jdmufc
Roboheart
the general consensus seems to be that we are only two or three new signings away from being brilliant again.
if this is true.......why all the panic??
if this is true.......why all the panic??
We're just trying to get your ticker going![]()
the general consensus seems to be that we are only two or three new signings away from being brilliant again.
if this is true.......why all the panic??
We're 2 or 3 signings away, but they're 2 or 3 big signings. We can't do what we did last Summer and buy promising youth like Hernandez and Smalling, we'll need big names that can impact instantly.
Sounds simple, but can we afford them, and can we attract them? Some say yes, some same no. Time will tell.
We're skint, didn' ya know?
Big signing's or right signing?
I see us in the same position as 06/07 when we bought Carrick which completed our midfield and won us the league, then bought Hargreaves, Nani and Anderson the following year which tipped us to the European Cup/League Double.
A quality Midfielder like Sneijder or De Rossi and an explosive winger like Sanchez and our first team would compete with anyone and our sqaud would have enough potential for the future.
If we're that skint then wouldn't the Glazers sell up? I'm pretty sure us sliding down the table isn't very good financially for them. I'd suspect There'll be substantial investment if we lose Rooney.
I believe all of those would be classed as big signings.
I don't see where you're coming from anyway. A signing always has to be the 'right' signing, big or not. It's a given.
Sorry, the examples weren't the best after my statement
What I meant was, back in 06/07 we needed Carrick, not a big signing by any means and alot of fans even moaned about his £14m (rising to £18.6m depending on success) price tag. But he was the difference needed, I think we're in that position now. Let's say we got Defour for £10m-£15m. He wouldn't need 20 assists to make this team work, just be part of the passing midfield we are missing that would help control games. That could then be the basis we build out success on.
Sorry, the examples weren't the best after my statement
What I meant was, back in 06/07 we needed Carrick, not a big signing by any means and alot of fans even moaned about his £14m (rising to £18.6m depending on success) price tag. But he was the difference needed, I think we're in that position now. Let's say we got Defour for £10m-£15m. He wouldn't need 20 assists to make this team work, just be part of the passing midfield we are missing that would help control games. That could then be the basis we build out success on.
ciderman said:There is £164m in the bank, of which only a possible £95m can go to the Glazers (i stress possible because it's just not necessary for them to take that much, the £70m carve-out alone will be enough to gain control of the the PIK's). Add to that £40m+ for Rooney (if he's sold) and there's a huge chunk of cash there. The Glazers will not neglect their asset; when cash is needed - when SAF requires it - it will be made available, just as it always has been since 2005. Controlling the PIK's with minimum dividends and keeping United competitive through healthy investment will be the far more profitable strategy come 2017 than would starving the asset of vital funds and eliminating the PIK's early be, and, as such, this is the strategy that the Glazers will almost certainly adopt; exactly as David Gill has always told us it would be.
ralphie said:The Glazers can take more than £95m out can't they?
ciderman said:A little bit more actually i think. Since the release of the accounts i think it's more like £98m, but that's it. They'll only need the carve-out of £70m though to stabilise the PIK's, anything extra then would be a luxury to them and would not be profitable to extract if it was to the detriment of necessary squad investment.
By my calculations the £70m carve-out alone will be enough to ensure that (with one more payment of around £40m made sometime between next season and 2016) by 2017 the PIK's would be only about the same level that they're at now, only through healthy squad investment the asset will have been able to flourish unbridled and reach its full commercial potential, which is vast. Neglect the asset in favour of eliminating the PIK's though and the club will stagnate accordingly; they may have saved £250m through PIK elimination but they'll have missed out on potentially £500m (or quite conceivably more) additional value to their asset by killing its commercial attractivity, stalling its revenues across the board and likely suffering unto it large-scale and unprecedented fan boycotts. Not an attractive or profitable route to take.
I think this is a bit different than 06/07 really. We had a much younger squad back then, a Scholes, Giggs and VDS in their prime, a Rooney and Ronaldo always likely to set the world on fire. An injury free Rio Ferdinand. We had just signed Vidic and Evra 6 months before that.
I agree Defour would be a super signing, and by 'big' signings I don't necessarily mean the big names like Sniejder or Pato or whomever. I just mean players likely to make an instant impact. Defour, Hamsik, Bale, Rodallega. We can't do what we did last Summer and take a punt on youngsters like Smalling and Bebe this time round.
If Rooney is gone, and VDS, Scholes, Giggs and Neville more than likely retire, then one player ala Carrick is not going to fix things, no way.
No cash to spend. We're losing quality and replacing it with value. That's ok if we want to keep coming 2nd, and soon 3rd, 4th and 5th. But it's not going to keep win us titles. It's not panic, it's the slow realization that with Glazers in charge this is where we are headed.
Again, FAO all those saying that we've got no money, consider my post to ralphie yesterday...
Believe it or not (most of you wont) but there is already plenty of money there to be spent and it makes solid business sense to spend it wisely with healthy investment in the playing squad. Do not let our transfer activity over the last twelve months fool you; United are far from being skint.
Did we though?
Rafael, Fabio, Hernandez, Macheda, Evans, Anderson, Nani and Smalling. They are still very much players for the future.
