A people's Revolution

I'm surprised at the lack of interest in the people's revolution in Syria. There's been a brutal clampdown on demonstrations, hundreds of arrests, alleged torturing of opposition leaders and occasional massacres to boot.

It would also be interesting to hear from our Cairo correspondent about the aftermath of the revolution there- what the political climate is like there at the moment.

I personally am not that surprised, the outrage over Libyan atrocities seems to be more to justify our involvement over there. Rather than a genuine empathy for suffering civilians.

If we were genuinely morally obliged to intervene in disputes such as these then as you rightly imply, we should be focusing and condemning all such goings on rather than just one in particular.very

It would not surprise me however, if at a later date, these same atrocities in countries which are being presently overlooked, are not sometime in the future brought to light in the media, to again justify to the public yet more humanitarian intervention in any one of these countries.
 
Not sure why the "atrocities" in Lybia appear any more worthy of a military intervention than events in Syria, but that wasn't my point.

Nobody on here suggested military intervention in Egypt, yet the people's uprising got the world's and the caf's attention. In contrast, the dramatic events in Syria go almost unnoticed.
 
Not sure why the "atrocities" in Lybia appear any more worthy of a military intervention than events in Syria, but that wasn't my point.

Nobody on here suggested military intervention in Egypt, yet the people's uprising got the world's and the caf's attention. In contrast, the dramatic events in Syria go almost unnoticed.

UK, and probably France have Billions riding on signed contracts. The Colonel cannot be allowed to win.
 
UK, and probably France have Billions riding on signed contracts. The Colonel cannot be allowed to win.

Agreed. West will never allow him to win now. Wars are fought over resources and strategic interests and not over democracy and all that rubbish that is spouted by the govt's of nato.

Qaddafi to Trade West for Russia, China and India

Date: Wednesday, March 16, 2011


As Western companies have shut-in production and evacuated staff in Libya amid the violent political crisis taking place in the North African country, Libya’s leader Colonel Muammar Qaddafi is looking for a return of oil production. To achieve this Qaddafi has called on Chinese, Russian, and Indian firms to replace those Western companies who have shut-in operations, according to state news agency Jana.

“The leader of the revolution met on Sunday the ambassadors of China, Russia and India, with whom he discussed the progress of bilateral relations and an invitation to firms from these countries to exploit Libyan oil,” Jana reported.

As the opposition against the government gained momentum and its oil production numbers hit an all time low, the Libyan leader Qaddafi threatened to throw out Western oil companies operating in the country. “We are ready to bring Chinese and Indian companies to replace Western ones,” he said.

Qaddafi’s statements come as loyalist troops have been able to push back opposition fighters, taking back control of a number of towns to the east and west of Tripoli. His statements also follow the news of the G-8’s complete inability to make a decision as regards what to do with Libya and Qaddafi’s bombing of civilians. If Western nations were reluctant to act against Qaddafi previously in part due to a desire to maintain access to its vast reserves, the Colonel’s statements could give some Western nations the motivation to act on behalf of the opposition.

The Arab League has already long made clear its support of implementing a "no-fly zone." However, at this stage of the game with loyalist forces now organized and gaining substantial ground, such an action would come late and not be as effective as it would have two weeks ago, and surely meet greater resistance.
 
Not sure why the "atrocities" in Lybia appear any more worthy of a military intervention than events in Syria., but that wasn't my point. Nobody on here suggested military intervention in Egypt, yet the people's uprising got the world's and the caf's attention. In contrast, the dramatic events in Syria go almost unnoticed.

It is understandable this question would come from somebody within Israel that supports every act of aggression by the IDF. Kill and destroy everything, right HLR?


Very honorable of you to shit-stir on an issue of the USA intervening with military force, as if it were a huge success in places such as Iraq and Afghanistan?


This is why I am finding it more and more difficult to stomach these conversations.
 
UK, and probably France have Billions riding on signed contracts. The Colonel cannot be allowed to win.

I find it amusing how they have avoided that much controversy, the whole reason for the involvement is so some rich French and British businessmen can make a lot of money with the contracts they have with Lybia, I wish the US would have used some cruise missiles on them as well.
 
