I'm sticking with the same prediction as before the season started:
1. Liverpool
2. City/Chelsea
3. Chelsea/City
4. United
The only thing that's changed at this ridiculously early stage is I'm now leaning more to Chelsea taking second than City - I was thinking that Chelsea were more likely to have a meltdown at some stage, but they look so solid together as a group that I don't know about that.
My view basically is:
1. Liverpool:
-Best active manager in the world who continues to refuse to feck-off
-Absurdly clinical attackers
-Rest of the team works to make them almost impossible to score against
-Not the deepest squad, but phenomenal team spirit seems to raise whomever they throw onto the pitch.
-Zero ambition in the domestic cups keeps them focused on the league and Champions League.
-Ridiculously supportive media means basically very little outside pressure on them
-Seem not to be talked about as contenders as much as City or Chelsea, or even United
-Had their "off" year last year, seem ready to start a new cycle this year
-ACON should affect them but I expect they will come through that.
2. Chelsea:
-Very strong first XI
-Amazing squad that has little obvious weakness
-Strong academy options if they decide to use them
-On a high after last season
-Top manager still enjoying the "bounce", but history of falling-out with clubs
-History of teams revolting against the manager, but no signs so far
-Have in the past gone in strong for the lesser cups; I expect deep runs from them in both domestic cups.
3. City:
-Comfortably the best team last season but lost their biggest game of the season
-Not sure they've improved since then, very obvious missing piece in their starting XI
-Top manager obviously, but prone to doing odd things; spent a lot longer in the job than previously; liable to "burn-out"
-Won so much as a team over the years, not sure how driven the current squad are to keep that going
-Best player increasingly injury-prone
-Always go all out in domestic cups to the point that the league cup basically doesn't matter any more so plenty of extra games and distractions throughout the season
-Not sure how much their big signing (as things stands) actually adds to them, despite his obvious quality.
4. United:
-Squad and first XI improved since last season, but not sure if it's enough despite being a good window overall
-Very good on paper, questions over our ability to get over the line
-Last season proved the reliance on Maguire which is worrying though fortunately he has a decent injury record; hopefully Varane lessens that reliance
-Prone to being repeatedly punished for stupid mistakes e.g. in defence
-Wasteful in front of goal
-Still the biggest game of the season for all other teams, not sure we have the intensity in this team to overcome that every time we play a league match - the lack of intensity in the last 10 minutes against Southampton really worried me
-Reliable supply of academy talent meaning someone new and exciting could always emerge
-The need for any trophy at all at this point means we have to take the domestic cups (or Europa League if that happens) seriously
-The media's favourite target club. Pogba and his agent likely to be constant questions for the club to face throughout the season until he leaves next summer, any possible scandal involving a player will dominate the headlines for ages
-Crazy pressure to be the best regardless of where we are in the respect to our rivals
-I'm pro-Ole, but compared to the other three managers you have to admit there's still much to prove here.
I'm a little concerned about Spurs, but otherwise I think that's the top four at the end of the season.