Brexited | the worst threads live the longest

Do you think there will be a Deal or No Deal?


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  • Poll closed .
As long as we operate under neoliberalism, the wins for nominally left-wing parties aren't wins - they're ways to stop the bleeding temporarily even as the monster on the other side grows.

Your next post, about the privilege of sitting out:
FT_17.05.10_Voter-turnout.png

So that entire rant about Harambe and Stein and privilege - how d'you square that view of history with basic facts about voters?

What about looking at the policies of the Obama presidency, in handling the financial crisis: https://jacobinmag.com/2017/12/obama-foreclosure-crisis-wealth-inequality
Screen-Shot-2017-12-07-at-10.25.17-AM.png

Win!
Good post.

Even with the Brexit Leave campaign which was of course a racist and xenophobic there was a surprising level of anti EU vote in the British Asian vote.
A number of jurisdictions with large South Asian populations delivered Leave votes, including Luton (56.5% Leave), Hillingdon (56.4% Leave), Slough (54.3% Leave) and Bradford (54.2% Leave). All have South Asian populations of 25% and above. It’s not unreasonable to think that such Leave votes could not have been delivered without a significant number of Asian voters opting for Brexit.

And more recently released ward-level data from the West London boroughs of Ealing and Hounslow provides strong support for the idea that Asian voters were more inclined towards Leave than the polls suggested. In these two multi-ethnic boroughs, non-white ethnicity was associated with voting Leave, defying the wider national trend.

In both boroughs, the more prosperous, mainly white wards voted strongly in favour of Remain. The Asian areas, on the other hand, were much more evenly split between Remain and Leave (it’s also worth mentioning that the poorer, largely white areas containing council estates voted to Leave).
http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/brexit/2017/02/20/the-british-asian-vote-for-brexit-contains-a-few-surprises/

It's far more complicated than Seth and anarchist friends not taking part.
 
Where would the UK should there be any other leader PM Brexit? Idk, invent a parallel universe machine and find out.
I image it's the same universe where Paul vote for Cameron in 2015 doesn't lead to a referendum that brings the UK out the EU.
 
Where would the UK should there be any other leader PM Brexit? Idk, invent a parallel universe machine and find out.

Have a leader, from whichever party, who is sensible and rational and understands how the EU works and who stops wasting time posturing trying to boost his /her own career instead of the country's future, and makes a definitive decision.
 
Not really. It's just that all you've got is trying to make out that who people voted for previously has any relation to anything whatsoever, clearly angling to suggest Paul had no right to criticise Brexit because of how you thought he voted, same as the "didn't you vote Lib Dem?" aimed at me which apparently means I'm not allowed an opinion on the matter either.

It's not confusing, it's just shit and all you have.
 
Not really. It's just that all you've got is trying to make out that who people voted for previously has any relation to anything whatsoever, clearly angling to suggest Paul had no right to criticise Brexit because of how you thought he voted, same as the "didn't you vote Lib Dem?" aimed at me which apparently means I'm not allowed an opinion on the matter either.

It's not confusing, it's just shit and all you have.
I've never said you can't have a opinion(Although if any mods are listening if I could have that type of power it would be great, thanks). Just that your always moaning about how Labour are unelectable yet at the same time your actively voting against them getting into power. I would take the moaning more seriously if you were like one of the progress lot who for some reason still vote Labour.
 
Stans universe is the most legit so far

But as I said yesterday, it didn't happen and if I had voted Tory and were still living in one the safest Tory seats in the country, it would have made no difference.
I would have made a considered decision , probably I would have because I would have known what Corbyn was like but Labour had never ever won the seat where I lived. If I'd have thought about it and considered that there was a risk maybe I wouldn't. Who knows?

I didn't vote for him in 2010 either, I wasn't living in the UK for either of the elections.
 
Specifically what is it about the stage 1 and 2 agreements that you think make the Norway deal possible?

I've seen you cite this before but never explained why.
Because Britain is already a signatory and legislatively bound by the EEA.

www.efta.int/eea/eea-agreement/eea-basic-features

www.ft.com/content/16b50be8-161c-38d3-83b8-14b04faa9580

The only problem with the EEA is its essentially committing to movement of goods, persons, services and capital. All of which are a "softer" brexit. I wonder how Switzerland controls migration? Surely theres something in that.

It also makes Britain free to seek trade agreements on its own.

Theres also a cost to Britain, but it might work for a few years until theres a GE and a government gets time to undo 50 years of legislation and agreements.
 
Because Britain is already a signatory and legislatively bound by the EEA.

www.efta.int/eea/eea-agreement/eea-basic-features

www.ft.com/content/16b50be8-161c-38d3-83b8-14b04faa9580

The only problem with the EEA is its essentially committing to movement of goods, persons, services and capital. All of which are a "softer" brexit. I wonder how Switzerland controls migration? Surely theres something in that.

It also makes Britain free to seek trade agreements on its own.

