Minimum Bar for Continuity in Ole's Third Full Season

Based on your criteria you set what if we finish second on 79, lose a domestic cup final, and go out of the last 16 in a hard fought game against PSG or Munich? Would he deserve to go then?
Without any major injuries to key players? Yes, he would deserve to go. 79 points after signing players like Sancho and Varane represents a minuscule improvement. How much would we need to spend to get to 90 points?

Obviously, there may or may not be mitigating circumstances. But in a "normal" season - let's say we have no more injuries than we did last season - the above is more than fair, I think.
 
Yes because an injury crisis or a tough cup draw = getting hit by a bus. :lol:


That’s exactly why I’m saying it’s really hard to quantify a ‘minimum expectation’. If it narrowly misses a very specific criteria like you set do you sack him? Which is why the only criteria I can think of that would be fair and without context needing to apply (even this is slightly unfair) is to qualify for UCL.

There are so many variables that being as binary as ‘win a cup’ isn’t a fair target.
It was a purposely fantastical scenario to highlight that when setting expectations it's silly to take outrageous scenarios into account. There will always be exceptions that could occur but you cross those lines when you come to it. What's simply happening here is that the staunchest Ole supporter on the board is trying to downplay expectations in a fashion that makes it look like he's not being biased.

Yes, we could get a horrific injury crisis, we could somehow get 80 points and finish 5th (which is actually more unlikely than getting hit by a fecking bus seeing as it's never happened in the history of the PL), these are all variables, but you don't set expectations low in order to try account for all the billions of hypothetical scenarios in which they may not occur, you set them based on the minimum that should be achieved in normal, day to day circumstances.

Guaranteed if we finish 4th at the end of the year and trophyless Oleboii will come back out with "yeah, well, i did say that the minimum should be CL qualification".
 
Several teams have won the CL and done poorly in the PL. Many teams have had terrible luck with injures over the years. The scenario I described above isn't that crazy.
uh, but.. in your first scenario there we've won the CL, we didn't just qualify for CL football. I don't recall in your original post you saying "minimum should be 4th place or like.. a CL win", otherwise I'd have said.. yeah, a CL win, that would definitely be enough. Seems like you're just trying to bend the narrative now.
 
Guaranteed if we finish 4th at the end of the year and trophyless Oleboii will come back out with "yeah, well, i did say that the minimum should be CL qualification".

Nope, because unlike most of the 'Ole out' posters I like to look at the full context. I can think of plenty of scenarios where we get CL qualification and I still want Ole sacked. But that is not what this thread is about. It's about minimum expectations. And based on what I've seen over the years I've realised that football is too crazy to make blanket statements like: "it's either X or it's out!"
 
That wasn't Liverpool, that was Lollerpool.

I'm talking about the Liverpool who were challenging City to 95 points in the previous 2 seasons. I fully expect them to challenge again with VVD back, and we must try to keep pace.

What are you talking about? Liverpool won the league the season before last 33 points ahead of United. Last season we finished 2nd 5 points ahead of them. What more do you want?
 
Nope, because unlike most of the 'Ole out' posters I like to look at the full context. I can think of plenty of scenarios where we get CL qualification and I still want Ole sacked. But that is not what this thread is about. It's about minimum expectations. And based on what I've seen over the years I've realised that football is too crazy to make blanket statements like: "it's either X or it's out!"
It wasn't a blanket statement though. I basically said .. do better in the league, and either win a domestic cup or progress further in the CL this time round. That's basically what you would expect at any top club. Progress. We can discuss your fairytale scenarios in the unlikely event that they happen but it's really stupid to not set expectations because of them.

I mean technically under your logic there shouldn't actually be any minimum expectations at all. The whole squad could get injured and we could end up in mid table and that would probably be fine. More than four teams could have blistering seasons and get 80+ points and beat us to CL qualification and that would probably be fine. Your logic is stupid. It's your crazy bias towards Ole coming through and clouding any reasonable train of thought.
 
What are you talking about? Liverpool won the league the season before last 33 points ahead of United. Last season we finished 2nd 5 points ahead of them. What more do you want?

FFS last season the bar was City, not Liverpool. Liverpool doing crap last season does not mean they will be crap this season and that we will easily finish ahead of them

I just want to keep pace with whoever is leading the league, be it Liverpool or City. I really don't care who.
 