It is understandable this question would come from somebody within Israel that supports every act of aggression by the IDF. Kill and destroy everything, right HLR?


Very honorable of you to shit-stir on an issue of the USA intervening with military force, as if it were a huge success in places such as Iraq and Afghanistan?


This is why I am finding it more and more difficult to stomach these conversations.

Forgot to take your medication, Bob?
 
Syria buries scores of dead; more protests due | Reuters

(Reuters) - Scores of pro-democracy protesters killed by security forces will be buried across Syria in funerals expected to attract large crowds on Saturday and fuel mounting defiance against authoritarian rule.

A group of activists coordinating the demonstrations said regular forces and gunmen loyal to President Bashar al-Assad shot dead at least 88 civilians on Friday. Rights groups had earlier put the death toll at a minimum of 70.

The Local Coordination Committees activist group sent Reuters a list with names of 88 people classified by region. The group said they were killed in areas stretching from the port city of Latakia to Homs, Hama, Damascus and the southern village of Izra'a.

It was by far the bloodiest day yet in a month of demonstrations demanding political freedoms and an end to corruption in the country of 20 million people.
 
The Assad Regime are unwittingly doing everything in their power to enrage the population, which of course will only grow the demonstrations and accelerate the demise of the regime. The question is, what will the international community do.
 
The Assad Regime are unwittingly doing everything in their power to enrage the population, which of course will only grow the demonstrations and accelerate the demise of the regime. The question is, what will the international community do.

Well this is one uprising I think the neighbours will be cheering on...

Lebanon
Israel
 
Well this is one uprising I think the neighbours will be cheering on...

Lebanon
Israel

I reckon you're wrong on both accounts. As far as Israel is concerned, I think the general consensus here is that of "better the devil you know". With all the indirect confrontations between the two countries (nuclear reactor raid apart) the border has been kept relatively quiet since 1973. I'm not sure, neither is anyone else, what type of regyme might replace that of Assad.

As for Lebanon, that very much depends ow you define Lebanon as a state, or who you're refering to as Lebanon. Al-Hariri's corner would be delighted at the fall of the Alawi regime, but Assad is absolutely vital for Hizballah. With him kicked out, the Iran-Syria-Hizballah (and Hamas & PIJ) axis would suffer a huge blow.
 
I thought you lot would be happy because of the growing links between Iran and Syria, and Assad falling would definitely put a damper on that front, also I obviously meant non Hezbollah Lebanon.

Obviously Pro-Hezbollah faction is a very significant amount of people, but I'd still think at least close to 60% of the country would be happy if there was a change in Syria, that led to Lebanon being left alone(in relative terms)

With Gaddaffi and Mubarak, people played the fundamentalists will take over card, but in the case of Syria, while the society might not be fundamentalist as a whole, the fact that it is bosom buddies with Iran, should mean, Assad out is a good thing, right?
 
I thought you lot would be happy because of the growing links between Iran and Syria, and Assad falling would definitely put a damper on that front, also I obviously meant non Hezbollah Lebanon.

Obviously Pro-Hezbollah faction is a very significant amount of people, but I'd still think at least close to 60% of the country would be happy if there was a change in Syria, that led to Lebanon being left alone(in relative terms)

With Gaddaffi and Mubarak, people played the fundamentalists will take over card, but in the case of Syria, while the society might not be fundamentalist as a whole, the fact that it is bosom buddies with Iran, should mean, Assad out is a good thing, right?

Not necessarily. Like in Egypt, the brotherhood is relatively strong in Syria where due to the regime brutality there is little other organized opposition. A fundamentalist-Sunni Syria may ber bad news to Iran and Hizballah, but the relative calm on the Golan Heights border isn't guaranteed. Moreover, Sunni and Shiia (or Alawi) have shown that they're capable of joining ranks when Israel fights the other corner.

Non-Hizballah Lebanon is a minority atm, at least politically. Having said that, Jumbalat may switch sides again soon...
 
I thought you lot would be happy because of the growing links between Iran and Syria, and Assad falling would definitely put a damper on that front, also I obviously meant non Hezbollah Lebanon.

