Putin falls.
 
According to the Danish military specialists om TV, Wagner don't stand a chance if things get violent.
I dont think the Danish miliary are aware where each Russian unit allegiances lie. Aurally that's something that Putin doesn't know either. If they are all loyal to Putin - sure, but that's now a big if. Also, it will take time to organise properly. They might reach Moscow by then, if they are already in Voronezh.
 
According to the Danish military specialists om TV, Wagner don't stand a chance if things get violent.

I've seen several experts say that, but thought that was without the AA factor. I would presume they don't stand a chance, then again this is so extraordinary on so many levels so wouldn't be surprised if they met little resistance.
 
What will be amazing, is seeing all the western Russian apologists, the anti-Biden, anti-Ukraine, alt-tight cabal quickly pivot from defending Russian aggression and the Wagner Group, to condemning the Wagner group and implying they're funded by the CIA etc.

Nail on the head, and you know it will happen. Those feckers switch their hats on a whim. Anything to support their deluded narrative
 
This is as bad as trying to follow a goal in a non-league match that some arsehole has tried to film in portrait. Do they realise why eyes are arranged on the head in a horizontal manner and not vertical? No idea what's going on.
Here is a better video. Close call for the Ka-52.
 
Wagner has brought some of the stuff from the ukraine front. At least 2 Pantsir in Buturlinovka, 1 Pantsir and 1 Strela-10 SAM along M-4. Probably also Pantsir that acted around Boguchar- Also some anti-aircraft defense in Rostov who downed 2 Russian helicopters. Could be 10 units that are no longer operation vs Ukraine.


 
Yeah I've long feared that whoever is able to topple Vlad will be even worse. But if this happens it will have been himself and I have hope that whatever follows, while probably horrible for a lot of Russians, will stay inside Russia.
The only time I'd condone for a western puppet on place. Whats Arshavin up to nowadays? Marat Safin?
 
He is not a grandmaster but he is (was) not that dumb either, you don't ammass such power without being cunning. I think he got fixated on Ukraine and gave too much power to Prigozhin , something he would be very careful to do otherwise.
Cunning?

It's, do you want money or death? Not exactly Lex Luther.
 
What’s the defences of Moscow like? At first thought one would assume that it’s one of the best protected cities in the world. But the last few years have shown that Russia is basically crumbling everywhere. I wouldn’t be surprised if Moscow isn’t as well protected as one would think, due to corruption and allocation of funds. Don’t think anyone in Russia seriously expected a mercenary to march 25000 troops on Moscow.
 
Nope, but I’m in the north side of the city
How is the current mood around you? I assume due to the wildly conflicting reports and the fast developments everyone woke up quite confused this morning?
Whatever happens, hopefully you'll stay well!
 
What’s in it for Wagner to do a WWE style flip? Have they been offered more money by Europe?
 
What’s the defences of Moscow like? At first thought one would assume that it’s one of the best protected cities in the world. But the last few years have shown that Russia is basically crumbling everywhere. I wouldn’t be surprised if Moscow isn’t as well protected as one would think, due to corruption and allocation of funds. Don’t think anyone in Russia seriously expected a mercenary to march 25000 troops on Moscow.
To be fair Moscow is fecking huge. I don't know how you'd fortify 2500 km².

Also I don't know how you'd take it with 25000 men unless the population semi cooperates.
 
According to the Danish military specialists om TV, Wagner don't stand a chance if things get violent.

That's pretty much what every military expert said about Ukraine when it got violent. Turned out to be incorrect
 
What’s in it for Wagner to do a WWE style flip? Have they been offered more money by Europe?

He essentially has slagged of the Russian military leaders and Putin for weeks. And refused to hand over his troups to Russian Army command. And then Russian Army command said he was fcked in public. So he just ran for it and got more fecked! But not like he had much to lose anyway, he was a dead man walking.
 
To be fair Moscow is fecking huge. I don't know how you'd fortify 2500 km².

Also I don't know how you'd take it with 25000 men unless the population semi cooperates.
I guess it mostly depends on possible reinforcements for Wagner forces. If other units join them, I honestly think they could be able to take Moscow. But they need allies on their way to the city and inside the city.

Where is Putin hiding right now?
 
Sorry if this sounds bad but I don't think I trust a people who haven't known democracy to suddenly start making good decisions.
Would be a miracle to me if this ends in something more democratic than it started in (which itself was already a scam, no doubt).

But if Russia was ruled by a puppet it would give every Russian a legitimate reason to fight the west and I just can't see that being any better in the long term.
 
What’s in it for Wagner to do a WWE style flip? Have they been offered more money by Europe?
Good question but I doubt it’s the money, at least for Prigozhin. As I talk with w few Russian and Ukrainians I know one thing they all repeat it’s a move with any possibility to backtrack - they went all in, now why? Perhaps Wagner knew it’s only a matter of time before Putin destroys them, maybe Prigozhin felt personally threatened and figured out it’s his best shot to survive.

I’ll be surprised if both Putin and Prigozhin are alive by the end of next week. Dead or gone and hard to find
 
How is the current mood around you? I assume due to the wildly conflicting reports and the fast developments everyone woke up quite confused this morning?
Whatever happens, hopefully you'll stay well!
Baffled and weirdly excited? Not about the coup itself but about the direct evidence of the regime crumbling.
 
What’s in it for Wagner to do a WWE style flip? Have they been offered more money by Europe?

Shoigu issued an order for all PMCs to sign contract for MoD, effectively disbanding them and putting under his control, deadline was set for 1st of July. With loads of animosity brewing between Wagner and MoD during the war, it was probably sign or die type of deal. Penny has finally dropped, also by some reports, just as Shoigu was about to make his move towards Wagner.
 
To be fair Moscow is fecking huge. I don't know how you'd fortify 2500 km².

Also I don't know how you'd take it with 25000 men unless the population semi cooperates.
25k troops wouldn’t stand a chance. But if parts of the regular military is laying down their weapons or even joining them…
 
What’s in it for Wagner to do a WWE style flip? Have they been offered more money by Europe?
It looks like Prigozhin felt that he was getting gradually disposed of (which he was).And decided to take action while he still can.