SARS CoV-2 coronavirus / Covid-19 (No tin foil hat silliness please)



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It'll be interesting to see the ONS stats on Friday, because I think the majority of deaths must now be outside hospitals (i.e. mostly in care homes) unless there's still a big reporting lag on care home deaths.

That suggests the government might want to reconsider their approach of counting everyone with a positive diagnosis, which was absolutely appropriate in the midst of the epidemic, and starting to discern those who actually died from Covid.
 
One region in Germany has 1700 cases. In a day.
Yep, then they locked down and the R rate is back down below 1. Local clusters are inevitable, not even the most optimistic scientist have argued otherwise.
 
One region in Germany has 1700 cases. In a day.
It’s not that simple though is it?

They discovered a highly localised outbreak in one factory from what I’ve read, and so tested everybody and found a whole bunch of “new” cases. It’s not like there’s been a wide spread spike in numbers.

Caveat: I’m as far from an expert on these things as it gets, just my understanding of it.
 
So if/when a region has (roughly) 1 case on one day then 5 the next you think no one will shit themselves when the media run with "(insert region here) R rate skyrockets to FIVE"?

I’m not sure you understand how the R works. In Ireland we’ve had cases jump from 5 or 6 to 20+ in a day and the R didn’t budge.
 
It’s not that simple though is it?

They discovered a highly localised outbreak in one factory from what I’ve read, and so tested everybody and found a whole bunch of “new” cases. It’s not like there’s been a wide spread spike in numbers.

Caveat: I’m as far from an expert on these things as it gets, just my understanding of it.

No of course not - and neither am I. But a very small number of cases (1, as per Dan) can lead to a very big rise in R very quickly. I would argue 1700 new positives provide a rather more accurate rating of the R in this scenario. That's all I was saying.

Where I am, our R is through the roof the past couple of days but it IS tied to a very low rate of cases, and so somewhat less to worry about. For now, it seems to me.

@Dancfc to save double post.
 
I don’t get the issue with the packed beaches. I mean obviously it’s rubbish to be on a busy beach but I don’t see what’s so problematic about it. If you’re on a beach in your speedos you aren’t going to be standing that close to somebody else are you, because that’s just fecking weird
 
You’ve got a real bee in your bonnet about “unnecessary panic”. What do you imagine happens when the press report on an increase in R? People take to the streets, waving their hands in the air?

I think the UK could do with a bit of neccesary panic.

If you want unnecessary panic look at Victoria, Australia. 20 new infections, nearly half of which weren't community transmissions, and the supermarket shelves are once again empty of toilet paper.
 
I think the UK could do with a bit of neccesary panic.

If you want unnecessary panic look at Victoria, Australia. 20 new infections, nearly half of which weren't community transmissions, and the supermarket shelves are once again empty of toilet paper.

I live alone, bought a 24 rolls pack in march and I still have 3 rolls. people are stupid
 
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I leave alone, bought a 24 rolls pack in march and I still have 3 rolls. people are stupid

We nearly ran out in March and like you bought a 24 roll pack and it ran out a few days ago.
 
I think the UK could do with a bit of neccesary panic.

If you want unnecessary panic look at Victoria, Australia. 20 new infections, nearly half of which weren't community transmissions, and the supermarket shelves are once again empty of toilet paper.

Has this started happening again? Haven't went to the shops in the last few days so haven't noticed. It was ridiculous last time around, couldn't get any toilet rolls or kitchen wipes. Literally people were filling their trolley just with toilet roll.

I'm in Brunswick West which is one of the hotspots at the minute so trying to stay indoors and away from people.
 
I read somewhere that Australia was the only place that actually did run out of (or low on, anyway) bog roll. And that was what triggered the worldwide hysteria. It was an interview with the head of the big supermarkets in Ireland. Apparently the demand was so high they kept filling half their delivery trucks with bog roll until it got to the point where it was affecting supplies of other stuff so he told them “feck it, let it run out, everyone must have at least 20 rolls at home now”
 
I think the UK could do with a bit of neccesary panic.

If you want unnecessary panic look at Victoria, Australia. 20 new infections, nearly half of which weren't community transmissions, and the supermarket shelves are once again empty of toilet paper.
200 infected in a chicken factory here , beaches packed the next day. What a difference.
 
