Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion

Can't find this video elsewhere to embed it.

Russian soldier supposedly telling presumed recruits that while the military provides military things, like guns and armor, they have to provide everything else, like sleeping bags and medicine and first aid. He tells them first aid kits are sold out everywhere and to check the cars of friends and relatives. He then tells them to contact female family members for pads and tampons, implying those are sold out too, to use on wounds.

https://9gag.com/gag/aDY0XpG?ref=ios

If true it's fantastic news, showing the sanctions are having a big effect on their ability to wage war. They may be making a lot of money, but it seems they can't get what they need despite that.

We need to make sure China doesn't sell them what they need of such things, China needs the US to let Middle East energy get to China more than it needs to sell anything to Russia.
It’s true. It’s not even the sanctions, it was a relatively common thing pre-invasion where soldiers were forced to buy not only everyday stuff but things like military boots, winter/summer uniform etc. And a system that doesn’t work in peaceful times certainly can’t suddenly begin working when 300k (or a million?) of forced conscripts start rapidly coming through the ranks.
 

Yeah, that’s shit. I hope that there was a way to quickly check person’s adequacy on the border, it would’ve solved all the debate on the visas, closed borders etc., but there really isn’t (at least the one that isn’t easily fooled).
 
Whats going on with the Nordstream pipes?

Both have major problems according to what I read on twitter.
 


Funny thing is, Russia is probably doing the neighboring countries a favor by closing the border. I imagine those guys would cause huge unrest in Russia if they didn't manage to leave the country.
 
Whats going on with the Nordstream pipes?

Both have major problems according to what I read on twitter.
Presumably someone attacked/destroyed them. Very unclear who, but it is almost sure that this can't be coincidence.
 
The referendums and imminent annexation announcement make me concerned some form of escalation will take place soon...
 
Don't think it is coincidence one of the leaks was at the pipe's nearest proximity to bornholm either.
 
The referendums and imminent annexation announcement make me concerned some form of escalation will take place soon...

Was thinking the same but then again there were so many moments in this war where we said 'this will definitely cause escalation from Russia' and it never happened.
 
Footage from the gas leaks in Nord Stream 1 and 2.


Photo taken from a Danish F-16.
-1_fsvdk_nordstream_202209-1-2022-artikel.jpg


According to the Danish Defence the biggest leak is 1km in diameter on the surface and the smallest about 200m.
 
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Was thinking the same but then again there were so many moments in this war where we said 'this will definitely cause escalation from Russia' and it never happened.

True, but I'm just a bit concerned about what Russia is planning. First they bring out the nuclear talks again, next they "formally" annex some territories and lastly use that to claim Russia is under attack if Ukraine keeps pressing. I wouldn't be surprised if the nuclear threats start to really heat up in the coming weeks.
 
True, but I'm just a bit concerned about what Russia is planning. First they bring out the nuclear talks again, next they "formally" annex some territories and lastly use that to claim Russia is under attack if Ukraine keeps pressing. I wouldn't be surprised if the nuclear threats start to really heat up in the coming weeks.
They do have a credibility issue on this which is related to Crimea. As far as Russia is concerned, it has been their territory since 2014. Ukraine has attacked bases there during this conflict and it didn't trigger a nuclear response.

This isn't some sort of flawless "therefore they won't do it related to other territories" argument, but it is notable as far as them wanting to now tie whatever they recognize as their territory to nuclear weapons use in response.
 
They do have a credibility issue on this which is related to Crimea. As far as Russia is concerned, it has been their territory since 2014. Ukraine has attacked bases there during this conflict and it didn't trigger a nuclear response.

This isn't some sort of flawless "therefore they won't do it related to other territories" argument, but it is notable as far as them wanting to now tie whatever they recognize as their territory to nuclear weapons use in response.

The US has apparently been using back channels to the Russian hierarchy, warning them not to use tactical nukes (which allegedly included how the US would respond). Although he would ordinarily use them in a heartbeat if not for the US and NATO, he knows that any use of tactical nukes would only expedite his demise.
 
