Brexited | the worst threads live the longest

Do you think there will be a Deal or No Deal?


  • Total voters
    194
  • Poll closed .
No small irony that Brexiteers are planning on using a vote that they bitterly whinged and moaned about mind.
Indeed... Similarly I'm sure the brexiteers will briefly love the European courts if they declare UK can't unilaterally revoke article 50
(Yet are aghast at the fact we Won't be able to revoke the backstop unilaterally)
 
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The worst nightmare of all worst nightmares, Bojo, Davis and Mogg running the country :nervous:
 
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The worst nightmare of all worst nightmares, Bojo, Davis and Mogg running the country :nervous:

The optimistic side of me hope it happens, we do Brexit for a week, everyone realises how shit it is, and the EU readmit us on the same terms. :(
 
But both are polling at around 40%. If people actually care about staying in the EU or changing both parties stances than there's this awful little liberal party that people can vote for. But no one is.


Your right but there's nothing particular left wing about the EU at all, the left isn't going to get be hide something like those awful god EU marches. So there's simply isn't the energy for changing people minds on EU membership as there was with the fight against austerity(Your pretty much asking the left to actively campaign to join a club that will completely feck you over once your in government.)

People who support remaining within the EU didn't vote Lib Dem for a multitude of reasons: the fact they're quite right-wing economically, the fact they screwed over students when in the coalition, and due to the fact they just weren't very good at campaigning last year, somehow managing to get outflanked by the fecking Tories on LGBT rights due to Farron. This is (again) a fairly selective point anyway though because if you're arguing the Lib Dems doing poorly is a reason not to go against Brexit then I could easily argue that Labour were daft for sticking with Corbyn between 2015 and 2017 (until the election) when he was generally polling poorly. Again - the point of politics is largely to convince the voting public that your own stance is right. Corbyn's generally done that, and it's why the left like him. Why's it suddenly the case that polling matters more on Brexit than it did on a whole array of other matters where Tory policies or ideas were often winning out?

The EU isn't left-wing but then unless we want to feck things up in Northern Ireland we're basically going to maintain a fairly similar relationship with them, but just without the perks that membership brings. If you want to drive the EU to the left then I'd argue the best way to do that is by getting left-wing parties across Europe to work together with the aim of making Brussels more left-wing. If left-wing parties actually focus on the EU election, there's no reason this can't happen. We're going to be closely tied to them anyway: it makes sense to try and work toward a more left-wing society within that framework instead of pretending we don't have to work closely with countries with whom we'll continue trading heavily with. The left probably had some solid arguments against the EU historically but that boat has passed now and we've moved toward a more globalised society anyway. That's not going to change.
 
Anyone been following Carol Cadwallader's exploits on Twitter?

We need a Mueller style investigation into Banks, Farage, Bannon, Mercers, et al.
 
I agree with your worries tbf. I just think something so deliberately polarising as a referendum, on something so fundamental to a country as how it functions legally, politically and economically, is always going to lead to the kind of ructions and ridiculousness that we have now. We're 6 months from leaving and it gets worse by the week.

I realise you're likely thinking of Scotland and that it would make independence that much harder, and it's an interesting case given the SNP are literally a party founded upon the idea and had won parliamentary elections multiple times before the vote. It's tough to strike a balance, but it just seems to me that the current way of doing it is insane :lol: It would also doom any chances of electoral reform here, but let's be honest, that's not happening anyway.

The Scotland case is obviously interesting, although not necessarily my only reason for being wary of the two-thirds approach for referendums. I'd also argue secession from a country is generally a unique case: with any other subject, if people want a referendum then can ultimately vote in a party who promises one; with a country breaking away that's not necessarily possible if the country in question doesn't make up a majority of its sovereign state.

Ultimately I think a significant part of the problem is that referendums should ideally be largely unnecessary in parliamentary democracies. In a way you could argue elections should almost be seen as referendums in their own unique way: if people wanted us to leave the EU, for example, then they should have voted for a party whose manifesto explicitly included that desire to leave. Things like electoral reform could be viewed through a similar lens: if it's something you really want then you should vote for a party who promises to implement it, and if you can't do that then the issue may not be important enough for you anyway. Obviously it doesn't really work like that, but to an extent there is arguably a silliness in holding referendums concerning big political decisions for the country when we elect our MP's for that specific purpose.
 
I’m not sure I understand - if you say there is nothing wrong with a second vote (and I am not advocating reversing Brexit without such a vote), then why is it so “serious”? The vote was incredibly close first time around (despite May initially acting like it was 80:20) and material new facts have emerged (or at least can no longer be denied), principally the fact that tbe EU is not going to give the UK a fantastic, cake and eat it deal. Therefore, as in every other area of life when circumstances change, the right course is to reassess whether we still want to proceed on that basis, knowing that the alternatives are not a bucaneering Britannia unchained but either chaos or an inferior version of the status quo.

