Brexited | the worst threads live the longest

Do you think there will be a Deal or No Deal?


  • Total voters
    194
  • Poll closed .
No... It would mean the conservatives have 21 days (I think... Might be 14?) To form a new government that commands majority... Basically force may to resign and get a hard brexit leader that the dup will back... Eg johnson
Fair enough.
 
No... It would mean the conservatives have 21 days (I think... Might be 14?) To form a new government that commands majority... Basically force may to resign and get a hard brexit leader that the dup will back... Eg johnson

The state of this world with Trump and Johnson at the forefront is terrifying. Comrade Vlad will be laughing his ass off.
 
Who are 'they'?

You are mis-understanding the situation. It is the EU + NI vs the UK. Ireland is part of the EU and is being backed to the hilt by the EU - NI voted to remain and are being dragged kicking and screaming into BREXIT. The EU is much more powerful than the UK and they are on the side of Ireland and NI.

I'm not even going to start to try and explain the challenges about policing the border here because your explanation shows a complete lack of understanding. You at least admit you do not know the answer.

They = the politicians who have to figure this out.

The EU's primary aim is to avoid an open back door into the UK. I think we'll see in time how much they care about the rest of it.
 
I think on all the head to head polling he wins if he gets to the last 2... But I think lack of cabinet experience plus prominence in the erg means he won't make the last 2
Probably can command around 40 to 50 no votes as a max... But in the 2nd or 3rd round switching his allegence and those votes to Boris or raab or Davies would probably make that person the clear brexiteer candidate... And no doubt a cushy cabinet position for mogg (chancellor or foreign office or trade?)

I suspect he will back Boris assuming he's bound to drop a bollock and mogg can then challenge with cabinet experience in a year or two
Yeah good post, Mogg could probably get one of the top jobs by supporting Boris or Gove.
 
I’m currently teetering on hoping she wins just because if the likes of BJ gets in then it’s full steam ahead regardless of cost to the country
 
Just chatting about the Tory shitshow in the office and conversation turned to the referendum. Receptionist piped up 'what do we even get from the EU for our money?' I started reeling off free movement, reciprocal healthcare, billions in trade, workers rights, statutory sick pay... She actually ran away when I asked her if she had received her annual tax statement as I just got mine and my EU contribution was less than £50 :lol:
 
Everyone likes a good conspiracy theory, so how do you feel about the idea that Theresa May, who was a 'remainer', has simply set out to sabotage Brexit? Consider the following;

- she had a workable majority, which would most likely have been enough to secure some sort of Brexit, so she decided to call an election.

- the election was an open goal, so she ran the worst campaign I can ever remember, and succeeded in screwing it up - no more majority.

- she appointed someone with all the charisma of a wet weekend as her Brexit secretary.

- whatever she may have said publicly, she nevertheless made it appear that the UK desperately wanted to do a deal, thereby completely undermining our negotiating position with the EU.

- she went behind the back of her new Brexit secretary, who actually seemed to have some notion of what the job entailed, to agree a position with the EU that she knew she couldn't sell at home.

Incidentally, her predecessor, also very much a 'remainer', is also guilty in part for the current mess: the Bill that paved the way for the referendum should have included a mandate for action based on the outcome, but it didn't. I actually think this was down more to incompetence than to any hidden agenda to avoid Brexit by any means possible.

I voted for Brexit (no, I'm not a racist and neither was I daft enough to believe the lies told on both sides of the referendum argument), and I would vote for it again. I was overjoyed when the result came through, but have always thought that the outcome would somehow be sabotaged. At no point have I ever thought the chances of Brexit happening were better than even, and right now I have zero confidence in it happening.

The European Court ruling that the UK could unilaterally withdraw Article 50 is hugely significant, and probably a pointer to how this will play out.
:lol::wenger::lol::rolleyes:
Edit: Btw, I'm with @Blatzo on this one...
 