Obviously Pro-Hezbollah faction is a very significant amount of people, but I'd still think at least close to 60% of the country would be happy if there was a change in Syria, that led to Lebanon being left alone(in relative terms)

With Gaddaffi and Mubarak, people played the fundamentalists will take over card, but in the case of Syria, while the society might not be fundamentalist as a whole, the fact that it is bosom buddies with Iran, should mean, Assad out is a good thing, right?

nope,most people prefer him to stay in power, a Sunni rule in Syria is bad new for both Christians and Shiites in Lebanon!
 
I love how Iran is being blamed for this....as if they're giving direct orders from tehran to shoot the protesters.

Yeah the Iranian part of the title was funny...but I thought the video was too good not to post, despite the obvious hyperbole.

I'm sure the Syrian forces are well versed in how to put down the masses, they've only been in power forever and ever.
 
More violence being reported today, more fatalities, and a lot of it centered around the town of Daraa(think it was one of the main areas of flash point earlier this month too).
 
Thank God for the Egyptian and Tunisian armies. Whether forced or not doesn't matter, the fact is they took our sides
 
Thank God for the Egyptian and Tunisian armies. Whether forced or not doesn't matter, the fact is they took our sides

Its only a matter of time before the same thing happens in Syria. Unfortunately, it looks like there wont be any outside help this time.
 
ummmm yeah, sorry about that, I really should have been a bit more descriptive with my warning, and thanks to the mod/admin, who spoilered the video, should have done it myself.
 
Its only a matter of time before the same thing happens in Syria. Unfortunately, it looks like there wont be any outside help this time.

What!? Why not?

Not sure why the "atrocities" in Lybia appear any more worthy of a military intervention than events in Syria, but that wasn't my point.

Nobody on here suggested military intervention in Egypt, yet the people's uprising got the world's and the caf's attention. In contrast, the dramatic events in Syria go almost unnoticed.

This.
 
SN reporting:

Residents in the Syrian city of Deraa are saying that the security forces are arresting all males over the age of 15 and taking them to a detention centre.

Very worrying development if it's true.

They are also reporting that the Arab members of the UN human rights council abstained from a vote condemning the violence.
 
Noam Chomsky: "The U.S. and Its Allies Will Do Anything to Prevent Democracy in the Arab World"


NOAM CHOMSKY: The U.S. and its allies will do anything they can to prevent authentic democracy in the Arab world. The reason is very simple. Across the region, an overwhelming majority of the population regards the United States as the main threat to their interests. In fact, opposition to U.S. policy is so high that a considerable majority think the region would be more secure if Iran had nuclear weapons. In Egypt, the most important country, that’s 80 percent. Similar figures elsewhere. There are some in the region who regard Iran as a threat—about 10 percent. Well, plainly, the U.S. and its allies are not going to want governments which are responsive to the will of the people. If that happens, not only will the U.S. not control the region, but it will be thrown out. So that’s obviously an intolerable result.

In the case of WikiLeaks, there was an interesting aside on this. The revelations from WikiLeaks that got the most publicity—headlines, euphoric commentary and so on—were that the Arabs support U.S. policy on Iran. They were quoting comments of Arab dictators. Yes, they claim to support U.S. policy on Iran. There was no mention of the Arab—of the Arab population, because it doesn’t matter. If the dictators support us, and the population is under control, then what’s the problem? This is like imperialism. What’s the problem if it works? As long as they can control their populations, fine. They can have campaigns of hatred; our friendly dictators will keep them under control. That’s the reaction not just of the diplomatic service in the State Department or of the media who reported this, but also of the general intellectual community. There is no comment on this. In fact, coverage of these polls is precisely zero in the United States, literally. There’s a few comments in England, but very little. It just doesn’t matter what the population thinks, as long as they’re under control.

Well, from these observations, you can conclude pretty quickly, pretty easily, what policies are going to be. You can almost spell them out. So in the case of an oil-rich country with a reliable, obedient dictator, they’re given free rein. Saudi Arabia is the most important. There were—it’s the most repressive, extremist, strongest center of Islamic fundamentalism, missionaries who spread ultra-radical Islamism from jihadis and so on. But they’re obedient, they’re reliable, so they can do what they like. There was a planned protest in Saudi Arabia. The police presence was so overwhelming and intimidating that literally nobody even was willing to show up in the streets of Riyadh. But that was fine. The same in Kuwait. There was a small demonstration, very quickly crushed, no comment.

