4bars
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Is the second wave of the Swedish strain I see...
Thankfully this time I have immunity!Is the second wave of the Swedish strain I see...
There is an end game. It’s already started. The vaccines. Yes there will be strains that reduce efficacy but we already know that this latest slippery cnut of a strain can be prevented by at least two of the vaccines with a level of efficacy that is higher than the flu vaccine. And that’s coming after a sustained spell of viral replication all over the world that we will never see again.
I get that it’s disappointing how dragged out the end is getting but it’s no less tangible even though it might be delayed. The only issue is how long it takes to get back to normality. 6 months? 12 months? We don’t know but all we can do is crack on with doing our bit to reduce transmission. It’s not easy but it’s not a world war either. We’re not eating rations and sleeping in bunkers. So it’s important to have a bit of perspective. Life is hard right now but it could be a lot worse.
We’ve learned one thing on how to guarantee you can hold it at bay in the past year, hard as feck borders from the very beginning. There’s zero guarantee with anything else, as proven by Germany, Portugal, Switzerland et al. There’s absolutely no other strategy that has proven medium-term to have a massive effect on keeping your Covid mortality low. No other.
Are you referring to Pfizer and Moderna here?
Would it be fair to say that, so far given what we know, the Pfizer vaccine is the best of the lot?
Significant outbreak of the South African strain in Austria. Important information for Europe as the Austrian ski resorts appeared to be a significant component in the original European outbreak. Hopefully governments will be quicker off the mark this time. Looking at you, Boris.
Realistically, maybe volume in Q4 at earliest. Most vaccine makers are still experimenting to see if they need to make a vaccine cocktail or whether a vaccine that targets the SA/Brazil variants will also deal with the others variants (including the UK one). Some vaccines are more suitable than others for booster doses.Does anyone know the possible timelines for creating a booster jab for this S.A. Vaccine?
Also is the S.A variant resistant only to Asra or Pfizer/Moderna too?
More evidence that anyone with prior infection really only needs one jab. Encouraging results against B1351 too.
It would have only been as simple as putting it in a spreadsheet surely?Wouldn't that require that records of previous infections were kept? Doubt the NHS bothered.
It would have only been as simple as putting it in a spreadsheet surely?![]()
They are pretty good with information these days. In my online patient record, there is an entry relating to my negative Covid test result from last year.Wouldn't that require that records of previous infections were kept? Doubt the NHS bothered.
Wouldn't that require that records of previous infections were kept? Doubt the NHS bothered.
They should have covid test results, though there are cases of test records (name/address/phone) not matching back correctly to NHS numbers. Mostly they have the data though.Wouldn't that require that records of previous infections were kept? Doubt the NHS bothered.
More evidence that anyone with prior infection really only needs one jab. Encouraging results against B1351 too.
Iranian cleric says Covid-19 vaccine turns people gay
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/ar...c-says-Covid-19-vaccine-turns-people-gay.html
Iranian cleric says Covid-19 vaccine turns people gay
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/ar...c-says-Covid-19-vaccine-turns-people-gay.html
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You're gay.
Edit: on this cheery note, I called the GP and was able to book my 68 year old mum in for Saturday. So happy, and so relieved. I'll ask her afterwards what her 'leanings' are, for research purposes obviously.![]()
Not sure if this has been highlighted already, but the proportion of Covid deaths that are over-80s has been consistently falling throughout January (this is data for English hospitals only). Maybe an early sign that the vaccine program is having some effect?
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Interesting. Although proportion of deaths tricky to interpret. Is there a decline in absolute numbers?
Also. What was the sequence of roll out? 80+ year olds all vaccinated before 70-80 year olds?
Looks really promising to me. If they've got a version with a bit more granularity (over 70s - or even priority group level splits) I'd be hoping to see something similar going on there by the end of the month.Group 1 was care homes, then over 80s and healthcare workers, so over 80s would have been jabbed before 75-80s.
Absolute numbers of deaths have been coming down, but only since mid-january, and it would appear reduction in deaths of >80s is coming faster than the other age groups.
