I'm not sure that's the right reading of the roomChina seemingly turning against them is really significant
So what you’re saying is….they are showing their true colours
That would probably be beneficial to them compared to Ukraine joining NATO.
Although more realistically you'd think they were either hoping for a quick surrender and being able to negotiate terms to keep NATO and the west out. Or to gain some territory on their own border.
Even just distabalising Ukraine would have benefits.
It's still a weird one as they've gone so all in with it they'll end up looking weak even with those outcomes...and risk making the region more hostile than the hassle it would be worth. That's before getting to the international consequences with non allies using it as fuel and allies having no real reason to do much more than distance themselves.
Feels dirty but Marco has been rather good the last few days
Feels dirty but Marco has been rather good the last few days
https://samf.substack.com/p/a-reckl...campaign=post&utm_medium=email&utm_source=urlThe point about wars (and I have studied many) is that they rarely go according to plan.
Chance events or poorly executed operations can require sudden shifts in strategy.
The unintended consequences can be as important as the intended. These are the pitfalls surrounding all wars and why they should only be embarked upon with good reason (of which the most compelling is an act of self-defence
This is really what I’m struggling to wrap my head around. What can Russia possibly gain from this? A never ending insurgence and guerilla warfare for decades?
These countries couldn't give a flying feck about India, south Asian, or any non European country at that. The British empires negative effects upon the South Asian continent are still seen to this day. They're faced with ferocious racism and mocked so often. Yet it's india who is showing its true coloursWe've managed to not support or condemn Russia in Ukraine, US in Iraq, and the USSR in Afghanistan
But *true colours* - every country has the same "true colours" - self-interest and cowardice. Which country had the guts to do sanctions on the US in 2003? The concept itself is so absurd.
I'm sorry but I take offense to this. Sadly, the US and UK had a habit of royally screwing India during the Cold War (and before that too, obviously). Let's not forget Nixon and the Blood Telegram which led to an Indo-Pak war where US threatened intervention against India and the Soviet Union of all people stepped in to provide deterrence.
Do Indians in India agree with Russia's actions? Of course not but the economic and defense ties are too intertwined at the moment to risk Russian retaliation nor economic setback that could affect the ability to support the millions of impoverished people.
In time this will probably change as the US proves itself willing to be a more reliable partner to India to counter China.
That would probably be beneficial to them compared to Ukraine joining NATO.
Although more realistically you'd think they were either hoping for a quick surrender and being able to negotiate terms to keep NATO and the west out. Or to gain some territory on their own border.
Even just distabalising Ukraine would have benefits.
It's still a weird one as they've gone so all in with it they'll end up looking weak even with those outcomes...and risk making the region more hostile than the hassle it would be worth. That's before getting to the international consequences with non allies using it as fuel and allies having no real reason to do much more than distance themselves.
He is hoping to widen the cracks in NATO so whenever he wants something he can get it by moving troops to the border and asking how certain are you NATO is there for you and wouldn't you rather just give me your lunch money.
I think that’s why I had to comment. The original post was greeted with a load of whataboutism and rhetoric, whereas really….it’s all any of these countries ever do (further their own agendas)We've managed to not support or condemn Russia in Ukraine, US in Iraq, and the USSR in Afghanistan
But *true colours* - every country has the same "true colours" - self-interest and cowardice. Which country had the guts to do sanctions on the US in 2003? The concept itself is so absurd.
Won’t last long. Spoke to a virtually empty room today at CPAC.
He is hoping to widen the cracks in NATO so whenever he wants something he can get it by moving troops to the border and asking how certain are you NATO is there for you and wouldn't you rather just give me your lunch money.
These countries couldn't give a flying feck about India, south Asian, or any non European country at that. The British empires negative effects upon the South Asian continent are still seen to this day. They're faced with ferocious racism and mocked so often. Yet it's india who is showing its true colours![]()
Ukraine joining NATO would have just as much impact on Russia as Baltic countries joining in early 2000s I.e. none whatsoever. It was never about Ukraine joining NATO.
Why feck NATO?In the end, ukranian soldiers, civilians and russian soldiers will die for absolutely nothing, feck putin, feck nato
On a positive note we’ve managed to collect 50 tones of goods in aid to Lviv people in Kraków today. Will continue tomorrow with more coming. Planning to pack as much stuff as my car can fit.
Ukraine joining NATO would have just as much impact on Russia as Baltic countries joining in early 2000s I.e. none whatsoever. It was never about Ukraine joining NATO.
Ace !On a positive note we’ve managed to collect 50 tones of goods in aid to Lviv people in Kraków today. Will continue tomorrow with more coming. Planning to pack as much stuff as my car can fit.
On a positive note we’ve managed to collect 50 tones of goods in aid to Lviv people in Kraków today. Will continue tomorrow with more coming. Planning to pack as much stuff as my car can fit.
On a positive note we’ve managed to collect 50 tones of goods in aid to Lviv people in Kraków today. Will continue tomorrow with more coming. Planning to pack as much stuff as my car can fit.
The Kremlin’s pre-invasion research suggested Ukraine was fertile ground for subversion, but the shock of war may transform Ukrainians’ willingness to resist in unpredictable ways.
This is really what I’m struggling to wrap my head around. What can Russia possibly gain from this? A never ending insurgence and guerilla warfare for decades?
If that was the case there wouldn't currently be a war going on.
Putin isn't going to commit half his armed forces to a war that will obviously provoke a worldwide backlash if he doesn't feel threatened.
There's not much hope of occupying or claiming Ukraine either long term but he can occupy some if it or use it as a bargaining chip. I think something has obviously happened recently which has made him feel he needed to act drastically.
The alternative explanation is that he's suddenly gone completely mad but that doesn't really make sense considering the efforts to try and avoid imagery of Russian aggression.
The world doesn’t revolve around Europe.So what you’re saying is….they are showing their true colours
Why feck NATO?
If that was the case there wouldn't currently be a war going on.
Putin isn't going to commit half his armed forces to a war that will obviously provoke a worldwide backlash if he doesn't feel threatened.
There's not much hope of occupying or claiming Ukraine either long term but he can occupy some if it or use it as a bargaining chip. I think something has obviously happened recently which has made him feel he needed to act drastically.
The alternative explanation is that he's suddenly gone completely mad but that doesn't really make sense considering the efforts from his side to try and avoid imagery of Russian aggression.
Notably, when looked at from a national perspective, the Ukrainian population appeared to possess only a moderate level of resolve.
However, when broken down by region – north, south, east and west – it becomes clear that attitudes in the south and east of the country exhibit much less faith in the Ukrainian state.
NATO should have been dissolved when the soviet union collapsed
Pretty sure every country with a border close to Russia would disagree with you. And then some.
Not if we had a real EU defense army capable of protecting Europe (Including Greece against Erdogan) independently of how Pennsylvania voted in the last American election.Pretty sure every country with a border close to Russia would disagree with you. And then some.