Florida residents erupt at meeting over mask rule



twitter video above said:
"Alright. Good morning family, all of you, cuz that's what we all are here. What I wanna say is we the people will work day and night to clean every single seat if need be. We will get together and do a citizen's arrest on every single human being that goes against the freedom of choice.

Okay, you cannot mandate you literally cannot mandate someone to wear a mask knowing that mask is killing people. It literally is killing people and the people - we, the people - are waking up and we know what citizen's arrest is because citizens arrests are already happening. Okay, and every single one of you that are obeying the Devil's laws are going to be arrested and you, doctor are going to be arrested for crimes against humanity. Every single one of you have a smirk behind that little mask, but every single one of you are going to get punished by God. You cannot, you cannot escape God. You cannot escape God. I'm gonna say that again. You cannot escape God. Not even with the mask or six feet. Okay, six feet like I said before is military protocol. You're trying to get the people to train them so when the cameras, 5G comes out, what they're gonna, they're gonna scan everybody, they're gonna get temperature. The kids have to go to school with masks. Are you insane? Are you crazy? I think all of you should be in a psych ward right the heck now because none of you, none of you know what the hell you are all talking about. This is insane. And then you wanna open this meeting with a prayer to God. Are you praying to the Devil because God is not listening to that prayer because all of you are practicing the Devil's love.

What happened to Bill Gates? Why is he not in jail? Why is Hillary Clinton not in jail? Why are all of these pedophiles that are demanding you all to listen to their rules? Why are they not in jail? Oh, is it because you're part of them? Are you part of the deep state? The state is going down and if you are in the deep state you're going down with it."

 
200 infected in a chicken factory here , beaches packed the next day. What a difference.

Thing is, they reckon the sun / heat is helping the slow infections, obviously not ideal on beaches that crowded.

The chicken factory is an ideal place for the virus the thrive so it's kinda expected tbh. Sheds the light on the way some of these companies treat their workforce. Protect the managers and office staff at all costs, let the guys who actually do the work all get sick. No real protection in place. Even where I work it's tick a lot of boxes and fill in bullshit paperwork to pretend they're doing something when in reality they're doing absolutely feck all apart from trying to protect the company's image.

No surprise 2 sisters food group is once again in the news and not in a good way.
 
America is looking like a disaster. Now seeing record cases after 120,000 have died.
So in a few weeks time, we could start seeing 2000+ daily deaths once again?
 
Looking at US numbers, seems like California and Florida numbers are out of control and not peaked yet? Also that NY is on the up again?
America is looking like a disaster. Now seeing record cases after 120,000 have died.
So in a few weeks time, we could start seeing 2000+ daily deaths once again?

Why are the American people not taking this situation seriously? I can't get my head around it. Protesting about their rights being affected rather than looking at the bigger picture which is about preventing deaths. And an administration that has been malfeasant in its handling of the virus from day one. Isn't the pandemic getting much media coverage over there?

I know it's a horrible thing to say but perhaps a White House fatality would be the only thing to make people take notice once and for all?

I know when BoJo got it, along with some of the cabinet, the government stopped fecking about.
 
Why are the American people not taking this situation seriously? I can't get my head around it. Protesting about their rights being affected rather than looking at the bigger picture which is about preventing deaths. And an administration that has been malfeasant in its handling of the virus from day one. Isn't the pandemic getting much media coverage over there?

I know it's a horrible thing to say but perhaps a White House fatality would be the only thing to make people take notice once and for all?

I know when BoJo got it, along with some of the cabinet, the government stopped fecking about.
The American culture is one of coming in and grabbing as much wealth for yourself as possible. feck everyone else. They're not at all suited to battling something that needs a collectivist approach to deal with.
They literally believe it's more important to have the freedom to not wear a mask (and will proudly not wear one to stick it to the libs) than someone else's life. Same with guns.

Obviously that's a sweeping generalisation and won't be true for a lot of Americans, but it seems like there are enough of them who thinks like that to make it an issue.
 
The American culture is one of coming in and grabbing as much wealth for yourself as possible. feck everyone else. They're not at all suited to battling something that needs a collectivist approach to deal with.
They literally believe it's more important to have the freedom to not wear a mask (and will proudly not wear one to stick it to the libs) than someone else's life. Same with guns.

Obviously that's a sweeping generalisation and won't be true for a lot of Americans, but it seems like there are enough of them who thinks like that to make it an issue.