It's not solid evidence, but I think it's a promising early signal.
Group 1 was care homes, then over 80s and healthcare workers, so over 80s would have been jabbed before 75-80s.
Absolute numbers of deaths have been coming down, but only since mid-january, and it would appear reduction in deaths of >80s is coming faster than the other age groups.
It's not solid evidence, but I think it's a promising early signal.
Thanks for this, understood.Realistically, maybe volume in Q4 at earliest. Most vaccine makers are still experimenting to see if they need to make a vaccine cocktail or whether a vaccine that targets the SA/Brazil variants will also deal with the others variants (including the UK one). Some vaccines are more suitable than others for booster doses.
We know that Pfizer/Moderna can neutralise the SA variant in the lab, but not as well as they neutralise the original Wuhan and European versions. Neither has SA results from actual humans yet. The guess is that there may be some drop off in efficacy, but we don't know how much. Like J&J and Novavax, they're expected to get good efficacy, and should be very effective against serious illness.
Wrong thread buddy
You hoping to get a werewolf antidote?
Not sure if this has been highlighted already, but the proportion of Covid deaths that are over-80s has been consistently falling throughout January (this is data for English hospitals only). Maybe an early sign that the vaccine program is having some effect?
![]()
Good point - might see if I can do the same with the ONS data for place of deathGood signs, I would hazard a guess that the biggest impact would have been seen in the care home sector. That setting, plus age group, has been the worst hit.
According to an item I've just heard on the BBC carehome deaths were very high in the last week in January. If that's right then the change is in the over 80s in the community. Potentially significant as in some areas with only Pfizer available they were focusing on the mobile over 80s who could get the vaccine centres.Good signs, I would hazard a guess that the biggest impact would have been seen in the care home sector. That setting, plus age group, has been the worst hit.
Wouldn't that require that records of previous infections were kept? Doubt the NHS bothered.
Positive swab results are usually linked to NHS numbers and visible on primary care clinical softwares, a significant proportion of positive swab results are linked to patient's GP records (some are not visible, usually by patient choice when booking test). Usually when I'm consulting patients who are post-covid or tell me they've had it before, vast majority of them I can see the positive swab result and its read-coded.
According to an item I've just heard on the BBC carehome deaths were very high in the last week in January. If that's right then the change is in the over 80s in the community. Potentially significant as in some areas with only Pfizer available they were focusing on the mobile over 80s who could get the vaccine centres.
Came sooner than I expected I admit, also I thought they would sort to age within a cohort, do 69 then 68 etc, but they don't seem to have. Preston are banging ahead, and the main vaccination centre here isn't even open yet, also ahead are Bolton and Blackburn. Wigan behind. We got a text off the doctor, so if you're not sure whether your doctor has your current mobile number I'd drop a note through their door.
Iranian cleric says Covid-19 vaccine turns people gay
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/ar...c-says-Covid-19-vaccine-turns-people-gay.html
I guess Britain now has a 'world-beating' number of elderly gays now.What? All of them?
So should we expect the Tehran Gay and Lesbian Mardi Gras to be announced soon?
Remember, before we had any results from any of the trials, the benchmark for a successful vaccine was 50% efficiacy in stopping serious illness. Not infection or mild illness, but serious illness. If the participants still got infected but got seriously ill at a rate of 50% or less than the placebo group, that would have been considered a success and enough to get authorisation from most international bodies. Considering all the current signs are that even against the variants all the current vaccines massively exceed this and protect almost fully against serious illness or death, so why is there all this talk that the variants may require further restrictions? The sell of restrictions in the first place was to protect the NHS and save lives, so why may we still be in them if/when the vaccine starts doing that bit for us? Why are the goalposts being moved? I get it's not great that the protection against mild and moderate illness seems to be reduced against some variants, but the protection against hospital admissions and death's look to be beyond even the most optimistic best case scenario's.
I guess Britain now has a 'world-beating' number of elderly gays now.