No, you're right.
Who do you see winning the election?
Probably the party that were, up until this month, consistently 5-6% ahead of the Tories in yougov's polling reports. Provided Miliband stops wrecking his chances, that is.
No, you're right.
Who do you see winning the election?
Probably the party that were, up until this month, consistently 5-6% ahead of the Tories in yougov's polling reports. Provided Miliband stops wrecking his chances, that is.
Up until this month.
Everything is moving towards the Tories. Imagine when election fever cranks up and Miliband's on TV every day. That's the end of Labour.
Not really, if anything it'll be good for Miliband. In the election debates, that is. The one thing I've noticed when he speaks publicly is that he actually answers the questions from the general public, rather than Cameron's method of listening for a couple of key words and just repeating some pre-rehearsed line.
It helped Clegg's image, and if it weren't for the fact that he was a Lib Dem it might have resulted in more votes. I know that UKIP are on the up, but we're still very much a two party nation. If Miliband can show that he's compassionate on TV then it might bring some extra votes to Labour. There's more to Ed's rise to leader than just Union votes!
I think you're pushing the realms of reality here. Ed's very good at talking to existing Labour voters, yes. I hear great reviews of when he's spoken to friendly audiences. His issue is actually convincing the swayers.
You must be the most positive Labour voter I've encountered recently.
No, I wouldn't agree with that characterisation.Well selling people short term improvements before telling them that they have to pay extortionate tax rates before the economy collapses is always difficult to stomach. This is made even worse when the Tories come in and have to cut all of these 'improvements' to keep the country afloat.
But then that's just the Labour Party isn't it? Short termism to the loss of the poor.
But I'm not a Labour voter. Who do you think is going to convince the swayers?
No, I wouldn't agree with that characterisation.
Policies designed to help the poor - such as the welfare state, the NHS, the minimum wage, social housing, employment rights etc - are very much sustainable in the long term.
I believe the Tory ideology of privatisation of public services and culling of the welfare state is what has proved unsustainable. For example, the reason we have such a high housing benefit bill now is directly due to the Thatcher policy of selling of the social housing stock. Ditto the railways. And you will be able to add healthcare to the list if they manage to privatise that too.
Are you not? Who do you go for?
I think Cameron has become much more PM like recently and is a good speaker. I see him just doing it.
I'd turn your argument of easy crowds onto Cameron - under difficult questions he crumbles. Just look at the red mist descending upon his face every week during PMQs when things aren't going his way. If he acts the same way under pressure on a TV debate it's game over.
Miliband isn't as good a public speaker as Cameron is, but I can't see the TV debates being relaxed.
The TV debates are dead easy - all pre-planned, simple questions. If it was more off the hoof then yeh, Miliband might come across better.
Are the really that pre planned? Genuine question. If that's correct then Brown really screwed up with his creepy smile to the camera. That couldn't possible be the one that his team chose for him.
On the subject of Brown: he's actually a thoroughly decent guy in real life.
Brown was a lovely guy - not cut out for PM though.
The parties know what the questions will almost invariably be so they can plan them within an inch of their lives.
The electoral oblivion apparently confronting the Liberal Democrats as led by Nick Clegg was underscored on Monday by leaked opinion polls in four seats showing that the party will be wiped out.
Commissioned by a Lib Dem supporter from ICM and subsequently passed to the Guardian, the polling indicates that the Lib Dem leader would forfeit his own Sheffield Hallam constituency at the next election.
The party would also lose its seats in Cambridge, Redcar and Wells, costing MPs Julian Huppert, Ian Swales and Tessa Munt Westminster seats.
Blair and Brown cosied up to them instead of sorting them out like Denis Healey would have.Seem to remember New Labour helping them out with a bit of financial deregulation too. Successive governments have courted the City.