So they all have the mentality that someone else will get the virus, not them? Aren't they bothered about the case/mortality rates in the US. Obviously some of the Governors are, but shockingly some of them are not. We know the Trump admin could not give a feck.
 
The American culture is one of coming in and grabbing as much wealth for yourself as possible. feck everyone else. They're not at all suited to battling something that needs a collectivist approach to deal with.
They literally believe it's more important to have the freedom to not wear a mask (and will proudly not wear one to stick it to the libs) than someone else's life. Same with guns.

Obviously that's a sweeping generalisation and won't be true for a lot of Americans, but it seems like there are enough of them who thinks like that to make it an issue.
Socialism! The devil walks among us, folks! Grab your assault weapons! Anyone wearing a mask is a dirty commie!
 
So they all have the mentality that someone else will get the virus, not them? Aren't they bothered about the case/mortality rates in the US. Obviously some of the Governors are, but shockingly some of them are not. We know the Trump admin could not give a feck.
“It’s all just fake news hysteria and a liberal plot to take mah coal minin’ job...”-something to that effect. I wish that was more exaggeration than reality, but I constantly hear some variation of it.
 
“It’s all just fake news hysteria and a liberal plot to take mah coal minin’ job...”-something to that effect. I wish that was more exaggeration than reality, but I constantly hear some variation of it.

Yeah but in one city (can't remember which), ICU occupancy was reported at 97%. Surely at a local level, that would be a cause for concern and dispel all the 'fake news' rhetoric?
 
Yeah but in one city (can't remember which), ICU occupancy was reported at 97%. Surely at a local level, that would be a cause for concern and dispel all the 'fake news' rhetoric?

Conspiracy theory looms have a retort for everything. They would argue that point by saying “ICU wards are always full! If they’re not, what’s the point of them?!”
 
There is seriously someone called Beige? Bet she's interesting.

These are ordinary Americans right? Is it misrepresentative in the way far right supporters are in this country (UK) or is this the average American (the sensible Americans actually being in the rapidly quietened minority)?

I ask as a worried caller. :(
 
These are ordinary Americans right? Is it misrepresentative in the way far right supporters are in this country (UK) or is this the average American (the sensible Americans actually being in the rapidly quietened minority)?

I ask as a worried caller. :(
Think the far right have been emboldened by the likes of Trump being their president and Brexit here and BoJo and his cronies. Think most of us thought the majority of people were enlightened and fair minded, maybe it was us that were the minority. The silent majority have found their voice.
 
More constituents from the Florida meeting

You're removing our freedoms and stomping on our constitutional rights by these communist dictatorship orders or laws you want to mandate.
See that flag? *points at what I assume is a flag* I would die for that flag. The constitution that you're supposed to uphold? I would die for that. None of you are holding that up. You don't care about we, the people because you already made your decision before you listened to anybody.
And they want to throw God's wonderful breathing system out the door. You're all turning your backs on it.
someone wearing a "Trump Girl" t-shirt said:
It is appalling that each and every one of you sitting up there as human beings, part of the human race, the only race that we have, would suggest to muffle people. To put masks on our face. To keep us from breathing oxygen. To get us to become sickly.
How about people that can't breathe with the myriad of conditions that there are? Not just one. Not just two. Maybe four. Maybe five. What about PSD from child abuse situations? I was left in a hot car. You want to cover my face? I'm going to hyperventilate because I remember being stuck in that hot car. What about people like me? We don't matter because of the greater good, right?
You preach pseudoscience and safety. Does anyone care about preserving the liberty of the people who pay your salaries?
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I own a firearms business. Now I think you might agree with me that it would be ludicrous to allow someone into my shop to purchase a firearm who's wearing a mask.

And a couple in support
I've lost a son to this disease. I lost a grandmother and grandfather to this disease. And I have three people on respirators right now. It's real.
I'm going to speak on behalf of a friend who's home sick with Covid. She said she did not wear her mask for one day at the beach and a friend who was asymptomatic infected her and 15 other people. And she said 'Please go there and tell them that I didn't wear a mask because I saw so many other people without a mask on, I forgot I was in the middle of a pandemic'.
 
Obviously, there’s an absolute shitload of insanity to unpick there but let’s focus on the idea that wearing a mask is somehow dangerous? Are these American citizens actually trying to argue that a piece of cotton over your face will make you sick from lack of oxygen?

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