Actually, the most interesting case in many respects is Bahrain. Bahrain is quite important for two reasons. One reason, which has been reported, is that it’s the home port of the U.S. Fifth Fleet, major military force in the region. Another more fundamental reason is that Bahrain is about 70 percent Shiite, and it’s right across the causeway from eastern Saudi Arabia, which also is majority Shiite and happens to be where most of Saudi oil is. Saudi Arabia, of course, is the main energy resource, has been since the '40s. By curious accident of history and geography, the world's major energy resources are located pretty much in Shiite regions. They’re a minority in the Middle East, but they happen to be where the oil is, right around the northern part of the Gulf. That’s eastern Saudi Arabia, southern Iraq and southwestern Iran. And there’s been a concern among planners for a long time that there might be a move towards some sort of tacit alliance in these Shiite regions moving towards independence and controlling the bulk of the world’s oil. That’s obviously intolerable.

So, going back to Bahrain, there was an uprising, tent city in the central square, like Tahrir Square. The Saudi-led military forces invaded Bahrain, giving the security forces there the opportunity to crush it violently, destroyed the tent city, even destroyed the Pearl, which is the symbol of Bahrain; invaded the major hospital complex, threw out the patients and the doctors; been regularly, every day, arresting human rights activists, torturing them, occasionally a sort of a pat on the wrist, but nothing much. That’s very much the Carothers principle. If actions correspond to our strategic and economic objectives, that’s OK. We can have elegant rhetoric, but what matters is facts.

Well, that’s the oil-rich obedient dictators. What about Egypt, most important country, but not a center of—major center of oil production? Well, in Egypt and Tunisia and other countries of that category, there is a game plan, which is employed routinely, so commonly it takes virtual genius not to perceive it. But when you have a favored dictator—for those of you who might think of going into the diplomatic service, you might as well learn it—when there’s a favored dictator and he’s getting into trouble, support him as long as possible, full support as long as possible. When it becomes impossible to support him—like, say, maybe the army turns against him, business class turns against him—then send him off somewhere, issue ringing declarations about your love of democracy, and then try to restore the old regime, maybe with new names. And that’s done over and over again. It doesn’t always work, but it’s always tried—Somoza, Nicaragua; Shah in Iran; Marcos in the Philippines; Duvalier in Haiti; Chun in South Korea; Mobutu in the Congo; Ceausescu is one of Western favorites in Romania; Suharto in Indonesia. It’s completely routine. And that’s exactly what’s going on in Egypt and Tunisia. OK, we support them right to the end—Mubarak in Egypt, right to the end, keep supporting him. Doesn’t work any longer, send him off to Sharm el-Sheikh, pull out the rhetoric, try to restore the old regime. That’s, in fact, what the conflict is about right now. As Amy said, we don’t know where it’s going to turn now, but that’s what’s going on.

Well, there’s another category. The other category is an oil-rich dictator who’s not reliable, who’s a loose cannon. That’s Libya. And there, there’s a different policy: try to get a more reliable dictator. And that’s exactly what’s happening. Of course, describe it as a humanitarian intervention. That’s another near historical universal. You check history, virtually every resort to force, by whoever it is, is accompanied by the most noble rhetoric. It’s all completely humanitarian. That includes Hitler taking over Czechoslovakia, the Japanese fascists rampaging in northeast China. In fact, it’s Mussolini in Ethiopia. There’s hardly any exceptions. So you produce that, and the media and commentators present—pretend they don’t notice that it has no—carries no information, because it’s reflexive.

