FriedClams
Full Member
- Joined
- Oct 14, 2021
- Messages
- 3,707
It's only a low percentage if the alternative is acceptable to the man with the finger on the button.
Putin's built a cult of personality and his entire foreign policy is predicated on the idea of the west hating Russia. If he pushes it, he either lives to be a legend or dies to be a martyr. It's the easy way out.
Rationality doesn't necessarily mean the other person will do the same thing as you would. It was just as irrational to attempt a land war against Ukraine when you're fighting with decrepit Soviet era tanks.
But I ultimately hope you're right. I personally don't think it's worth the gamble.
Does anyone know the actual process? Like I believe that there are all sorts of protocols to follow, most of which would certainly trigger warnings across the world that a nuke may be getting prepared for launch. I really, really hope that its not just a button with some casing over it, that someone can just open and push.