Massive improvements in playing style - particularly in controlling games and actually attempting to compete in big games instead of hoping to grab a goal on the break.

I'd also like to see a more cohesive team press...it's almost a requirement now for the truly elite teams, and it was the basis for 90% of Chelsea's transformation under Tuchel.

If we do those things, results and trophy contention will follow naturally.
 
At the end of the day.. the minimum bar is still and has always been since SAF - top 4. That was the bar for Moyes, that was the bar for LvG, that was the bar for Jose. Something he failed 2 out of 3 times.
 
I really want us to cross the 80 point gap this season.I think the title is out of the question if city get Kane and jack. But we should be finishing second , at the minimum. Also, getting out of the CL group stages is a must.
 
It wasn't a blanket statement though. I basically said .. do better in the league, and either win a domestic cup or progress further in the CL this time round.

Your minimum expectations are 80(+) points + a domestic cup or a CL QF/SF. That is a pretty blanket statement.

If you aren't able to see any scenario where we get 79 points(for instance) but still show clear signs of improvements then that's on you.

I mean technically under your logic there shouldn't actually be any minimum expectations at all.

I mean, I already did write my minimum expectations, though? CL qualification. And I stand by it. Ole should not get special treatment.

The example I made above where we do really well but still fail to get CL football was not an attempt to remove the minimum demands entirely, but rather to illustrate a point to all the posters who have ludicrously high minimum demands.
 
Trophy is a minimum i would expect plus strong league campaign.
 
Your minimum expectations are 80(+) points + a domestic cup or a CL QF/SF. That is a pretty blanket statement.

If you aren't able to see any scenario where we get 79 points(for instance) but still show clear signs of improvements then that's on you.



I mean, I already did write my minimum expectations, though? CL qualification. And I stand by it. Ole should not get special treatment.

The example I made above where we do really well but still fail to get CL football was not an attempt to remove the minimum demands entirely, but rather to illustrate a point to all the posters who have ludicrously high minimum demands.
I already clarified that I expect 80+ points or a title challenge in the unlikely scenario whereby the winners don't get 80 or 90 points.

Your minimum expectations make no sense though. You've highlighted a load of scenarios as to why mine and others minimum expectations are potentially unrealistic but yet yours are immune from that? You already said a scenario yourself that makes your minimum expectations look silly, which is a CL win with a 5th place finish, which pretty much anyone would take. By your own logic your own minimum expectations are unreasonable because they don't account for exceptional circumstances, and really, how can we trust the judgement of a back who invalidates his own minimum expectations? That's just not.. realistic.
 
It's very hard to quantify such things as the main aim to play like a team that's ready to win big trophies. Say Liverpool 2018-19 had they got lesser points and not won the CL. So mainly it's for us to play an extremely high level of football, display cohesive and fluid attacking on a consistent basis and go ahead and dominate teams. As for things that are quantifiable, it's hard to do, as from Mourinho's time a team can get 80 plus points and still not be on the way to genuine success. But of course we have to win a trophy next season and we have to put in a title challenge, it's about time for those two. We need excellence not just getting by.
 
Your minimum expectations make no sense though. You've highlighted a load of scenarios as to why mine and others minimum expectations are potentially unrealistic but yet yours are immune from that? You already said a scenario yourself that makes your minimum expectations look silly, which is a CL win with a 5th place finish, which pretty much anyone would take. By your own logic your own minimum expectations are unreasonable because they don't account for exceptional circumstances, and really, how can we trust the judgement of a back who invalidates his own minimum expectations? That's just not.. realistic.

Read again: my minimum expectations are "CL qualification", not "top 4". If you win the CL then you are qualified for the CL next season.

My minimum expectations make perfect sense and they seem to be in line with the club's minimum expectations too. Every manager post Fergie has been sacked when failing to get CL football(even if they win domestic trophies). If we have to draw the line somewhere, then I guess that's where I'd draw it (even if there exists fairly realistic scenarios where this would be the wrong decision).

Ultimately it's a pointless exercise though. The only people who would be happy with making such blanket demands are agenda posters(on both sides) or extremely pedantic people. Context will always matter. I can see realistic scenarios where we get CL football and I still want Ole out, and I can see realistic scenarios where we fail to do so but I still think he deserves a chance. The only conclusion I can draw is that we should just follow the club policy(CL football or out).
 