Theres also a cost to Britain, but it might work for a few years until theres a GE and a government gets time to undo 50 years of legislation and agreements.

Switzerland abides to FOM.

Also this might help you understand that what you're suggesting is not as easy as you think

http://lawyersforbritain.org/brexit...rt-6-can-we-stay-in-the-eea-without-agreement
 
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Switzerland abides to FOM.

Also this might help you understand that what you're suggesting is not as easy as you think

http://lawyersforbritain.org/brexit...rt-6-can-we-stay-in-the-eea-without-agreement
But dont you have to apply to Switzerland if you want to move there?

Thanks will have a read.

Edit: so the work that needs to be done is around defining the "personality" of the UK post exit so that the "machinery" of the EEA still applies? (if thats what Britain wants for the near future)

As far as requiring the approval of the member states, thats still a requirement for any agreement on exit, and will still require writing legislation defining the relationship post exit. Approval (not sure if ratification is the right way to describe it) is still required from all EU states.

So it cant be any harder than whats happening now.

The purpose of getting into / onto the EEA is just buying time to work out a way to handle Brexit properly without just crashing out with no deal whatsoever.

I assumed that the EEA was an option regardless, obviously not.
 
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But dont you have to apply to Switzerland if you want to move there?

Thanks will have a read.

Edit: so the work that needs to be done is around defining the "personality" of the UK post exit so that the "machinery" of the EEA still applies surely?

As far as requiring the approval of the member states, thats still a requirement for any agreement on exit, and will still require writing legislation defining the relationship post exit.

So it cant be any harder than whats happening now.

Nope. Switzerland tried to force the hand by changing the rules but they had to backtrack

I am no lawyer but from what I can gather, when the UK entered the EU it somehow modified its membership with the EEA. Hence, returning to the EEA will require the go ahead of the EU and the other EEA members.

If you ask me, the EU is getting a bit fed up of the UK constantly trying to weasel its way to the good old cherry picking strategy. It really risk pissing off its partners enough to be shown the door in few months time with no transitional period and a classic good riddance reply. That would be disastrous for the UK.
 
Nope. Switzerland tried to force the hand by changing the rules but they had to backtrack

I am no lawyer but from what I can gather, when the UK entered the EU it somehow modified its membership with the EEA. Hence, returning to the EEA will require the go ahead of the EU and the other EEA members.

If you ask me, the EU is getting a bit fed up of the UK constantly trying to weasel its way to the good old cherry picking strategy. It really risk pissing off its partners enough to be shown the door in few months time with no transitional period and a classic good riddance reply. That would be disastrous for the UK.

It's even simpler than that, EEA is part of the EU package(It's a single entity) for EU members, if you leave the EU you leave everything.
 
It's even simpler than that, EEA is part of the EU package(It's a single entity) for EU members, if you leave the EU you leave everything.

I am no lawyer so I can't really be 100% sure about that. However, what I do feel comfortable about is the irritation, this constant cherry picking strategies must be sounding among EU politicians. Countries enter into relationships together because they trust one another and its mutual beneficial in equal ways. The moment one of those get broken then you can kiss this relationship goodbye. The UK keeps with this colonial master attitude of imposing a deal then it really risking ending up with nothing
 
I am no lawyer so I can't really be 100% sure about that. However, what I do feel comfortable about is the irritation, this constant cherry picking strategies must be sounding among EU politicians. Countries enter into relationships together because they trust one another and its mutual beneficial in equal ways. The moment one of those get broken then you can kiss this relationship goodbye. The UK keeps with this colonial master attitude of imposing a deal then it really risking ending up with nothing

For EU members, EEA is part of the first pillar out of three. Type "EU pillars" on google and you will see charts that makes it easier to understand.
 
Not really. It's just that all you've got is trying to make out that who people voted for previously has any relation to anything whatsoever, clearly angling to suggest Paul had no right to criticise Brexit because of how you thought he voted, same as the "didn't you vote Lib Dem?" aimed at me which apparently means I'm not allowed an opinion on the matter either.

It's not confusing, it's just shit and all you have.
The 'Didn't you vote Lib Dem' was in response to you complaining about politicians abstaining on crucial votes and/or voting with the government. You know, like they spent years doing but apparently not enough to lose your vote. Now, back to you complaining that people don't have principles when it comes to politics...

I've never said you can't have a opinion(Although if any mods are listening if I could have that type of power it would be great, thanks). Just that your always moaning about how Labour are unelectable yet at the same time your actively voting against them getting into power. I would take the moaning more seriously if you were like one of the progress lot who for some reason still vote Labour.
Oscie is genuinely worried about austerity and the NHS post-Brexit. The only good austerity and damage done to the NHS is the Lib Dem enabled variety.
 
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-44671507

Brexit: Third customs model devised ahead of cabinet talks

Downing Street has produced a third model for handling customs after the UK leaves the EU, the BBC understands.