I’m currently teetering on hoping she wins just because if the likes of BJ gets in then it’s full steam ahead regardless of cost to the country

Thankfully we're not a dictatorship. They won't be allowed to wreck the country.

It might get too close for comfort but i don't for a second believe under that under the threat of no deal that we wouldn't see alternative motions passed or even just an extension.
 
Everyone likes a good conspiracy theory, so how do you feel about the idea that Theresa May, who was a 'remainer', has simply set out to sabotage Brexit? Consider the following;

- she had a workable majority, which would most likely have been enough to secure some sort of Brexit, so she decided to call an election.

- the election was an open goal, so she ran the worst campaign I can ever remember, and succeeded in screwing it up - no more majority.

- she appointed someone with all the charisma of a wet weekend as her Brexit secretary.

- whatever she may have said publicly, she nevertheless made it appear that the UK desperately wanted to do a deal, thereby completely undermining our negotiating position with the EU.

- she went behind the back of her new Brexit secretary, who actually seemed to have some notion of what the job entailed, to agree a position with the EU that she knew she couldn't sell at home.

Incidentally, her predecessor, also very much a 'remainer', is also guilty in part for the current mess: the Bill that paved the way for the referendum should have included a mandate for action based on the outcome, but it didn't. I actually think this was down more to incompetence than to any hidden agenda to avoid Brexit by any means possible.

I voted for Brexit (no, I'm not a racist and neither was I daft enough to believe the lies told on both sides of the referendum argument), and I would vote for it again. I was overjoyed when the result came through, but have always thought that the outcome would somehow be sabotaged. At no point have I ever thought the chances of Brexit happening were better than even, and right now I have zero confidence in it happening.

The European Court ruling that the UK could unilaterally withdraw Article 50 is hugely significant, and probably a pointer to how this will play out.

Was her being fecking useless at her job before the Brexit debacle kicked off also part of the play?

If so, when does the actor become consumed by the part they are playing?
 
Everyone likes a good conspiracy theory, so how do you feel about the idea that Theresa May, who was a 'remainer', has simply set out to sabotage Brexit? Consider the following;

- she had a workable majority, which would most likely have been enough to secure some sort of Brexit, so she decided to call an election.

- the election was an open goal, so she ran the worst campaign I can ever remember, and succeeded in screwing it up - no more majority.

- she appointed someone with all the charisma of a wet weekend as her Brexit secretary.

- whatever she may have said publicly, she nevertheless made it appear that the UK desperately wanted to do a deal, thereby completely undermining our negotiating position with the EU.

- she went behind the back of her new Brexit secretary, who actually seemed to have some notion of what the job entailed, to agree a position with the EU that she knew she couldn't sell at home.

Incidentally, her predecessor, also very much a 'remainer', is also guilty in part for the current mess: the Bill that paved the way for the referendum should have included a mandate for action based on the outcome, but it didn't. I actually think this was down more to incompetence than to any hidden agenda to avoid Brexit by any means possible.

I voted for Brexit (no, I'm not a racist and neither was I daft enough to believe the lies told on both sides of the referendum argument), and I would vote for it again. I was overjoyed when the result came through, but have always thought that the outcome would somehow be sabotaged. At no point have I ever thought the chances of Brexit happening were better than even, and right now I have zero confidence in it happening.

The European Court ruling that the UK could unilaterally withdraw Article 50 is hugely significant, and probably a pointer to how this will play out.
I think you're right and also, the earth is flat, the Illuminati are real, and vaccinations are fake news.
 
No... It would mean the conservatives have 21 days (I think... Might be 14?) To form a new government that commands majority... Basically force may to resign and get a hard brexit leader that the dup will back... Eg johnson

Yeah, but the 'commands a majority' bit is going to be a significant problem.
 
I’m currently teetering on hoping she wins just because if the likes of BJ gets in then it’s full steam ahead regardless of cost to the country

BJ or anybody else would be unable to get a no-deal through the Commons anyway so I wouldn't worry.
 
It might be unpopular to mention this in this thread but feck it I would really like to discuss in reasonable fashion a couple of points/ questions.