And then—but in this case, they could also add something else, which has been repeated over and over again, namely, the U.S. and its allies were intervening in response to a request by the Arab League. And, of course, we have to recognize the importance of that. Incidentally, the response from the Arab League was tepid and was pretty soon rescinded, because they didn’t like what we were doing. But put that aside. At the very same time, the Arab League produced—issued another request. Here’s a headline from a newspaper: "Arab League Calls for Gaza No-Fly Zone." Actually, I’m quoting from the London Financial Times. That wasn’t reported in the United States. Well, to be precise, it was reported in the Washington Times, but basically blocked in the U.S., like the polls, like the polls of Arab public opinion, not the right kind of news. So, "Arab League Calls for Gaza No-Fly Zone," that’s inconsistent with U.S. policy, so that, we don’t have to honor and observe, and that disappeared.

Now, there are some polls that are reported. So here’s one from the New York Times a couple days ago. I’ll quote it. It said, "The poll found that a majority of Egyptians want to annul the 1979 peace treaty with Israel that has been a cornerstone of Egyptian foreign policy and the region’s stability." Actually, that’s not quite accurate. It’s been a cornerstone of the region’s instability, and that’s exactly why the Egyptian population wants to abandon it. The agreement essentially eliminated Egypt from the Israel-Arab conflict. That means eliminated the only deterrent to Israeli military action. And it freed up Israel to expand its operations—illegal operations—in the Occupied Territories and to attack its northern neighbor, to attack Lebanon. Shortly after, Israel attacked Lebanon, killed 20,000 people, destroyed southern Lebanon, tried to impose a client regime, didn’t quite make it. And that was understood. So the immediate reaction to the peace treaty in Israel was that there are things about it we don’t like—we’re going to have to abandon our settlements in the Sinai, in the Egyptian Sinai. But it has a good side, too, because now the only deterrent is gone; we can use force and violence to achieve our other goals. And that’s exactly what happened. And that’s exactly why the Egyptian population is opposed to it. They understand that, as does everyone in the region.

On the other hand, the Times wasn’t lying when they said that it led to the region’s stability. And the reason is because of the meaning of the word "stability" as a technical meaning. Stability is—it’s kind of like democracy. Stability means conformity to our interests. So, for example, when Iran tries to expand its influence in Afghanistan and Iraq, neighboring countries, that’s called "destabilizing." It’s part of the threat of Iran. It’s destabilizing the region. On the other hand, when the U.S. invades those countries, occupies them, half destroys them, that’s to achieve stability. And that is very common, even to the point where it’s possible to write—former editor of Foreign Affairs—that when the U.S. overthrew the democratic government in Chile and instituted a vicious dictatorship, that was because the U.S. had to destabilize Chile to achieve stability. That’s in one sentence, and nobody noticed it, because that’s correct, if you understand the meaning of the word "stability." Yeah, you overthrow a parliamentary government, you install a dictatorship, you invade a country and kill 20,000 people, you invade Iraq and kill hundreds of thousands of people—that’s all bringing about stability. Instability is when anyone gets in the way
 
He's got a point, although his contributions generally revolve around complaining without offering any solutions.

His simplistic take on the Israel-Egypt peace treaty is another example of his obsession with Israel.

Tells us a lot whan alleged "pacifists" object peace treaties that put decades of bloodshed behind (one would hope).
 
But he does offer a solution. Let the people of the Middle East decide for themselves.

The US isn't stopping the people of the Middle East from deciding themselves. At the same time, its daft to presuppose a powerful country like the US isn't going to play power politics to consolidate its interests.
 
His simplistic take on the Israel-Egypt peace treaty is another example of his obsession with Israel.

Tells us a lot whan alleged "pacifists" object peace treaties that put decades of bloodshed behind (one would hope).

Its the typical post-Marxist intellectual babble. He squanders what might be a decent hypothesis - the US not having sufficiently promoted Democracy - with his typical anti-US/anti-West nonsense. Probably why people don't pay more attention to his political ramblings.
 
He has got a point though that the downside of the treaty was removing Israel's main deterrent from throwing her weight around elsewhere. It's still probably saved more lives on balance though.
 
He has got a point though that the downside of the treaty was removing Israel's main deterrent from throwing her weight around elsewhere. It's still probably saved more lives on balance though.

Egypt? A deterrent from Israeli retaliation in Lebanon? Why would Egypt want to risk another defeat in a full-scale war because Israel had fought the PLO in Lebanon?