My conceptualization takes form.
An analogy:
- Europe is China
- Italy is Wuhan
- London, Madrid, Paris, etc, are just Xanghai, Beijing, Honk Kong
Events almost overlap, about 6 weeks later in Europe than China.
Why wasn't this fecking obvious to everyone from the start? (including me)
We think of Europe as several countries, when epidemiologically it is just one big country. We just missed the forest by focusing on the trees.
My Doomsday scenario: We will be hit a lot harder
- We didn't quarantine Italy (neither they did it there) with nearly the same speed or effectiveness that the Chinese did in Wuhan
- Our other major cities did nothing, even the slightest prevention measures (football games, masses), unlike Beijing, Xanghai, Hong Kong
We're fecked. In a matter of days, not weeks.
Acting way behind the pace of information.