The only people who would be happy with making such blanket demands are agenda posters(on both sides) or extremely pedantic people.
:lol: It's funny because you are an agenda poster and you are being incredibly pedantic.

Anyway I think you should read the op. It's not about what the board thinks, it's about what we think.
The absolute minimum if you were in charge of hiring and firing for you to keep Ole for another season. Go.
Those are the minimum expectations I think are viable. I think they are reasonable once in a manager's third full season in charge with a squad as good as ours now is. You can be as pedantic as you like and invent scenarios whereby it's unfair to expect that but that, as you say, it's a pointless exercise, because you can only cross a bridge like that when you come to it. But, I can revise them for you if you'd like, just to cover every basis.

This season, barring any freak occurrences, massive injuries, or strange phenomena, those are the minimum expectations I think are fair.
 
I don't care about point totals, I doubt SAF ever set specific point goals, he just wanted to finish top and each season is its own beast. I want a genuine title challenge. No City or Liverpool obviously winning the thing and 10+ points clear by February, we should be in a genuine chance come April. It's all well and good finishing 2nd but when there is no chance you were actually going to win it you didn't have to deal with pressure.
 
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Massive improvements in playing style - particularly in controlling games and actually attempting to compete in big games instead of hoping to grab a goal on the break.

I'd also like to see a more cohesive team press...it's almost a requirement now for the truly elite teams, and it was the basis for 90% of Chelsea's transformation under Tuchel.

If we do those things, results and trophy contention will follow naturally.


THIS.

Under Ole, the one thing we have failed to do is control games, you are hardly going to win big trophies if you cannot control a game.

There are numerous examples over the last 2 years where we have failed to do that. We hardly control games, out of 50 games a season, I would say we control 10

It's not good enough, last season this cost us alot of points because we get always get out played in midfield, teams create dangerous scenarios against us and drop off on a half press and we struggle.

We really need to control a game, make the opposition work hard and results and trophies will follow.

Leicester in the Quarter Final is a very good example of our lack of control.
 
With the most spent among all the clubs in the world in the last 3 seasons, it should be "the expectation is to deliver the PL and/or the CL". But you know what excuses you will hear before the season even starts from both him and his supporters. I expect nothing but winning a major trophy, otherwise he should respect himself, the club and most importantly the fans and resign if he fails to do so.
 
For me the minimum is being genuine contenders in the title race and then good cup runs.

I don't think a trophy is required for him to stay on but it's vital we act like the statue of our club again. Top 4 trophy is not befitting United.
 
Top 4 as a minimum, challenging for the title and a good CL run, ideally passed the first knockout round.

A domestic trophy too would be great, need to get over the semi/final hoodoo.

Being competitive and genuinely trying to be on the front foot and entertaining is the most important for me. Everybody can fluke a win, but consistent good performances is important as a fan.
 
- Remain as a title contender at least until April with a Top 3 finish
- Reach UCL Quarter Final
- Win at least 1 of FA Cup or League Cup
 
Bare minimum
Ole
- A domestic trophy
- CL quarter finalist or EL finalist
- Premier League challenge (come March 30th)
Players (Prem)
- 15 clean sheets
- 3 players over 15 goals and a top 3 gscorer.
- 4 players over 10 assists and a top 3 assist maker.
 
For him to want to keep doing the job, and show continued progress, that we don't collapse from where we are.

This thread is unnecessary. Has been discussed to death in other threads and will not lead to anything new. People will keep disagreeing until he wins trophies. And even then, some will still want him out.
People will keep on disagreeing because Pep Guardiola is better than Ole whom he has beaten more often than not and yet to manage same strength squad shoulder to shoulder.
 
Above 80 points has to be the minimum.
A League Cup might act as a good catapult for the season.

Get through the group stage of the CL. Once we're through, we can then assess what comes next based on who we face.

Be consistent.

Improvement in the football. Seriously. I want to be able to watch us play again without thinking that I'd rather do something else.
Hopefully last season was just a blip in that regard.
 
I think fans need to realise that unlike in the old days winning the league isn't about being better than one rival - nowadays we have to be better than City, Liverpool and Chelsea...who all have great teams and coaches too.

I think a realistic expectation will be a real title challenge - in the mix at easter. I also expect this squad to progress far in all the cup competitions.

