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Do you think there will be a Deal or No Deal?


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UK can't agree to sign this deal. This could be humiliating.
 
UK can't agree to sign this deal. This could be humiliating.

We’ve already humiliated ourselves. This whole situation is one giant ridiculous blunder.

The deal itself is a joke though, you’re right. It’s just us being beholden to the EU whilst not getting a vote and suffering unnecessary complications (see: Gibraltar). All having suffered years of uncertainty and worry to get there.
 
So, since this deal is written down as being the transitional deal until 20XX, unless both parties agree to a new deal.

Does it mean that for the next 80 years, the UK has to accept every ruling of ECJ and new standards set by european lawmakers? If they sign it now, they can‘t just do a hard brexit on WTO rules 3 years down the road because surely the EU has no intention of agreeing to that? No exit clause for the UK here or did I miss something?

This smells like a deal that the EU would make with some heavily disadvantaged third countries from the developing world, where they set all the rules and get to keep all the earnings.
 
Agreed but ironically, freedom of movement will continue under her deal unless she can figure out how to leave the SM & CU and still leave the Irish border invisible.

Wasn't the simple solution to that to leave Northern Ireland in the SM and CU and take Britain out of it?

Theres no deal she could make that would please everyone, the DUP wouldn't be happy but when are they ever.
 
So, since this deal is written down as being the transitional deal until 20XX, unless both parties agree to a new deal.

Does it mean that for the next 80 years, the UK has to accept every ruling of ECJ and new standards set by european lawmakers? If they sign it now, they can‘t just do a hard brexit on WTO rules 3 years down the road because surely the EU has no intention of agreeing to that? No exit clause for the UK here or did I miss something?

This smells like a deal that the EU would make with some heavily disadvantaged third countries from the developing world, where they set all the rules and get to keep all the earnings.

Even if UK is a WTO member, for what I have been reading lately, is not that simple. It will depend on the agreement with the EU and the acceptance of the other member. One member is Russia, that took a lot of years to be able to get in because UK was very demanding *(rightfully or not)

Someone in the thread could give information about UK and WTO tariffs after brexit?
 
Is there a simpletons guide to the pros and cons of the deal? Still can't find anything that breaks everything down without the waffle of one sided groups personal interests getting involved
yes, its 585 pages long and can be downloaded from the UK government website
 
Seems the cabinet's go to line of argument is that the British people are bored with Brexit and just want to get on with life. So, on the one hand, it is the most important decision for a generation, on the other hand people are just bored with Brexit and just want to move on? If this is true, then the British people will get what they deserve for being (a)pathetic.
 
Seems the cabinet's go to line of argument is that the British people are bored with Brexit and just want to get on with life. So, on the one hand, it is the most important decision for a generation, on the other hand people are just bored with Brexit and just want to move on? If this is true, then the British people will get what they deserve for being (a)pathetic.

Indeed. When one of the most common answers to the political direction of the country is ‘just get on with it’ then it’s hard to have sympathy for a shit result.
 
The Conservative MPs who have suggested they will vote against May’s deal:

