stevoc
Full Member
- Joined
- Jun 11, 2011
- Messages
- 21,535
a whole load of coke?
No one will be able to afford it in a few months when the Government get desperate and impose major tariffs on the import of class a drugs into the country.
a whole load of coke?
We might not have the automatic right to revoke A50, but it would still be possible by agreement. So not 99.9% or 0.01%, but something in between. 99.9% was a bit odd anyway to be honest, but each to their own.Well, With that decision I change my opinion on Revoking art 50 on 99.9% to 0.01% . If I am not wrong, after the 29, whichever is the extension, the UK can't revoke art50 (please, someone to correct me). SO yes, now, the default will be No Deal, because, the morons, will feel like they still have 14 days more to do something if they reject May's deal....but sure is not revokation. Now it is May's deal or No deal
We might not have the automatic right to revoke A50, but it would still be possible by agreement. So not 99.9% or 0.01%, but something in between. 99.9% was a bit odd anyway to be honest, but each to their own.
I think when it comes down to it, a lot of people aren’t that bothered either way, especially remainers.
That's a great line.
Well, With that decision I change my opinion on Revoking art 50 on 99.9% to 0.01% . If I am not wrong, after the 29, whichever is the extension, the UK can't revoke art50 (please, someone to correct me). SO yes, now, the default will be No Deal, because, the morons, will feel like they still have 14 days more to do something if they reject May's deal....but sure is not revokation. Now it is May's deal or No deal
No you're wrong, it can be done until the withdrawal agreement comes into force. So we either have until April 12th or for how long the 'long delay' is agreed to be.
May needs a plan B.Sarri-ball.
Long Extension with a GE / 2nd ref / Norway+ compromiseSo assuming the deal either gets voted down again or isn't changed so no vote can take place what then happens on 12th April?
We agree to a long extension including taking part in European elections?
Or?
Long Extension with a GE / 2nd ref / Norway+ compromise
Or No Deal
Or Revoke & remain.
That last option still seems the least likely (but most appealing).
She would get overthrown if she tried to take us down the no-deal route. Lets get MV3 out of the way early and work on Plan B.May said about 3/4 times she didn't want to take part in the European elections when she just spoke, and she made is explicitly clear we're definitely still leaving.
That only leaves her deal or no deal. And we all know her deal will be shot down so...
Norway + (Brexit in name only) seems like the least worst solution if we cannot remain.I've come to accept that it's not happening. As shit as it is I'd prefer a Norway+ at this point, although it seems like spiting yourself for zero reason, no deal is just doing it to a worse extent
Norway + (Brexit in name only) seems like the least worst solution if we cannot remain.
Gut feel... Mv3 will be very hard to win now as the date of the 12th leaves open no deal for the erg and leaves open long extension for remainers
Mv3 I think now fails...
I don't think she will authorize a referendum so my guess is she calls a ge the evening that mv3 fails... Could this be organised in time to have the votes at the same time as EU elections as well?
So the presenter of Sky News said he got a message from an MP and thinks the following will happen:
Her deal will get beaten next week
Parliament ask for a long extension
She resigns
Well, she has to go - but who'll be the new leader? It's going to be someone far more Brexity with much more cunning and guile, which will probably be disastrous for the outcome of all of this.So the presenter of Sky News said he got a message from an MP and thinks the following will happen:
Her deal will get beaten next week
Parliament ask for a long extension
She resigns
In my opinion it would be a huge mistake for the EU if it grants the long extension. Europe needs to move on from Brexit and forcing the UK in after voting out would be madness. Let the UK crush, let them face the consequences of their delusions and if they want to return back to the EU then offer them a fast track way in (on terms offered to new members)
I'm sure they'd have no problem doing that if it wasn't for the small matter of the little island to the left of it.In my opinion it would be a huge mistake for the EU if it grants the long extension. Europe needs to move on from Brexit and forcing the UK in after voting out would be madness. Let the UK crush, let them face the consequences of their delusions and if they want to return back to the EU then offer them a fast track way in (on terms offered to new members)
They won’t grant it without good reason. Hopefully that good reason is a second referendum with the vote on a tangible deal.
It is just that they can't torelate uncertainty very well and also scared a delay will mean no Brexit. I cannot believe people are increasingly buying into the idea of no deal being better than a deal of some sort.If this is real, I think either;
a) May scares enough MPs into voting for her deal.
b) It fails, May is forced out of No. 10. And then...? The stat posted today that 70ish% of Tories now prefer a no deal outcome terrifies in all honesty. Could be dreadful at this point.
I'm sure they'd have no problem doing that if it wasn't for the small matter of the little island to the left of it.
So if Theresa May can't get the WA, so there is an extension till the 12th of April, the UK can revoke article 50 even if that right was during 2 years, not during 2 years and 14 days? or those 14 days are just for preparations for No deal?
That problems easily solved.I'm sure they'd have no problem doing that if it wasn't for the small matter of the little island to the left of it.
Ten years after leaving without a deal, Brexiteers will still blame the EU for everything. There's no way around that.I still think that from the EU perspective it would be a mistake. This anti European hatred and mania of grandeur are well embedded in the British psyche. They need to test what it means going solo else this problem will pop up again in 5-10 years time. The EU can't afford having Brexiteers blaming the EU as the reason why Brexit never occurred.
Ten years after leaving without a deal, Brexiteers will still blame the EU for everything. There's no way around that.
You underestimate their... mental flexibility.If the UK leaves the EU then I doubt they can.
You underestimate their... mental flexibility.
"We're in the deep shit because the EU bullied us, because they were afraid of the proud British nation! They are still undermining us at every turn because they are TERRIFIED OF US!"
Err, do you remember the 2017 election?It is just that they can't torelate uncertainty very well and also scared a delay will mean no Brexit. I cannot believe people are increasingly buying into the idea of no deal being better than a deal of some sort.
Potentially.Gut feel... Mv3 will be very hard to win now as the date of the 12th leaves open no deal for the erg and leaves open long extension for remainers
Mv3 I think now fails...
I don't think she will authorize a referendum so my guess is she calls a ge the evening that mv3 fails... Could this be organised in time to have the votes at the same time as EU elections as well?
Edit... I'll also add I think the conservatives win the election... Fptp and they will be the ones pushing for a hard brexit whilst the rest of the votes are split.
Then post election with a decent majority it's perhaps one more try at mv4 or straight to managed no deal... Aka hard brexit... And a leadership election consisting of who says the nastiest things about the eu
Potentially.
Though I think more likely is that she resigns/ is pushed out after MV3 fails. At that point I’ve no idea.
A Tory leadership election where the only way to win over their old, Brexit-y membership base is to promise a no deal exit?