Brexited | the worst threads live the longest

Do you think there will be a Deal or No Deal?


  • Total voters
    194
  • Poll closed .
Another option May has is, calling a snap GE.
In that case, she risks opening the door again to UKIP.
UKIP would almost certainly do more harm to Labour (the part of European negligance) than to the Tories (the party implementing Brexit).
 
52 v 48, clear?

Democracy? So the govt has been asked to take uk out the eu and some impartial judges have said not without PM vote, democracy.

I actually hope now that the whole idea is rejected and whatever carnage follows that in civvy street can be traced back to one man, Cameron.
I agree Cameron is to blame.

However 52 v 48 is not clear no. That's roughly half - that is NOT a clear majority. Roughly a third of the county voted to leave. A third voted to remain and a third couldn't be arsed to vote.

Yes democracy - so this mess will have to properly be debated and voted in the commons now, as it should be as our law states...
 
Remember that much of the 48% feel a sense of betrayal as, in their view, the leave vote majority was obtained by spreading falsehoods. There is also a frustrating assymetry to the debate in that, while the remain camp can articulate what they want, the Brexit side seems unable to propose any coherent plan. If they could articulate what they want (in a realistic sense rather than have cake and eat it), then it might be easier to find some solution that doesn't leave half the country feeling alienated fron the other half.
Exactly. If a logical, coherent strategy to Brexit was outlined, agreed on and voted for then we would be in a completely different place. But it wasn't and we're not - mis-truths and vague statements of nothingness are all we've gotten since the campaign started.
 
Labour would still be in a tight spot. Analyst speculate that up to 9m labour voters voted for leave.

Yeah Labour certainly wouldn't be in an ideal position but if it was a case of Labour leading the charge for us to remaim in the single market (with some policy on immigration which Corbyn might not permit to) against May's hard Brexit then who knows. Of those 9m how many regret it and how many wouldn't be willing to lose single market access.

The risk that Corbyn is too unpopular and Tories would win on a hard brexit campaign is worth it considering they're progressing that way anyway. As least it would bring it to public debate and any action to prevent the worst outcome should be taken by the opposition.
 
52 v 48, clear?

Democracy? So the govt has been asked to take uk out the eu and some impartial judges have said not without PM vote, democracy.

I actually hope now that the whole idea is rejected and whatever carnage follows that in civvy street can be traced back to one man, Cameron.
I agree Cameron is to blame.

However 52 v 48 is not clear no. That's roughly half - that is NOT a clear majority. Roughly a third of the county voted to leave. A third voted to remain and a third couldn't be arsed to vote.

Yes democracy - so this mess will have to properly be debated and voted in the commons now, as it should be as our law states...
It's semantics, what do you mean by clear?

Yes, more people voted leave than voted remain if that's what you mean.

If what you mean by 'clear' is a substantial proportion of the electorate, then no, not clear at all. There were approximately 13 million people who didn't exercise their right to vote, and of those who did it would have taken a mere 1.9% swing to change the result (mathematically).

This is a lose lose situation now.
 
I agree Cameron is to blame.

However 52 v 48 is not clear no. That's roughly half - that is NOT a clear majority. Roughly a third of the county voted to leave. A third voted to remain and a third couldn't be arsed to vote.

Yes democracy - so this mess will have to properly be debated and voted in the commons now, as it should be as our law states...
Right ok

You're version of 50% is different to mine so we'll leave it there
 
Remember that much of the 48% feel a sense of betrayal as, in their view, the leave vote majority was obtained by spreading falsehoods. There is also a frustrating assymetry to the debate in that, while the remain camp can articulate what they want, the Brexit side seems unable to propose any coherent plan. If they could articulate what they want (in a realistic sense rather than have cake and eat it), then it might be easier to find some solution that doesn't leave half the country feeling alienated fron the other half.

And i would say to you that Remain used its goodly share of falsehoods, doubtless persuading some voters to continue with the status quo out of fear. I've also heard my fair share of nonsense about the future from those advocating In. They would sell the line of a reformed EU for example, while lacking any practicable means of achieving their ends.

EUrophiles, be they elected or voters like yourself, have been more than happy to ignore and override Eurosceptic sentiment for years. That was perfectly okay of course.
 
UKIP would almost certainly do more harm to Labour (the part of European negligance) than to the Tories (the party implementing Brexit).

Look at how well the Lib Dems did in the recent by-election. I think a snap general would be an absolute disaster for Labour and would see the Dems and UKIP gain.
 