  1. Lucy Allan
  2. Heidi Allen
  3. Richard Bacon
  4. Steve Baker
  5. John Baron
  6. Sir Bernard Jenkin
  7. Crispin Blunt
  8. Peter Bone
  9. Ben Bradley
  10. Suella Braverman
  11. Andrew Bridgen
  12. Conor Burns
  13. Bill Cash
  14. Maria Caulfield
  15. Rehman Chishti
  16. Sir Christopher Chope
  17. Simon Clarke
  18. Damian Collins
  19. Robert Courts
  20. Sir David Amess
  21. Philip Davies
  22. David Davis
  23. Sir Desmond Swayne
  24. Nadine Dorries
  25. Steve Double
  26. Richard Drax
  27. James Duddridge
  28. Iain Duncan Smith
  29. Sir Edward Leigh
  30. Charlie Elphicke
  31. Nigel Evans
  32. David Evennett
  33. Michael Fabricant
  34. Mark Francois
  35. Marcus Fysh
  36. Zac Goldsmith
  37. James Gray
  38. Chris Green
  39. Justine Greening
  40. Dominic Grieve
  41. Rob Halfon
  42. Trudy Harrison
  43. John Hayes
  44. Gordon Henderson
  45. Philip Hollobone
  46. Adam Holloway
  47. Ranil Jayawardena
  48. Andrea Jenkyns
  49. Boris Johnson
  50. Jo Johnson
  51. David Jones
  52. Daniel Kawczynski
  53. Pauline Latham
  54. Phillip Lee
  55. Andrew Lewer
  56. Julian Lewis
  57. Julia Lopez
  58. Tim Loughton
  59. Craig Mackinlay
  60. Anne Main
  61. Scott Mann
  62. Esther McVey
  63. Stephen Metcalfe
  64. Sir Mike Penning
  65. Nigel Mills
  66. Damien Moore
  67. Anne-Marie Morris
  68. Sheryll Murray
  69. Neil Parish
  70. Priti Patel
  71. Owen Paterson
  72. Mark Pritchard
  73. Dominic Raab
  74. John Redwood
  75. Jacob Rees-Mogg
  76. Laurence Robertson
  77. Andrew Rosindell
  78. Lee Rowley
  79. Grant Shapps
  80. Henry Smith
  81. Royston Smith
  82. Anna Soubry
  83. Bob Stewart
  84. Hugo Swire
  85. Ross Thomson
  86. Michael Tomlinson
  87. Anne-Marie Trevelyan
  88. Shailesh Vara
  89. Martin Vickers
  90. Theresa Villiers
  91. John Whittingdale
  92. Bill Wiggin
  93. Sarah Wollaston
The opposition MPs who may support May’s deal:

  1. Caroline Flint (Lab): “if a reasonable deal is on the table, the question for my Labour colleagues is why wouldn’t you support a deal?”
  2. Kevan Jones (Lab): “I would not support no deal because that would be disastrous both for my constituents and the country.”
  3. Stephen Lloyd (Lib Dem): “I also made a promise during the campaign that I would not support calls for a second referendum, and would support the final negotiated deal the Prime Minister brings back to the Commons.”
  4. John Mann (Lab): “At the moment no-deal is probably the most likely outcome, the idea that you can sideline and discount no-deal doesn’t seem to be very credible”
  5. Ruth Smeeth: “If the option is voting for the deal or voting for something that would mean no deal – well, I’m not prepared to vote for no-deal.”
  6. Gareth Snell (Lab): “I think the Labour Party has to be very careful that we are not unwittingly becoming the midwife to a no-deal Brexit baby, if by voting down the deal that comes forward the only alternative is crashing out next March with a no-deal.”
  7. John Woodcock (Ind): “But how exactly does parliament guarantee stopping no deal when a deal requires agreement from both sides, parliament is gearing up to reject what’s currently on offer and we are scheduled to leave on 29 March 2019?”And the opposition MPs who look set to disappoint Theresa May:1. Lisa Nandy (Lab) had been touted as someone who could back the deal. Speaking on Sunday, she ruled that out: ‘It’s inconceivable now that when this comes before Parliament in just a few day’s time that I’ll be voting for it. I won’t be voting to support the Withdrawal Agreement.’
 
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William Hill are giving odds on (4/6) that she gets it through.

It feels like it would normally go through (despite being a despicable piece of shit agreement) because if it doesn't then we enter real Twilight Zone crazy town territory. I just don't see where she gets the votes from. So many MP's have publicly nailed their colours to the mast now, that they'd have to do a complete 360 and look like idiots to vote for it now.

I still hope it crashes and burns personally. It's high stakes poker, but there's still time for a second referedum.
 
It feels like it would normally go through (despite being a despicable piece of shit agreement) because if it doesn't then we enter real Twilight Zone crazy town territory. I just don't see where she gets the votes from. So many MP's have publicly nailed their colours to the mast now, that they'd have to do a complete 360 and look like idiots to vote for it now.

I still hope it crashes and burns personally. It's high stakes poker, but there's still time for a second referedum.
Some will come round of their own volition - especially if a 2nd ref risk grows. Some will have their arms twisted whilst others will be offered sweeteners - maybe even peerages.

A 2nd referendum would be good because I think the result would be reversed. However, it would divide this country for a generation and may even lead to civil unrest. There are labour voters in the North and North East who have been sold the notion that the only hope of their regions ever becoming prosperous again is if we leave the EU.