Ultimately winning leage league could swing on which contenders have the best luck with injuries and fixture conjestion, so imo it's too far saying he has to win it.

Our squad is looking pretty good though and a potentially a few more. If we got Trippier and a decent Midfielder I'll be getting gidding with excitement!!
 
:lol: It's funny because you are an agenda poster and you are being incredibly pedantic.

Looking at the full context is the opposite of being pedantic.

Also, it's funny that you of all people accuse me of having an agenda. I can guarantee you right now that you wont see me write something like "we qualified for the CL, so Ole should not be sacked" next year. Can you guarantee me that you wont write 'Ole out' if he fails to deliver your minimum expectations but we still improve upon last season? Yeah, that's what I thought...

This season, barring any freak occurrences, massive injuries, or strange phenomena, those are the minimum expectations I think are fair.

The problem with your minimum expectations is that there is absolutely no need for 'freak occurrences', 'massive injuries' or 'strange phenomena' for them to not be reached. If we get 79 points and the title winners are in the low/mid 80's, then that's a legitimate title challenge by most people's definition. And any manager who wins the CL should get another chance even if the PL points tally is poor. And before you say that us winning the CL is a freak occurrence: at least 4 worse teams than us have won the CL in the last 18 years, so it wouldn't really be crazy, even if it's unexpected.
 
1st and a cup win

We finished 2nd and got to a final and a semi last season....add Sancho and Varane and we should finish the job off - even more so if we keep Pogba,

Anything less and he should be out, and I'm sure he knows that himself and uses it as a motivator. Success is the minimum from now on

Wow, that's big. Ole needs to win the Premier League AND win a cup as the bare minimum just to keep from getting fired? Sounds like we're in the French or German leagues.
 
Looking at the full context is the opposite of being pedantic.

Also, it's funny that you of all people accuse me of having an agenda. I can guarantee you right now that you wont see me write something like "we qualified for the CL, so Ole should not be sacked" next year. Can you guarantee me that you wont write 'Ole out' if he fails to deliver your minimum expectations but we still improve upon last season? Yeah, that's what I thought...



The problem with your minimum expectations is that there is absolutely no need for 'freak occurrences', 'massive injuries' or 'strange phenomena' for them to not be reached. If we get 79 points and the title winners are in the low/mid 80's, then that's a legitimate title challenge by most people's definition. And any manager who wins the CL should get another chance even if the PL points tally is poor. And before you say that us winning the CL is a freak occurrence: at least 4 worse teams than us have won the CL in the last 18 years, so it wouldn't really be crazy, even if it's unexpected.
Of course not. That is the point of minimum expectations for feck sake. You say I'm missing the point and then come out with that. Sure, if there were exceptional circumstances that mean he didn't meet those expectations, I'd revise them. Nothing is set in stone. I'm not sure why you keep harping on about the 79 points nonsense when I've already clarified that a title challenge is perfectly acceptable with 79 points. I said 80 points because it's a reasonable amount based on how points totals have been in the PL in recent memory, that's all. If this turns out to be a much lower points title race, so be it.

I have no agenda. I love Ole, he's a legend. I want him to succeed. I think he just about deserved the new contract. But just because it's Ole doesn't mean I don't expect a reasonable improvement. It would be the same for any manager. You're the one trying to make expectations as low as feasibly possible for him so that we justify him staying even if we massively underperform. You're the biggest agenda poster on the Caf, it's plain to see for everyone. You've never criticised him, ever!
 
I’d say stop putting added pressure on his back and let him get his new guys in
 
80+ points, with the results actually being a fair reflection of the performances (so not like 2017/18) in the league is the absolute bare minimum.
Title challenge

Trophies and run in cups rely on the luck of the draw and or being the best in the competition/on the day so that's why for me a title challenge is the only real expectation I can put on him and the team this season
Agree with these, minimum is that whoever finishes above us in the league wins the league, expect to get to knockout of CL, should be winning at least one trophy this season.
 
I don't think cup performance needs to be a decision driver in assessing our success - more important would be a demonstrative and continual improvement in our performances, specifically with regard to controlling games, conceding fewer goals from set pieces, and scoring more goals against the top six teams.
 
Do you really think internet discussion forums add any further pressure to the job of Man Utd manager, geebs ?
It does when it starts filtering to the terraces or social media. Do you think the opinions stop in this forum?