Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion

Ragnar123 said:
The next settlement in Ukrainian hands
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It will be interesting if they can keep it. So far the story of the offensive often was Ukraine driving Russian soldiers out and than having to leave again due to Russian artillery fire on these positions.

If their artillery attrition strategy is successful there will be a point where Russia just can't do that anymore and than we will see real movement, but I still have doubts if we have reached that point yet (or will reach it soon)
 
This is so heartwarming and heartbreaking at the same time for kids who have to visit their father in the graveyard. Feck Putin and his followers till eternity.
 
stefan92 said:
It will be interesting if they can keep it. So far the story of the offensive often was Ukraine driving Russian soldiers out and than having to leave again due to Russian artillery fire on these positions.

If their artillery attrition strategy is successful there will be a point where Russia just can't do that anymore and than we will see real movement, but I still have doubts if we have reached that point yet (or will reach it soon)
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I'm more afraid it comes to a stalemate due to mud season soon and russia bogs down and improves on their multi layered defenses and replenishes weaponry from the likes of north korea. The window seems to be closing soon with no tangible gains really, which is unfortunate to say the least.
 
ShoePolish said:
I'm more afraid it comes to a stalemate due to mud season soon and russia bogs down and improves on their multi layered defenses and replenishes weaponry from the likes of north korea. The window seems to be closing soon with no tangible gains really, which is unfortunate to say the least.
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"Mud season" happens in the spring when the snow and the frozen ground thaws. The Kharkiv and Kherson offensives last year both happend in the autumn so still 3-4 months of fighting until winter sets in. Not that winter should be any hinderence for offensive operations but thats when Ukraine stopped their offensive operations last year.
 
the hea said:
"Mud season" happens in the spring when the snow and the frozen ground thaws. The Kharkiv and Kherson offensives last year both happend in the autumn so still 3-4 months of fighting until winter sets in. Not that winter should be any hinderence for offensive operations but thats when Ukraine stopped their offensive operations last year.
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It's been around 2 months of counteroffensive so far though. If you multiply the current gains by 2, it doesn't look any brighter in terms of tactical success. And russians were a kind of late with building their defense this year, so gives them even more time now to assess and reinforce until next june.
 
ShoePolish said:
It's been around 2 months of counteroffensive so far though. If you multiply the current gains by 2, it doesn't look any brighter in terms of tactical success. And russians were a kind of late with building their defense this year, so gives them even more time now to assess and reinforce until next june.
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We will see if the tempo of the offensive increases, could be that it does, but if its not...they probably wont even get halfway to Tokmak before the mud sets in.
 
ShoePolish said:
It's been around 2 months of counteroffensive so far though. If you multiply the current gains by 2, it doesn't look any brighter in terms of tactical success. And russians were a kind of late with building their defense this year, so gives them even more time now to assess and reinforce until next june.
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If Ukraine commit their whole attacking force, you’d expect far more than 2x the gains thus far.

Ukraine still holding lots in reserve whilst they pin and tire Russia and take out key parts of their logistics.
 
I'm really sceptical of claims like this one in the article. Ukrainian soldiers have regularly described how they are the ones outgunned by Russian heavy equipment.
Western weapons mean the Russians are outgunned.
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goalscholes said:
If Ukraine commit their whole attacking force, you’d expect far more than 2x the gains thus far.

Ukraine still holding lots in reserve whilst they pin and tire Russia and take out key parts of their logistics.
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They would have far more losses too and probably would have to stop the operations sooner than they expect.

As much as it makes us uncomfortable with the progress and gives the RA troops time to prepare, at this point, it is best to go with small groups now. The UA has to keep their reserve not for a counterattack of their own but for the RA's offensive operations in the North East and, of course, the god-forsaken Bakhmut city.

I don't see how they can increase their progress with the current operation methods for awhile unless they can cross the Dnipro river with a substantial amount of force.
 
VorZakone said:
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It wouldn't surprise me, if the second mobilization wave is already under way secretly. It's almost one year after the last one and looking at their daily losses, they sure as hell running on fumes or continuously replenish their troops.
 
calodo2003 said:
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I don't know anything about warfare, so I am asking the experts of the thread out of curiosity. Are the images around 1:33 the result of the latest artillery cluster munition provided by the US instead of GMLRS? I am saying for the multiple impacts around the russian equipement
 
Imagine being a spy chief and coming out with shit like this to protect your ass, I guess?

 
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