Some quotes from ex-cons who joined Wagner.
https://www.reuters.com/investigates/special-report/ukraine-crisis-russia-wagner/
"without the stigma of her father’s criminal past."
Tells you everything, doesn't it.
Some quotes from ex-cons who joined Wagner.
https://www.reuters.com/investigates/special-report/ukraine-crisis-russia-wagner/
The West is not one political body. You are simplifying the many events and the context which led to all this. In each situation there is tug of interests. The Brits and the French wanted to intervene in Syria, but then Obama pulled out. At other stages it was the Americans taking a harder line while the French wanting to pursue more diplomacy. Italy didn't want to do anything, and Poland wants to premeditatively nuke Moscow. There were many points leading to the invasion where we could have done differently to change Putins calculation, but putting it down to 'our leaders are cowards' is not very precise at all.Because the West was afraid that Putin will perceive this as an escalation.
Which I always thought it's completely illogical. For two main reasons:
1. Putin does not need any "reasons" to escalate if he wants to. He has been lying since day one, all his "reasons" for starting this war were lies, and he can manufacture many more. Putin is KGB, and for the KGB lies were an essential tool.
2. It is Putin who should be scared that the West will escalate, not the other way around!
On the other hand, Putin knew that our leaders are cowards, and that's one of the main reasons he started this war. He knew the West are complacent and they would seek "peace" no matter what he has done, no matter how many he has killed. If he believed that our leaders are not cowards, he would have never started this war.
Anyway, it is great that NATO finally decided that giving military jets to Ukraine is not an escalation! I hope they will soon decide to give them F-16s, too.
Did the CCP think they would not be found out?
Now that it is in the open, I say it's time for the US to arm China's democratic neighbors (Japan, South Korea, Taiwan) with top quality hardware, especially with more Tomahawk missiles and even F-35s.
Every action against the west is now a heroic act over there. Stalin would be proud.
Really hope we will finally see Ukraine get fighter jets after a year of rumours.
Really hope we will finally see Ukraine get fighter jets after a year of rumours.
I want this too, but I’m genuinely unsure how much effect they will have. Ukraine has nothing approaching air superiority, so they won’t be sitting there destroying Russian armour with gay abandon.
So do I.
The only real advantage of the Mig 29 is that Ukrainian pilots would already know how to fly the jet, assuming the weapons systems are the same. They are mainly air to air aircraft with not that much air to ground capability.
But as I expected, the initial no by the US is in the process of changing.
Winston Churchill once famously observed that Americans will always do the right thing, only after they have tried everything else
Air superiority is not likely to ever be on the cards, but the air force still appears to be fairly active and used from a stand-off role, along with taking down missiles/drones. They've been able to employ these JDAM guided bombs, which need to be dropped from high altitude within around 70km.
Nothing will happenThis is big. A clear sign to the world and russian elites of what awaits them in the end of their imperialism.
Really? Serbia had to sell Milosevic and a bunch of war criminals out in order to regain some form of diplomatic and economic normality after the Kosovo War. If Russia wants normality back and purge Putinism at some point, a number of people will be sold in exchange of a return to full normality.Nothing will happen
Really? Serbia had to sell Milosevic and a bunch of war criminals out in order to regain some form of diplomatic and economic normality after the Kosovo War. If Russia wants normality back and purge Putinism at some point, a number of people will be sold in exchange of a return to full normality.
Nothing will happen
Just because no one will arrest Putin doesn't mean nothing will happen. On the contrary, it's a big problem for Russia.
First of all, it's a big symbolic step to isolate Russia even further from the free and democratic world. If some people still had illusions the west will tire of this war at some point (and Russia's only hope is betting on exactly this) and relations will get slowly better again like after 2014 because we need their cheap energy, this arrest warrant says otherwise. You can't have good relations with a wanted war criminal, no matter how much time passes. That further isolation will also tank their economy even harder.
Secondly, from now on he needs an assurance of immunity every time he wants to travel abroad. For somebody who thinks he's a tsar, this is a humiliation to ask and confirm every country he plans to visit to give him immunity.