Do you accept the point, that MPs and previous governments (Labour in particular) have actively misled the public on th EU in the past? And that there are grounds to question the future conduct of MPs, as they would seek to undermine/dilute Brexit?

All MPs lie more easily than they breathe, if you're not used to that by now then you really shouldn't invest this much time in politics Nick.

Will you accept that the Brexit referendum was only won by MPs lying to the public about the EU? That those lies skewed the referendum and have left over half this nation feeling betrayed and fearing we are going to be dragged down the pan with the Brexiteers, I welcome any opportunity to undermine/dilute this ludicrous political charade before any lasting damage is done.
 
UKIP would almost certainly do more harm to Labour (the part of European negligance) than to the Tories (the party implementing Brexit).
Yes UKIP would take more seats from labour but I doubt the tories will want its policies in anyway influenced by the UKIP. Going into bed with UKIP, even if it's just for brexit might be a price the tories are unwilling to pay. Most tory MPs are remainers and I'm sure the government would feel more comfy with a disorganised labour than a poisonous parliament with UKIP in it.
 
I agree Cameron is to blame.

However 52 v 48 is not clear no. That's roughly half - that is NOT a clear majority. Roughly a third of the county voted to leave. A third voted to remain and a third couldn't be arsed to vote.

Yes democracy - so this mess will have to properly be debated and voted in the commons now, as it should be as our law states...
Right ok

You're version of 50% is different to mine so we'll leave it there
 
Look at how well the Lib Dems did in the recent by-election. I think a snap general would be an absolute disaster for Labour and would see the Dems and UKIP gain.

They spent a fortune on that seat and couldn't have campaigned harder. It was never a seat Labour were going to win and nor should it be taken as a sign of Lib Dems progress
 
Yeah Labour certainly wouldn't be in an ideal position but if it was a case of Labour leading the charge for us to remaim in the single market (with some policy on immigration which Corbyn might not permit to) against May's hard Brexit then who knows. Of those 9m how many regret it and how many wouldn't be willing to lose single market access.

The risk that Corbyn is too unpopular and Tories would win on a hard brexit campaign is worth it considering they're progressing that way anyway. As least it would bring it to public debate and any action to prevent the worst outcome should be taken by the opposition.
Jeremy Corbyn isn't going to be leading the charge for Britain to remain in the single market.
 
They spent a fortune on that seat and couldn't have campaigned harder. It was never a seat Labour were going to win and nor should it be taken as a sign of Lib Dems progress

They will be campaigning on a pro EU platform that will have broad appeal. What exactly is going to be Labours broad appeal in an election fought on Brexit?
 
Right ok

You're version of 50% is different to mine so we'll leave it there
eh?

This is the correct decision from a purely legal point of view.

The idea that any PM can slash and burn through Acts of Parliament on some flimsy mandate of a non-binding referendum was always ridiculous.

Article 50 will require an Act of Parliament to trigger, because the eventual result would be the repeal of a whole bunch of other sections of other Acts.
 
Lib Dems would do marvellously on a platform of never triggering A50, wasn't it something like 3m more people voted in the referendum... so that's 1.5m Remain voters who would be looking for a pro-remain party.
 
Maybe the actual Referendum was just that. A fecking Refferndumn, a gathering of opinion/consensus rather than a legally binding contract as allot of people thought?

So ironically the UK national/sovereign law dictates that a decision like this must be voted by Parliament and not by a public vote... which is what we kind of knew in the first place right? Why is this a surprise or did people think that the governing party could do it as a matter of course?
 
No-one has to be happy with any result they don't like but they should accept it and deal with it. Referendum result was clear, accept and move on. I am not able to vote in the uk or in NL, I live with whatever outcome.

That's not how democracy works, forcing people to shut up about things they aren't happy with.
 
Maybe the actual Referendum was just that. A fecking Refferndumn, a gathering of opinion/consensus rather than a legally binding contract as allot of people thought?

So ironically the UK national/sovereign law dictates that a decision like this must be voted by Parliament and not by a public vote... which is what we kind of knew in the first place right? Why is this a surprise or did people think that the governing party could do it as a matter of course?
The argument the government are trying to put forward is that it was an 'Act of Parliament' to permit the referendum in the first place (they voted on it) and as a part of that they would accept the result of the vote and implement it.

I don't buy it and I think the High Courts summary of their justification released today is much better application of the law.
Can be found here for those interested: https://www.judiciary.gov.uk/wp-con...tary-of-state-for-exiting-the-eu-20161103.pdf

I wonder whether, if the shoe were on the other foot, the leave politicians would be celebrating and supporting this result today. I seem to remember Mr Farage stating that he would be campaigning for a second referendum if Remain scraped it (ironically the example was a 52 v 48 split).
 