So it doesn't say in the Good Friday agreement that the UK and Ireland have to remain in the EU, Single market or the Customs Union.

Article 50 was written after the Good Friday agreement.

If as many here say the UK isn't allowed to introduce a border in Ireland because of the GF agreement and the EU won't allow an open border then article 50 is a nonsense isn't it? If the UK isn't allowed then what is the point of having a procedure to leave which the UK could trigger let alone a referendum to decide whether to leave?

Paul TW think of the reasonable fashion part like a hard border with you on the other side.

The spirit of the GFA is that Ireland, as a whole, and separately, is entitled to self-determination. A large number of the population hold Irish/EU passports, and see themselves as Irish. Many unionists in the north want no hard border either, see the statements of the business community etc...

Seems like some Brexit people are only noticing now (that it has become a stone in their shoe) the Irish Peace Process and the various agreements brokered over the past half century. Peter Brooke: Britain has no "selfish strategic or economic interest" in Northern Ireland. Downing Street Declaration in 1993: "The British Government agree that it is for the people of the island of Ireland alone, by agreement between the two parts respectively, to exercise their right of self-determination on the basis of consent, freely and concurrently given, North and South, to bring about a united Ireland, if that is their wish".
 
BJ or anybody else would be unable to get a no-deal through the Commons anyway so I wouldn't worry.

A quick worry as I've been tuning this out for my own sanity and ignoring due diligence:

If May loses the vote it's likely that a brexiteer will take over the party reins no? If that's the case, and May's deal isn't brought before/doesn't pass Parliament, then surely all the new leader has to do to get a hard Brexit is stall until article 50 naturally concludes in the spring.

Can someone explain why this isn't true.
 
I think she has a lot of support across the country and the voters will not forget this deed from a bunch of lazy, gutless, self-indulgent tossers.
 
Unlike Ireland, the UK has been a net contributor to the EU for decades. It's been a net outflow of cash offshore of billions.
Nope. You bought a Brexit turkey, still full of guts, but inedible. In gross terms yes, the UK has made a significant contribution to the EU budget. This is because it is one of the four largest economies in the EU. But the UK has consistently paid less than France and Italy, not to mention Germany. As a share of gross national income, the UK has paid the least of all member states into the EU budget. This is principally down to Thatcher's 1985 UK rebate. So yes, all countries contribute to the EU, and all countries get benefits. You have to subtract one from the other...
 
Everyone likes a good conspiracy theory, so how do you feel about the idea that Theresa May, who was a 'remainer', has simply set out to sabotage Brexit? Consider the following;

- she had a workable majority, which would most likely have been enough to secure some sort of Brexit, so she decided to call an election.

- the election was an open goal, so she ran the worst campaign I can ever remember, and succeeded in screwing it up - no more majority.

- she appointed someone with all the charisma of a wet weekend as her Brexit secretary.

- whatever she may have said publicly, she nevertheless made it appear that the UK desperately wanted to do a deal, thereby completely undermining our negotiating position with the EU.

- she went behind the back of her new Brexit secretary, who actually seemed to have some notion of what the job entailed, to agree a position with the EU that she knew she couldn't sell at home.

Incidentally, her predecessor, also very much a 'remainer', is also guilty in part for the current mess: the Bill that paved the way for the referendum should have included a mandate for action based on the outcome, but it didn't. I actually think this was down more to incompetence than to any hidden agenda to avoid Brexit by any means possible.

I voted for Brexit (no, I'm not a racist and neither was I daft enough to believe the lies told on both sides of the referendum argument), and I would vote for it again. I was overjoyed when the result came through, but have always thought that the outcome would somehow be sabotaged. At no point have I ever thought the chances of Brexit happening were better than even, and right now I have zero confidence in it happening.

The European Court ruling that the UK could unilaterally withdraw Article 50 is hugely significant, and probably a pointer to how this will play out.