Now the "young" players of 06/07 have grown into the experienced players at our club, Fletcher, Ferdinand, Park, Vidic, Evra, O'Shea and Brown.
As for the players soon retiring, Neville, Scholes, Giggs and Van Der Sar; Neville has a natural replacement in Rafael and backup in Brown and O'Shea, Scholes is not yet replaced, and some might say irreplacable but we will need to find someone, Giggs as a winger we have Nani and Valencia as first choice replacement's already while Van Der Sar will need to be replaced although I think PIG can hold his own for the short term if we don't get a replacement in time.
Well yes, we most certainly did. Our oldest players then are our oldest players now, apart from Solskjaer, who wasn't really much of a figure that season. We didn't have as big a squad maybe but we had a stronger first XI and subs bench, that's for sure. Carrick was the missing link we needed back then. I don't ever recall anyone saying we needed anything other than a Keano replacement in midfield, we got that in Carrick, though at the time it wasn't what most people wanted.
Well Nani is already our best winger, Evans is already our 3rd choice CB, Rafael is basically our first choice RB. Anderson, feck knows. Smalling looks promising. The jury is still very much out on Macheda and Fabio.
Young? They were all at least 25 going into 06/07 (bar Fletcher maybe?), how is that young? Every single one of those players was just about to enter the peak of their career. Now they're all either in the peak of their career or about to fall out of it.
Now, this is where it lies. You've pretty much named all 3 positions we need replacements in right there, and that's without even mentioning the fact that our best striker is probably off. We do need a new keeper, PIG isn't good enough, simples. Hopefully De Gea perhaps. We need a Scholes replacement, no doubt. A playmaker of some sort, a Defour, a Hamsik, whomever. We need another winger. Nani is almost wasted on the left so I don't want him AND Valencia being our first choice all the time. Get a Bale, a Sanchez.
And Rooney? Well, if we include a replacement for him that's 4 signings needed. Luckily our best youth options are our strikers.
I don't mean to be negative, I just think that we realistically do need to sign a few players, it ain't like 06/07, not in the slightest.
This is a freak Scenario though, take out Scholes, Giggs, Van Der Sar and Neville and there is no difference in our sqauds age wise other than the fact we now have a plethora of genuinely quality young talent at our disposal.
Just my point, compare that to 06/07 and the young players we had then aside from Rooney and Ronaldo? Rossi, Pique, Richardson, Jones and Shawcross.
Compare that again to Rafael, Fabio, Hernandez, Macheda, Evans, Anderson, Nani and Smalling.
I said "young". Like I just said above we really lacked genuinely young talented players.
Lets say we sign De Gea and Defour.
Ah so we're signing 2 players now, not one?
That is a team and sqaud capable of challenging with just two additions. I'm not saying it definately would win everything, but who is to say that Ozil, Sneijder and De Rossi added to our team would either?
It's got a balance in the team and in the squad and it lets our young players come through still.
A plethora? Really? None of them are guaranteed to make it. None of them can ever be as good as Rooney and Ronaldo were always likely to be. And taking out Scholes, Giggs, and VDS is a pretty fecking big deal isn't it? They were all hugely instrumental in those 3 super successful seasons. You can't just 'take them out'
You can't class Nani as youth, he's 23, nearly 24. By your terms he'd by "youth". I'll agree that there is more talented youth at the club now though, but there ain't as much PROVEN talent, not with Ronaldo gone, Rooney going, and those big guns retiring.
When did I mention either of those 3? I didn't, you did
Compare your new 'first xi', I'm leaving out De Gea, because you said PIG would be perfectly fine and we only needed a Defour type player to reclick or whatever.
Kuszcack
Rafael - Ferdinand - Vidic - Evra
Fletcher - Carrick - Defour - Nani
Hernandez - Berbatov
to our 06/07 First xi:
VDS
Neville Ferdinand Vidic Evra
Ronaldo Carrick Scholes Giggs
Rooney Saha
Given the ages of the players in the respective years, do you genuinely think that teams close to the level of 06/07? And let's not even bother naming our best XI in 07/08, will we?
Yes we know the money is there, in fact it has been there since we got the £80m for ronaldo and the AON money £40m was it?
That does not mean we will or even have to spend it. Hernadez has been brought in plus Welbeck and Macheda are developing.
If they are not good enough then I would imagine they would be shipped out and then replacements brought in.
I think this Rooney situation will open up a whole pandoras box about what state the club really is in. Its my view that when he does leave United and Fergie have to put everything on the table for everyone to see.
There are only two roads open to us now and it will be interesting and probably gut wrenching to see which one we take. We either continue on with this current transfer policy/PR campaign about having the money but no value in the market or we actively recruit world class talent at the top of their game.
I personally think now we are 4 top class players away from the heights of 2008 with Rooneys impending departure and I have serious doubts about our ability to get them. I think the spectre of Liverpool is whats really worrying us, more so than a petulant arrogant immature manchild who doesnt know a good thing when he sees it.
When this all falls into place and the world will watching Fergie and Gill we will finally know how healthy our club is.
No way back for him now. Basically he's telling his teammates you aren't good enough.