The choice on the ballot paper should have read 'Leave the EU on WTO rules' or 'Stay'. No in-between because it is that and the range of views it covers which is causing all this trouble.

Had that been the case Farage and his merry men would have lost.
 
Reports that May has challenged Corbyn to a debate over the deal which is very odd and sounds more and more like they're trying to paint it as a party issue and Labour blocking brexit. They've got an eye on a GE even if they've no plans currently to call one.
 
Reports that May has challenged Corbyn to a debate over the deal which is very odd and sounds more and more like they're trying to paint it as a party issue and Labour blocking brexit. They've got an eye on a GE even if they've no plans currently to call one.
Yeah that's a strange one. She refused to go head-to-head with Corbyn during the last GE campaign. Why would she want a debate now?
 
Reports that May has challenged Corbyn to a debate over the deal which is very odd and sounds more and more like they're trying to paint it as a party issue and Labour blocking brexit. They've got an eye on a GE even if they've no plans currently to call one.
Bizarre if true. This put it perfectly

 
The choice on the ballot paper should have read 'Leave the EU on WTO rules' or 'Stay'. No in-between because it is that and the range of views it covers which is causing all this trouble.

Had that been the case Farage and his merry men would have lost.
I disagree with your conclusion, Brexiters wouldve still voted for WTO in their droves, like lemmings piling off a cliff.
 
These are odd moves by May. Talking to the public, offering Jezzer out. Either she's thought this through like a 4d chess player or her cheese has done gone and slipped off her cracker.
 
Yeah that's a strange one. She refused to go head-to-head with Corbyn during the last GE campaign. Why would she want a debate now?

I'd assume because they know it corners Corbyn, she's been trying to do the same at PMQs. Corbyn's line is you've not delivered on what you said so hand over to us but when it comes to pragmatic solution on the way forward he's stumped as he can't say second referendum (yet).

I've seen Stamer has come out calling for an extension but they'll argue whats the point as the EU have said that's it.

Labour will either have to keep up the charade and look as stupid as the leavers or back a people's vote and potentially get annihilated
 
Bizarre if true. This put it perfectly



Let me get this right, the woman who was so bad on the campaign trail that they kept locking journalists in rooms so they couldn’t ask her questions is going to go head to head on TV with Corbyn? Has she lost her fecking mind?
 
Let me get this right, the woman who was so bad on the campaign trail that they kept locking journalists in rooms so they couldn’t ask her questions is going to go head to head on TV with Corbyn? Has she lost her fecking mind?
Nick Timothy vs. Ollie Robbins.

No contest.
 
in fairness this will be comedy gold if this debate goes ahead, will also be extremely embarrassing for the UK.
 
Just been reading the comments against todays BBC Brexit article and its depressing how many think we can just leave with no deal and they'll be no major impact.

Wouldn't be shocked to learn that some of them are paid contributors.
 
Reports that May has challenged Corbyn to a debate over the deal which is very odd and sounds more and more like they're trying to paint it as a party issue and Labour blocking brexit. They've got an eye on a GE even if they've no plans currently to call one.

Yes its setting the stage to either force labour into a free vote on the deal or make them look to be putting party politics above the countrys needs

To be fair it would be piss poor telly but a fairly logical trap to set from the conservatives

the consistent line of attack would be - we are prepared to let each MP take the opinions of their constituents and vote in the interst of the country and the pople they represent - you are threatening MP's with deselection if they dont play party politics

to be hoest although its at best a half truth it would work well as a framing device... that said i cant see any debate without somebody wanting to represent leaving with a hard brexit view (mogg, borris, farrage etc) and somebody wanting to aggue the peoples vote (blair?) - and I cant see May or Corbyn being prepared to go into a 4 way debate
 
She didn't want a debate for the GE but wants for brexit.
Hope Corbyn tells her to feck off.
 
I saw that article before and it's absolutely idiotic.

he says "We’re heading for a second referendum – and maybe a third" and then makes no mention of it other than to say that a no deal brexit might not be a disaster. Whut?
Do you mean the third ref? I think that's the second of the two-part referendum he says could happen, i.e. no deal or deal if leave won the first round.

The only way I see this getting through parliament, outside a second ref, is May going "feck it, we'll stay in the EEA".