Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion
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In the latest episode of the United Hour Podcast, Nik (@Rood) is joined by CEO Duncan Drasdo and Financial Director Andy Green from the Manchester United Supporters Trust for a special episode on all things behind the scenes at Old Trafford including a brief history of MUST and their aims today, views on INEOS and Sir Jim Ratcliffe so far, and the Old Trafford regeneration.
My personal belief is that clearly Putin has no regard for lives, not even those of his own people - beyond their value to strategic calculations - and that his motto is: if I can, I will.
So unfortunately what Kasparov writes (and has for years) makes a lot of sense to me. Of course I also understand the counter argument of the risk of escalation, but how does that approach actually play out? Putin's army keeps killing, but only in the tens or hundreds of thousands and then at some point they just pack it in?
Is that really more likely than the Russians escalating the brutality further and further until they have finally gone too far? Especially considering what seems to be done against Mariupol?
Russia surely has their “Fox News” style conservatives, as well as their “Trump style” true believers, who will embrace any illogical contradiction in defense of their “team”.
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The majority of mainstream Russian media is heavily state influenced, there are of course exceptions but in the main, the print and broadcast journalism isn't very nuanced.
You're right though, some people are naturally more open minded than others, but you have to remember that anti-western resentment is decades, if not centuries old and runs very deeply.
The US did pretty well in the Cold War funneling weapons and money to anyone willing to fight the Russians outside Russia. I expect the West is looking at who will be next on Putin’s list and preparing the groundwork for resistance, both with the government and the population.
Kazakhstan just had an attempt at Revolution, might be a good place to start. The west can out-spend Putin, so it might be best to push everywhere at once. Especially as Putin has the issue of wanting to manage everything himself, he can’t rely on anyone, I wouldn’t think. If he’s smart there’s no one in his close circle who thinks they have what it takes to do Putin’s job, and need him to stay in power themselves.
What about the resentment for their own Secret Police and KGB/FSB style thought police? They haven’t had enough of authoritarian propaganda? I’d think they would know better than anyone. Or did most not want the USSR to collapse? I always got the impression the people were fed up, or was it just about money?
So perhaps the best thing for all concerned is for Russia to become another North Korea?
Let them isolate themselves and keep them as separate as possible from the Global Economy.
It would be a shame for intelligent, progressive Russians, but the safety of the World can’t keep being compromised for the madness that Putin / Russia’s policies are increasingly showing.
So far Russia keeps drawing red lines in this conflict, that will escalate the conflict with NATO. NATO keeps backing off, backing off and Putin is emboldened to redraw the red line further and further.
NATO needs somebody, who is not afraid to be proactive, and draw their own lines, make their rules that Russia should fear overstepping. Western Ukraine (maybe Lviv region) should be no fly zone to allow civilians a safe passage. Idk what they can impose, but any tampering with nuclear power plants should be met with a strong response instead of expressions of concern.
There’s a possibility that it’s not the end. This one was for the video that she had recorded beforehand, urging people to protest, which is an administrative case (not criminal, I’m not sure if that distinction exists in British jurisdiction).
There’s still a high possibility of them opening a criminal case against her for this new law of defamation of the Russian military & spreading lies about the special operation.
NK survey of 1000 Pyongyang Residents.
Q1. Are you happy that you are not dead from a war?
Yes or No
Q2. Who makes the key decisions in your life?
Kim or Elvis?
Survey Conclusion: 99.99% are happy with the Dear Leader's job performance.
And apparently there is one Elvis fan in Pyongyang.
Last seen playing with an anti-aircraft gun.
I didn't say that being isolationist is in their best interest, I said that there are large sections of their society who believe it the most desirable option.
It was rumuored that Kim had one general executed by strapping him to an anti-aircraft gun and firing it, I think he referred to that.Is that what kids calls it nowadays?
The guy he did that to was actually his uncle.
In maybe 3 weeks from now, if the war is still continuing, the Russian army in Ukraine will be totally fecked .
Good War on the Rocks podcast episode on the current situation in Ukraine
https://warontherocks.com/2022/03/into-the-third-week-will-russian-forces-need-to-pause/
https://warontherocks.com/2022/03/into-the-third-week-will-russian-forces-need-to-pause/
It’s bad when I saw this thread pop up & wanted to enter it to forget our match.
Pretty sure his uncle popped up a few months later alive and well in the end...
We don't have to. The longer this goes on, the more Russia is likely to lose. There is no need to get into escalation games with Putin. The aim should be to deny him tactical options, and contain him, not engage and open space up for him.
Yes.
United with a dire loss and now Russia is seemingly starting amphibious assualts in the vicinity of Odesa. What a fecking night.
Yeap. Bleed him out and bleed him dry resources wise. Then let nature takes its course within the walls of the Kremlin.
Yep.
It will be messy, but a prolonged conflict will potentially ensure a loss for Russia. Keep targeting their softer targets like fuel & supply trucks & the war will be won through attrition.
A couple of russian twitter accounts I follow think that the fine is for the video message. She will be looking at 5-10 years for storming the news broadcast afaik.
And if you think the judiciary will refuse to support Putin, check out Navalny's court hearing from today. The judge took 3-4 breaks to call the president administration during the process.
Is that officially what happened or just a suspicion?
Although I'm sure the judge presiding over a high profile case like Navalny answers directly to Putin, I could still imagine that in less important cases involving protestors there might be more room to judge leniently.. even if it's unlikely.
Did you know Alexander Wendt is super into aliens?
Yes, he went a bit off the rails with his Quantum book and subsequent talk of Aliens. Why a world state is inevitable is imo the most important piece in IR since Waltz's dissertation in the late 50s. It will be remembered 100 years from now as the political theory piece that predicted the future of the world all the way back in 2002.