His humiliation is also a humiliation of the russian narrative of the mighty russian empire that the west fear. Putin's arrest warrant showed them, that we see him just as a common criminal and won't forgive any of his war crimes in the past, present or future. Their propagandists will ridicule it of course, but in reality they should be fuming that their leader is on the same level now as bin Laden or Milosevic for example.
And last but not least, his elite and propagandists understand now that even if Putin himself get's an arrest warrant, none of them is save from international justice and they don't have Putins protection and immunity.
And there are probably even way more consequences.
What Morty says is true. If there's one thing we know about Putin it's that he's calculating. He is very well aware that the die is cast, and that there can be no normality. He is gambling everything on Russias pivot to the east being successful.Russia wants to be a superpower again, they want be an empire again, can't have normality when thats not even what Russia wants.
Ok let's watch this space. Nothing will happen.Just because no one will arrest Putin doesn't mean nothing will happen. On the contrary, it's a big problem for Russia.
First of all, it's a big symbolic step to isolate Russia even further from the free and democratic world. If some people still had illusions the west will tire of this war at some point (and Russia's only hope is betting on exactly this) and relations will get slowly better again like after 2014 because we need their cheap energy, this arrest warrant says otherwise. You can't have good relations with a wanted war criminal, no matter how much time passes. That further isolation will also tank their economy even harder.
Secondly, from now on he needs an assurance of immunity every time he wants to travel abroad. For somebody who thinks he's a tsar, this is a humiliation to ask and confirm every country he plans to visit to give him immunity.
His humiliation is also a humiliation of the russian narrative of the mighty russian empire that the west fear. Putin's arrest warrant showed them, that we see him just as a common criminal and won't forgive any of his war crimes in the past, present or future. Their propagandists will ridicule it of course, but in reality they should be fuming that their leader is on the same level now as bin Laden or Milosevic for example.
And last but not least, his elite and propagandists understand now that even if Putin himself get's an arrest warrant, none of them is save from international justice and they don't have Putins protection and immunity.
And there are probably even way more consequences.
One year ago one of the biggest crimes in this war happened. I can't imagine how many war crimes russia managed to cover up in Mariupol alone. The world must never forget this.
Greatly underappreciated in my opinion. After Ukraine the most logical aggression would be towards Moldova, because Putin can apply the same logic there to "protect" their people in Transnistria. The whole west needs to understand that we're not only helping Ukraine by sending weapons and money, but also protect all of eastern europe from further russian aggression.
The west must increase its support.
Greatly underappreciated in my opinion. After Ukraine the most logical aggression would be towards Moldova, because Putin can apply the same logic there to "protect" their people in Transnistria. The whole west needs to understand that we're not only helping Ukraine by sending weapons and money, but also protect all of eastern europe from further russian aggression.
The west must increase its support.
I wonder if they’ve gone into fertilizer manufacturing in Ukraine yet.Some quotes from ex-cons who joined Wagner.
https://www.reuters.com/investigates/special-report/ukraine-crisis-russia-wagner/
Pretty sure bet that had Putin managed to take all of southern Ukraine, he would've moonwalked right into Moldova, which would've been made even easier by his existing goons in Transnistria.
Not with the ongoing conflict with Ukraine; they’re shitting the bed massively there, no chance they would be remotely capable to handle advancements into Moldova and Ukraine all the while holding southern Ukraine.
I’m fully on board with the Moldova was next theory, but that was part of the initial Ukraine will be a cake walk plan. Ukraine holding out, and the prolonged support has scuppered Moldova for now at least thankfully.
That’s what I was referring to. Had he initially taken the south, he would’ve walked into Moldova.
I've been looking at some stuff at the anniversary and the one thing that stuck with me was a Khersonian woman offering sunflower seeds to Russian soldiers. "Put some in your pockets, you're gonna help us grow a sunflower field".I wonder if they’ve gone into fertilizer manufacturing in Ukraine yet.