the hea
Full Member
This seems to be the new line among the Russian propaganda agents in the US. It's ridicolous how out of touch with what is going on in the world you have to be to believe something like this.
This seems to be the new line among the Russian propaganda agents in the US. It's ridicolous how out of touch with what is going on in the world you have to be to believe something like this.
Oh Seymour Hersh...
This is a very good analogy when it comes to the context of China's so-called peace plan. Imperial Japan had control over the most important areas in the country at the time.
If Russia is able to take the hill north of Ivanivske the last road out of Bakhmut will be under Russian fire control.
My forecast is this: by the summer, the Ukrainian army will be at the Sea of Azov, in the summer the Ukrainain army will clear the parts of the Crimean peninsula and Kherson Oblast, which are located on the left bank of the Dnieper, and from the end of the summer we can start dealing with Donbas. If the Western countries continue to supply the Ukrainian army in such volumes as in January and February, by the end of the year the Ukrainian army will complete the maneuver I described in Donbas and secure its positions on the Russian border. Yes, it will be difficult to defend yourself there, but I think everything will work out.
Seems like UAF are finally withdrawing from Bakhmut, it served its purpose.
Another way to see this is that Russia lost a massive amount of troops and equipment by rushing ill prepared offensives now. Probably wouldn't have happened this intensively if they thought they had time.Seems like they have no choice if they don't want to risk another Mariupol with thousands of soldiers getting surrounded and grinded down. And we also saw how Russia treated those who surrendered. It's way smarter to withdraw and use those battle hardened troops for later counter offensives when western armor finally arrives.
Russia has 2 important reasons to take Bakhmut now. Of course for propaganda reasons after one year of war, they want to present another city after months of withdrawings and stalemates.
The other reason I believe Russia's storm on Bakhmut now is also a consequence of western big announced help in MBTs and IFVs. They know Ukraine will counter attack somewhere when the armor arrives in early spring, because Ukraine is clearly preparing something and since a bulk of their forces are in constant battle around Bakhmut, they want to solve that problem now to be able to strenghen other frontline sections.
It would have been way smarter to train Ukrainian troops in secret on those MBTs and IFVs and when announcing those deliveries, they would have been ready. Now, they need to train the troops first for at least a month and that gives Russia time to prepare and take action. The west needs to start thinking ahead in those things.
Another way to see this is that Russia lost a massive amount of troops and equipment by rushing ill prepared offensives now. Probably wouldn't have happened this intensively if they thought they had time.
It would have been way smarter to train Ukrainian troops in secret on those MBTs and IFVs and when announcing those deliveries, they would have been ready.
This would probably not be possible. It would only work if the West was as united in their support of Ukraine as Russia thinks. In reality these are all democracies with complex internal political debates of their own. Putting it simply, if there was no open, public debate about giving tanks to Ukraine, it wouldn't have happened.
How do you know this isn't already happening?
Ukraine withdrawing from Bakhmut (if that is indeed what is happening) makes sense from a military point of view. It's not great for the civilians still there though.
There are some rumors saying that UAF did not commit many of its armored vehicles to the defense of the city. Zelensky kept mentioning the city by name in many of his speeches and stated how they would fight to the end, etc.I agree; I don’t think the aim of Ukraine is to not ever cede an inch of ground (as Hitler did in the East). They should be proud of the defence of Bakhmut. I think the Russian attacks started in May of last year. 9 months to capture a small town with limited strategic value, is no kind of victory for the Russians, however they choose to portray it.
As for whether it makes sense for Ukraine to leave now, or to leave next month, we can’t conclude either way. They may calculate that Russia is losing 1-200 experienced troops a day, and that their own losses are a price worth paying to achieve that.
There are some rumors saying that UAF did not commit many of its armored vehicles to the defense of the city. Zelensky kept mentioning the city by name in many of his speeches and stated how they would fight to the end, etc.
It made me think (looking for the positive here) that UAF probably has some plan to trick the Russians with their offensive. It's not that their offensive is a secret plan, but the execution of it would be interesting.
" AU forces, including but not limited to 17th Armored Brigade and the 3rd Assault Brigade (ex-Azov) lead a counterattack, with the main target appearing to be the garden shop region. Currently, the RUS attack from the north on Bakhmut not only collapsed, but the AU came to the rear of the Russian grouping.1/ "
"The situation is very dynamic and various information is coming. The Ukrainians also counterattack near the village of Krasne. Contrary to previous information, there is no retreat from eastern Bakhmut, only AU counterattack there. It's getting really interesting. Additional UA reserves are to enter the action."
Seeing a lot about this right now... if true that would be a massive success for Ukraine.
@Sir Matt This is worth a read.
Taiwan and weapons of mass destruction (Wikipedia)
Their nuclear program was advancing well until the US told Taiwan to shut it down by 1987, which was 1-2 years away of becoming fully operational with the delivery system. In other words: go feck yourself, Reagan.