Somebody mentioned the possibility of simply revoking article 50. I was reply to that.
 
No small irony that Brexiteers are planning on using a vote that they bitterly whinged and moaned about mind.

We whinged about her interference at the time because her intent was to try and stop brexit. However, the irony of ensuring that the article 50 bill had to pass through parliament meant that it would became law for the UK to leave the EU in March 2019 if the bill passed. It did pass, and it means there can be no reversal. So her attempt to stop it, led to it being sealed by law.
 
In a way you could argue elections should almost be seen as referendums in their own unique way: if people wanted us to leave the EU, for example, then they should have voted for a party whose manifesto explicitly included that desire to leave. Things like electoral reform could be viewed through a similar lens: if it's something you really want then you should vote for a party who promises to implement it, and if you can't do that then the issue may not be important enough for you anyway. Obviously it doesn't really work like that, but to an extent there is arguably a silliness in holding referendums concerning big political decisions for the country when we elect our MP's for that specific purpose.

Cameron included an EU referendum in his manifesto in order to win over UKIP voters and get a majority government. He then had to deliver on it.
 
You have a NATO like agreement where the EU army is automatically used to defend any nations state that comes under attack. Beyond that, you only allow aggressive action if it’s agreed by all member states.

Isn't that pretty much what we've got now? I'm sure if any European country came under attack then there would be a significant number of countries stepping in to help, whether that country was in the EU or not.
 
Isn't that pretty much what we've got now? I'm sure if any European country came under attack then there would be a significant number of countries stepping in to help, whether that country was in the EU or not.

Without structure and coordination armies are very ineffective.

If you add 27 countries and languages, it is actually quite complicated.
 
https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politic...e-things-weve-learned-about-public-opinion-br

There really Isn't a clear way forwards

Perhaps we should just build a wall down the middle of the country... The west stays in Europe and the east leaves with no deal... And people move where they want... Yes it's impractical unworkable in reality and would be unpopular... But looking at those polls so is
2nd referendum (which looks unlikely to deliver anything other than a very close result)
Staying in the EU
Leaving with this deal
Renegotiation of the deal
And no deal

I recall reading the Republic by Plato and him saying democracy is doomed to fail

Might have been onto something as it does seem fertile ground for some despotic populist (a UK trump if you will) to come to power
 
Miller said he voted to leave because he thought Brussels imposed some “silly” laws on the UK. “Why should we be dominated by them?” But he also had an unusual main reason for supporting leave. “I follow the prophesies in the Bible and a split in Europe was prophesied. Europe will never unite again. God has said so.”
'It’s a fudge – not what we voted for': the Brexit view from Shropshire ~

https://www.theguardian.com/politic...ZKHGQLU7Dzl4SMXy_tn8hjeMwdBKV9Q4yV7OvNT5NzVoI
 
Without structure and coordination armies are very ineffective.

If you add 27 countries and languages, it is actually quite complicated.
The default language in NATO is of course English and to be fair working with them I have never encountered any issues in co-ordinating things... Not to say it can't happen and it couldbt be better but in my experience the structure there works well

I do wonder though in an EU army... And intact in EU institutions in general when (if?) The UK leaves will they start to have french fr German as the primary communication language?
 
Turbulent week ahead possibly. Looks like May could be hit with a vote of no confidence tomorrow, but if she manages to ride it she cant be hit with another one for a year. The Brexit deal is widely expected to be rejected in the commons, and its probable that the DUP will withdraw their support, leaving the tories without a majority government. Tories reportedly do not expect to win an election with May as leader (believable), which makes me wonder if she will have lost her governments backing by the end of the week. Lots of ifs and buts, but I think she's finished.
 
https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politic...e-things-weve-learned-about-public-opinion-br

There really Isn't a clear way forwards

Perhaps we should just build a wall down the middle of the country... The west stays in Europe and the east leaves with no deal... And people move where they want... Yes it's impractical unworkable in reality and would be unpopular... But looking at those polls so is
2nd referendum (which looks unlikely to deliver anything other than a very close result)
Staying in the EU
Leaving with this deal
Renegotiation of the deal
And no deal

I recall reading the Republic by Plato and him saying democracy is doomed to fail

Might have been onto something as it does seem fertile ground for some despotic populist (a UK trump if you will) to come to power

The problem with that is that it assumes that the EU would be willing to renegotiate. I think patience on that side of the border is running thin

In my opinion the UK should ask the EU if and in what terms the UK will be in if they decide not to leave the EU. Then a second referendum should be set offering the following

A- No deal brexit
B- leaving the EU on the deal negotiated by TM
C- staying in the EU on the conditions discussed and agreed upon with the EU
 
The default language in NATO is of course English and to be fair working with them I have never encountered any issues in co-ordinating things... Not to say it can't happen and it couldbt be better but in my experience the structure there works well

I do wonder though in an EU army... And intact in EU institutions in general when (if?) The UK leaves will they start to have french fr German as the primary communication language?

