the hea
Full Member
Yeah it is impossible to determine what type of munition that is from that range.Could be TOS-1 but this is what MRLS Grad fire looks like.
Yeah it is impossible to determine what type of munition that is from that range.Could be TOS-1 but this is what MRLS Grad fire looks like.
Yes this is a very bold statement. Be good to see a link or something before posting.North Korea getting involved apparently, unidentified launch.
Think it’s in reference to this. Clearly upset nobody is paying him attention.
In this case I don't think it's that. All signs point to Putin pushing this.They have greatly underestimated Ukrainian people. I mean this shit have been happening for time immemorial. How people become generals I have no fecking idea.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/feb/26/how-ukrainian-defiance-has-derailed-putins-plansWestern defence attaches have claimed that Valery Gerasimov, Putin’s most senior commander and the chief of the general staff of Russia’s armed forces, had warned the president that invading Ukraine might not be straightforward. And so it has proved. For now, though, Russia’s military and political leadership are firmly behind the operation.
The Norwegian PM is now considering sending weapons to Ukraine, which he as late as yesterday said he wouldn't do. It's been Norwegian policy for over half a century not to sell arms to countries who are involved in war. As far as I know this is also the reason for Germany's tardiness. No matter how this war turns out, it will definitely have changed Europe in both small and big ways.
Just Google or look on Twitter. Not linked as projectile fired east supposedly.Yes this is a very bold statement. Be good to see a link or something before posting.
Agreed, and I'm no expert by any means, but from what I've read, the strategy was still relevant and similar today regarding a Balkan invasion. Happy to hear alternate takes though, and appreciate it!I think this was the doctrine in the sixties and seventies.
Just Google or look on Twitter. Not linked as projectile fired east supposedly.
As for the Anonymous/hacking comments. It wouldn't surprise me at all if more serious and effective efforts were Western government organisations and passed off as Anonymous.
True, and also false. It's very possible the Russians underestimated the solidarity of the West, and essentially banked on it. None of us know.
Sorry someone else did though above - was widely reportedcan you post a link if you say Something like this?
Just Google or look on Twitter. Not linked as projectile fired east supposedly.
Yes, think it might be grad.Could be TOS-1 but this is what MRLS Grad fire looks like.
It will not be weapons. Weapons is not allowed to export to active conflict areas by Norwegian law. It is not just policy. They are now looking over a wish list from Ukraine to see what they can send. Otherwise, the law has to be changed to allow weapons to be sent. I am not certain what we could send if we changed the law either. Nasams is not feasible but would really make an impact. Javelins, M72's maybe. But it is going to be non lethal equipment unless the law is changed. There must be need for protection gear, medical equipment, electronic equipment etc. too. We sell a lot of ammunition and missiles but now when we really SHOULD give away to a friend in need, then it is not allowed. I guess the lawmakers never thought about a scenario like this.
It will not be weapons. Weapons is not allowed to export to active conflict areas by Norwegian law. It is not just policy. They are now looking over a wish list from Ukraine to see what they can send. Otherwise, the law has to be changed to allow weapons to be sent. I am not certain what we could send if we changed the law either. Nasams is not feasible but would really make an impact. Javelins, M72's maybe. But it is going to be non lethal equipment unless the law is changed. There must be need for protection gear, medical equipment, electronic equipment etc. too. We sell a lot of ammunition and missiles but now when we really SHOULD give away to a friend in need, then it is not allowed. I guess the lawmakers never thought about a scenario like this.
Fair, although I’d encourage you to back channel every link on here rather than think ‘link = fact’. It was widely reported as well so assumed easy to quickly cross reference.I think if you are going to say something like that in this thread, which has a new page every ten minutes or so, then the onus should be on you to share a link alongside the statement.
Right but Putin isn’t a military strategist. He should have absolutely no say in the “how and when”. Guys under him need to be coordinated. I’m assuming that’s Shoygu whom is above them all. Interesting choice considering he has never served a day in his life.In this case I don't think it's that. All signs point to Putin pushing this.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/feb/26/how-ukrainian-defiance-has-derailed-putins-plans
Sorry someone else did though above - was widely reported
I doubt our laws will be changed quickly enough to allow us to ship weapon systems in time, sadly.
Hard to say. Kicking a major nation like Russia out of Swift will have knock-on effects for the world economy. I bet Putin didn't think they'd do it but it seems everyone realises that this might actually be a major precipice for clipping Russia's wings.
Europe have okayed disconnecting certain banks from SWIFT, so consider it done and approved. At least half of CB reserves will be frozen. Good luck supporting ever falling ruble. They will not be able to get loans from US and EU which will be a huge mess. Looking at how irritated the Russian MFA's spokesperson has been lately, it seems that nobody was prepared for this. Or everybody knew everything, but Putin was caught in bad mood and decided to burn every bloody thing down.They have definitely considered it in advance:
Fair, although I’d encourage you to back channel every link on here rather than think ‘link = fact’. It was widely reported as well so assumed easy to quickly cross reference.
All due respect, @noodlehair, you are right in some ways, and also wrong. They may have all the information, but it doesn't mean they'll accept it. Too many instances where the man in charge won't be considering that. History is littered with leaders who make decisions and decide to reject that intelligence and information that doesn't fit their point of view. Hitler and Napoleon invading Russia in the Winter (it doesn't require a rocket scientist to tell you that's a bad idea), GW Bush and Blair in Iraq, Trump (basically every f*cking day, it's everywhere. Nobody knows if Putin is a rational actor at this point, and quite a few people want to give him, and the Russians, more credit than the deserve, in my opinion.It's not. You'd plan for/assume the possibility of worst case scenario. It would be factored in to any strategy where it was even a remote possibility. They might have hoped to avoid it but there's no way in hell they wouldn't be prepared for it
Navalny is imprisoned. The Oligarchs won't muster much because I suspect a lot of their assets are diversified out of the country. Yes they will be hit but not to a state where they don't have money.While this is plainly not going as planned is there any real possibility of Putin being overthrown? Is there any real internal opposition in places of sufficient power?
Putin could easily spin it as NATO aggression taken too far against training exercises, even gives him an out for all the dead bodies too.
If we try and enforce a no fly zone then out of the silos/into their positions come the nukes. It's really that simple. Unfortunately if that means he shells Kyiv to smithereens then that's his want.
The world will watch on in horror if he does because shelling civilians is barbaric and a war crime but it's better than nuclear war.
I suppose the counter argument is that you pull the nukes out and he stops because of MAD, but it takes one slip then, one misinterpretation and we're all fecked.
After we witnessed him bullying his spy chief...I'm pessimistic.While this is plainly not going as planned is there any real possibility of Putin being overthrown? Is there any real internal opposition in places of sufficient power?
I’d hope if North Korea were launching a missile at someone, we wouldn’t find out on redcafe! But all good, I get the point.it’s not that link = fact. It’s just more context within your post I.e. a verified link, means any anxiety won’t last as long as reading that North Korea got involved and launched a missile.