No-one has to be happy with any result they don't like but they should accept it and deal with it. Referendum result was clear, accept and move on. I am not able to vote in the uk or in NL, I live with whatever outcome.

A lot of people think this should never even have gone to a referendum. Bit rich to tell them to just "accept it and move on". Of course they won't just "accept it and move on". Not on days like today, which give hope that the decision is not as final as it first seemed. Ridiculous to expect them to think/behave any differently.
 
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They will be campaigning on a pro EU platform that will have broad appeal. What exactly is going to be Labours broad appeal in an election fought on Brexit?

True they might do better in some areas that voted unanimously remain but the cross-over of those areas in contention for the Lib Dems and those who voted remain isn't substantial, a nuisance for Labour yeah but nothing more. No party will do considerably well off the back of ignoring the referendum especially one with Farron in charge. If the Tories are seen to be reckless with the Brexit process and pursuing it at economic cost then Labour as a party upholding the vote but with boundaries could benefit.

The issue is that the only party up from this time last year is the Conservatives so it shows that perhaps there's isn't this huge movement to pro-remain.
 
I'm not sure why anyone is surprised by this verdict. You cannot alter the constitutional status of the UK without an act of Parliament. This is an awful mess and the idiocy of conducting a referendum without the appropriate legal framework to act on the outcome of it, never mind the craziness of making a decision on an inherently complex matter in a binary public vote, will lead to political and societal turmoil for years to come. The decision to hold such a referendum was a reprehensibly irresponsible decision in the first place.
 
I'm not sure why anyone is surprised by this verdict. You cannot alter the constitutional status of the UK without an act of Parliament. This is an awful mess and the idiocy of conducting a referendum without the appropriate legal framework to act on the outcome of it, never mind the craziness of making a decision on an inherently complex matter in a binary public vote, will lead to political and societal turmoil for years to come. The decision to hold such a referendum was a reprehensibly irresponsible decision in the first place.

Because the few in this thread rolling their eyes about it either don't actually care about democracy, they just care about what they want to happen, happening or they weren't aware that this was the case to begin with despite it having been talked about for months and now despite knowing that it's the case, for some reason don't want to accept it.
 
I'm not sure why anyone is surprised by this verdict. You cannot alter the constitutional status of the UK without an act of Parliament. This is an awful mess and the idiocy of conducting a referendum without the appropriate legal framework to act on the outcome of it, never mind the craziness of making a decision on an inherently complex matter in a binary public vote, will lead to political and societal turmoil for years to come. The decision to hold such a referendum was a reprehensibly irresponsible decision in the first place.
Spot on.

Wholly inappropriate to promise something generating from right wing populist politics, and then to go through with it?

The desperation of a political party to govern with a majority has led to an unelected Prime Minister trying to enact the 'will of the people' through the crowns prerogative illegally.

Trump v Clinton, Brexit, Syria, Russia and the Migrant Crisis - it's like real life Game of Thrones.
 
Am I missing something, why is everyone losing their minds over this?
The country voted leave. The Torres wanted to negotiate it themselves, which we all know means line their own and their friends pockets in the process.
Doesn't this ruling just mean that parliament as a whole gets to rule how it happens?
Doesn't this make everything more transparent? Which would be a very good thing.
Am I wrong thinking that?
 
I just read about the verdict. Jesus wept. Even a layman could have told the government that they’ll lose the case. Apparently they don’t understand the basics of the constitutional law of their own country. The verdict destroys the government. It is shocking to say the least.

‘In our view, the secretary of state’s submission is flawed at this basic level’ [85].

The level of incompetence that the government showed is mind-boggling. I really need to reverse my opinion about May, due to all the stuff that happened in the last weeks. She seems to be horribly clueless.
 
I just read about the verdict. Jesus wept. Even a layman could have told the government that they’ll lose the case. Apparently they don’t understand the basics of the constitutional law of their own country. The verdict destroys the government. It is shocking to say the least.

‘In our view, the secretary of state’s submission is flawed at this basic level’ [85].

The level of incompetence that the government showed is mind-boggling. I really need to reverse my opinion about May, due to all the stuff that happened in the last weeks. She seems to be horribly clueless.

They don't understand the basics of economics or immigration, let alone the constitutional law of our country.
 
I just read about the verdict. Jesus wept. Even a layman could have told the government that they’ll lose the case. Apparently they don’t understand the basics of the constitutional law of their own country. The verdict destroys the government. It is shocking to say the least.