It’s about time Russian soldiers actually decide to fight for their country and head to Moscow.
 
It’s true. It’s not even the sanctions, it was a relatively common thing pre-invasion where soldiers were forced to buy not only everyday stuff but things like military boots, winter/summer uniform etc. And a system that doesn’t work in peaceful times certainly can’t suddenly begin working when 300k (or a million?) of forced conscripts start rapidly coming through the ranks.
I meant that the sanctions are responsible for the lack of first aid kits and emergency first aid like tampons and pads. I'm only a little surprised they don't provide boots are those are part of the uniform, definitely ridiculous they have to buy their own winter gear, this isn't the army of the Bahamas or Equador, they're very likely to need that gear.

I am surprised to hear that there's no medicine or bandages, just because they're so essential, very cost effective as well, a dollar's worth of supplies can save a life, that's a soldier that can heal up and go back to fight. Medicine will spoil, but surely not bandages!

I'd love to be a fly on the wall in their logistics headquarters, can only imagine the stress they're under, trying to make a broken system function.
 

If true that’s outrageous.

Probably specific sanctions wouldn't make much sense, as simple stuff exists in Russia and electronics etc are generally sanctioned, not only for these companies?


I do hope this was Russia and not some well-meaning so called "ally" trying to make sure Germany doesn't strike a deal with Russia... otherwise severe questions would have to be asked...
 
I meant that the sanctions are responsible for the lack of first aid kits and emergency first aid like tampons and pads. I'm only a little surprised they don't provide boots are those are part of the uniform, definitely ridiculous they have to buy their own winter gear, this isn't the army of the Bahamas or Equador, they're very likely to need that gear.

I am surprised to hear that there's no medicine or bandages, just because they're so essential, very cost effective as well, a dollar's worth of supplies can save a life, that's a soldier that can heal up and go back to fight. Medicine will spoil, but surely not bandages!

I'd love to be a fly on the wall in their logistics headquarters, can only imagine the stress they're under, trying to make a broken system function.
It’s been the talking point for a long time but it obviously got highlighted during the actual huge military conflict with tens of thousands soldiers being deployed in war conditions. The emergency first aid kits are equipped with stuff from the 1960’s, including rubber tourniquets that snap in half when used etc. (and they are used to stop heavy bleeding when you literally have seconds, not minutes, to save someone’s life).

As for boots and clothes — you’ll usually get something, but it’s likely going to be not your size, worn out etc. If you lose it, and soldiers often steal pieces of clothing and equipment from one another (in a cruel replica of musical chairs), you have to replace it yourself — etc. officially it isn’t an issue, every soldier will get everything on paper, but in reality, decades of institutionalized corruption can’t go on without taking a toll. And they clearly did.
 
I do hope this was Russia and not some well-meaning so called "ally" trying to make sure Germany doesn't strike a deal with Russia... otherwise severe questions would have to be asked...

I don’t see how it makes much sense for anyone but Russia to be responsible. I would expect the US or UK (basically the only other Navies likely capable) could be more subtle than blowing it up with something that registered on seismographs.

It makes far more sense as a coercive measure from Russia and threat against other pipelines, like those from Norway.
 
"Timothy Ash, a senior emerging markets sovereign strategist, said the allegations that Russia could be behind the damage were "remarkable."

"So a number of holes appeared in these pipelines, which are thick and buried deep. This has to be subs, likely Russian subs," he said in an emailed note, adding that it would be "incredible" if Russia was found to have been willing "to cause such risks to shipping in the Baltics.""

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/09/27/rus...ter-leaks-found-on-nord-stream-pipelines.html

"Leaks of this size are a severe safety and environmental hazard, especially should Russia not stop pumping gas into the system."

Is that the point, to cause an environmental hazard? If they don't stop pumping gas that will tell us all we need to know.
 
If the North Sea gas pipelines get hit then western Europe is in serious trouble. We are already on the edge of blackout territory. UK has only a few days of gas storage. Germany has the most - about three months as I recollect.