Details of the new plan have not been revealed publicly but senior ministers will discuss it at Chequers, the prime minister's country retreat, on Friday.

Ministers have been involved in heated discussions recently as they tried to choose between two earlier models.

Tory backbencher Jacob Rees-Mogg says the PM risks a revolt if the type of Brexit she promised is not delivered.

Writing in the Daily Telegraph, Mr Rees-Mogg said he and other members of the 60-strong group of Eurosceptic Tory MPs he leads, known as the European Research Group, would reject a deal that did not amount to a clean break with the EU.

But amid signs of widening Conservative divisions, Foreign Office minister Alan Duncan suggested the "insolent" MP should "pipe down".
 
Oh good, a third one.

this is just a repeating cycle now of them coming up with customs models, going to the EU, the EU telling them "no, that's not in line with what we do", them going back saying "feck the EU, they won't negotiate at all, it's their fault". I wonder how many the UK will get through before they crash out in March?

But hey, at least they can blame the EU.
 
Because Britain is already a signatory and legislatively bound by the EEA.

www.efta.int/eea/eea-agreement/eea-basic-features

www.ft.com/content/16b50be8-161c-38d3-83b8-14b04faa9580

The only problem with the EEA is its essentially committing to movement of goods, persons, services and capital. All of which are a "softer" brexit. I wonder how Switzerland controls migration? Surely theres something in that.

It also makes Britain free to seek trade agreements on its own.

Theres also a cost to Britain, but it might work for a few years until theres a GE and a government gets time to undo 50 years of legislation and agreements.

It makes Britain free to negotiate their own trade agreements. Two significant problems with this.

1. The real big problem - much bigger than tariffs , much bigger than having to apply the 4 freedoms - you have to have a hard border. This is the killer.

2. Why will the expert UK negotiating teams, note the irony, be able to negotiate better deals than they already have. And you won't need one team, you'll need dozens of them.
 
Oh good, a third one.

this is just a repeating cycle now of them coming up with customs models, going to the EU, the EU telling them "no, that's not in line with what we do", them going back saying "feck the EU, they won't negotiate at all, it's their fault". I wonder how many the UK will get through before they crash out in March?

But hey, at least they can blame the EU.

The EU have already seen a draft and it's already been rejected out of hand. More cake, vicar.
 
It makes Britain free to negotiate their own trade agreements. Two significant problems with this.

1. The real big problem - much bigger than tariffs , much bigger than having to apply the 4 freedoms - you have to have a hard border. This is the killer.

2. Why will the expert UK negotiating teams, note the irony, be able to negotiate better deals than they already have. And you won't need one team, you'll need dozens of them.

There can't be a hard border.
 
So what actually happens when the UK goes for the hard Brexit and violates the Good Friday agreement?

They can't violate the GFA - it's written into Law. The only way they could would be to change the law which is impossible as the House of Lords would veto it immediately (if it even got to the HOL which it wouldn't)
 
Ok but what happens when they violate the law?

A return to the Troubles? Bombs going off in London and Belfast? Probably united Ireland longer term. Also you are ignoring the FACT that they can't violate the GFA like that. They simply cannot do it.
 
So what actually happens when the UK goes for the hard Brexit and violates the Good Friday agreement?

There are two hard border problems - the Irish border and the border with the rest of the EU - the UK will never, or at least for the foreseeable future, be equipped to cope with a hard border.
 
A return to the Troubles? Bombs going off in London and Belfast? Probably united Ireland longer term. Also you are ignoring the FACT that they can't violate the GFA like that. They simply cannot do it.

By "they can't" do you mean literally or morally? Because from a practical standpoint, they can violate it and no one can do anything about it.
 
By "they can't" do you mean literally or morally? Because from a practical standpoint, they can violate it and no one can do anything about it.

From a practical standpoint they absolutely cannot do it - the border would be impossible to maintain in a 'hard' way - there essentially is no border between NI and ROI as anybody who has been here will know so to try and set-up checkpoints, etc. would be virtually impossible to do - and no I do not believe there is a technical solution to it. If they ripped up the Good Friday Agreement it would be political suicide and would cause civil unrest - not only that it would be illegal as I've already said.

Believe me - a hard border is an impossiblity even if that is what the UK government wanted to do (which I do not think they do). They will fudge it and continue with some sort of customs union.
 
There seems to be a coordinated twitter attack from conservative ministers against Mogg/the European Research Group (the hard Brexit faction of the conservative party).
 
There seems to be a coordinated twitter attack from conservative ministers against Mogg/the European Research Group (the hard Brexit faction of the conservative party).

The fact that BREXIT has given the likes of Mogg a platform is another reason to think it was a terrible idea.
 
By "they can't" do you mean literally or morally? Because from a practical standpoint, they can violate it and no one can do anything about it.

The GFA was done in the context of both the UK and Ireland being part of the EU.
Can the UK legally actually do a Brexit?

Whether morally or legally countries could object to the UK becoming a member of the WTO for a start.