‘In our view, the secretary of state’s submission is flawed at this basic level’ [85].

The level of incompetence that the government showed is mind-boggling. I really need to reverse my opinion about May, due to all the stuff that happened in the last weeks. She seems to be horribly clueless.
The brexiters are claiming that this is a political judgement, but it's the exact opposite. The political judgement would be if the court ruled against constitutional norms because it didn't want to upset people who voted to leave the EU and the government.
 
We should just half-leave, half-stay

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It would be a pretty major border if the Leavy-bit leaves the customs union, but I can live with that.

I've been advocating a Cheltenham to London corridor down the A40 through Oxford for years and this just cements my thinking. Everyone else can do one.
 
The brexiters are claiming that this is a political judgement, but it's the exact opposite. The political judgement would be if the court ruled against constitutional norms because it didn't want to upset people who voted to leave the EU and the government.

The case was so clear, that no other judgment was possible. The government admits in their own argument, that their view makes no sense. That’s how bad it is.
 
Anybody else had their social media taken over by people posting/sharing that same photo of the pre-referendum leaflet like it carries any legal weight whatsoever?

Beginning to think I may have to explain that them singing "we're by far the greatest team, the world has ever seen" doesn't make it so.
 
The case was so clear, that no other judgment was possible. The government admits in their own argument, that their view makes no sense. That’s how bad it is.
Yet the spin has already begun with the Daily Mail telling us how partizan judges (a EUROPEAN committee member, a judge who charged the public for advice (shock!) and, worst of all, a gay ex Olympic fencer) have made a political decision. The public is being fed jaundiced anti-European and bigoted polemic on a daily basis and it's all a recipe for some serious trouble.
 
Right ok

You're version of 50% is different to mine so we'll leave it there

Usually when people describe something a clear majority, they mean one side won by a substantial amount. A 52%/48% would represent a narrow majority to most people. Of course when one becomes the other is subjective, I guess.
 
The court's ruling is only as damaging as Remainer MPs wish to make it. If they stand by all precedent and parliamentary custom, and honour the spirit of the referendum result, the this will be but a footnote of embarrassment for the Government. If, on the other hand, there is an attempt to sabotage the nation's democratic verdict, the negative consequences will be long lasting indeed. I am well aware that many in this thread would be delighted with the latter course, yet this only goes to highlight the subjective way in which people define their democratic standards.
 
The court's ruling is only as damaging as Remainer MPs wish to make it. If they stand by all precedent and parliamentary custom, and honour the spirit of the referendum result, the this will be but a footnote of embarrassment for the Government. If, on the other hand, there is an attempt to sabotage the nation's democratic verdict, the negative consequences will be long lasting indeed. I am well aware that many in this thread would be delighted with the latter course, yet this only goes to highlight the subjective way in which people define their democratic standards.
Which "spirit of the referendum result" do you want them to honour? Because the precedent and parliamentary custom route would be that the result is non-binding, which seems very much at odds to your views.
 
The court's ruling is only as damaging as Remainer MPs wish to make it. If they stand by all precedent and parliamentary custom, and honour the spirit of the referendum result, the this will be but a footnote of embarrassment for the Government. If, on the other hand, there is an attempt to sabotage the nation's democratic verdict, the negative consequences will be long lasting indeed. I am well aware that many in this thread would be delighted with the latter course, yet this only goes to highlight the subjective way in which people define their democratic standards.

Depends what you mean by "sabotage the nation's democratic verdict", I guess.

Preventing Brexit would be sabotage. Preventing the most extreme/hard form of Brexit wouldn't.

That's without even getting into the argument over when it's appropriate to act against the wishes of a non-binding vote.
 
The court's ruling is only as damaging as Remainer MPs wish to make it. If they stand by all precedent and parliamentary custom, and honour the spirit of the referendum result, the this will be but a footnote of embarrassment for the Government. If, on the other hand, there is an attempt to sabotage the nation's democratic verdict, the negative consequences will be long lasting indeed. I am well aware that many in this thread would be delighted with the latter course, yet this only goes to highlight the subjective way in which people define their democratic standards.
Well, it's more complex than that. Given the standard wards that the MPS represent are not the same as the regions created in the referendum, and MPS are (or should be) duty bound to represent their constituent's views it's going to produce a different result. No idea in what direction, but big cities will be under-represented and rural areas over-represented which, even factoring in Scotland, probably pushes it further towards leave.

Never mind the fact that there is, underneath all of this, a genuine and principled stance to be taken against national decision making on complex issues being made on referenda, which anyone attending a high school modern studies class will understand the inherent problems thereof.