The outcome of the agreement was inevitable in my view. Prior to the negotiations the only thing I couldn't work out was how they solved the Irish border and they came up with the backstop. Otherwise it is exactly as I thought.
If the UK want to leave, they can't have the benefits even though Brexiters apparently expect them without any of the conditions.

May well be a poor PM but I don't see what any other PM could have done and even though she was supposed to be a Remainer, firstly she clearly dislikes foreigners and secondly I think she has actually tried to do her best for the UK.
Her mistake is pretending to the British people that any other outcome was possible.

Getting rid of May will probably make things worse. No deal becoming almost certain imo.
 
If May goes, is there any possibility of her being replaced by someone who is pro a second referendum?
 
A quick worry as I've been tuning this out for my own sanity and ignoring due diligence:

If May loses the vote it's likely that a brexiteer will take over the party reins no? If that's the case, and May's deal isn't brought before/doesn't pass Parliament, then surely all the new leader has to do to get a hard Brexit is stall until article 50 naturally concludes in the spring.

Can someone explain why this isn't true.
I don’t think there are enough hard brexiteers in the Tory party for a hard Brexit candidate to win the vote. They are a vocal minority. The problem is that the Tory party is split 3 ways on Brexit so they can never get any of their options through on their own.
 
Just chatting about the Tory shitshow in the office and conversation turned to the referendum. Receptionist piped up 'what do we even get from the EU for our money?' I started reeling off free movement, reciprocal healthcare, billions in trade, workers rights, statutory sick pay... She actually ran away when I asked her if she had received her annual tax statement as I just got mine and my EU contribution was less than £50 :lol:

These benefits are what everyone should have been talking about in the remain camp, and what we should be talking about now. Do you have a list of them somewhere?
 
A quick worry as I've been tuning this out for my own sanity and ignoring due diligence:

If May loses the vote it's likely that a brexiteer will take over the party reins no? If that's the case, and May's deal isn't brought before/doesn't pass Parliament, then surely all the new leader has to do to get a hard Brexit is stall until article 50 naturally concludes in the spring.

Can someone explain why this isn't true.

A vote of no confidence would pass the house to prevent this from happening or a bill could be put forward by the opposition to withdraw or request extension of A50
 
If May goes, is there any possibility of her being replaced by someone who is pro a second referendum?

Nicky Morgan may put herself forward on such a basis but i don't think she'd carry enough support.
 
A quick worry as I've been tuning this out for my own sanity and ignoring due diligence:

If May loses the vote it's likely that a brexiteer will take over the party reins no? If that's the case, and May's deal isn't brought before/doesn't pass Parliament, then surely all the new leader has to do to get a hard Brexit is stall until article 50 naturally concludes in the spring.

Can someone explain why this isn't true.

If this situation came you'd hope enough moderate Conservatives would put the country above their party and back a Vote of No Confidence to allow a GE or second Referendum
 
And if any new leader did call a 2nd ref - another 48 letters would go in pronto.

It presumably wouldn't matter. If they're voted in on the basis of a second referendum they'd then also win any leadership challenge bemoaning this
 
It might be unpopular to mention this in this thread but feck it I would really like to discuss in reasonable fashion a couple of points/ questions.

So it doesn't say in the Good Friday agreement that the UK and Ireland have to remain in the EU, Single market or the Customs Union.

Article 50 was written after the Good Friday agreement.

If as many here say the UK isn't allowed to introduce a border in Ireland because of the GF agreement and the EU won't allow an open border then article 50 is a nonsense isn't it? If the UK isn't allowed then what is the point of having a procedure to leave which the UK could trigger let alone a referendum to decide whether to leave?

Paul TW think of the reasonable fashion part like a hard border with you on the other side.

Art 50 was not just conceived for the UK but for all nations that wanted to leave. UK has the peculiarity of the GFA.
The UK are still leaving the EU on 29th March which was what was voted for.

The problem is leaving the CU and SM which was known before the referendum but everyone ignored and should have been thought about more carefully before having the referendum and the truth told to the electorate.