English isn't necessarily the primary language in EU insitutions, for example the ECJ works in french.
 
The problem with that is that it assumes that the EU would be willing to renegotiate. I think patience on that side of the border is running thin

In my opinion the UK should ask the EU if and in what terms the UK will be in if they decide not to leave the EU. Then a second referendum should be set offering the following

A- No deal brexit
B- leaving the EU on the deal negotiated by TM
C- staying in the EU on the conditions discussed and agreed upon with the EU
3 options....
Just hypothetical
33%,32%35%
65% have voted Leave and we remain... Seems unlikely they would offer 3 votes And if they did I guess it might have to be single transferable vote

I honestly think leave with no deal then start to negotiate seems the most likley... It's a rubbish solution but given the timescales and a lack of clear direction (from the UK side) it seems the most likley
 
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Second EU referendum 'not an option for today', says Jeremy Corbyn

https://news.sky.com/story/second-eu-referendum-not-an-option-for-today-says-jeremy-corbyn-11557192

As close as you are going to get to a answer to a second referendum from Corbyn.
I know he says he wants a ge and that is labour policy
Fair enough... They might be one called in a few weeks
So fundamental question... Would a 2nd referendum be in labours manifesto

I suspect as he won't even say how he would vote he's just going to avoid giving an opinion...

Straight forward honest politics indeed
 
To be honest, a second referendum will never pass parliament until it becomes clear we are crashing out.
 
The problem with that is that it assumes that the EU would be willing to renegotiate. I think patience on that side of the border is running thin

In my opinion the UK should ask the EU if and in what terms the UK will be in if they decide not to leave the EU. Then a second referendum should be set offering the following

A- No deal brexit
B- leaving the EU on the deal negotiated by TM
C- staying in the EU on the conditions discussed and agreed upon with the EU

C would obviously win, as leavers would be split between A & B .

Nice try.
 
Turbulent week ahead possibly. Looks like May could be hit with a vote of no confidence tomorrow, but if she manages to ride it she cant be hit with another one for a year. The Brexit deal is widely expected to be rejected in the commons, and its probable that the DUP will withdraw their support, leaving the tories without a majority government. Tories reportedly do not expect to win an election with May as leader (believable), which makes me wonder if she will have lost her governments backing by the end of the week. Lots of ifs and buts, but I think she's finished.

Yeah, she's surely done for. Will be replaced by a Brexiteer, who will then push ahead with 'no deal' (no time to start negotiations from scratch). Said Brexiteer will then blame the ensuing chaos on the EU.
 
3 options....
Just hypothetical
33%,32%35%
65% have voted Leave and we remain... Seems unlikely they would offer 3 votes And if they did I guess it might have to be single transferable vote

I honestly think leave with no deal then start to negotiate seems the most likley... It's a rubbish solution but given the timescales and a lack of clear direction (from the UK side) it seems the most likley

Crashing out without a deal would be devastating for the UK. It would put them into such desperate situation that they would sign anything thrown at them to get out of the situation they will be in. Brexiteers would be mad to go for it.
 
Honestly I think the EU is way better off without the UK so no 'nice try' at all. I only listed all the options the UK has at the moment.

The EU isn't better off without us, and TM's deal is not an option, as it will be rejected by just about everyone.
 
:lol:

Two leave options and one remain option. Pretty obvious what the percentages would favour.
Read the edit which makes it clear (as I knew I'd need to based on caftards inability to read posts and infer intended meaning)

The second vote is used if leave wins. It's not 3 options FFS. It's clarification on leave...

You vote for yes or no. And then you vote for what would happen if leave wins.

For you that would be leave, leave with no deal.
For me that would be remain, leave with deal.

The EU isn't better off without us, and TM's deal is not an option, as it will be rejected by just about everyone.
So why is it a nice try if you think no one would go for Mays deal, therefore no split vote?
 
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Read the edit which makes it clear (as I knew I'd need to ;))

You vote for yes or no. And then you vote for what would happen if leave wins.

For you that would be leave, leave with no deal.
For me that would be remain, leave with deal.


So why is it a nice try if you think no one go for Mays deal, therefore no split vote?

It wasn't needed, your booleans were on point.