The privatisation of the NHS has already begun I'm afraid - the big private healthcare companies' backdoor donations to the Tories should have been a clue. The cost of healthcare in the UK is low by international standards (http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SH.XPD.TOTL.ZS) and the NHS has saved us hundreds of billions of pounds over the years as compared to the costs of a private system. It's about as efficient as any large organisation is ever going to be and a remarkably sustainable way of providing universal healthcare to the population.I don't think there's any real ambition within the Conservatives to privatise the NHS. There's an ambition to trim it down and to make it sustainable though.
I don't see any reason why the policies to help the poor you have listen necessarily have to be unsustainable, but the way Labour run them, they are. The cost of the NHS balloons as the years go by, and the cost of welfare, you have to accept, had become uncontrollable.
The problem I have is that Labour very, very rarely come up with any policies that fit into the 'help the poor' agenda which don't involve creating huge, perpetual burdens on the state. All of the policies you have listed, with the possible exception of employment rights depending on how it's achieved, involve spending a massive amount of money.
This is justifiable money, of course, in the most part, but Labour never present anything that is self-sustainable. It's all based around taking as much as possible from the middle classes to fund it, and invariably, debts are run up.
He is currently finishing off his book Abraham Lincoln: The Critical History of an American Icon, due for publication next year, in which, he says, he will present the man venerated as "the great liberator" of African-American slaves as a "racist, war-mongering, illiberal president".
I know, I just can't take this man seriously. I saw the Italian MP quote, and I think its just the MP taking the piss imo.That'll go down well.
Pretty good except Bromley and Havering aren't really London more Kent and Essex.
Seem to remember New Labour helping them out with a bit of financial deregulation too. Successive governments have courted the City.
The right wing are always moaning about the burdans of regulation, you cant blame a lack of it for markets failing when you've got what you wanted
Yeah the left are so clever too with their ill-thought measures like the EU-led cap on bonuses. Obviously replacing a variable staffing cost with a higher fixed cost base will banks rebuild their balance sheets. Idiot legislators playing to the galleries.
I've never claimed thats a good idea, but you haven't engage with my point. The right wing free market belivers can't blame a lack of regulation for them blowing up the worlds economy
Yeah the left are so clever too with their ill-thought measures like the EU-led cap on bonuses. Obviously replacing a variable staffing cost with a higher fixed cost base will banks rebuild their balance sheets. Idiot legislators playing to the galleries.
It was driven by the irresponsibility and greed of the finance industry.The financial crisis was driven by a whole host of factors.
It was driven by the irresponsibility and greed of the finance industry.
It's a bit more involved than that. You had Republicans deregulating the banking sector, then the Democrats pushing home ownership through TV ads. The financial crisis was driven by a whole host of factors.
Is that true though? Didn't buy to let schemes play a bit part in the sub-prime crisis? It's definitely been a big issue in Europe. In a way, the financial sector reflects the collective avarice of people as individuals.
Buy to let was just another group for the banks to sell mortgages to, each mortgage could be sold onwards, they didn't care who they lent to
Indeed. Although I think Jippy's point is that they were colluded with by politicians from both ends of the political spectrum (assuming we accept that new labour were ever a left wing party)
Politicians in the US contributed to subprime but a political push for wider home ownership does not translate into crazy lending policies nor creating fraudulent instruments on the back of them (I still don't know why European banks who bought that shit didn't sue the issuers). In the UK Labour were foolish with light-touch but the finance industry were claiming they could regulate themselves and they were the ones who played casino economics.
Did anyone get any money back? And why didn't RBS and co sue for billions?Basically yep- there was pressure on lenders to make the home ownership dream possible. I'm not saying the banks don't deserve a lot of the blame, just that the regulators and politicians also come out of this badly.
Many firms bought into securitised debt as a diversifier, given we have had a 20 year plus bull-run in credit. Many of the CDOs were AAA-rated by the major ratings agency, effectively ranking them as safe as gilts. There have been umpteen major law suits since. Just google 'sues over CDOs' and you'll see what I mean.
Buy to let was more of a UK issue- the real damage was done in the US.