Regulus Arcturus Black
Full Member
Depends how long the test can detect infected people. Let's say it is 14 days. If doubling time in Stockholm in March was around 4 days, it gives us 2^(14/4)=11. So it should be missing only 2.5%/11=0.23% of the cases. Which would mean less than 10% of the 2,5% of the people had had it and recovered so they are not detected in the test. So it doesn't change almost at all.
Probably not. With an exponential increase in the number of cases, you can bet that the vast majority of the infected are infected right now (not infected and then healed). That 2.5% might go to 3% or so, but not much more than that IMO.
5 days according to Tegnell today.
We’ll see tomorrow, I suspect it’ll be a lot higher.
Anyone in the test group infected for example between 1st March - approx 20th March would have shown as negative.